Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Show: 20 | 50 | 100
Results 1 - 20 de 83
Filter
1.
J Infect ; 89(1): 106175, 2024 May 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38729526

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: While undernutrition has been identified as a common risk factor for tuberculosis (TB), its impact on treatment outcomes has yet to be investigated in high TB burden and low-income countries such as Ethiopia. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the effect of undernutrition on treatment outcomes among patients with TB in northwest Ethiopia. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using data from different hospitals in northwest Ethiopia, for the period from July 2017 to August 2023. A Cox proportional hazard model was performed to determine the effect of undernutrition on TB treatment outcomes, which were defined as a composite of death, treatment failure, or loss to follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 602 patients with TB were included in the analysis. Of these, 367 (60.9%) were male, and 344 (57.1%) were undernourished. Upon completion of the follow-up period, 65 (10.8%) adults with TB had unsuccessful treatment outcomes. After adjusting for potential confounders, patients with undernutrition had a two times higher risk of experiencing unsuccessful treatment outcomes compared to well-nourished patients (AHR: 2.0, 95% CI: 1.2, 3.6). In addition, patients residing in rural areas (AHR: 3.1, 95% CI: 1.7, 5.4), having a history of prior TB treatment (AHR: 2.2, 95%CI: 1.1, 4.1), and the presence of diabetes comorbidity (AHR: 2.4, 95% CI: 1.1, 5.2) were at higher risk of unsuccessful treatment outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Undernutrition increases the risk of unsuccessful treatment outcomes in Ethiopia. This finding suggests that nutritional support during TB treatment can improve successful treatment outcomes in high TB burden and low-income countries such as Ethiopia.

2.
BMJ Open ; 14(3): e080978, 2024 Mar 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38453196

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This systematic review aimed to summarise existing literature on the impacts of armed conflicts on tuberculosis burden and treatment outcomes. DESIGN: A systematic review following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. DATA SOURCES: PubMed, Web of Science, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature Plus, Scopus, ScienceDirect, Embase and medRxiv. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Three reviewers independently screened, selected eligible studies and extracted data. A narrative review was undertaken to summarise the findings qualitatively. RESULTS: Eleven studies were included in this review, reporting on tuberculosis incidence rates, prevalence and treatment outcomes, including mortality. Overall, the impact of armed conflicts on case notifications was variable. Six studies reported overall increases in tuberculosis case notifications following the onset of conflicts, while three studies reported overall decreases in tuberculosis case notifications. Factors, including limited access to healthcare services, challenges in surveillance and laboratory confirmation, the destruction of health systems and incapacitating the healthcare workforce, contributed to a decrease in the number of notified cases. The higher tuberculosis notification in some of the studies could be attributed to the disruption of tuberculosis prevention and control programmes as well as increased socioeconomic deprivation, including malnutrition, mass migration, poor living conditions and overcrowding that are worsened during conflicts. Armed conflicts without effective interventions were associated with worse tuberculosis treatment outcomes, including lower proportions of people with treatment success and higher proportions of people with loss to follow-up, mortality and treatment failure. However, implementing various interventions in conflict settings (such as establishing a National Tuberculosis Control Programme) led to higher tuberculosis notification rates and treatment success. CONCLUSION: The impact of armed conflicts on tuberculosis notification is complex and is influenced by multiple factors. The findings of this review underscore the importance of concerted efforts to control tuberculosis in conflict settings using available resources.


Subject(s)
Armed Conflicts , Tuberculosis , Humans , Treatment Failure , Treatment Outcome , Tuberculosis/drug therapy , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Cost of Illness
3.
EClinicalMedicine ; 70: 102511, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38434448

