What role do socioeconomic and clinical factors play in disease activity states in rheumatoid arthritis? Data from a large UK early inflammatory arthritis audit.

BACKGROUND: Persistently active rheumatoid arthritis (pactiveRA) may be due to the interplay between biological and non-biological factors. The role of socioeconomic factors remains unclear. OBJECTIVES: To explore which biological and non-biological factors associate with pactiveRA. METHODS: Adults with early RA in the National Early Inflammatory Arthritis Audit, recruited from May 2018 to October 2022, were included if having pactiveRA or persistently low RA (plowRA). The pactiveRA was defined as three consecutive Disease Activity Score-28 joints (DAS28) of >3.2 at baseline, 3 and 12 months. The plowRA was defined as DAS28 ≤3.2 at 3 and 12 months. Stepwise forward logistic regression was used to explore associations with pactiveRA (outcome). Age and gender were included a priori, with socioeconomic factors and comorbidities as exposure variables. RESULTS: 682 patients with pactiveRA and 1026 plowRA were included. Compared with plowRA, patients with pactiveRA were younger (58, IQR: 49-67) versus (62, IQR: 52-72), and included more women (69% vs 59%). The pactiveRA was associated with worse scores in patient-reported outcomes at baseline, and anxiety and depression screens. Overall, there was clear social patterning in pactiveRA, with age-by-gender interaction. Logistic regression indicated age, gender, social deprivation and previous or current smoking, were independently associated with pactiveRA, after controlling for disease severity markers (seropositivity). Depression, lung disease, gastric ulcers and baseline corticosteroid use, were also associated with pactiveRA (p<0.05 for all). CONCLUSION: Socioeconomic factors and deprivation were associated with pactiveRA, independent of clinical and disease characteristics. Identifying 'adverse' socioeconomic drivers of pactiveRA can help tailor interventions according to individual need.

Pneumococcal vaccine uptake in patients with inflammatory arthritis: a single centre cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Current guidelines recommend pneumococcal vaccination in individuals who are over the age of 65 or are immunosuppressed due to a disease or treatment. The objective of this study was to assess vaccine uptake rates in people with inflammatory arthritis for the pneumococcal, influenza and Covid-19 vaccines and factors determining uptake. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective single centre cohort study in the UK of individuals with rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis and axial spondylarthritis between October and December 2023. Data were collected for age, gender, co-morbidities, immunosuppressive therapies, and dates of vaccines. Logistic regression was used to evaluate predictors of vaccine uptake, with adjustments for demographic and clinical factors. RESULTS: 906 individuals were identified. 46% were receiving treatment with csDMARD, 26% on biologic monotherapy, and 23% were on both biologic and csDMARDs. 316 individuals (35%) received a pneumococcal vaccine, lower than uptake for influenza (63%) and Covid-19 (87%) vaccines. Predictors of pneumococcal vaccine uptake included age, with older patients more likely to be vaccinated (odds ratio [OR] for age ≥ 65 years: 1.67, 95% CI 1.21-2.29). Those on biological therapy demonstrated higher likelihood of vaccination (OR for biologic therapy: 1.81, 95% CI 1.33-2.47). Additional Joint committee for immunisation and vaccination (JCVI) Green Book indicators also positively influenced vaccine uptake (OR: 1.67, 95% CI 1.19-2.33). CONCLUSION: Pneumococcal vaccine uptake in inflammatory rheumatic diseases is low, especially in younger patients and those not on biological therapy. The study highlights the need for a focused approach, distinct from strategies for other vaccines, to address this public health challenge.

Longitudinal effects of affective distress on disease outcomes in rheumatoid arthritis: a meta-analysis and systematic review.

Patients with rheumatoid arthritis have higher rates of mental health conditions compared to the general population. It is believed that affective distress and rheumatoid arthritis have a bi-directional relationship. This review will examine the associations between affective distress and rheumatoid arthritis outcomes over time. Several disease outcomes are included covering disease activity, function, and disability to provide a broad picture of the various ways patients are impacted. A quality assessment was also conducted. There were 71 studies included in the review. Three measures (disease activity, disability, and mortality) had enough data to complete meta-analyses of odds ratios or hazard ratios. The outcomes included were disease activity, tender joint count, swollen joints, pain, physician global assessment, patient global assessment, physical disability, acute phase reactants, stiffness, fatigue, work disability, and mortality. Numerous measures were included for most of the outcomes due to the variability across studies of measures used. Patients with affective distress had lower rates of remission according to the DAS-28, greater disability, and higher mortality. All of the outcomes covered had studies with mixed results, but swollen joint count, tender joint count, patient global assessment, and physician global assessment had the strongest evidence that they were associated with mental health longitudinally. The relationships between affective distress and disease outcomes are complex and vary depending on the measures. Overall, the effects fade over time. It is important for clinicians to be aware of the differing manifestations of the relationship between affective distress and rheumatoid arthritis outcomes.

