Factors Associated with 30-Day in-Hospital Mortality Among Patients Admitted with Severe Covid-19 in Mbarara Regional Referral Hospital.

Background: COVID-19 has created a burden on the healthcare system globally. Severe COVID-19 is linked with high hospital mortality. Data regarding 30-day in-hospital mortality and its factors has not been explored in southwestern Uganda. Methods: We carried out a retrospective, single-center cohort study, and included all in-patients with laboratory-confirmed, radiological, or clinical severe COVID-19 admitted between April 2020 and September 2021 at Mbarara Regional Referral Hospital (MRRH). Demographic, laboratory, treatment, and clinical outcome data were extracted from patients' files. These data were described comparing survivors and non-survivors. We used logistic regression to explore the factors associated with 30-day in-hospital mortality. Results: Of the 283 patients with severe COVID-19 admitted at MRRH COVID-19 unit, 58.1% were male. The mean age ± standard deviation (SD) was 61±17.4 years; there were no differences in mean age between survivors and non-survivors (59 ± 17.2 versus 64.4 ±17.3, respectively, p=0.24) The median length of hospital stay was 7 (IQR 3-10) days (non-survivors had a shorter median length of stay 5 (IQR 2-9) days compared to the survivors; 8 (IQR 5-11) days, p<0.001. The most frequent comorbidities were hypertension (30.5%) and diabetes mellitus (30%). The overall 30-day in-hospital mortality was 134 of 279 (48%) mortality rate of 47,350×105 with a standard error of 2.99%. The factors associated with 30-day in-hospital mortality were age: 65 years and above (aOR, 3.88; 95% CI, 1.24-11.70; P =0.020) a neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio above 5 (aOR, 4.83; 95% CI, 1.53-15.28; P =0.007) and oxygen requirement ≥15L/min (aOR, 15.80; 95% CI, 5.17-48.25; P <0.001). Conclusion: We found a high 30-day in-hospital mortality among patients with severe forms of COVID-19. The identified factors could help clinicians to identify patients with poor prognosis at an early stage of admission.

Association of body mass index with left ventricular diastolic dysfunction among ambulatory individuals with diabetes mellitus in rural Uganda: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) is a recognized complication of diabetes mellitus that precedes and is a risk factor for heart failure. We aimed to determine the prevalence of LVDD and its association with body mass index in ambulatory adults with diabetes mellitus in rural Uganda. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study, over 5 months, to enroll 195 ambulatory Ugandan adults living with diabetes mellitus for at least five years at Mbarara Regional Referral Hospital. We collected demographic, and clinical data and measured body mass index (BMI). Echocardiography was performed to determine LVDD by assessing the mitral inflow ventricular filling velocities (E/A and E/è ratios), tricuspid regurgitant jet peak velocity, and left atrium maximum volume index. We used logistic regression to estimate the odds ratio for the association of LVDD with BMI and evaluated the variation of associations by age and hypertension status. RESULTS: Of the 195 participants, 141 (72.31%) were female, the mean age was 62 [standard deviation, 11.50] years, and the median duration of diabetes diagnosis was 10 [interquartile range, 7, 15] years. Eighty-six percent (n = 168) had LVDD with the majority (n = 127, 65.1%) of participants in the grade 1 category of LVDD. In the adjusted model, the odds of LVDD for each 1 kg/m2 increase in BMI was 1.11 [95% confidence interval 1.00, 1.25, p = 0.04]. The adjusted odds of LVDD among individuals aged ≥ 50 years with BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 was 13.82 times the odds of LVDD in individuals aged < 50 years with BMI < 25 kg/m2. CONCLUSION: LVDD is prevalent and positively associated with BMI among ambulatory Ugandan adults living with diabetes mellitus for at least five years. The association was higher for older overweight/obese than younger individuals with normal weight. Future studies should focus on the effect of weight loss on LVDD as a possible target for the prevention of heart failure.