ABSTRACT

Background: Tuberculosis (TB) remains a global public health challenge, causing substantial mortality and morbidity. While TB treatment has made significant progress, it often leaves survivors with post-TB sequelae, resulting in long-term health issues. Current healthcare systems and guidelines lack comprehensive strategies to address post-TB sequelae, primarily due to insufficient evidence. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to identify effective interventions for preventing post-TB sequelae. Methods: A systematic search was conducted across four databases including PubMed, SCOPUS, Web of Science, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials from inception to September 22, 2023. Eligible studies reported interventions designed to prevent post-TB sequelae were included. A random effect meta-analysis was conducted where applicable, and heterogeneity between studies was evaluated visually using forest plots and quantitatively using an index of heterogeneity (I2). This study is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023464392). Findings: From the 2525 unique records screened, 25 studies involving 10,592 participants were included. Different interventions were evaluated for different outcomes. However, only a few interventions were effective in preventing post-TB sequelae. Rehabilitation programs significantly improved lung function (Hedges's g = 0.21; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.03, 0.39) and prevented neurological sequelae (relative risk (RR) = 0.10; 95% CI: 0.02, 0.42). Comprehensive interventions and cognitive-behavioural therapy significantly reduced the risk of mental health disorders among TB survivors (Hedges's g = -1.89; 95% CI: -3.77, -0.01). In contrast, interventions targeting post-TB liver sequelae, such as vitamin A and vitamin D supplementation and hepatoprotective agents, did not show significant reductions in sequelae (RR = 0.90; 95% CI: 0.52, 1.57). Moreover, adjunctive therapies did not show a significant effect in preventing post-TB neurological sequelae (RR = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.31, 1.24). Interpretation: Rehabilitation programs prevented post-TB lung, neurologic and mental health sequelae, while adjuvant therapies and other interventions require further investigation. Funding: Healy Medical Research Raine Foundation, Curtin School of Population Health and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council.

4.
Syst Rev ; 13(1): 55, 2024 Feb 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38321560

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Soil transmitted helminth (STH) infections are estimated to impact 24% of the world's population and are responsible for chronic and debilitating morbidity. Disadvantaged communities are among the worst affected and are further marginalized as infection prevalence fuels the poverty cycle. Ambitious targets have been set to eliminate STH infections, but accurate epidemiological data will be required to inform appropriate interventions. This paper details the protocol for an analysis that aims to produce spatial prediction mapping of STH prevalence in the Western Pacific Region (WPR). METHODS: The protocol follows the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Protocol (PRISMA-P) guidelines. The study design will combine the principles of systematic review, meta-analysis, and geospatial analysis. Systematic searches will be undertaken in PubMed, Scopus, ProQuest, Embase, and Web of Science for studies undertaken post 2000, to identify surveys that enable the prevalence of human STH infection within the WPR to be calculated. Covariate data for multivariable analysis will be obtained from publicly accessible sources. Survey data will be geolocated, and STH prevalence and covariates will be linked to produce a spatially referenced dataset for analysis. Bayesian model-based geostatistics will be used to generate spatially continuous estimates of STH prevalence mapped to a resolution of 1 km2. A separate geospatial model will be constructed for each STH species. Predictions of prevalence will be made for unsampled locations and maps will be overlaid for each STH species to obtain co-endemicity maps. DISCUSSION: This protocol facilitates study replication and may be applied to other infectious diseases or alternate geographies. Results of the subsequent analysis will identify geographies with high STH prevalence's and can be used to inform resource allocation in combating this neglected tropical disease. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Open Science Framework: osf.io/qmxcj.


Subject(s)
Helminthiasis , Helminths , Soil , Animals , Humans , Bayes Theorem , Helminthiasis/epidemiology , Helminthiasis/transmission , Meta-Analysis as Topic , Prevalence , Soil/parasitology , Systematic Reviews as Topic
5.
BMC Infect Dis ; 24(1): 159, 2024 Feb 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38308252