Understanding the psychosocial determinants of effective disease management in rheumatoid arthritis to prevent persistently active disease: a qualitative study.

BACKGROUND: According to epidemiological studies, psychosocial factors are known to be associated with disease activity, physical activity, pain, functioning, treatment help-seeking, treatment waiting times and mortality in people with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Limited qualitative inquiry into the psychosocial factors that add to RA disease burden and potential synergistic interactions with biological parameters makes it difficult to understand patients' perspectives from the existing literature. AIM: This study aimed to gather in-depth patient perspectives on psychosocial determinants that drive persistently active disease in RA, to help guide optimal patient care. METHODS: Patient research partners collaborated on the research design and materials. Semistructured interviews and focus groups were conducted online (in 2021) with patients purposively sampled from diverse ethnicities, primary languages, employment status and occupations. Data were analysed using inductive thematic analysis. RESULTS: 45 patients participated across 28 semistructured interviews and three focus groups. Six main themes on psychosocial determinants that may impact RA management were identified: (1) healthcare systems experiences, (2) patient education and health literacy, (3) employment and working conditions, (4) social and familial support, (5) socioeconomic (dis)advantages, and (6) life experiences and well-being practices. CONCLUSION: This study emphasises the importance of clinicians working closely with patients and taking a holistic approach to care that incorporates psychosocial factors into assessments, treatment plans and resources. There is an unmet need to understand the relationships between interconnected biopsychosocial factors, and how these may impact on RA management.

No Waning of Pneumococcal Vaccine Responses over Time in People with Inflammatory Arthritis: Findings from a Single Centre Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Vaccination against pneumococcus reduces the risk of infective events, hospitalisation, and death in individual with inflammatory arthritis, particularly in those on immunomodulating therapy who are at risk of worse outcomes from pneumococcal disease. The objective of this study was to investigate the serological protection following vaccination against pneumococcal serovars over time. Methods: This was a single centre, retrospective cohort study of individuals with rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis, or axial spondylarthritis who had previously received the PPSV23 polysaccharide pneumococcal vaccine (Pneumovax). Data were retrieved between January 2021 to August 2023. Dates of previous pneumococcal vaccination were identified using linked primary care records. Serum serotype levels were collected. The primary outcome was serological response defined as a titre ≥0.35 mcg/mL in at least five from a total of 12 evaluated pneumococcal serovars, examined using a Luminex platform. Multivariate logistic regression models adjusting for age, gender, ethnicity, co-morbidities, and the use of prednisolone, conventional synthetic and biological DMARDs were used to determine the odds of a sustained serological response according to time categorised into ≤5 years, 5-10 years, and ≥10 years since vaccination. Results: Serological response was measured in 296 individuals with inflammatory arthritis, with rheumatoid arthritis the most common diagnosis (74% of patients). The median time between pneumococcal vaccine administration and serological assessment was 6 years (interquartile range 2.4 to 9.9). A positive serological response to at least 5 serovars was present in 195/296 (66%) of patients. Time since vaccination did not significantly associate with serological protection compared with those vaccinated <5 years, the adjusted ORs of vaccine response was 1.15 (95% CI 0.64 to 2.07) in those 5-10 years and 1.26 (95% CI: 0.64 to 2.48) in those vaccinated over 10 years ago. No individual variable from the multivariate model reached statistical significance as an independent predictor of vaccine response, although steroid use at the time of vaccine had a consistent detrimental impact on serological immunity. Conclusions: We demonstrated that antibody titres following vaccination against pneumococcal serovars do not appear to wane over time. It appears more critical to focus on maximising the initial vaccine response, which is known to be diminished in this patient population.

