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1.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38740513

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Several reports show a significant association between metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and arterial stiffness (estimated pulse wave velocity [ePWV]) as a surrogate marker of vascular age. We investigate whether ePWV as arterial stiffness in MASLD is associated with all-cause/cause-specific mortality. METHODS: This cohort study was based on the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 1988-1994) and NHANES 2007-2014 and linked mortality datasets through 2019. Cox regression models assessed the association between ePWV categorized by quartile and all-cause/cause-specific mortality among individuals with MASLD. RESULTS: During the follow-up of a median of 26.3 years (interquartile range: 19.9-27.9), higher levels of ePWV among individuals with MASLD were associated with increased all-cause mortality, which remained significant after adjusting for demographic, lifestyle, clinical, and metabolic risk factors. Furthermore, higher ePWV in MASLD was associated with higher cardiovascular mortality. There was a 44% (hazard ratio: 1.44, 95% confidence interval: 1.32-1.58) increase in all-cause mortality and a 53% (hazard ratio: 1.53, 95% confidence interval: 1.32-1.77) increase in cardiovascular mortality for every 1 m/s increase in ePWV in MASLD. However, there was no significant association between ePWV and cancer-related mortality. Sensitivity analyses using the NHANES 2007-2014 dataset showed results identical to the original analysis. CONCLUSION: Higher ePWV in MASLD was associated with a higher risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality beyond traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Screening for ePWV in individuals with MASLD may be an effective and beneficial approach to reducing all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

2.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38649335

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recently, a panel of multi-society experts proposed steatotic liver disease (SLD) as an alternative terminology for metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) or nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). AIMS: We compared the impact of SLD, subtype of SLD, MAFLD and NAFLD on all-cause and cause-specific mortality. METHODS: A total of 7811 individuals in the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and linked mortality through 2019 were analysed. SLD was defined based on ultrasonographic hepatic steatosis. SLD, subtype of SLD and MAFLD were defined using the proposed definitions. The Cox proportional hazard model assessed all-cause/cause-specific mortality. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 27.1 years, individuals with SLD and MAFLD experienced approximately 13%-23% higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.15, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02-1.29 for SLD; HR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.09-1.38 for MAFLD; HR: 1.13, 95% CI: 1.01-1.27 for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease [MASLD]). Individuals with MetALD demonstrated a higher risk of all-cause (HR: 1.68, 95% CI: 1.10-2.57) and cancer-related mortality (HR: 2.40, 95% CI: 1.23-4.66). MASLD with advanced fibrosis had an increased risk of all-cause mortality compared to MASLD without advanced fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS: SLD, especially MASLD and MetALD, is associated with increased all-cause mortality among adults in the US. Given this significant association between SLD or subtype of SLD (MASLD and MetALD) and all-cause mortality, adopting the proposed SLD criteria may help identify a sub-group of individuals with SLD who are at an increased risk for all-cause mortality.

3.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38623942

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: We investigated the current prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and fibrosis/cirrhosis and identified at-risk populations for MASLD and MASLD-related fibrosis among US adolescents and young adults in the United States. METHODS: Utilizing the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017-2020, the prevalence of MASLD and fibrosis/cirrhosis was assessed via controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) score and liver stiffness measurements by transient elastography in participants aged 12-29 years with at least one cardiometabolic criteria and absence of other chronic liver disease. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to determine predictors of MASLD and MASLD-related fibrosis. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of MASLD was 23.9% (95% CI: 21.3-26.5 for CAP ≥ 263 dB/m) and 17.3% (95% CI: 14.7-20.0 for ≥285 dB/m), respectively. The prevalence of fibrosis and cirrhosis in MASLD was 11.0% and 3.1%, respectively. When categorized by age, the prevalence of MASLD varied from 16.8% (of which 6.2% [fibrosis], 1.8% [cirrhosis]) in early and middle adolescents (12-17 years), to 25.5% (11.8% [fibrosis], 4.8% [cirrhosis]) in late adolescents and young adults (18-24 years), and to 30.4% (of which 13.2% [fibrosis] and 2.1% [cirrhosis]) in older young adults (25-29 years). The independent predictors for MASLD included male sex, Hispanic, non-Hispanic Asian, body mass index, and low HDL-cholesterol. In contrast, diabetes and body mass index were associated with an increased risk of fibrosis in individuals with MASLD. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of MASLD and related fibrosis in adolescents and young adults in the United States has reached a significant level, with a substantial proportion of cirrhosis.