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) is a global health threat associated with high morbidity and mortality rates. Diagnosis and treatment delays are associated with poor treatment outcomes in patients with MDR-TB. However, the risk factors associated with these delays are not robustly investigated, particularly in high TB burden countries such as China. Therefore, this study aimed to measure the length of diagnosis and treatment delays and identify their risk factors among patients with MDR-TB in Hunan province. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using MDR-TB data from Hunan province between 2013 and 2018. The main outcomes of the study were diagnosis and treatment delay, defined as more than 14 days from the date of symptom to diagnosis confirmation (i.e., diagnosis delay) and from diagnosis to treatment commencement (i.e., treatment delay). A multivariable logistic regression model was fitted, and an adjusted odds ratio (AOR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) was used to identify factors associated with diagnosis and treatment delay. RESULTS: In total, 1,248 MDR-TB patients were included in this study. The median length of diagnosis delays was 27 days, and treatment delays were one day. The proportion of MDR-TB patients who experienced diagnosis and treatment delay was 62.82% (95% CI: 60.09-65.46) and 30.77% (95% CI: 28.27-33.39), respectively. The odds of experiencing MDR-TB diagnosis delay among patients coming through referral and tracing was reduced by 41% (AOR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.45-0.76) relative to patients identified through consultations due to symptoms. The odds of experiencing diagnosis delay among ≥ 65 years were 65% (AOR = 0.35, 0.14-0.91) lower than under-15 children. The odds of developing treatment delay among foreign nationalities and people from other provinces were double (AOR = 2.00, 95% CI: 1.31-3.06) compared to the local populations. Similarly, the odds of experiencing treatment delay among severely ill patients were nearly 2.5 times higher (AOR = 2.49, 95% CI: 1.41-4.42) compared to patients who were not severely ill. On the other hand, previously treated TB cases had nearly 40% (AOR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.42-0.85) lower odds of developing treatment delay compared with new MDR-TB cases. Similarly, other ethnic minority groups had nearly 40% (AOR = 0.57, 95% CI: 0.34-0.96) lower odds of experiencing treatment delay than the Han majority. CONCLUSIONS: Many MDR-TB patients experience long diagnosis and treatment delays in Hunan province. Strengthening active case detection can significantly reduce diagnosis delays among MDR-TB patients. Moreover, giving attention to patients who are new to MDR-TB treatment, are severely ill, or are from areas outside Hunan province will potentially reduce the burden of treatment delay among MDR-TB patients.


Subject(s)
Treatment Delay , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant , Child , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Ethnicity , Minority Groups , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/diagnosis , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/drug therapy , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/epidemiology , Risk Factors , China/epidemiology , Antitubercular Agents/therapeutic use
7.
BMC Infect Dis ; 24(1): 198, 2024 Feb 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38350860

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) is a major public health threat in Hunan Province, with an increasing clinical burden in recent years. This study aimed to identify socio-demographic and clinical factors associated with DR-TB in Hunan province, China. METHODS: A case-control study was conducted in Hunan province. Cases were all DR-TB patients who were confirmed by culture and Drug susceptibility testing (DST) and enrolled at the DR-TB treatment center of Hunan Chest Hospital from 2013 to 2018. Controls were all Drug Susceptible TB (DS-TB) patients confirmed by DST and enrolled at the same hospital during the same period. A multivariable logistic regression model was fitted to identify factors significantly associated with DR-TB. RESULTS: A total of 17,808 patients (15,534 DS-TB controls and 2274 DR-TB cases) were included in the study, with a mean age of 42.5 years (standard deviation (SD) ± 17.5 years) for cases and 46.1 years (SD ± 19.1 years) for controls. Age 15-64 years (Adjusted odds ratio (AOR = 1.5, 95% CI; 1.4, 1.8)), ethnic minorities (AOR = 1.5; 95% CI; 1.4, 1.8), and a history of previous TB treatment (AOR) = 1.84; 95% CI: 1.57, 2.15) was significantly associated with DR-TB. Being resident in a province outside Hunan was also a significant risk factor (AOR = 1.67; 1.27, 2.21) for DR-TB. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS: To prevent the occurrence of DR-TB in Hunan Province, interventions should be targeted at high-risk demographic groups such as ethnic minorities, individuals of productive age, and residents living outside the province. Interventions must also be targeted to previously treated cases, suggesting the appropriateness of diagnosis, treatment, and follow-up. Understanding the risk factors at the province level helps design strategies for controlling DR-TB due to variations by socioeconomic differences, quality of health care, and healthcare access.


Subject(s)
Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant , Humans , Adult , Adolescent , Young Adult , Middle Aged , Case-Control Studies , Microbial Sensitivity Tests , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/drug therapy , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/epidemiology , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/complications , China/epidemiology , Antitubercular Agents/pharmacology , Antitubercular Agents/therapeutic use
8.
Trop Med Infect Dis ; 9(1)2024 Jan 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38251213

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Malaria is a significant public health concern in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA). This study aimed to investigate the spatiotemporal distribution of malaria in the KSA between 2017 and 2021. METHODS: A spatial analysis was conducted using data for malaria cases stratified by Plasmodium species reported by the Ministry of Health for the period 2017-2021. Covariate data such as environmental, socioeconomic, and demographic factors were assembled from different publicly available sources. RESULTS: A total of 13,852 cases were reported from 20 regions in the KSA during the study period. The study indicated a decline in the overall number of reported cases from 2715 in 2017 to 2616 in 2021, primarily driven by a decrease in Plasmodium falciparum infections. However, the number of Plasmodium vivax cases increased in 2021. Southern regions of the KSA remained at higher risk due to imported cases from neighboring Yemen. Socioeconomic and demographic factors, such as access to healthcare and education, were found to affect malaria transmission. Environmental factors, such as temperature and rainfall, were also identified as determinants of malaria risk. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed significant spatial variation in malaria cases in the KSA that was related to underlying socioeconomic status and environmental factors. The findings of this study highlight the need for continued efforts to control and eliminate malaria in the KSA, particularly in regions with higher risk of malaria.