Incidence of Uveitis in Patients With Axial Spondylarthritis Treated With Biologics or Targeted Synthetics: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Anterior uveitis is a common extra-articular manifestation of axial spondyloarthritis (AxSpA). We set to evaluate the risk of anterior uveitis (AU) with biologics and synthetic disease-modifying drugs in AxSpA. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to identify phase II/III double-blinded randomized controlled trials of anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) monoclonal antibodies (mAb), anti-interleukin-17 (anti-IL-17), and Janus kinase inhibitors (JAKi) in AxSpA. Patient-exposure years (PEY) were calculated using the per-protocol approach. Incidence rate (IR) of AU/100 person-years were calculated by treatment group using the random effects approach. Network meta-analysis (NMA) was used to estimate risk of AU in treatment groups, expressed as IR ratios (IRRs). Bias was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias-2 tool. RESULTS: Forty-four trials were included: 17 anti-TNF mAb (1,004 PEY), 9 etanercept (180 PEY), 13 anti-IL-17 (1,834 PEY), and 6 JAKi (331 PEY). The IR of AU were as follows for anti-TNF mAb: 4.1, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0-8.5; etanercept: 5.4, 95% CI 0-16.0; anti-IL-17: 2.8, 95% CI 1.6-4.1; JAKi: 1.5, 95% CI 0.0-3.0; and placebo: 10.8, 95% CI 7.4-14.1. In NMA, IRRs of treatments compared with placebo were as follows for anti-TNF mAb: 0.32, 95% CI 0.10-1.04; etanercept 0.42, 95% CI 0.08-2.38; anti-IL-17: 0.43, 95% CI 0.19-0.98; and JAKi: 0.32, 95% CI 0.06-1.67. Comparisons between anti-TNF mAb, anti-IL-17, and JAKi did not demonstrate any significant difference in AU risk. Using the surface under the cumulative ranking curve approach to rank AU risk, anti-TNF mAbs were associated with the lowest risk followed by JAKi, anti-IL-17, and etanercept. All treatments were ranked superior to placebo. CONCLUSION: Anti-TNF mAbs, JAKi, and anti-IL-17 appear protective against AU events in individuals with AxSpA, with no significant differences in risk of AU between treatments.

Implementing treat-to-target urate-lowering therapy during hospitalisations for gout flares.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate a strategy designed to optimise care and increase uptake of urate-lowering therapy (ULT) during hospitalisations for gout flares. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study to evaluate a strategy that combined optimal in-hospital gout management with a nurse-led, follow-up appointment, followed by handover to primary care. Outcomes, including ULT initiation, urate target attainment, and re-hospitalisation rates, were compared between patients hospitalised for flares in the 12 months post-implementation and a retrospective cohort of hospitalised patients from 12 months pre-implementation. RESULTS: 119 and 108 patients, respectively, were hospitalised for gout flares in the 12 months pre- and post-implementation. For patients with 6-month follow-up data available (n = 94 and n = 97, respectively), the proportion newly initiated on ULT increased from 49.2% pre-implementation to 92.3% post-implementation (age/sex-adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 11.5; 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.36-30.5; p < 0.001). After implementation, more patients achieved a serum urate ≤360 micromol/L within 6 months of discharge (10.6% pre-implementation vs. 26.8% post-implementation; aOR 3.04; 95% CI 1.36-6.78; p = 0.007). The proportion of patients re-hospitalised for flares was 14.9% pre-implementation vs. 9.3% post-implementation (aOR 0.53, 95% CI 0.22 to 1.32; p = 0.18). CONCLUSION: Over 90% of patients were initiated on ULT after implementing a strategy to optimise hospital gout care. Despite increased initiation of ULT during flares, recurrent hospitalisations were not more frequent following implementation. Significant relative improvements in urate target attainment were observed post-implementation; however, for the majority of hospitalised gout patients to achieve urate targets, closer primary-secondary care integration is still needed.

A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Anti-Rheumatic Drugs and Pneumococcal Vaccine Immunogenicity in Inflammatory Arthritis.

