Risk-scoring system for the individualized prediction of lymphatic dissemination in patients with endometrioid endometrial cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a risk-scoring system (RSS) for the prediction of lymphatic dissemination after hysterectomy in endometrioid endometrial carcinoma (EC). METHODS: Patients who underwent surgery from 1/1/1999-12/31/2008 were evaluated. Patients with non-endometrioid histology, stage IV with macroscopic extrauterine disease, or receiving adjuvant therapy (excluding brachytherapy) without pelvic and/or paraaortic (P/PA) lymphadenectomy (LND) were excluded. Lymph node dissemination was defined as nodal metastasis when P/PA LND was performed or P/PA lymph node recurrence after negative LND or when LND was not performed. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors for lymphatic dissemination and develop a RSS and nomogram. The RSS was assessed for calibration and verified for discrimination. RESULTS: Overall, 883 patients were assessed of which 521 (59.0%) underwent P/PA LND and 57 (10.9%) had positive lymph nodes. Of patients who did not undergo P/PA LND (N=362) or had negative nodes (N=464), 10 (1.2%) patients had P/PA lymph node recurrence. Myometrial invasion, tumor diameter (TD), FIGO grade, cervical stromal invasion and lymphovascular space invasion were significant on univariable analysis. All preceding variables were included in a multivariable logistic model. A parsimonious model and an alternative full model not including TD were considered. The full model with TD (illustrated in nomogram) had the highest predictive ability (concordance index 0.88). CONCLUSION: Our RSS allows accurate quantification of the probability of lymphatic dissemination and can be used as an adjunct to clinical decision-making after hysterectomy in the absence of staging. TD is an important component of the RSS and should be routinely assessed.

Incidence and factors associated with synchronous ovarian and endometrial cancer: a population-based case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the incidence of synchronous endometrial cancer (EC) and ovarian cancer (OC) in the female population, among all women with EC, and in women under 50 years of age with EC, and to identify factors associated with synchronous EC/OC. METHODS: All cases of synchronous EC/OC and EC diagnosed in women residing in Olmsted County, Minnesota between 1/1/1945 and 12/31/2008 were identified. Incidence was estimated using the population denominator from decennial census data, corrected for hysterectomy prevalence. A case-control study using 15 identified cases (EC/OC) and 45 controls (EC alone) was performed. RESULTS: The incidence of synchronous EC/OC and EC (age-adjusted to the 2000 US female total and corrected for hysterectomy prevalence) in 1945-2008 was 0.88 and 30.3 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. Among women under 50 years of age, the corrected incidence of EC/OC and EC was 0.51 and 5.1 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. Among all women with EC, 3.1% had a synchronous OC compared to 9.4% of women under 50 years of age with EC. Patients with synchronous EC/OC were more likely than those with EC alone to present with a pelvic mass (57.1% vs. 8.9%, p<0.001). Patients with EC alone were more likely to have used oral contraceptive pills (OCPs) than synchronous EC/OC cases (22.7% vs 0%; Odds ratio, 0.10; 95% CI, <0.01-0.87). CONCLUSION: Although the incidence of synchronous EC/OC in the general population is lower than previously reported, nearly 1 in 10 women diagnosed with EC under 50 years of age will have a synchronous OC.