4.
Am J Gastroenterol ; 2024 Apr 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38477465

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Hepatic steatosis is highly prevalent in people living with HIV. It remains unclear whether HIV in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is associated with greater risks of liver disease progression and cardiovascular disease (CVD). We aim to evaluate the impact of HIV infection on risks of liver and CVD outcomes among US Veterans with MASLD. METHODS: Using national Veterans Administration data from 2010 to 2022, we created a propensity score-matched cohort of MASLD patients with vs without HIV. Primary outcomes were incidence of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among patients with vs without HIV and patients with MASLD-HIV on antiretroviral therapy (ART) vs not on ART. Secondary outcomes included incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events and overall survival. RESULTS: The propensity-matched cohort included 920 MASLD patients with HIV and 920 MASLD patients without HIV and was similar in demographics and comorbidities. Compared with MASLD patients without HIV, incidences of cirrhosis and HCC were similar among MASLD with HIV. Compared with MASLD patients without HIV, incidence of major adverse cardiovascular event was higher among MASLD patients with HIV (5.18 vs 4.48 per 100 person-years, P = 0.03). Overall 5-year survival was significantly lower among MASLD patients with HIV and even lower among those not on ART. DISCUSSION: Among US Veterans with MASLD, concurrent HIV infection, and particularly not being on ART, is associated with greater risks of CVD and decreased overall survival. No differences in risks of cirrhosis or HCC were observed.

5.
Gastroenterology ; 166(6): 1156-1165.e4, 2024 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38428619

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Conflicting data exist on the impact of alcohol use on risk of liver disease progression in patients with steatotic liver disease. We aimed to evaluate the effect of longitudinal alcohol use on risk of cirrhosis among veterans with steatotic liver disease. METHODS: US veterans with steatotic liver disease were identified from January 2010 through December 2022. Alcohol use was assessed using documented Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test-Concise (AUDIT-C) scores and categorized as no alcohol (AUDIT-C = 0), low-risk alcohol use (AUDIT-C 1-2 for women and 1-3 for men), and high-risk alcohol (AUDIT-C ≥ 3 for women and ≥ 4 for men). Incidence of cirrhosis was evaluated with competing risks Nelson-Aalen methods. Adjusted multivariable regression models evaluated risks of cirrhosis associated with baseline alcohol use and changes in alcohol use during follow-up. RESULTS: There were 1,156,189 veterans with steatotic liver disease identified (54.2% no alcohol, 34.6% low-risk alcohol, and 11.2% high-risk alcohol). Veterans with steatotic liver disease and high-risk alcohol have a 43% higher incidence of cirrhosis compared with patients reporting no alcohol use. Compared with patients with baseline high-risk alcohol who reported no change in alcohol use, those who decreased their alcohol use during follow-up experienced a 39% reduction in long-term risk of cirrhosis (hazard ratio, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.45-0.83; P < .01). CONCLUSIONS: One in 9 veterans with steatotic liver disease report concurrent high-risk alcohol use, which is associated with 43% greater risk of cirrhosis compared with no alcohol use. However, reducing alcohol use lowers risk of cirrhosis, emphasizing the importance of timely alcohol use assessment and early interventions to address high-risk alcohol use in steatotic liver disease.