BACKGROUND: Pneumococcal pneumonia is an important cause of morbidity and mortality amongst patients with inflammatory arthritis. Vaccination is recommended by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) but it remains unclear how vaccine efficacy is impacted by different immunosuppressive agents. Our objective was to compare the chance of a seroconversion following vaccination against pneumococcus in patients with inflammatory arthritis to that in the general population, as well as to compare the chance of seroconversion across different targeted therapies. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, Embase and the Cochrane Library databases from inception until 20 June 2023. We included randomized controlled trials and observational studies. Aggregate data were used to undertake a pairwise meta-analysis. Our primary outcome of interest was vaccine seroconversion. We accepted the definition of serological response reported by the authors of each study. RESULTS: Twenty studies were identified in the systematic review (2807 patients) with ten reporting sufficient data to be included in the meta-analysis (1443 patients). The chance of seroconversion in patients receiving targeted therapies, relative to the general population, was 0.61 (95% CI 0.35 to 1.08). The reduced odds of response were skewed strongly by the effects of abatacept and rituximab with no difference between patients on TNF inhibitors (TNFis) or IL-6 inhibition and healthy controls. Within different inflammatory arthritis populations the findings remained consistent, with rituximab having the strongest negative impact on vaccine response. TNF inhibition monotherapy was associated with a greater chance of vaccine response compared with methotrexate (2.25 (95% CI 1.28 to 3.96)). JAK inhibitor (JAKi) studies were few in number and did not present comparable vaccine response endpoints to include in the meta-analysis. The information available does not suggest any significant detrimental effects of JAKi on vaccine response. CONCLUSION: This updated meta-analysis confirms that, for most patients with inflammatory arthritis, pneumococcal vaccine can be administered with confidence and that it will achieve comparable seroconversion rates to the healthy population. Patients on rituximab were the group least likely to achieve a response and further research is needed to explore the value of multiple-course pneumococcal vaccination schedules in this population.

Occupational impacts of early inflammatory arthritis: results from the National Early Inflammatory Arthritis Audit.

OBJECTIVES: Inflammatory arthritis (IA) causes significant work disability. Studies frequently fail to report important contextual information such as employment type. Our objective was to explore work participation, by gender and occupation type in early IA. METHODS: Data are from the National Early Inflammatory Arthritis Audit between 2018 and 2020. At diagnosis, clinicians collected information on demographics, IA disease activity and working status. Participants completed patient-reported outcomes at baseline, 3- and 12-months, including occupation and Work Productivity Activity Impairment (WPAI). Descriptive analyses of work participation and WPAI scores by occupational class at all timepoints were performed. Regression models examined associations between WPAI score and occupation. FINDINGS: 12 473 people received a diagnosis of IA and reported employment status, amongst whom 5,999 (47%) were in paid-work at least 20-h/week. At diagnosis, the working cohort had statistically significant lower measures of disease activity (p< 0.001). Occupation data were available for 3,694 individuals. At diagnosis, 2,793 completed a WPAI; 200 (7.2%) had stopped work and 344 (12.3%) changed jobs because of IA symptoms. There was a high burden of absenteeism (30%) and presenteeism (40%). Compared with managerial or professional workers, the burden of work disability was greater amongst those in routine (manual) occupations. During follow-up, 9.4% of WPAI completers had stopped work and 14.6% had changed roles. Work dropout occurred almost entirely amongst people doing routine jobs. CONCLUSION: IA associates with work disability within 12 months of diagnosis. It is easier to retain work in certain employment sectors. Participation in routine jobs is more affected, which may widen health inequalities.

The Clinical Impact of Electronic Patient-Reported Outcome Measures in the Remote Monitoring of Inflammatory Arthritis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The inflammatory arthritides (IAs) make up a significant proportion of conditions followed up in rheumatology clinics. These patients require regular monitoring, but this is increasingly difficult with rising patient numbers and demand on clinics. Our objective is to evaluate the clinical impact of electronic patient-reported outcome measures (ePROMs) as a digital remote-monitoring intervention on disease activity, treatment decisions, and health care resource use in patients with IA. METHODS: Five databases (MEDLINE, Embase, PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science) were searched, with randomized controlled trials and (nonrandomized) controlled clinical trials included, and meta-analysis and forest plots conducted for each outcome. Risk of bias was assessed using the Risk of Bias-2 tool and Risk of Bias in Nonrandomized Studies of Interventions. RESULTS: Eight studies were included with a total of 4,473 patients, with seven studies assessing patients with rheumatoid arthritis. Compared with control, the disease activity in the ePROM group was lower (standardized mean difference [SMD] -0.15; 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.27 to -0.03) and rates of remission/low disease activity were higher (odds ratio1.65; 95% CI 1.02-2.68), but five of eight studies provided additional combined interventions (e.g., disease education). Fewer face to face visits were needed in the remote ePROM group (SMD -0.93; 95% CI -2.14-0.28). CONCLUSION: Most studies were at high risk of bias with significant heterogeneity in design, but our results suggest there is an advantage in using ePROM monitoring in patients with IAs, with the potential for reduction in health care resource use without detrimental impact in disease outcomes.

