The biodiversity of species and their rates of extinction, distribution, and protection.

Recent studies clarify where the most vulnerable species live, where and how humanity changes the planet, and how this drives extinctions. We assess key statistics about species, their distribution, and their status. Most are undescribed. Those we know best have large geographical ranges and are often common within them. Most known species have small ranges. The numbers of small-ranged species are increasing quickly, even in well-known taxa. They are geographically concentrated and are disproportionately likely to be threatened or already extinct. Current rates of extinction are about 1000 times the likely background rate of extinction. Future rates depend on many factors and are poised to increase. Although there has been rapid progress in developing protected areas, such efforts are not ecologically representative, nor do they optimally protect biodiversity.

Prospects for monitoring freshwater ecosystems towards the 2010 targets.

Human activities have severely affected the condition of freshwater ecosystems worldwide. Physical alteration, habitat loss, water withdrawal, pollution, overexploitation and the introduction of non-native species all contribute to the decline in freshwater species. Today, freshwater species are, in general, at higher risk of extinction than those in forests, grasslands and coastal ecosystems. For North America alone, the projected extinction rate for freshwater fauna is five times greater than that for terrestrial fauna--a rate comparable to the species loss in tropical rainforest. Because many of these extinctions go unseen, the level of assessment and knowledge of the status and trends of freshwater species are still very poor, with species going extinct before they are even taxonomically classified. Increasing human population growth and achieving the sustainable development targets set forth in 2002 will place even higher demands on the already stressed freshwater ecosystems, unless an integrated approach to managing water for people and ecosystems is implemented by a broad constituency. To inform and implement policies that support an integrated approach to water management, as well as to measure progress in halting the rapid decline in freshwater species, basin-level indicators describing the condition and threats to freshwater ecosystems and species are required. This paper discusses the extent and quality of data available on the number and size of populations of freshwater species, as well as the change in the extent and condition of natural freshwater habitats. The paper presents indicators that can be applied at multiple scales, highlighting the usefulness of using remote sensing and geographical information systems technologies to fill some of the existing information gaps. Finally, the paper includes an analysis of major data gaps and information needs with respect to freshwater species to measure progress towards the 2010 biodiversity targets.

Overnight heart rate and cardiac function in patients with dual chamber pacemakers.

Animal data indicate that chronic, overnight pacing at normal evening heart rates impairs cardiac function. We examined the relationship of pacing rate and cardiac function in nine patients with dual-chamber pacemakers. We investigated two, 3-week pacing regimens (80 and 50 ppm: DDD mode) in a cross-over design. Doppler echocardiograms were performed at 1700 hours (PM) and 0600 hours (AM) at the end of each regimen. Ventricular function and preload decreased overnight (PM vs AM) with both pacing regimens. Compared to the morning values, the ratio of preejection to ejection time (PEP/ET) rose (0.43 vs 0.46), while the mean velocity of circumferential fiber shortening (Vcf) fell (1.16 cm/s vs 1.11 cm/s). Stroke volume (SV) (61 mL vs 53 mL) and ejection fraction (EF) also fell (0.56 vs 0.53) in the morning. End-diastolic volume (EDV) (94 mL vs 88 mL) decreased in the morning, as did the ratio of passive to active filling (E/A) (1.06 vs 0.96). Isovolumic relaxation time (91 ms vs 101 ms) increased overnight at both pacing rates. Systolic function decreased at 80 ppm relative to 50 ppm at both times of day. SV fell (54 mL vs 61 mL), while both EDV (92 mL vs 90 mL) end-systolic volume (ESV) increased (43 mL vs 40 mL). Contractility measured by Vcf (1.09 cm/s vs 1.18 cm/s) and PEP/ET (0.49 vs 0.41) was reduced at 80 ppm. The heart needs to rest at night by slowing its rate of contraction. Pacing at 80 ppm impairs systolic and diastolic ventricular function compared to 50 ppm. Longer term consequences of ostensibly physiological pacing rates merit inquiry, particularly in those with preexisting cardiac dysfunction.

Assessment of early post-infarction ischemia: correlation between ambulatory electrocardiographic monitoring and exercise treadmill testing.

PURPOSE: Demand-related myocardial ischemia detected by treadmill testing is commonly used to identify high-risk patients after myocardial infarction (MI). Although ischemia detected by ambulatory electrocardiographic monitoring (AECG) has also been shown to predict poor outcome in some patient groups, the relationship between AECG-detected ischemic ST changes and post-MI treadmill ischemia is unknown. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We screened 94 patients after MI with 24-hour AECG monitoring and a Naughton treadmill test. Forty-two patients were excluded because of left bundle branch block, left ventricular hypertrophy, abnormal baseline ST segments, or digoxin therapy. In the remaining 52 patients, AECG was performed 5.1 +/- 2.2 days after MI (mean +/- SD) and the treadmill test 8.4 +/- 2.2 days after MI. Each patient was taking the same drugs for both studies, had no interim revascularization procedures, and all studies were interpreted blindly. RESULTS: The treadmill test (ETT) was positive for ST changes and/or thallium reperfusion defects in 19 of 52 patients (36%). The AECG was positive for ischemia (ST depression greater than 1 mm, for more than 1 minute) in 14 of 52 patients (27%) (Group I), with 9.9 +/- 8.2 ischemic episodes per patient lasting 13.5 +/- 7.5 minutes per episode. The AECG was negative for ischemia in the remaining 38 patients (73%) (Group II). The ETT and AECG correlation was as follows: 9 patients with AECG-detected ischemic ST changes had positive ETT results; 10 patients without AECG-detected ischemic ST changes had positive ETT results; 5 patients with AECG-detected ischemic ST changes had negative ETT results; and 28 patients without AECG-detected ischemic ST changes had negative ETT results (p < 0.02 by chi 2). The predictive accuracy of a positive AECG identifying a positive ETT was 65% (specificity 85%, sensitivity 47%), and the predictive accuracy of a negative AECG identifying a negative ETT was 74%. Group I patients were older than Group II patients (63.6 +/- 8.2 years versus 53.2 +/- 10.6 years p < 0.02), more commonly had painless ETT ischemia (43% versus 18% p = 0.08), and tended to have positive ETT results at a lower level of exercise (366 +/- 210 seconds versus 588 +/- 212 seconds, p = 0.04). CONCLUSION: Ischemic ST changes as detected by AECG monitoring correlate significantly with post-MI treadmill test results with a high specificity, albeit a low sensitivity. In patients without baseline ST-segment abnormalities and limited exercise capability, AECG monitoring may be of limited use in identifying early post-MI ischemia.

Losing sight of the shore: how a future integrated American health care organization might look.

American health care, both nationally and locally, has entered a time of uncertainty, yet with the certainty of change. In this article, the authors take a fresh look at patient/community needs and propose a new level of integration of administration/management, clinical services, education, and public health in the health care organization of the future.