Subject(s)
Alcohol Drinking , Liver Cirrhosis , Humans , Female , Male , Middle Aged , United States/epidemiology , Alcohol Drinking/adverse effects , Alcohol Drinking/epidemiology , Incidence , Risk Factors , Liver Cirrhosis/epidemiology , Liver Cirrhosis/diagnosis , Aged , Disease Progression , Veterans/statistics & numerical data , Risk Assessment , Fatty Liver/epidemiology , Fatty Liver/diagnosis , Longitudinal Studies , Time Factors , Adult , Retrospective Studies
6.
Paediatr Int Child Health ; 44(1): 24-29, 2024 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38482867

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Raised serum bilirubin levels can cause kernicterus, and premature infants are at increased risk owing to metabolic immaturity. The standard treatment for neonatal jaundice is phototherapy, but probiotics alone can reduce the duration of phototherapy and hospitalisation. OBJECTIVES: To determine the effectiveness of phototherapy with and without probiotics for the treatment of indirect hyperbilirubinaemia in preterm neonates. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The open-labelled randomised controlled trial was conducted from January 2022 to January 2023 in the neonatal unit of the University of Lahore Teaching Hospital, Pakistan. A total of 76 preterm neonates who fulfilled the selection criteria were included and divided into two groups. Both groups received standard phototherapy. In Group B, a probiotic (Saccharomyces boulardii) 125 mg, twice daily, orally (in 5 cc of whichever milk the infant was receiving) was given until discharge from hospital. The primary outcome measurements were the duration of phototherapy and the length of hospitalisation. RESULTS: The mean (SD) duration of phototherapy was 36.55 (14.25) hours in Group A and 24.61 (9.25) hours in Group B (p <0.05). The mean (SD) duration of hospital stay was 47.36 (16.51) hours in Group A and 33.13 (8.93) hours in Group B (p <0.05). CONCLUSION: Oral probiotics (Saccharomyces boulardii) have a significant effect on the duration of phototherapy for neonatal hyperbilirubinaemia, and they decrease the chances of nosocomial infection. Exploration of clinical outcomes by investigating faecal flora and undertaking large randomised controlled trials of various probiotics are needed. ABBREVIATIONS: ABE: acute bilirubin encephalopathy; CNS: central nervous system; GA: gestational age; IVIG: intravenous immunoglobulin; KSD: kernicterus; NNU: neonatal unit; RCT: randomised controlled trial; S. boulardii: Saccharomyces boulardii.


Subject(s)
Hyperbilirubinemia, Neonatal , Jaundice, Neonatal , Kernicterus , Probiotics , Infant, Newborn , Infant , Humans , Hyperbilirubinemia, Neonatal/therapy , Jaundice, Neonatal/therapy , Phototherapy , Probiotics/therapeutic use , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
8.
Expert Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 18(1-3): 113-119, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38353612

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We studied the temporal trends of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-related hospitalizations and potential predictors of in-hospital mortality around the COVID-19 pandemic. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Using the International Classification of Diseases code, we used the National Inpatient Sample 2019-2020 and defined HCC and its underlying etiology. To assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on hospitalization and in-hospital mortality, the study period was divided into the pre-COVID-19 era (2019 Q1-2020 Q1) and the COVID-19 era (2020 Q2-2020 Q4). Quarterly trends in etiology-based hospitalizations with HCC and predictors of in-hospital mortality among hospitalizations with HCC were determined. RESULTS: Hospitalization rates for HCC, as well as viral hepatitis-related HCC hospitalization rates, remained stable, while hospitalizations with alcohol-related liver disease (ALD, quarterly percentage change [QPC]: 2.1%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.1%-4.2%) increased steadily. Hospitalization related to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related HCC increased significantly steeper in the COVID-19 era (QPC: 6.6%; 95% CI: 4.0%-9.3%) than in the pre-COVID-19 era (QPC: 0.7%; 95% CI: 0.2%-1.3%). COVID-19 infection was independently associated with in-hospital mortality among hospitalizations with HCC (odds ratio: 1.94, 95% CI: 1.30-2.88). CONCLUSION: Hospitalization rates for viral hepatitis-related HCC remained stable, while those for HCC due to ALD and NAFLD increased during the COVID-19 pandemic.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Hepatitis A , Liver Neoplasms , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Humans , United States/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/therapy , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/etiology , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/therapy , Liver Neoplasms/etiology , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology , Pandemics , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/complications , Hospitalization , Hepatitis A/complications
10.
Eur J Nutr ; 63(3): 995-1001, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38260997