9.
BMJ Open ; 14(1): e074364, 2024 01 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38195168

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: People having close contact with drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) patients are at increased risk of contracting and developing the disease. However, no comprehensive review has been undertaken to estimate the burden of DR-TB among contacts of DR-TB patients. Therefore, the current systematic review will quantify the prevalence and incidence of DR-TB among contacts of DR-TB patients. METHOD AND ANALYSIS: Systematic searches will be conducted in Medline, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled trials (CENTRAL) and Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINHAL) databases. The search will be conducted without restrictions on time, language and geography. A random-effects meta-analysis will be conducted for effect estimates. The pooled prevalence and incidence of DR-TB will be compared between people with and without contact with DR-TB patients. The presence of heterogeneity between studies will be assessed by Higgins I2 statistics. Subgroup analysis will be conducted to determine the source of heterogeneity. The risk of bias will be assessed using a visual inspection of the funnel plot and Egger's regression test statistics. Trim and fill analysis will be done in the presence of publication bias. A sensitivity analysis will be conducted by trimming low-quality studies. The systematic review will be reported according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Protocol guidelines. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval will not be required for this study as it will be a systematic review and meta-analysis based on previously published evidence. The findings of the systematic review will be presented at scientific conferences and published in scientific journals. PROTOCOL REGISTRATION: The protocol is published in PROSPERO with registration number CRD42023390339.


Subject(s)
Language , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant , Humans , Systematic Reviews as Topic , Databases, Factual , Geography , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/epidemiology , Meta-Analysis as Topic
10.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 508, 2024 01 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38177234

ABSTRACT

Measuring body weight during therapy has received insufficient attention in poor resource settings like Ethiopia. We aimed to investigate the association between weight change during therapy and treatment outcomes among patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) in northwest Ethiopia. This retrospective cohort study analysed data from patients with MDR-TB admitted between May 2015 to February 2022 at four treatment facilities in Northwest Ethiopia. We used the joint model (JM) to determine the association between weight change during therapy and treatment outcomes for patients with MDR-TB. A total of 419 patients with MDR-TB were included in the analysis. Of these, 265 (63.3%) were male, and 255 (60.9%) were undernourished. Weight increase over time was associated with a decrease in unsuccessful treatment outcomes (adjusted hazard ratio (AHR): 0.96, 95% CI: 0.94 to 0.98). In addition, patients with undernutrition (AHR: 1.72, 95% CI: 1.10 to 2.97), HIV (AHR:1.79, 95% CI: 1.04 to 3.06), and clinical complications such as pneumothorax (AHR: 1.66, 95% CI: 1.03 to 2.67) were associated with unsuccessful treatment outcomes. The JM showed a significant inverse association between weight gain and unsuccessful MDR-TB treatment outcomes. Therefore, weight gain may be used as a surrogate marker for good TB treatment response in Ethiopia.


Subject(s)
Antitubercular Agents , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant , Humans , Male , Female , Antitubercular Agents/therapeutic use , Retrospective Studies , Ethiopia/epidemiology , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/drug therapy , Treatment Outcome , Weight Gain
11.
Lancet Reg Health West Pac ; 43: 100974, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38076323