JAK inhibitors and the risk of malignancy: a meta-analysis across disease indications.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the association of Janus kinase inhibitors (JAKi) with the incidence of malignancy, compared with placebo, tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-α inhibitors (TNFi) and methotrexate. METHODS: Systematic searches of databases were performed, to December 2022, to identify phase II/III/IV randomised clinical trials (RCTs) and long-term extension (LTE) studies of JAKi (tofacitinib, baricitinib, upadacitinib, filgotinib, peficitinib) compared with placebo, TNFi or methotrexate, in adults with rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis, psoriasis, axial spondyloarthritis, inflammatory bowel disease or atopic dermatitis. Network and pairwise meta-analyses were performed to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for malignancy between JAKi and comparators. Bias was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias-2 tool. RESULTS: In 62 eligible RCTs and 16 LTE studies, there were 82 366 person-years of exposure to JAKi, 2924 to placebo, 7909 to TNFi and 1074 to methotrexate. The overall malignancy incidence rate was 1.15 per 100 person-years in RCTs, and 1.26 per 100 person-years across combined RCT and LTE data. In network meta-analyses, the incidence of all malignancies including non-melanomatous skin cancers (NMSCs) was not significantly different between JAKi and placebo (IRR 0.71; 95% CI 0.44 to 1.15) or between JAKi and methotrexate (IRR 0.77; 95% CI 0.35 to 1.68). Compared with TNFi, however, JAKi were associated with an increased incidence of malignancy (IRR 1.50; 95% CI 1.16 to 1.94). Findings were consistent when analysing NMSC only and when analysing combined RCT/LTE data. CONCLUSIONS: JAKi were associated with a higher incidence of malignancy compared with TNFi but not placebo or methotrexate. Cancers were rare events in all comparisons. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42022362630.

Online Patient-Reported Outcome Measure Engagement Is Dependent on Demographics and Locality: Findings From an Observational Cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Online patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) enable remote collection of perceptions of health status, function, and well-being. We aimed to explore patterns of PROM completion in patients with early inflammatory arthritis (EIA) recruited to the National Early Inflammatory Arthritis Audit (NEIAA). METHODS: NEIAA is an observational cohort study design; we included adults from this cohort with a new diagnosis of EIA from May 2018 to March 2020. The primary outcome was PROM completion at baseline, 3 months, and 12 months. Mixed effects logistic regression and spatial regression models were used to identify associations between demographics (age, gender, ethnicity, deprivation, smoking, and comorbidity), clinical commissioning groups, and PROM completion. RESULTS: Eleven thousand nine hundred eighty-six patients with EIA were included, of whom 5331 (44.5%) completed at least 1 PROM. Patients from ethnic minority backgrounds were less likely to return a PROM (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.57, 95% CI 0.48-0.66). Greater deprivation (aOR 0.73, 95% CI 0.64-0.83), male gender (aOR 0.86, 95% CI 0.78-0.94), higher comorbidity burden (aOR 0.95, 95% CI 0.91-0.99), and current smoker status (aOR 0.73, 95% CI 0.64-0.82) also reduced odds of PROM completion. Spatial analysis identified 2 regions with high (North of England) and low (Southeast of England) PROM completion. CONCLUSION: We define key patient characteristics (including ethnicity) that influence PROM engagement using a national clinical audit. We observed an association between locality and PROM completion, with varying response rates across regions of England. Completion rates could benefit from targeted education for these groups.

COVID-19 admissions and mortality in patients with early inflammatory arthritis: results from a UK national cohort.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the risks and predictors of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) hospitalization and mortality among patients with early inflammatory arthritis (EIA), recruited to the National Early Inflammatory Arthritis Audit (NEIAA). METHODS: NEIAA is an observational cohort. We included adults with EIA from Feb 2020 to May 2021. Outcomes of interest were hospitalization and death due to COVID-19, using NHS Digital linkage. Cox proportional hazards were used to calculate hazard ratios for outcomes according to initial treatment strategy, with adjustment for confounders. RESULTS: From 14 127 patients with EIA, there were 143 hospitalizations and 47 deaths due to COVID-19, with incidence rates per 100 person-years of 0.93 (95% CI 0.79, 1.10) for hospitalization and 0.30 (95% CI 0.23, 0.40) for death. Increasing age, male gender, comorbidities and ex-smoking were associated with increased risk of worse COVID-19 outcomes. Higher baseline DAS28 was not associated with COVID-19 admissions [confounder adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.10; 95% CI 0.97, 1.24] or mortality (aHR 1.11; 95% CI 0.90, 1.37). Seropositivity was not associated with either outcome. Higher symptom burden on patient-reported measures predicted worse COVID-19 outcomes. In unadjusted models, CS associated with COVID-19 death (HR 2.29; 95% CI 1.02, 5.13), and SSZ monotherapy associated with COVID-19 admission (HR 1.92; 95% CI 1.04, 3.56). In adjusted models, associations for CS and SSZ were not statistically significant. CONCLUSION: Patient characteristics have stronger associations with COVID-19 than the initial treatment strategy in patients with EIA. An important limitation is that we have not looked at treatment changes over time.