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Studies evaluating food insecurity and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and significant hepatic fibrosis are currently scarce. We evaluated the characteristics of food insecure individuals and whether food insecurity was associated with MASLD and significant hepatic fibrosis in the US population. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017-2018, 3441 participants with complete data were enrolled. We defined MASLD and significant hepatic fibrosis (≥ F2) by transient elastography in the absence of other causes of liver disease. The detailed questionnaire assessed and categorized food security as high, marginal, low, and very low food security. RESULTS: Food-insecure subjects were more likely to be female, younger, more impoverished, non-Hispanic blacks, Hispanics, and less likely to be educated, married, and physically active. Food insecurity increased the odds of the prevalence of MASLD by 42% (odds ratio [OR]: 1.42, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.12-1.78) after adjustment for demographic, lifestyle, and metabolic risk factors. The addition of diabetes and obesity did not change this association (OR: 1.36, 95% CI: 1.03-1.78). The multivariable model showed an independent relationship between food insecurity and significant hepatic fibrosis (OR: 1.40, 95% CI: 1.04-1.88) after adjustment for demographic, lifestyle, and metabolic risk factors, although the association was attenuated and changed insignificantly after adjustment for diabetes and obesity. CONCLUSIONS: Food insecurity was associated with higher odds for MASLD. While there is a relationship between food insecurity and significant hepatic fibrosis, this relationship changed insignificantly after adjustment of diabetes and obesity.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus , Elasticity Imaging Techniques , Fatty Liver , Humans , Female , Male , Nutrition Surveys , Cross-Sectional Studies , Elasticity Imaging Techniques/adverse effects , Food Supply , Body Mass Index , Obesity/complications , Obesity/epidemiology , Food Insecurity , Fibrosis , Liver Cirrhosis/diagnostic imaging , Liver Cirrhosis/epidemiology , Liver Cirrhosis/complications
12.
Liver Int ; 44(2): 460-471, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38010926

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Sex steroid hormones and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) have a role in predisposing individuals to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), but their effects are known to differ between men and women. The testosterone-to-estradiol ratio (T/E2 ratio) and free androgen index (FAI) were known biomarkers for the hormonal milieu. We investigated whether sex steroid hormones, T/E2 ratio, FAI, and SHBG were associated with NAFLD in US adults. METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis using the 2013-2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) was performed. NAFLD was defined by utilizing the Hepatic Steatosis Index (HSI) and the US fatty liver index (USFLI) without other causes of chronic liver disease. RESULTS: Out of 8687 subjects (49.5% male), low total testosterone levels were associated with progressively higher odds of NAFLD in men. Increasing T/E2 ratio was inversely associated with higher odds of NAFLD in men. Low serum SHBG levels were independently associated with an increased risk of NAFLD regardless of sex and menopausal status. Increasing FAI was independently associated with NAFLD. When we additionally adjusted for SHBG, T/E2 ratio, not total testosterone, was inversely associated with NAFLD in a dose-dependent manner. Increasing FAI was associated with higher odds of NAFLD in premenopausal women and marginally associated with NAFLD in postmenopausal women. CONCLUSION: The T/E2 ratio and SHBG were inversely associated with an increased risk of NAFLD in men. In women, increasing FAI was associated with NAFLD, whereas SHBG was inversely associated with NAFLD.


