Risk of cardiovascular outcomes among women with endometriosis in the United Kingdom: a retrospective matched cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the prevalence and incidence of endometriosis and to estimate the risk of cardiovascular outcomes in women with endometriosis. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study using The Health Improvement Network database. SETTING: UK primary care. POPULATION: Women aged 16-50 years were followed from 1995 to 2018. METHODS: Adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) for cardiovascular outcomes comparing women with endometriosis with those without endometriosis were estimated using multivariable Cox regression models. Prevalence and incidence of endometriosis were estimated using annual (1998-2017) sequential cross-sectional and cohort studies, respectively. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: The primary outcome was composite cardiovascular disease (CVD) including, ischaemic heart disease (IHD), heart failure (HF) and cerebrovascular disease. Secondary outcomes were arrhythmia, hypertension and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: In all, 56 090 women with endometriosis and 223 669 matched controls without endometriosis were included in the analysis of cardiovascular risk. Compared with women without endometriosis, the aHR for cardiovascular outcomes among women with endometriosis were: composite CVD 1.24 (95% CI 1.13-1.37); IHD 1.40 (95% CI 1.22-1.61); cerebrovascular disease 1.19 (95% CI 1.04-1.36); HF 0.76 (95% CI 0.54-1.07); arrhythmia 1.26 (95% CI 1.11-1.43); hypertension 1.12 (95% CI 1.07-1.17) and all-cause mortality 0.66 (95% CI 0.59-0.74). The incidence of endometriosis was 12.3 per 10 000 person-years in 1998 and 11.5 per 10 000 person-years in 2017. The prevalence of endometriosis increased from 119.7 per 10 000 population in 1998 to 201.3 per 10 000 population in 2017. CONCLUSION: Endometriosis is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular outcomes. Young women with endometriosis are a potential target for CVD risk assessment and prevention. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Endometriosis is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular outcomes: a UK retrospective matched cohort study.

Impact of bariatric surgery on cardiovascular outcomes and mortality: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Cohort studies have shown that bariatric surgery may reduce the incidence of and mortality from cardiovascular disease (CVD), but studies using real-world data are limited. This study examined the impact of bariatric surgery on incident CVD, hypertension and atrial fibrillation, and all-cause mortality. METHODS: A retrospective, matched, controlled cohort study of The Health Improvement Network primary care database (from 1 January 1990 to 31 January 2018) was performed (approximately 6 per cent of the UK population). Adults with a BMI of 30 kg/m2 or above who did not have gastric cancer were included as the exposed group. Each exposed patient, who had undergone bariatric surgery, was matched for age, sex, BMI and presence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) with two controls who had not had bariatric surgery. RESULTS: A total of 5170 exposed and 9995 control participants were included; their mean(s.d.) age was 45·3(10·5) years and 21·5 per cent (3265 of 15 165 participants) had T2DM. Median follow-up was 3·9 (i.q.r. 1·8- 6·4) years. Mean(s.d.) percentage weight loss was 20·0(13·2) and 0·8(9·5) per cent in exposed and control groups respectively. Overall, bariatric surgery was not associated with a significantly lower CVD risk (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0·80; 95 per cent c.i. 0·62 to 1·02; P = 0·074). Only in the gastric bypass group was a significant impact on CVD observed (HR 0·53, 0·34 to 0·81; P = 0·003). Bariatric surgery was associated with significant reduction in all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 0·70, 0·55 to 0·89; P = 0·004), hypertension (adjusted HR 0·41, 0·34 to 0·50; P < 0·001) and heart failure (adjusted HR 0·57, 0·34 to 0·96; P = 0·033). Outcomes were similar in patients with and those without T2DM (exposed versus controls), except for incident atrial fibrillation, which was reduced in the T2DM group. CONCLUSION: Bariatric surgery is associated with a reduced risk of hypertension, heart failure and mortality, compared with routine care. Gastric bypass was associated with reduced risk of CVD compared to routine care.

