A statistical model predicting high hepatocyte proliferation index and the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis is 4% per year. Although cost-effective, current screening could be improved. AIM: To develop a statistical model including non-invasive parameters able to identify patients at high risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma. METHODS: One hundred and fifty-eight patients (73F:85M) with compensated chronic hepatitis C virus liver disease underwent evaluation, including argyrophilic nucleolar organizer regions proliferation index, and were followed up for 56.18 +/- 1.44 months. RESULTS: Fifty-six patients had chronic hepatitis without cirrhosis and low argyrophilic nucleolar organizer regions proliferation index (< or =25%), 65 had hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis and low argyrophilic nucleolar organizer regions proliferation index and 37 had hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis and high argyrophilic nucleolar organizer regions proliferation index (>25%). Groups were similar for gender and viral genotype distribution. None of the patients with chronic hepatitis without cirrhosis developed hepatocellular carcinoma, compared with 6.1% of low argyrophilic nucleolar organizer regions proliferation index and 30.6% of high argyrophilic nucleolar organizer regions proliferation index (P = 0.002). By multivariable logistic regression analysis, the following parameters were independently associated with hepatocellular carcinoma development and used for the development of the statistical model: platelets (OR 0.98), gamma-globulins (OR 0.111), alanine aminotransferase/aspartate aminotransferase ratio (OR 0.07), serum ferritin (OR 1.0) and ultrasonographic pattern (coarse OR 2.9, coarse nodular OR 10.12). The statistical model properly allocated 95.9% of patients with low argyrophilic nucleolar organizer regions proliferation index and 72.2% of patients with high argyrophilic nucleolar organizer regions proliferation index. CONCLUSIONS: The model, to be validated in large prospective studies, may help tailoring screening according to the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma development.

Serum alpha-fetoprotein for diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic liver disease: influence of HBsAg and anti-HCV status.

BACKGROUND: It is not established whether virological status affects the efficiency of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) as a hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) marker among patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). METHODS: We enrolled in a case-control study 170 HCC and 170 CLD patients, matched for age, sex, CLD and HBsAg/anti-HCV status. The AFP sensitivity, specificity, positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values were calculated. PPV and NPV were evaluated for three additional HCC prevalences (5, 10, and 20%). RESULTS: The best discriminating AFP value was 16 ng/ml. A value of 20 ng/ml (above which investigations for HCC are recommended) had equivalent sensitivity (60.0 vs. 62.4%) and specificity (90.6 vs. 89.4%). PPV of 20 ng/ml was 84.6% but decreased to 25.1% at 5% tumor prevalence. NPV was 69.4% and rose to 97.7% at 5% prevalence. In the different groups of infected patients PPV ranged from 80.0 to 90.9%, falling to 17.4-34.5% at 5% prevalence. In noninfected patients PPV was 100% at any HCC prevalence. NPV ranged from 59.0 to 73.0%, reaching 96.5-98.1% at 5% prevalence. CONCLUSIONS: In CLD patients, AFP monitoring misses many HCCs and inappropriately arouses suspicion of malignancy in many patients. Its usefulness is barely affected by the infection responsible for CLD. An AFP elevation could be more indicative of HCC in non-infected patients.

Organ-specific and non-organ-specific autoantibodies in children and young adults with autoimmune polyendocrinopathy-candidiasis-ectodermal dystrophy (APECED).