Subject(s)
Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Adult , Humans , Male , Female , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/diagnosis , Nutrition Surveys , Cross-Sectional Studies , Gonadal Steroid Hormones , Testosterone , Estradiol
13.
Transplantation ; 108(3): 742-749, 2024 Mar 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37899485

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The selection of liver transplant (LT) candidates with alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) is influenced by the risk of alcohol relapse (AR), yet the ability to predict AR is limited. We evaluate psychosocial factors associated with post-LT AR and compare the performance of high-risk alcoholism risk (HRAR), sustained alcohol use post-LT (SALT), and the Stanford Integrated Psychosocial Assessment for Transplantation (SIPAT) scores in predicting relapse. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of ALD patients undergoing LT from 2015 to 2021 at a single US transplant center was performed. Risk factors associated with post-LT AR were evaluated and test characteristics of 3 prediction models were compared. RESULTS: Of 219 ALD LT recipients, 23 (11%) had AR during a median study follow-up of 37.5 mo. On multivariate analysis, comorbid psychiatric illness (odds ratio 5.22) and continued alcohol use after advice from a health care provider (odds ratio 3.8) were found to be significantly associated with post-LT AR. On sensitivity analysis, SIPAT of 30 was optimal on discriminating between ALD LT recipients with and without post-LT AR. SIPAT outperformed both the HRAR and SALT scores (c-statistic 0.67 versus 0.59 and 0.62, respectively) in identifying post-LT AR. However, all scores had poor positive predictive value (<25%). CONCLUSIONS: AR after LT is associated with comorbid psychiatric illness and lack of heeding health care provider advice to abstain from alcohol. Although SIPAT outperformed the HRAR and SALT scores in predicting AR, all are poor predictors. The current tools to predict post-LT AR should not be used to exclude LT candidacy.


Subject(s)
Alcoholism , Liver Diseases, Alcoholic , Liver Diseases , Liver Transplantation , Humans , Liver Transplantation/adverse effects , Retrospective Studies , Alcohol Drinking/adverse effects , Alcoholism/complications , Alcoholism/diagnosis , Alcoholism/epidemiology , Chronic Disease , Recurrence , Liver Diseases, Alcoholic/complications , Liver Diseases, Alcoholic/diagnosis , Liver Diseases, Alcoholic/surgery
14.
Am J Med ; 137(1): e15, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38061829
15.
Eur J Clin Invest ; 54(1): e14087, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37638383

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Depression has been associated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Data addressing the impact of depression on NAFLD-related mortality are evolving. We aim to study the association of depression in NAFLD and all-cause/cause-specific mortality in the United States. METHODS: A total of 11,877 individuals with NAFLD in the 2007-2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey with the availability of linked mortality through 2019 were analysed. NAFLD was defined by utilizing the hepatic steatosis index in the absence of known causes of chronic liver disease. Depression and functional impairment due to depression were assessed using the Patient Health Questionnaire. RESULTS: During the median follow-up of 7.6 years, individuals with depression among individuals with NAFLD had a 35% higher all-cause mortality than those without depression (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.35, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03-1.75) after adjusting for demographic, lifestyle and clinical risk factors. NAFLD with functional impairment due to depression had a 62% higher all-cause mortality than NAFLD without functional impairment (HR: 1.62, 95% CI: 1.10-2.39). Depression in NAFLD was associated with an approximately 50% increase in the risk for cardiovascular mortality, with a 2-fold higher cardiovascular mortality in those with functional impairment compared to those without (HR: 2.07, 95% CI: 1.30-3.30). However, there was no significant difference in cancer- and accident-related mortalities in NAFLD with or without depression. CONCLUSIONS: Depression among individuals with NAFLD was associated with a higher risk for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the United States.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Humans , United States/epidemiology , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/complications , Nutrition Surveys , Cause of Death , Depression/epidemiology
17.
Hepat Med ; 15: 141-149, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37794854