ANTECEDENTES: Estudios de cohortes han mostrado que la cirugía bariátrica puede reducir la incidencia de enfermedad cardiovascular (cardiovascular disease, CVD) y la mortalidad, pero los estudios basados en datos del mundo real son limitados. Este estudio examinaba el impacto de la cirugía bariátrica (bariatric surgery, BS) en la incidencia de CVD, hipertensión, fibrilación auricular (FA) y mortalidad por cualquier causa. MÉTODOS: Se realizó un estudio retrospectivo de cohortes, controlado por emparejamiento, a partir de la base de datos de atención primaria del The Health Improvement Network (THIN) (1/1/1990 y 31/1/2018) (aproximadamente el 6% de la población del Reino Unido UK). En el grupo de exposición, se incluyeron adultos con un índice de masa corporal (IMC) ≥ 30 kg/m2 que no tenían cáncer gástrico. Cada paciente expuesto (había sido operado de BS) fue emparejado por edad, sexo, IMC y presencia de diabetes tipo 2 (T2D) con 2 controles (sin BS). RESULTADOS: Se incluyeron un total de 5.170 sujetos expuestos y 9.995 participantes controles. La edad media (DE) fue 45,3 (10,5) años, 21,5% (n = 3.265) tenían T2D. La mediana de seguimiento era de 3,9 años (rango intercuartílico 1,8- 6,4). La media ± desviación estándar del % de pérdida de peso fue del 20,0 ± 13,2% en el grupo BS versus 0,8 ± 9,5% en los grupos control. Globalmente, la BS no se asoció con una CVD significativamente más baja (cociente de riesgos instantáneos ajustados, adjusted hazard ratio, HR 0,80; i.c. del 0,62- 1,02, P = 0,074). Solo en el grupo del bypass gástrico se observó un impacto significativo en CVD (0,53, 0,34- 0,81, P = 0,003). BS se asoció con una reducción significativa en la mortalidad de cualquier causa (0,70; i.c. Del 95% 0,55- 0,89, P = 0,004), hipertensión (0,41; 0,34- 0,50, P < 0,001), e insuficiencia cardiaca (0,57, 0,34- 0,96; P = 0.033). Los resultados fueron similares en aquellos pacientes con y sin T2D (expuesto versus control) excepto en la FA incidental que se redujo en el grupo T2D. CONCLUSIONES: La práctica de BS se asoció con una reducción del riesgo de insuficiencia cardiaca y mortalidad.

Impact of the Diabetes Inpatient Care and Education (DICE) project on length of stay and mortality.

AIM: To determine whether the Diabetes Inpatient Care and Education (DICE) programme, a whole-systems approach to managing inpatient diabetes, reduces length of stay, in-hospital mortality and readmissions. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Diabetes Inpatient Care and Education initiatives included identification of all diabetes admissions, a novel DICE care-pathway, an online system for prioritizing referrals, use of web-linked glucose meters, an enhanced diabetes team, and novel diabetes training for doctors. Patient administration system data were extracted for people admitted to Ipswich Hospital from January 2008 to June 2016. Logistic regression was used to compare binary outcomes (mortality, 30-day readmissions) 6 months before and after the intervention; generalized estimating equations were used to compare lengths of stay. Interrupted time series analysis was performed over the full 7.5-year period to account for secular trends. RESULTS: Before-and-after analysis revealed a significant reduction in lengths of stay for people with and without diabetes: relative ratios 0.89 (95% CI 0.83, 0.97) and 0.93 (95% CI 0.90, 0.96), respectively; however, in interrupted time series analysis the change in long-term trend for length of stay following the intervention was significant only for people with diabetes (P=0.017 vs P=0.48). Odds ratios for mortality were 0.63 (0.48, 0.82) and 0.81 (0.70, 0.93) in people with and without diabetes, respectively; however, the change in trend was not significant in people with diabetes, while there was an apparent increase in those without diabetes. There was no significant change in 30-day readmissions, but interrupted time series analysis showed a rising trend in both groups. CONCLUSION: The DICE programme was associated with a shorter length of stay in inpatients with diabetes beyond that observed in people without diabetes.

Temporal and external validation of a prediction model for adverse outcomes among inpatients with diabetes.

AIM: To temporally and externally validate our previously developed prediction model, which used data from University Hospitals Birmingham to identify inpatients with diabetes at high risk of adverse outcome (mortality or excessive length of stay), in order to demonstrate its applicability to other hospital populations within the UK. METHODS: Temporal validation was performed using data from University Hospitals Birmingham and external validation was performed using data from both the Heart of England NHS Foundation Trust and Ipswich Hospital. All adult inpatients with diabetes were included. Variables included in the model were age, gender, ethnicity, admission type, intensive therapy unit admission, insulin therapy, albumin, sodium, potassium, haemoglobin, C-reactive protein, estimated GFR and neutrophil count. Adverse outcome was defined as excessive length of stay or death. RESULTS: Model discrimination in the temporal and external validation datasets was good. In temporal validation using data from University Hospitals Birmingham, the area under the curve was 0.797 (95% CI 0.785-0.810), sensitivity was 70% (95% CI 67-72) and specificity was 75% (95% CI 74-76). In external validation using data from Heart of England NHS Foundation Trust, the area under the curve was 0.758 (95% CI 0.747-0.768), sensitivity was 73% (95% CI 71-74) and specificity was 66% (95% CI 65-67). In external validation using data from Ipswich, the area under the curve was 0.736 (95% CI 0.711-0.761), sensitivity was 63% (95% CI 59-68) and specificity was 69% (95% CI 67-72). These results were similar to those for the internally validated model derived from University Hospitals Birmingham. CONCLUSIONS: The prediction model to identify patients with diabetes at high risk of developing an adverse event while in hospital performed well in temporal and external validation. The externally validated prediction model is a novel tool that can be used to improve care pathways for inpatients with diabetes. Further research to assess clinical utility is needed.