A Systematic Review and Metaanalysis of Predictors of Mortality in Idiopathic Inflammatory Myopathy-Associated Interstitial Lung Disease.

OBJECTIVE: Idiopathic inflammatory myopathy (IIM)-associated interstitial lung disease (ILD) can range from rapidly progressive disease with high mortality to indolent disease with minimal morbidity. This systematic review and metaanalysis describe immunological, clinical, and radiographical predictors of mortality in IIM-ILD. METHODS: MEDLINE and Embase database searches were completed on October 18, 2021, to identify articles providing survival data according to baseline characteristics in patients with concurrent IIM and ILD. Prognostic factors common to more than 5 papers were included in the metaanalysis using a random-effects model to report odds ratios (ORs) for binary variables and Hedges g for continuous variables. Risk of bias was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale score and the Egger test for publication bias. RESULTS: From 4433 articles, 62 papers were suitable for inclusion; among these studies, 38 different variables were considered. The OR for risk of death regarding the presence of anti-melanoma differentiation-associated protein 5 (MDA5) antibodies was 6.20 (95% CI 3.58-10.71), and anti-tRNA synthetase antibodies were found to be protective (OR 0.24, 95% CI 0.14-0.41). Neither antinuclear antibodies, anti-52-kDa Ro antigen antibodies, nor SSA significantly altered mortality, nor was MDA5 titer predictive. Examples of prognostic factors that are significantly associated with mortality in this study include the following: age; male sex; acute/subacute onset; clinically amyopathic dermatomyositis; dyspnea; ulceration; fever; raised C-reactive protein, ferritin, lactate dehydrogenase, alveolar to arterial O2 (A-aO2) gradient, ground-glass opacity on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT), and overall HRCT score; and reduced albumin, lymphocytes, ratio of partial pressure of oxygen in the arterial blood to fraction of inspired oxygen (PF ratio), percentage predicted transfer factor for carbon monoxide, and percentage predicted forced vital capacity. Baseline surfactant protein-D and Krebs von den Lungen-6 levels were not predictors of mortality. CONCLUSION: Many mortality risk factors were identified, though heterogeneity was high, with a low quality of evidence and a risk of publication bias. Studies regarding anti-MDA5 antibody-positive disease and and those from East Asia predominate, which could mask risk factors relevant to other IIM subgroups or populations.

Gout incidence and management during the COVID-19 pandemic in England, UK: a nationwide observational study using OpenSAFELY.