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to assess the complex of autoantibodies which can be detected in patients with autoimmune polyendocrinopathy-candidiasis-ectodermal dystrophy (APECED), a rare autosomal recessive disease in which the extent of autoimmunity is still unknown. DESIGN: Antibodies (A) to parathyroid glands, adrenal cortex (AC-A), ovary and testis (steroid cell antibodies, SC-A), pancreatic islet cells (IC-A), gastric parietal cells, and non-organ-specific antigens were investigated in 11 APECED patients living in the Salento region of southern Italy. Further measurements included antibodies to cytochrome P450 (CYP) enzymes: cholesterol side-chain cleavage enzyme (CYP11A), 21-hydroxylase (CYP21) and 17alpha-hydroxylase (CYP17); and to glutamic acid decarboxylase 65-kDa isoform (GAD65), tyrosine phosphatase-like protein IA2, thyroglobulin (TG), thyroperoxidase (TPO), thyrotropin receptor, liver CYP enzymes and intrinsic factor. METHODS: Antibodies to organs and subcellular fractions were detected by immunofluorescence. Radiobinding, immunoradiometric, and immunoblotting assays were used for the other measurements. RESULTS: AC-A and SC-A were positive in all sera; among antibodies to adrenal CYP enzymes, only CYP21-A were present in all the patients with Addison's disease of short-medium duration (<15 years). Of three patients with Addison's disease of long duration (>15 years), two tested positive for antibodies to all three CYP enzymes, and the other for only CYP11A-A. In all sera CYP11A-A and/or CYP17-A were found. Two patients tested positive for both IC-A and GAD65-A, one for both IC-A and IA2-A, and one for GAD65-A; the fasting C-peptide assay showed no statistical difference between these four subjects and the others. All four hypothyroid patients were positive for TPO-A, while two of them were positive and two were negative for TG-A; two euthyroid subjects had positivity for TG-A. Liver-kidney microsomal antibodies reacting against the CYP2A6 were detected in two patients with autoimmune hepatitis. All but one sera contained anti-nuclear antibodies at a titre ranging between 1:20 and 1:80; however, only two patients had a connective tissue disease (Sjögren's syndrome). CONCLUSIONS: Several autoantibodies may be detected in any APECED patient. Our data confirm that CYP21-A and TPO-A are major autoantibodies involved in APECED-associated Addison's disease and hypothyroidism respectively, while CYP11A-A and CYP17-A correlate with positivity for SC-A. Markers of islet cell autoimmunity are frequent, but prevalence and modalities of progression to overt beta-cell failure have to be clarified. Low-titre non-organ-specific autoantibodies are a feature of autoimmunity in APECED, but their role has yet to be fully explained.

Efficacy of ursodeoxycholic acid in association with alpha-interferon for chronic hepatitis C in alpha-interferon non-responder patients.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the present study was to evaluate the effect of combined treatment with alpha-interferon (alpha-IFN) and ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) on liver function tests and serum HCV-RNA in patients with chronic hepatitis C who had not responded to alpha-IFN alone. METHOD: One hundred and three patients (60 men, 43 women, mean age 49 +/- 1.3 years) who had not responded (both HCV-RNA positive and increased serum ALT levels) to 4 consecutive months of treatment with alpha-IFN (3 MU three times weekly) were randomly assigned to receive UDCA (IFN-UDCA, 53 patients, 600 mg/day) in addition to the same alpha-IFN dose, or to continue alpha-IFN alone (IFN-controls, 50 patients). After stopping alpha-IFN, patients who had received UDCA continued to receive UDCA for an additional 6-month period. The two groups were comparable for sex, basal ALT, basal yGT, genotype distribution and liver histology, while mean age was lower in controls (53 +/- 1.8 vs 46 +/- 1.8 years; P< 0.01). RESULTS: Twenty (38%) out of 53 IFN-UDCA patients had normal ALT, compared with only six (12%) out of 50 IFN-control patients (P < 0.01). HCV-RNA became undetectable in four IFN-UDCA patients. Three months after withdrawal of alpha IFN, 15 IFN-UDCA responders, but none of the IFN-controls, had normal ALT values (P< 0.01); 6 months after withdrawal, nine IFN-UDCA responders still had normal ALT (P= NS) and HCV-RNA was still undetectable in four of them. Portal and periportal inflammation showed a statistically significant improvement (Fisher's exact test P< 0.01) in IFN-UDCA patients as compared with IFN-controls, while no effect was observed on portal fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS: These data demonstrate that UDCA improves the response rate to alpha-IFN. Furthermore, in 8% of IFN-UDCA patients the response rate was sustained and associated with HCV-RNA clearance.