ABSTRACT

Background: The Philippines reports a high prevalence of soil-transmitted helminth (STH) infections despite the implementation of nationwide mass drug administration since 2006. The spatial variation of STH infections in the Philippines was last described using the 2005-2007 national STH and schistosomiasis survey. This study aimed to identify sociodemographic and environmental factors that drive STH transmission and predict high-risk areas in the Philippines. Methods: Epidemiological data on STH for students aged 5-16 years were obtained from the 2015 Philippines National Prevalence survey, while environmental data were extracted from satellite images and publicly available sources. Model-based geostatistics, implemented in a Bayesian framework, was used to identify sociodemographic and environmental correlates and predict high-risk areas for STH across the Philippines. The best-fitting model with the lowest deviance information criterion (DIC) was used to interpret the findings of the model and predict STH infection risk for the entire country. Risk maps were developed for each STH infection using the posterior means derived from the model. Findings: The prevalence of Ascaris lumbricoides (20.0%) and Trichuris trichiura (29.3%) was higher in the Visayas Island than in the Luzon and Mindanao Islands. Hookworm prevalence was highest in Mindanao Island (1.3%). Risk of A. lumbricoides was positively associated with males (odds ratio [OR]: 1.197; 97.5% Credible Interval [CrI]: 1.114, 1.286) and temperature (OR: 1.148; 97.5% CrI: 1.033, 1.291), while normalized difference vegetation index (OR: 0.354; 97.5% CrI: 0.138, 0.930) and soil pH (OR: 0.606; 97.5% CrI: 0.338, 0.949) were negatively associated with the transmission. T. trichiura risk was positively associated with males (OR: 1.261; 97.5% CrI: 1.173, 1.341), temperature (OR: 1.153; 97.5% CrI: 1.001, 1.301), and rainfall (OR: 1.004; 97.5% CrI: 1.011, 1.069). Hookworm risk was positively associated with males (OR: 2.142; 97.5% CrI: 1.537, 2.998), while children aged ≤12 years (OR: 0.435; 97.5% CrI: 0.252, 0.753) had a negative association with risk compared to those over 12 years. Focal areas of high risk were identified for A. lumbricoides and T. trichiura in the Visayas Island, and hookworm in the Mindanao Island. Interpretation: The spatial distribution of all three STH infections has considerably decreased since a previous national risk-mapping exercise. The high-risk areas identified in the study can be used to strategically target deworming and health education activities to further reduce the burden of STH and support progress toward elimination. Funding: The Australian Centre for the Control and Elimination of Neglected Tropical Diseases and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council.

12.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 22361, 2023 12 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38102144

ABSTRACT

Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) is a major health threat worldwide, causing a significant economic burden to patients and their families. Due to the longer duration of treatment and expensive second-line medicine, the economic burden of MDR-TB is assumed to be higher than drug-susceptible TB. However, the costs associated with MDR-TB are yet to be comprehensively quantified. We conducted this systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the global burden of catastrophic costs associated with MDR-TB on patients and their households. We systematically searched five databases (CINHAL, MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science) from inception to 2 September 2022 for studies reporting catastrophic costs on patients and affected families of MDR-TB. The primary outcome of our study was the proportion of patients and households with catastrophic costs. Costs were considered catastrophic when a patient spends 20% or more of their annual household income on their MDR-TB diagnosis and care. The pooled proportion of catastrophic cost was determined using a random-effects meta-analysis. Publication bias was assessed using visualization of the funnel plots and the Egger regression test. Heterogeneity was assessed using I2, and sub-group analysis was conducted using study covariates as stratification variables. Finally, we used the Preferred Reporting Items for Reporting Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis-20 (PRISMA-20). The research protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42021250909). Our search identified 6635 studies, of which 11 were included after the screening. MDR-TB patients incurred total costs ranging from $USD 650 to $USD 8266 during treatment. The mean direct cost and indirect cost incurred by MDR-TB patients were $USD 1936.25 (SD ± $USD 1897.03) and $USD 1200.35 (SD ± $USD 489.76), respectively. The overall burden of catastrophic cost among MDR-TB patients and households was 81.58% (95% Confidence Interval (CI) 74.13-89.04%). The catastrophic costs incurred by MDR-TB patients were significantly higher than previously reported for DS-TB patients. MDR-TB patients incurred more expenditure for direct costs than indirect costs. Social protection and financial support for patients and affected families are needed to mitigate the catastrophic economic consequences of MDR-TB.


Subject(s)
Financial Stress , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant , Humans , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/drug therapy , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/epidemiology , Health Care Costs , Health Expenditures , Cost of Illness
13.
BMJ Open ; 13(12): e076587, 2023 12 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38101842

