Automatic Detection of Pancreatic Lesions and Main Pancreatic Duct Dilatation on Portal Venous CT Scans Using Deep Learning.

OBJECTIVES: This study proposes and evaluates a deep learning method to detect pancreatic neoplasms and to identify main pancreatic duct (MPD) dilatation on portal venous computed tomography scans. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 2890 portal venous computed tomography scans from 9 institutions were acquired, among which 2185 had a pancreatic neoplasm and 705 were healthy controls. Each scan was reviewed by one in a group of 9 radiologists. Physicians contoured the pancreas, pancreatic lesions if present, and the MPD if visible. They also assessed tumor type and MPD dilatation. Data were split into a training and independent testing set of 2134 and 756 cases, respectively.A method to detect pancreatic lesions and MPD dilatation was built in 3 steps. First, a segmentation network was trained in a 5-fold cross-validation manner. Second, outputs of this network were postprocessed to extract imaging features: a normalized lesion risk, the predicted lesion diameter, and the MPD diameter in the head, body, and tail of the pancreas. Third, 2 logistic regression models were calibrated to predict lesion presence and MPD dilatation, respectively. Performance was assessed on the independent test cohort using receiver operating characteristic analysis. The method was also evaluated on subgroups defined based on lesion types and characteristics. RESULTS: The area under the curve of the model detecting lesion presence in a patient was 0.98 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.97-0.99). A sensitivity of 0.94 (469 of 493; 95% CI, 0.92-0.97) was reported. Similar values were obtained in patients with small (less than 2 cm) and isodense lesions with a sensitivity of 0.94 (115 of 123; 95% CI, 0.87-0.98) and 0.95 (53 of 56, 95% CI, 0.87-1.0), respectively. The model sensitivity was also comparable across lesion types with values of 0.94 (95% CI, 0.91-0.97), 1.0 (95% CI, 0.98-1.0), 0.96 (95% CI, 0.97-1.0) for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, neuroendocrine tumor, and intraductal papillary neoplasm, respectively. Regarding MPD dilatation detection, the model had an area under the curve of 0.97 (95% CI, 0.96-0.98). CONCLUSIONS: The proposed approach showed high quantitative performance to identify patients with pancreatic neoplasms and to detect MPD dilatation on an independent test cohort. Performance was robust across subgroups of patients with different lesion characteristics and types. Results confirmed the interest to combine a direct lesion detection approach with secondary features such as the MPD diameter, thus indicating a promising avenue for the detection of pancreatic cancer at early stages.

Simulating the outcome of amyloid treatments in Alzheimer's disease from imaging and clinical data.

In this study, we investigate SimulAD, a novel quantitative instrument for the development of intervention strategies for disease-modifying drugs in Alzheimer's disease. SimulAD is based on the modeling of the spatio-temporal dynamics governing the joint evolution of imaging and clinical biomarkers along the history of the disease, and allows the simulation of the effect of intervention time and drug dosage on the biomarkers' progression. When applied to multi-modal imaging and clinical data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative the method enables to generate hypothetical scenarios of amyloid lowering interventions. The results quantify the crucial role of intervention time, and provide a theoretical justification for testing amyloid modifying drugs in the pre-clinical stage. Our experimental simulations are compatible with the outcomes observed in past clinical trials, and suggest that anti-amyloid treatments should be administered at least 7 years earlier than what is currently being done in order to obtain statistically powered improvement of clinical endpoints.

Monotonic Gaussian Process for spatio-temporal disease progression modeling in brain imaging data.

We introduce a probabilistic generative model for disentangling spatio-temporal disease trajectories from collections of high-dimensional brain images. The model is based on spatio-temporal matrix factorization, where inference on the sources is constrained by anatomically plausible statistical priors. To model realistic trajectories, the temporal sources are defined as monotonic and time-reparameterized Gaussian Processes. To account for the non-stationarity of brain images, we model the spatial sources as sparse codes convolved at multiple scales. The method was tested on synthetic data favourably comparing with standard blind source separation approaches. The application on large-scale imaging data from a clinical study allows to disentangle differential temporal progression patterns mapping brain regions key to neurodegeneration, while revealing a disease-specific time scale associated to the clinical diagnosis.