BACKGROUND: Gout is the most prevalent inflammatory arthritis, yet one of the worst managed. Our objective was to assess how the COVID-19 pandemic impacted incidence and quality of care for people with gout in England, UK. METHODS: With the approval of National Health Service England, we did a population-level cohort study using primary care and hospital electronic health record data for 17·9 million adults registered with general practices using TPP health record software, via the OpenSAFELY platform. The study period was from March 1, 2015, to Feb 28, 2023. Individuals aged 18-110 years were defined as having incident gout if they were assigned index diagnostic codes for gout, were registered with TPP practices in England for at least 12 months before diagnosis, did not receive prescriptions for urate-lowering therapy more than 30 days before diagnosis, and had not been admitted to hospital or attended an emergency department for gout flares more than 30 days before diagnosis. Outcomes assessed were incidence and prevalence of people with recorded gout diagnoses, incidence of gout hospitalisations, initiation of urate-lowering therapy, and attainment of serum urate targets (≤360 µmol/L). FINDINGS: From a reference population of 17 865 145 adults, 246 695 individuals were diagnosed with incident gout. The mean age of individuals with incident gout was 61·3 years (SD 16·2). 66 265 (26·9%) of 246 695 individuals were female, 180 430 (73·1%) were male, and 189 035 (90·9%) of 208 050 individuals with available ethnicity data were White. Incident gout diagnoses decreased by 30·9% in the year beginning March, 2020, compared with the preceding year (1·23 diagnoses vs 1·78 diagnoses per 1000 adults). Gout prevalence was 3·07% in 2015-16, and 3·21% in 2022-23. Gout hospitalisations decreased by 30·1% in the year commencing March, 2020, compared with the preceding year (9·6 admissions vs 13·7 admissions per 100 000 adults). Of 228 095 people with incident gout and available follow-up, 66 560 (29·2%) were prescribed urate-lowering therapy within 6 months. Of 65 305 individuals who initiated urate-lowering therapy with available follow-up, 16 790 (25·7%) attained a serum urate concentration of 360 µmol/L or less within 6 months of urate-lowering therapy initiation. In interrupted time-series analyses, urate-lowering therapy prescribing improved modestly during the pandemic, compared with pre-pandemic, whereas urate target attainment was similar. INTERPRETATION: Using gout as an exemplar disease, we showed the complexity of how health care was impacted during the COVID-19 pandemic. We observed a reduction in gout diagnoses but no effect on treatment metrics. We showed how country-wide, routinely collected data can be used to map disease epidemiology and monitor care quality. FUNDING: None.

Changing trends in ethnicity and academic performance: observational cohort data from a UK medical school.

OBJECTIVE: Quantify differential attainment by ethnicity in undergraduate medical assessments and evaluate whether institutional efforts to reduce the attainment gap have had impact. DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING: A single UK MBBS medical programme. PARTICIPANTS: Pseudonymised data of adults aged ≥18 years enrolled in one of the UK MBBS medical programmes between 2012 and 2018. Ethnicity was self-declared during enrolment as White, Asian, Black, mixed and other. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Module mark (distinction, merit, pass, fail) graded according to a variety of assessments, including single best answer examinations, objective structured clinical examinations and coursework submissions. All modular assessments are graded as a percentage. Logistic regression models were used to calculate relative risk ratio to study the association between ethnicity and attainment gap over a calendar and scholastic year. Models were adjusted for age, gender, social deprivation and scholastic year of study. RESULTS: 3714 student records were included. In the sample, 2134 students (57%) were non-white. The proportion of non-white students increased from 2007 (49%) to 2018 (70%). Mean age was 18 (IQR 18-21) and 56.6% were females. Higher proportion of non-white students 218 (24.8%) were from more deprived backgrounds versus white 76 (14.8%). Compared with non-white, there were no significant differences in the proportion of students failing assessments. However, white students were more likely to achieve merit (relative risk ratio 1.29 (95% CI 1.08 to 1.45)) or distinction (1.69 (95% CI 1.37 to 2.08)). Differences in attainment gap have remained unchanged over time, and for black students, attainment gap grew between their first and final year of study. CONCLUSION: A similar proportion (97%) of non-white and white students had a passing score, but attainment gap for higher grades persists over years despite widespread efforts in medical schools to diminish the attainment gap linked to ethnicity. Our findings are from a single institution, thus affecting generalisability.

Incidence and management of inflammatory arthritis in England before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: a population-level cohort study using OpenSAFELY.

Background: The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the incidence and management of inflammatory arthritis is not understood. Routinely captured data in secure platforms, such as OpenSAFELY, offer unique opportunities to understand how care for patients with inflammatory arthritis was impacted upon by the pandemic. Our objective was to use OpenSAFELY to assess the effects of the pandemic on diagnostic incidence and care delivery for inflammatory arthritis in England and to replicate key metrics from the National Early Inflammatory Arthritis Audit. Methods: In this population-level cohort study, we used primary care and hospital data for 17·7 million adults registered with general practices using TPP health record software, to explore the following outcomes between April 1, 2019, and March 31, 2022: (1) incidence of inflammatory arthritis diagnoses (rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis, axial spondyloarthritis, and undifferentiated inflammatory arthritis) recorded in primary care; (2) time to first rheumatology assessment; (3) time to first prescription of a disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD) in primary care; and (4) choice of first DMARD. Findings: Among 17 683 500 adults, there were 31 280 incident inflammatory arthritis diagnoses recorded between April 1, 2019, and March 31, 2022. The mean age of diagnosed patients was 55·4 years (SD 16·6), 18 615 (59·5%) were female, 12 665 (40·5%) were male, and 22 925 (88·3%) of 25 960 with available ethnicity data were White. New inflammatory arthritis diagnoses decreased by 20·3% in the year commencing April, 2020, relative to the preceding year (5·1 vs 6·4 diagnoses per 10 000 adults). The median time to first rheumatology assessment was shorter during the pandemic (18 days; IQR 8-35) than before (21 days; 9-41). The proportion of patients prescribed DMARDs in primary care was similar before and during the pandemic; however, during the pandemic, fewer people were prescribed methotrexate or leflunomide, and more were prescribed sulfasalazine or hydroxychloroquine. Interpretation: Inflammatory arthritis diagnoses decreased markedly during the early phase of the pandemic. The impact on rheumatology assessment times and DMARD prescribing in primary care was less marked than might have been anticipated. This study demonstrates the feasibility of using routinely captured, near real-time data in the secure OpenSAFELY platform to benchmark care quality on a national scale, without the need for manual data collection. Funding: None.