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Early diagnosis and treatment of tuberculosis (TB) is one of the key strategies to achieve the WHO End TB targets. This study aimed to develop and validate a simple, convenient risk score to diagnose pulmonary TB among presumptive TB cases. METHODS: This prediction model used Ethiopian national TB prevalence survey data and included 5459 presumptive TB cases from all regions of Ethiopia. Logistic regression was used to determine which variables are predictive of pulmonary TB. A risk prediction model was developed, incorporating significant variables (p<0.05). The Youden Index method was used to choose the optimal cut-off point to separate the risk score of the patients as high and low. Model performance was assessed using discrimination power and calibration. Internal validation of the model was assessed using Efron's enhanced bootstrap method, and the clinical utility of the risk score was assessed using decision curve analysis. RESULTS: Of total participants, 94 (1.7%) were confirmed to have TB. The final prediction model included three factors with different scores: (1) TB contact history, (2) chest X-ray (CXR) abnormality and (3) two or more symptoms of TB. The optimal cut-off point for the risk score was 6 and was found to have a good discrimination accuracy (c-statistic=0.70, 95% CI: 0.65 to 0.75). The risk score has sensitivity of 51.1%, specificity of 79.9%, positive predictive value of 4.3% and negative predictive value of 98.9%. After internal validation, the optimism coefficient was 0.003, which indicates the model is internally valid. CONCLUSION: We developed a risk score that combines TB contact, number of TB symptoms and CXR abnormality to estimate individual risk of pulmonary TB among presumptive TB cases. Though the score is easy to calculate and internally validated, it needs external validation before widespread implementation in a new setting.


Subject(s)
Tuberculosis, Pulmonary , Tuberculosis , Humans , Ethiopia/epidemiology , Tuberculosis/diagnosis , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/diagnostic imaging , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Predictive Value of Tests
14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37947558

ABSTRACT

Undernutrition is a key driver of the global tuberculosis (TB) epidemic, yet there is limited understanding regarding the spatial overlap of both diseases. This study aimed to determine the geographical co-distribution and socio-climatic factors of undernutrition and TB in Ethiopia. Data on undernutrition were found from the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS). Data on TB were obtained from the Ethiopia national TB prevalence survey. We applied a geostatistical model using a Bayesian framework to predict the prevalence of undernutrition and TB. Spatial overlap of undernutrition and TB prevalence was detected in the Afar and Somali regions. Population density was associated with the spatial distribution of TB [ß: 0.008; 95% CrI: 0.001, 0.014], wasting [ß: -0.017; 95% CrI: -0.032, -0.004], underweight [ß: -0.02; 95% CrI: -0.031, -0.011], stunting [ß: -0.012; 95% CrI: -0.017, -0.006], and adult undernutrition [ß: -0.007; 95% CrI: -0.01, -0.005]. Distance to a health facility was associated with the spatial distribution of stunting [ß: 0.269; 95% CrI: 0.08, 0.46] and adult undernutrition [ß: 0.176; 95% CrI: 0.044, 0.308]. Healthcare access and demographic factors were associated with the spatial distribution of TB and undernutrition. Therefore, geographically targeted service integration may be more effective than nationwide service integration.


Subject(s)
Malnutrition , Tuberculosis , Adult , Humans , Ethiopia/epidemiology , Bayes Theorem , Malnutrition/epidemiology , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Growth Disorders/epidemiology
15.
Nutr Rev ; 2023 Sep 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37759339

ABSTRACT

CONTEXT: Nutritional interventions substantially improve tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcomes and prevent complications. However, there is limited evidence about the connections between having nutritional support and TB treatment adherence. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine the effectiveness of nutritional support in improving treatment adherence among patients with TB. DATA SOURCES: Databases, including PubMed, Embase (Ovid), Web of Science, and Scopus, were comprehensively reviewed to identify relevant studies reporting the impacts of nutritional support on TB treatment adherence. DATA EXTRACTION: Two authors independently screened the title, abstracts, and full article texts to identify eligible studies and assess the risk of bias. Observational and interventional studies were included. DATA ANALYSIS: A narrative synthesis approach was used to summarize the findings qualitatively. RESULTS: From the search, 3059 publications were identified; of these, 8 studies were included in this systematic review. Three types of nutritional interventions were identified: food baskets (eg, energy, micronutrient- or macronutrient-enriched food support), nutritional advice and guidance, and incentives for buying foods. Although 5 studies reported that nutritional support significantly improved treatment adherence in patients with TB, 3 studies showed that nutritional support had no effect on TB treatment adherence. CONCLUSIONS: Providing nutritional support may improve adherence to TB treatment. However, more well-powered, high-quality trials are warranted to demonstrate the effect of nutrition support on cost-effectively improving adherence to TB treatment. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO registration no. CRD42023392162.