Prevalence and clinical features of cryoglobulinaemia in multitransfused beta-thalassaemia patients.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to determine the prevalence of cryoglobulinaemia and its clinical features among beta-thalassaemia patients. METHODS: Eighty eight multitransfused beta-thalassaemia patients were studied. They were physically examined and asked about the presence of cryoglobulinaemia related symptoms. Hepatitis C virus (HCV) serology, HCV-RNA, HCV subtypes, viraemia, serum ferritin, liver and kidney function tests, rheumatoid factor (RF), circulating immune complexes (CIC), complement levels and autoantibodies were all evaluated. The patients were divided into four groups: HCV-RNA positive patients with and without cryoglobulinaemia (groups A and B), HCV-Ab positive/HCV-RNA negative patients (group C), HCV-Ab negative patients (group D). RESULTS: Cryoglobulinaemia was present in 35 of 53 (66.0%) patients with chronic HCV infection. They had higher viraemia than non-cryoglobulinaemic viral carriers, but no statistical difference relating to sex or HCV subtypes was found. In comparison with the other groups, group A patients were older, had undergone transfusion therapy for a longer period, had received a higher number of transfusions, and had increased levels of RF and CIC, as well as consumption of C4; in addition, they had a higher prevalence of cirrhosis. Cutaneous lesions (purpura, Raynaud's phenomenon, nodules and leg rash), peripheral neuropathy and sicca syndrome symptoms were present only in group A. Musculoskeletal symptoms (bone pain, arthralgia and myalgia), weakness, splenomegaly, lymphadenopathy, skin ulcers and proteinuria were also commoner in group A, but the difference did not reach statistical significance, possibly because of partial overlap between cryoglobulinaemia and beta-thalassaemia syndromes. CONCLUSION: Because of its high prevalence in multitransfused beta-thalassaemia patients, cryoglobulinaemia needs to be systematically studied and considered in the differential diagnosis of various beta-thalassaemia manifestations.

Alpha interferon treatment may prevent hepatocellular carcinoma in HCV-related liver cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: The aims of alpha-interferon treatment for chronic viral liver infections are clearance of the virus and healing of the disease. Hepatocellular carcinoma is a complication of viral cirrhosis; but it is not yet known whether treatment of viral cirrhosis with alpha-interferon prevents this complication. METHODS: The incidence and the risk (Cox regression analysis) of developing hepatocellular carcinoma were calculated in 347 patients with hepatic cirrhosis; 227 (34 hepatitis B virus and 193 hepatitis C virus related) were treated with alpha-interferon and 120 (28 hepatitis B virus and 92 hepatitis C virus) did not receive this treatment, in order to evaluate the efficacy of alpha-interferon in the prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma. In all patients, the cirrhosis was well compensated (Child A). RESULTS: Over mean follow-up periods of 49 months for hepatitis B virus and 32 months for hepatitis C virus, 20/347 patients (6/62 hepatitis B virus and 14/285 hepatitis C virus) developed hepatocellular carcinoma. The risk of developing this tumor was significantly greater in males (p < 0.007) and in patients not treated with alpha-interferon (p < 0.01). The Relative Risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma increased significantly (p < 0.0002) with each passing year. In patients with hepatic cirrhosis secondary to hepatitis B virus infections, the risk did not seem to be modified by alpha-interferon treatment, even though a greater, but not significant risk (Relative Risk = 4.9; p = 0.3) was calculated for untreated patients; in contrast, in hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis, this risk was reduced by a factor of 4.0 (p = 0.04). The tumor developed only in non-responder patients regardless of virus type. After adjustment for confounding factors (sex, age, alcohol consumption, cigarette smoking), a statistically significant (p < 0.025) effect of interferon treatment in preventing hepatocellular carcinoma was still demonstrated when responders were matched with controls, but not when responders were compared with non-responders. CONCLUSIONS: These results show that, in addition to its ability to halt the progression of viral-induced liver disease, alpha-interferon is also of benefit in patients with hepatitis C virus cirrhosis who respond to this treatment by lowering their risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma.

Influence of ursodeoxycholic acid on biliary lipids.

The advent of bile acid therapy has shed some light on the mechanisms involved in determining bile lipid secretion. The administration of cholelytic bile acids results in a lowering of cholesterol percent molar and saturation index due to a reduction in cholesterol secretion. Studies carried out after administration of bile acids showed initially that biliary cholesterol secretion rates were dependent on the hydrophobic/hydrophilic balance of the prevailing bile acid present in bile. However, more detailed investigations showed that some bile acids (cholic and chenodeoxycholic acids) did not follow this rule because of the presence of other mechanisms involved in determining biliary cholesterol secretion and a possible link between cholesterol synthesis and biliary cholesterol secretion. Several different human models have been used in more recent studies to arrive at a better understanding of the mechanisms involved in determining bile lipid secretion: obese patients, obese patients in rapid weight loss, patients with non-familial hypercholesterolemia and primary biliary cirrhosis. The findings in these studies indicate how modifications in biliary lipid secretion can easily be induced when there are changes in the relative amounts of bile acids. These changes may bring about modifications in intestinal absorption, liver synthesis, and secretion of cholesterol and bile acids that could possibly lead to the formation of lithogenic bile and subsequently to cholesterol gallstones.