ABSTRACT

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused significant shifts in alcohol consumption patterns in the United States, with potential long-term implications for liver transplantation (LT) programs. Alcohol consumption has increased, particularly in women, leading to a rise in alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) and alcohol use disorder. Psychological distress associated with the pandemic may further exacerbate alcohol addiction. ALD is now the most common indication for LT, with higher disease severity and complex clinical presentations, demanding a fundamental transformation in LT programs. Multidisciplinary cooperation among medical specialists, telemedicine, and remote healthcare are essential strategies to address these challenges. However, barriers to telemedicine and costs must be overcome. Curbing alcohol consumption at the societal level and bolstering mental health programs to mitigate healthcare workforce moral injury are recommended to optimize patient care in the post-COVID-19 era. Adequate planning and compassionate management of finite resources will be crucial for the successful continuation of LT programs amidst the concerning trends in alcohol consumption and addiction.

18.
J Gastrointestin Liver Dis ; 32(3): 323-331, 2023 09 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37774224

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) is a chronic progressive illness with a spectrum of disease severity from steatosis to end-stage liver disease. Emerging evidence suggests total serum bilirubin levels are inversely related to the prevalence of metabolic syndrome including NAFLD. We investigated the effects of bilirubin on all-cause and cause-specific mortality stratified by NAFLD status. METHODS: We used the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Cohort (1988-1994) and linked mortality dataset through 2019. Cox-regression models were constructed to assess the association between bilirubin levels categorized by quartile with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. RESULTS: During the median follow-up of 324 months (n=11,078), higher bilirubin levels were associated with a reduction in risk of all-cause mortality in the multivariate model (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.83, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.71-0.97 for quarter 4 [highest bilirubin levels] vs. quarter 1 [lowest bilirubin levels], p for trend=0.033). Higher bilirubin levels were associated with a lower risk for all-cause mortality in individuals with NAFLD (HR; 0.68, 95% CI: 0.55-0.86 for quarter 4, p for trend=0.010); however, this protective association with higher bilirubin levels was not noted in those without NAFLD. Higher bilirubin levels were associated with a lower risk for cardiovascular and cancer-related mortality in individuals with NAFLD. CONCLUSIONS: In this large nationally representative sample of American adults, higher bilirubin levels in NAFLD were associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality, which may be derived from a lower risk of cardiovascular/cancer-related mortality.


Subject(s)
Neoplasms , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Adult , Humans , United States/epidemiology , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology , Nutrition Surveys , Cause of Death , Bilirubin , Neoplasms/complications
20.
J Clin Gastroenterol ; 2023 Sep 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37678412

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Despite the high prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), the long-term incidence of cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among adults with MAFLD is not well described. Using a national cohort of United States Veterans, we evaluated the overall incidence and predictors of cirrhosis and HCC among adults with noncirrhotic MAFLD. METHODS: Data from the 2010 to 2022 Veterans Affairs database were used to identify adults with noncirrhotic MAFLD using established definitions. Five and 10-year incidence of cirrhosis and HCC were assessed and stratified by demographics and relevant clinical variables. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were utilized to determine predictors of cirrhosis and HCC. RESULTS: Among 969,253 patients with noncirrhotic MAFLD (94.5% males, 70.2% non-Hispanic white, mean age of 62.7 ± 12.2 y), the 10-year incidence of cirrhosis and HCC was 3.70% (95% CI: 3.66-3.74) and 0.69% (95% CI: 0.67-0.70), respectively. When stratified by race/ethnicity, the 10-year incidence of cirrhosis was lowest among Asians (2.63%, 95% CI: 2.37-2.88) and highest among Hispanics (4.60%, 95% CI: 4.45-4.75), a pattern also observed with HCC. Significant disparities in risk of cirrhosis or HCC were observed when stratified by sex, substance use, and comorbidities. Risks of cirrhosis and HCC were highest in patients with baseline fibrosis-4 >2.67. CONCLUSION: This large study provides important epidemiological data describing the natural history of adults with MAFLD. Disparities in risk of cirrhosis and HCC were observed by demographic and clinical characteristics, emphasizing the importance of early identification of MAFLD with modifiable high-risk features to implement earlier interventions to improve long-term outcomes.

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