16.
Trop Med Infect Dis ; 8(9)2023 Sep 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37755898

ABSTRACT

Tuberculosis (TB) is a major public health concern in low- and middle-income countries including Ethiopia. This study aimed to assess the spatiotemporal distribution of TB and identify TB risk factors in Ethiopia's Oromia region. Descriptive and spatiotemporal analyses were conducted. Bayesian spatiotemporal modeling was used to identify covariates that accounted for variability in TB and its spatiotemporal distribution. A total of 206,278 new pulmonary TB cases were reported in the Oromia region between 2018 and 2022, with the lowest annual TB case notification (96.93 per 100,000 population) reported in 2020 (i.e., during the COVID-19 pandemic) and the highest TB case notification (106.19 per 100,000 population) reported in 2019. Substantial spatiotemporal variations in the distribution of notified TB case notifications were observed at zonal and district levels with most of the hotspot areas detected in the northern and southern parts of the region. The spatiotemporal distribution of notified TB incidence was positively associated with different ecological variables including temperature (ß = 0.142; 95% credible interval (CrI): 0.070, 0.215), wind speed (ß = -0.140; 95% CrI: -0.212, -0.068), health service coverage (ß = 0.426; 95% CrI: 0.347, 0.505), and population density (ß = 0.491; 95% CrI: 0.390, 0.594). The findings of this study indicated that preventive measures considering socio-demographic and health system factors can be targeted to high-risk areas for effective control of TB in the Oromia region. Further studies are needed to develop effective strategies for reducing the burden of TB in hotspot areas.

17.
EClinicalMedicine ; 64: 102209, 2023 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37731939

ABSTRACT

Background: Tuberculosis (TB) is the leading infectious cause of death globally. Several preventive measures are employed to prevent TB, yet there is a paucity of evidence on the effectiveness of these interventions. Therefore, this study aimed to identify the most effective interventions for reducing TB incidence. Methods: A systematic search was undertaken across five relevant databases including PubMed, SCOPUS, Web of Science, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and ClinicalTrials.gov from inception to February 22, 2023. Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) was conducted to compare the effectiveness of preventive interventions including preventive therapy, nutritional intervention, targeted screening, and vaccination in reducing TB incidence. Subgroup analysis was conducted to investigate the effectiveness of TB preventive treatments. Findings: Overall 82 articles were included in the NMA. Preventive therapy (OR = 0.44, 95% CrI 0.36-0.52), BCG vaccination (OR = 0.62, 95% CrI 0.39-0.98) and TB candidate vaccines (OR = 0.67, 95% CrI 0.46-0.98) were more effective than placebo or no intervention. When all active interventions were considered, preventive therapy ranked as the best intervention. Of the preventive treatments, isoniazid (OR = 0.46, 95% CrI 0.35-0.55), isoniazid plus rifampicin (OR = 0.56, 95% CrI 0.32-0.97), isoniazid plus rifapentine (OR = 0.49, 95% CrI 0.29-0.83), isoniazid plus ethambutol (OR = 0.39, 95% CrI 0.15-0.99), isoniazid plus streptomycin (OR = 0.12, 95% CrI 0.02-0.55), rifampicin (OR = 0.41, 95% CrI 0.18-0.92), and rifampicin plus pyrazinamide (OR = 0.51, 95% CrI 0.29-0.87) surpassed placebo/none. Interpretation: Our study suggested that when all available preventive interventions are considered, preventive therapy is likely the most effective intervention. Within TB preventive treatments, isoniazid plus streptomycin is likely ranked at the top. This comparative study provides important information for policymakers and stakeholders, enabling them to make informed decisions on preventive strategies, whilst considering local resources and capacity constraints. Funding: Curtin University strategic scholarship and Australian National Health and Medical Research Council, through an Emerging Leadership Investigator grant.

