Who needs colonoscopy to identify colorectal cancer? Bowel symptoms do not add substantially to age and other medical history.

BACKGROUND: Many bodies advise that people with bowel symptoms undergo colonoscopy to detect colorectal cancer. AIM: To determine which bowel symptoms predict cancer on colonoscopy. METHODS: Information was collected on symptoms, demographics and medical history from patients subsequently undergoing colonoscopy. Multiple logistic regression modelling was used to identify predictors of colorectal cancer. An ROC curve was estimated for each model, and the area under the curve (AUC) was computed. RESULTS: Cancer was found in 159 patients and no cancer or adenoma in 7577 patients. Bowel symptoms that predicted cancer were rectal bleeding, change in bowel habit and rectal mucus. Prediction was the strongest in patients who had symptoms at least weekly and commencing within the previous 12 months; abdominal pain was predictive only in such patients. The odds ratios never exceeded 4.27. A model based on age, gender, and medical history was highly predictive (AUC = 0.79). Adding symptoms to this model increased the AUC to 0.85. CONCLUSIONS: This model predicts patients in whom colonoscopy will have the highest yield. Conversely, colonoscopy can be avoided in people at low risk: in our study, 95% of cancers could have been detected by doing only 60% of the colonoscopies.

Randomized double-blind trial of sotalol versus lignocaine in out-of-hospital refractory cardiac arrest due to ventricular tachyarrhythmia.

AIM: We aimed to compare the efficacy of sotalol versus lignocaine for the treatment of patients with out-of-hospital ventricular fibrillation refractory to > or = 4 defibrillatory shocks. BACKGROUND: The outcome of patients in ventricular fibrillation refractory to > or = 4 defibrillatory shocks is poor. In a previous randomized trial, sotalol was superior to lignocaine for acute termination of ventricular tachycardia not causing loss of consciousness. METHODS: Patients of the Ambulance Service of New South Wales treated by paramedics with continued ventricular fibrillation despite standard resuscitation and > or = 4 defibrillatory monophasic shocks were eligible. Drug doses were sotalol 100 mg or lignocaine 100 mg, given as i.v. boluses. A further 2 min of cardiopulmonary resuscitation was given and then defibrillation was repeated twice. If this failed, half the initial dose of the trial drug was repeated and a further > or = 2 shocks were given. RESULTS: Sixty patients were randomized to sotalol and 69 randomized to lignocaine. There was no significant difference between the two groups in the clinical characteristics of the patients or in the number of shocks received. Outcomes in the sotalol and lignocaine groups were survival to hospital admission in 7 (12%) and 16 (23%), respectively (P = 0.09), and survival to hospital discharge in 2 (3%) and 5 (7%), respectively (P = 0.33). CONCLUSIONS: Sotalol is not superior to lignocaine for treatment of ventricular fibrillation refractory to multiple shocks. The overall outcome of this group of patients is poor regardless of the pharmacological intervention (lignocaine or sotalol).

Ambulance calls to suspected overdoses: New South Wales patterns July 1997 to June 1999.

AIM: Using data on New South Wales ambulance calls to suspected overdoses from July 1997 to June 1999 to: a) examine temporal and geographic trends in calls; and b) compare geographic patterns of fatal and non-fatal opioid overdose. METHOD: The NSW Ambulance Service provided data on the occasions when an ambulance attended a person on whom the drug overdose/poisonings protocol was used, and to whom naloxone was administered. The geographic distribution of ambulance attendances was approximated to the Australian Bureau of Statistics Statistical Local Area (SLA) and Statistical Subdivision (SSD). Estimates of social disadvantage were correlated with the rate of ambulance attendances for each region. RESULTS: 9,116 callouts were made. In cases with data on age and gender, 89% were aged 15-44 years, and 31% were female. South Sydney (n=1,819) and Liverpool (n=1,602) SLAs accounted for 37% of calls; the higher rates outside Sydney were in Newcastle, Orange and Kiama. There was a strong correlation between rates of ambulance callouts and fatal heroin overdoses. The number of calls increased from an average of 361 calls per month in 1997-98 to 399 in 1998-99. The majority of calls (54%) were made between midday and 9 pm. CONCLUSIONS: Rates of ambulance attendance at suspected overdoses is a promising indicator that allows monitoring of trends and identification of areas with high rates of opioid use.