Validation of heart failure quality of life tool and usage to predict all-cause mortality in acute heart failure in Uganda: the Mbarara heart failure registry (MAHFER).

BACKGROUND: The health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is an important treatment goal that could serve as low-cost prognostication tool in resource poor settings. We sought to validate the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) and evaluate its use as a predictor of 3 months all-cause mortality among heart failure participants in rural Uganda. METHODS: The Mbarara Heart Failure Registry Cohort study observes heart failure patients during hospital stay and in the community in rural Uganda. Participants completed health failure evaluations and HRQoL questionnaires at enrollment, 1 and 3 months of follow-up. We used Cronbach's alpha coefficients to define internal consistency, intraclass correlation coefficients as a reliability coefficient, and Cox proportional hazard models to predict the risk of 3 months all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Among the 195 participants who completed HRQoL questionnaires, the mean age was 52 (standard deviation (SD) 21.4) years, 68% were women and 29% reported history of hypertension. The KCCQ had excellent internal consistency (87% Cronbach alpha) but poor reliability. Independent predictors of all-cause mortality within 3 months included: worse overall KCCQ score (Adjusted Hazard ratio (AHR) 2.9, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1, 8.1), highest asset ownership (AHR 3.6, 95% CI 1.2, 10.8), alcoholic drinks per sitting (AHR per 1 drink 1.4, 95% CI 1.0, 1.9), New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class IV heart failure (AHR 2.6, 95% CI 1.3, 5.4), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) 30 to 59 ml/min/1.73 m2 (AHR 3.4, 95% CI 1.1, 10.8), and eGFR less than 15 ml/min/1.73 m2 (AHR 2.7, 95% CI 1.0, 7.1), each 1 pg/mL increase in Brain Natriuretic Peptide (BNP) (AHR, 1.0, 95% CI 1.0, 1.0), and each 1 ng/mL increase in Creatine-Kinase MB isomer (CKMB) (AHR 1.0, 95% CI 1.0, 1.1). CONCLUSION: The KCCQ showed excellent internal consistency. Worse overall KCCQ score, highest asset ownership, increasing alcoholic drink per sitting, NYHA class IV, decreased estimated glomerular filtration rate, BNP, and CKMB predicted all-cause mortality at 3 months. The KCCQ could be an additional low-cost tool to aid in the prognostication of acute heart failure patients.

Incidence and predictors of 6 months mortality after an acute heart failure event in rural Uganda: The Mbarara Heart Failure Registry (MAHFER).

OBJECTIVE: We sought to estimate the incidence and predictors of all-cause mortality 6 months after heart failure hospitalization in Uganda. METHODS: Mbarara Heart Failure Registry is a cohort of patients hospitalized with a clinical diagnosis of heart failure at Mbarara Regional Referral Hospital, Uganda. We measured serum electrolytes, cardiac markers, and echocardiograms. All participants were followed until death or end of 6 months. We used Fine and Gray models to estimate the incidence and predictors all-cause mortality. RESULTS: A total of 215 participants were enrolled, 141 (66%) were women, and mean age 53 (standard deviation 22) years. Nineteen (9%) had diabetes, 40 (19%) had HIV, and 119 (55%) had hypertension. The overall incidence of all-cause mortality was 3.58 (95% CI 2.92, 4.38) per 1000 person-days. Men had higher incidence of death compared to women (4.02 vs 3.37 per 1000 person-days). The incidence of all-cause mortality during hospitalization was almost twice that of in the community (27.5 vs 14.77 per 1000 person-days). In adjusted analysis, increasing age, NYHA class IV, decreasing renal function, smoking, each unit increase in serum levels of Potassium, BNP, and Creatine kinase-MB predicted increased incidence of 6 months all-cause death whereas taking beta-blockers and having an index admission on a weekend compared to a week day predicted survival. CONCLUSIONS AND INTERPRETATION: There is a high incidence of all-cause mortality occurring in-hospital among patients hospitalized with heart failure in rural Uganda. Heart failure directed therapies should be instituted to curb heart failure-related mortality.