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1.
Am J Cardiol ; 69(8): 746-50, 1992 Mar 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1546648

ABSTRACT

The goal of this study was to determine the value and limitations of the current approach for evaluating patients in the emergency room (ER) with cardiac-related symptoms in terms of predicting long-term outcome. Accordingly, 274 consecutive prospectively identified patients presenting to the ER with such symptoms were evaluated, and follow-up was obtained at 20 +/- 9 months in 265 of them (97%). Adverse cardiovascular events were defined as: nonfatal myocardial infarction, death, cerebrovascular accident with neurologic deficit, life-threatening arrhythmia and cardiac surgery. Eighty-three patients (31%) had a cardiovascular event during follow-up; 42 occurred within 48 hours of ER presentation, whereas 41 occurred in the ensuing months. Findings on physical examination and electrocardiogram provided additional prognostic information, compared with that of history alone, when added sequentially into a Cox model. However, by discriminant function analysis, only 63% of actual events were correctly predicted by the model. Events occurring after 48 hours of ER presentation were correctly predicted only 50% of the time compared with those occurring within 48 hours of ER presentation, which were correctly predicted 75% of the time (p = 0.04). It is concluded that patients presenting to the ER with cardiac-related symptoms are at high risk for adverse cardiovascular events. The likelihood of an event occurring after 48 hours of presentation is as high as one occurring within 48 hours. Current methods of evaluating such patients have limited prognostic value, particularly for those at long-term risk for events.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Aged , Cardiovascular Diseases/physiopathology , Electrocardiography , Emergencies , Emergency Service, Hospital , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Logistic Models , Male , Medical History Taking , Middle Aged , Physical Examination , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , Prospective Studies
2.
Circulation ; 84(4): 1615-24, 1991 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1914101

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This prospective study was designed to test the hypothesis that the assessment of left ventricular systolic function at the time of emergency room (ER) presentation provides valuable diagnostic and prognostic information in patients with cardiac-related symptoms. METHODS AND RESULTS: The study is based on a 2-year follow-up of 171 consecutive patients evaluated in the ER for such symptoms. In the course of follow-up, one third of the patients (55 of 171) suffered a major cardiac event. For those with left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD), the age-adjusted rate of early events (occurring within 48 hours of presentation) was more than eight times higher than for those without LVSD (26.9% versus 3.3%, p less than 0.01). For events occurring after 48 hours of ER presentation, LVSD was associated with a nearly fourfold excess of cardiac events (23.9% versus 6.4%, p less than 0.01). Other than advanced age, the most important confounder for early events included an abnormal electrocardiogram diagnostic for acute myocardial infarction. Confounders for late events included advanced age and a history of hypertension. LVSD on two-dimensional echocardiography (2DE) was the only finding associated with early and late events after controlling for other risk factors. In addition, the prediction of these events derived from the combination of historical, clinical, electrocardiographic, and 2DE findings was significantly improved when accounting for the presence or absence of LVSD (p less than 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that the 2DE assessment of left ventricular systolic function provides valuable diagnostic and prognostic information in subjects presenting to the ER with cardiac-related symptoms.


Subject(s)
Angina Pectoris/epidemiology , Arrhythmias, Cardiac/epidemiology , Echocardiography , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Ventricular Function, Left/physiology , Confounding Factors, Epidemiologic , Electrocardiography , Emergencies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors , Time Factors
3.
Circulation ; 84(3 Suppl): I85-92, 1991 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1884510

ABSTRACT

Because regional wall motion abnormality (RWMA) is usually noted during ischemia, we hypothesized that the presence of this finding with two-dimensional echocardiography would be superior to conventional methods of diagnosing acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in the emergency room. We also hypothesized that because the absence of RWMA would probably not be associated with AMI, the use of two-dimensional echocardiography would significantly limit unnecessary hospital admissions. To test these hypotheses, we undertook a prospective study that used two-dimensional echocardiography in 180 patients presenting to the emergency room with symptoms suggestive of AMI. The emergency room physicians were not informed of the two-dimensional echocardiography findings, and their decision to admit or not admit to the hospital was based on conventional clinical and electrocardiographic criteria. Forty patients were not admitted to the hospital and 140 were admitted. Of the 30 patients with enzyme-confirmed AMI, nine had typical ST elevation on the ECG that was consistent with acute injury, three had normal ECGs, and eight had ECGs in the presence of which AMI could not have been diagnosed (left bundle branch block, paced rhythm, or repolarization changes); the rest had nonspecific ECG findings. Of the 29 AMI patients with technically adequate two-dimensional echocardiography studies, two did not demonstrate RWMA and 27 had RWMA, compared with nine with diagnostic ECG changes (p less than 0.001). Of the 13 patients with in-hospital complications only four had an initial ECG showing ST elevation, and all 13 had RWMA (p less than 0.001).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)


Subject(s)
Echocardiography , Myocardial Infarction/diagnosis , Adult , Aged , Coronary Care Units/economics , Diagnosis, Differential , Electrocardiography , Emergency Service, Hospital , Evaluation Studies as Topic , Female , Hospitalization/economics , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Prospective Studies
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