A scoring tool to predict mortality and dependency after cerebral venous thrombosis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: A prognostic score was developed to predict dependency and death after cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) to identify patients for targeted therapy in future clinical trials. METHODS: Data from the International CVT Consortium were used. Patients with pre-existent functional dependency were excluded. Logistic regression was used to predict poor outcome (modified Rankin Scale score 3-6) at 6 months and Cox regression to predict 30-day and 1-year all-cause mortality. Potential predictors derived from previous studies were selected with backward stepwise selection. Coefficients were shrunk using ridge regression to adjust for optimism in internal validation. RESULTS: Of 1454 patients with CVT, the cumulative number of deaths was 44 (3%) and 70 (5%) for 30 days and 1 year, respectively. Of 1126 patients evaluated regarding functional outcome, 137 (12%) were dependent or dead at 6 months. From the retained predictors for both models, the SI2 NCAL2 C score was derived utilizing the following components: absence of female-sex-specific risk factor, intracerebral hemorrhage, infection of the central nervous system, neurological focal deficits, coma, age, lower level of hemoglobin (g/l), higher level of glucose (mmol/l) at admission, and cancer. C-statistics were 0.80 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.75-0.84), 0.84 (95% CI 0.80-0.88) and 0.84 (95% CI 0.80-0.88) for the poor outcome, 30-day and 1-year mortality model, respectively. Calibration plots indicated a good model fit between predicted and observed values. The SI2 NCAL2 C score calculator is freely available at www.cerebralvenousthrombosis.com. CONCLUSIONS: The SI2 NCAL2 C score shows adequate performance for estimating individual risk of mortality and dependency after CVT but external validation of the score is warranted.

Granulocyte-colony-stimulating Factor for Acute Ischemic Stroke: A Randomized Controlled Trial (STEMTHER).

Granulocyte-colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) functions both as a neuroprotectant and a stimulator of autologous bone marrow stem cell release. Therefore, administration of G-CSF should improve the outcome of stroke. Here, we examine the safety of using G-CSF to treat acute ischemic stroke using a randomized controlled trial involving 20 adult patients presenting with ischemia in the carotid region within 48 h of onset. The experimental group (n = 10) received subcutaneous G-CSF injections (10 mg kg(-1) day(-1)) in addition to conventional therapy for 5 days. The primary outcome was motor function as measured by the modified Rankin Scale 180 days post-stroke. Safety was evaluated according to the frequency of hemorrhagic transformation of infarctions and serious adverse events. Only six patients in the experimental group completed full course of treatment, while four patients (three in the control and one in the experimental group) were lost to follow-up. We found the experimental and control groups did not differ significantly in either neurological impairment or degree of disability/dependence at 180 days post-stroke. We conclude that while adding G-CSF (10 mg kg(-1) day(-1)) to acute ischemic stroke therapy for 5 days is safe, its efficacy remains unproven.