Worse outcomes linked to ethnicity for early inflammatory arthritis in England and Wales: a national cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess variability in care quality and treatment outcomes across ethnicities in early inflammatory arthritis (EIA). METHODS: We conducted an observational cohort study in England and Wales from May 2018 to March 2020, including patients with a suspected/confirmed EIA diagnosis. Care quality was assessed against six metrics defined by national guidelines. Clinical outcomes were measured using DAS28. Outcomes between ethnic groups ('White', 'Black', 'Asian', 'Mixed', 'Other') were compared, and adjusted for confounders. RESULTS: A total of 35 807 eligible patients were analysed. Of those, 30 643 (85.6%) were White and 5164 (14.6%) were from ethnic minorities: 1035 (2.8%) Black; 2617 (7.3%) Asian; 238 (0.6%) Mixed; 1274 (3.5%) Other. In total, 12 955 patients had confirmed EIA, of whom 11 315 were White and 1640 were from ethnic minorities: 314 (2.4%) Black; 927 (7.1%) Asian; 70 (0.5%) Mixed; 329 (2.5%) Other. A total of 14 803 patients were assessed by rheumatology within three weeks, and 5642 started treatment within six weeks of referral. There were no significant differences by ethnicity. Ethnic minority patients had lower odds of disease remission at three months [adjusted odds ratio 0.79 (95% CI: 0.65, 0.96)] relative to White patients. Ethnic minorities were significantly less likely to receive initial treatment withMTX[0.68 (0.52, 0.90)] or with glucocorticoids [0.63 (0.49, 0.80)]. CONCLUSION: We demonstrate that some ethnic minorities are less likely to achieve disease remission in three months following EIA diagnosis. This is not explained by delays in referral or time to treatment. Our data highlight the need for investigation into the possible drivers of these inequitable outcomes and reappraisal of EIA management pathways.

Hospitalizations for Acute Gout: Process Mapping the Inpatient Journey and Identifying Predictors of Admission.

OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors of admission following emergency department (ED) attendances for gout flares and to describe barriers to optimal inpatient gout care. METHODS: ED attendances and hospital admissions with primary diagnoses of gout were analyzed at 2 UK-based hospitals between January 1, 2017, and December 31, 2020. Demographic and clinical predictors of ED disposition (admission or discharge) and reattendance for gout flares were identified using logistic regression and survival models, respectively. Case note reviews (n = 59), stakeholder meetings, and process mapping were performed to capture detailed information on gout management and to identify strategies to optimize care. RESULTS: Of 1220 emergency attendances for gout flares, 23.5% required hospitalization (median length of stay: 3.6 days). Recurrent attendances for flares occurred in 10.4% of patients during the study period. In multivariate logistic regression models, significant predictors of admission from ED were older age, overnight ED arrival time, higher serum urate (SU), higher C-reactive protein, and higher total white cell count at presentation. Detailed case note reviews showed that only 22.6% of patients with preexisting gout were receiving urate-lowering therapy (ULT) at presentation. Initial diagnostic uncertainty was common, yet rheumatology input and synovial aspirates were rarely obtained. By 6 months postdischarge, 43.6% were receiving ULT; however, few patients had treat-to-target dose optimization, and only 9.1% achieved SU levels ≤ 360 µmol/L. CONCLUSION: We identified multiple predictors of hospitalization for acute gout. Treat-to-target optimization of ULT following hospitalization remains inadequate and must be improved if admissions are to be prevented.