Predicting inpatient hypoglycaemia in hospitalized patients with diabetes: a retrospective analysis of 9584 admissions with diabetes.

AIMS: To explore whether a quantitative approach to identifying hospitalized patients with diabetes at risk of hypoglycaemia would be feasible through incorporation of routine biochemical, haematological and prescription data. METHODS: A retrospective cross-sectional analysis of all diabetic admissions (n=9584) from 1 January 2014 to 31 December 2014 was performed. Hypoglycaemia was defined as a blood glucose level of <4 mmol/l. The prediction model was constructed using multivariable logistic regression, populated by clinically important variables and routine laboratory data. RESULTS: Using a prespecified variable selection strategy, it was shown that the occurrence of inpatient hypoglycaemia could be predicted by a combined model taking into account background medication (type of insulin, use of sulfonylureas), ethnicity (black and Asian), age (≥75 years), type of admission (emergency) and laboratory measurements (estimated GFR, C-reactive protein, sodium and albumin). Receiver-operating curve analysis showed that the area under the curve was 0.733 (95% CI 0.719 to 0.747). The threshold chosen to maximize both sensitivity and specificity was 0.15. The area under the curve obtained from internal validation did not differ from the primary model [0.731 (95% CI 0.717 to 0.746)]. CONCLUSIONS: The inclusion of routine biochemical data, available at the time of admission, can add prognostic value to demographic and medication history. The predictive performance of the constructed model indicates potential clinical utility for the identification of patients at risk of hypoglycaemia during their inpatient stay.

Short communication: Effect of diet changes on sorting behavior of weaned dairy calves.

Dairy cows sort mixed rations; in some cases sorting can lead to digestive disorders. How sorting behavior develops in calves is poorly understood. The objective of this observational study was to determine if sorting behavior of total mixed ration (TMR)-fed dairy calves was affected by the removal of supplementary concentrate. Dairy bull calves (n=18) were provided access to both a TMR (49.1% dry matter) and calf starter fed separately during the preweaning period starting at 3 d of age. Sorting of the TMR was assessed after weaning when calves were provided both feeds at 65 d of age, and again at 70 d immediately following the removal of calf starter from the calf pen. Sorting was measured by comparing the particle size composition of the TMR offered with that of the orts following 24h of feed access. Feed particle fractions were measured using the Penn State Particle Separator with 3 screens (19, 8, and 1.18mm) and a bottom pan to separate the TMR into long, medium, short, and fine fractions, respectively. At d 65, calves sorted for long particles (133±9%) and against small particles (92±3%), with no differences for the remaining fractions (99±5% for medium; 107±5% for fine); these preferences were reversed at d 70 when calf starter was no longer available with calves preferentially selecting fine particles (113±4%), but showing no preference for other fractions (101±11% for long; 99±6% for medium; 97±4% for short). These results indicate that young dairy calves are capable of sorting a TMR and they adjust this behavior in response to the availability of grain.

Does intrathecal morphine alter the stress response following coronary artery bypass grafting surgery?

PURPOSE: Intrathecal morphine administered prior to coronary artery revascularization (CABG) surgery was studied to determine its effects on the stress response. METHODS: In a single centre, open, randomized clinical trial, first time elective CABG surgery patients, < 75 yr, were studied. Control subjects (n=12) received a standardized anesthetic consisting of fentanyl (maximum cumulative dose of 35 microg x kg(-1)), propofol, and pancuronium. In addition, spinal subjects (n=13) received 1.0 mg (age > 60 yr) or 1.5 mg (age < or = 59 yr) intrathecal morphine prior to induction of anesthesia. Control subjects received continuous i.v. morphine at 2 mg x hr(-1) on arrival in the ICU with i.v. bolus morphine supplementation as required while spinal subjects received bolus i.v. morphine as required. Changes in plasma cortisol and catecholamine concentrations were measured preoperatively, poststernotomy, on admission to ICU, following tracheal extubation, at 0800 hr on the first postoperative day, and 24 and 48 hr after ICU admission. RESULTS: No differences between groups were detected for demographic variables. The percent change in cortisol concentration relative to preoperative values (control vs spinal; (38 (87) vs -41 (46)%: P < 0.05)) was lower in the spinal group on admission to ICU. The percent change in plasma epinephrine levels (control vs spinal) on admission to ICU (285 (337) vs -10 (37)%) and 0800 hr after surgery (314 (341) vs -4 (37)%) was also significantly different. CONCLUSION: Intrathecal morphine only partially attenuated the postsurgical stress response in CABG surgical patients.