18.
Trials ; 24(1): 582, 2023 Sep 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37697429

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality in the world, despite being a preventable and curable disease. The World Health Organization (WHO) End-TB Strategy, aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), sets a target of reducing the TB mortality rate by 95%, TB incidence rate by 90%, and catastrophic costs due to TB by 2035, compared with a 2015 level. To achieve these ambitious targets, several interventions have been implemented in the last few years, resulting in major progress toward reducing the burden of TB. However, over one-third of the global TB cases remained undetected and never received treatment. Most of those undetected cases were found in low- and middle-income countries such as Ethiopia. Though several interventions were implemented to increase TB case detection and mitigate catastrophic costs associated with TB, sustaining these interventions in resource-constrained settings remains challenging. Consequently, an alternative method is needed to increase TB case detection while decreasing diagnosis delays and catastrophic costs. Therefore, this study aimed to integrate traditional TB care into modern TB care to improve TB control programs, including early TB case detection, and reduce catastrophic costs in high TB burden settings such as Ethiopia. METHODS: A cluster randomized controlled trial will be conducted in northwest Ethiopia to determine the effectiveness of integrating traditional care with modern TB care. The intervention will be conducted in randomly selected districts in the South Gondar Zone. The control group will be an equal number of districts with usual care. The intervention comprised three key components, which include referral linkage from traditional to modern health care; training of health professionals and traditional care providers in three different rounds to increase their knowledge, attitude, and skills toward the referral systems; and TB screening at traditional health care sites. The primary outcomes of interest will be an increase in case detection rate, and the secondary outcomes of interest will be decreased diagnosis delays and catastrophic costs for TB patients. Data will be collected in both the intervention and control groups on the main outcome of interest and a wide range of independent variables. Generalized linear mixed models will be used to compare the outcome of interest between the trial arms, with adjustment for baseline differences. DISCUSSION: This cluster-randomized controlled trial study will assess the effectiveness of a strategy that integrates traditional healthcare into the modern healthcare system for the control and prevention of TB in northwest Ethiopia, where nearly 90% of the population seeks care from traditional care systems. This trial will provide information on the effectiveness of traditional and modern healthcare integration to improve TB case detection, early diagnosis, and treatment, as well as reduce the catastrophic costs of TB. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05236452. Registered on July 22, 2022.


Subject(s)
Tuberculosis , Humans , Ethiopia/epidemiology , Tuberculosis/diagnosis , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Tuberculosis/prevention & control , Control Groups , Environment , Delivery of Health Care , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
19.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 1528, 2023 08 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37568091

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Multiple lifestyle risk factors exhibit a stronger association with non-communicable diseases (NCDs) compared to a single factor, emphasizing the necessity of considering them collectively. By integrating these major lifestyle risk factors, we can identify individuals with an overall unhealthy lifestyle, which facilitates the provision of targeted interventions for those at significant risk of NCDs. The aim of this study was to evaluate the socio-demographic correlates of unhealthy lifestyles among adolescents and adults in Ethiopia. METHODS: A national cross-sectional survey, based on the World Health Organization's NCD STEPS instruments, was conducted in Ethiopia. The survey, carried out in 2015, involved a total of 9,800 participants aged between 15 and 69 years. Lifestyle health scores, ranging from 0 (most healthy) to 5 (most unhealthy), were derived considering factors such as daily fruit and vegetable consumption, smoking status, prevalence of overweight/obesity, alcohol intake, and levels of physical activity. An unhealthy lifestyle was defined as the co-occurrence of three or more unhealthy behaviors. To determine the association of socio-demographic factors with unhealthy lifestyles, multivariable logistic regression models were utilized, adjusting for metabolic factors, specifically diabetes and high blood pressure. RESULTS: Approximately one in eight participants (16.7%) exhibited three or more unhealthy lifestyle behaviors, which included low fruit/vegetable consumption (98.2%), tobacco use (5.4%), excessive alcohol intake (15%), inadequate physical activity (66%), and obesity (2.3%). Factors such as male sex, urban residency, older age, being married or in a common-law relationship, and a higher income were associated with these unhealthy lifestyles. On the other hand, a higher educational status was associated with lower odds of these behaviors. CONCLUSION: In our analysis, we observed a higher prevalence of concurrent unhealthy lifestyles. Socio-demographic characteristics, such as sex, age, marital status, residence, income, and education, were found to correlate with individuals' lifestyles. Consequently, tailored interventions are imperative to mitigate the burden of unhealthy lifestyles in Ethiopia.


Subject(s)
Life Style , Obesity , Adult , Adolescent , Humans , Male , Young Adult , Middle Aged , Aged , Cross-Sectional Studies , Ethiopia/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Obesity/epidemiology , Vegetables , Demography , Prevalence
20.
Trop Med Infect Dis ; 8(7)2023 Jul 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37505659

ABSTRACT

No studies have yet examined high-resolution shifts in the spatial patterns of human movement in Australia throughout 2020 and 2021, a period coincident with the repeated enactment and removal of varied governmental restrictions aimed at reducing community transmission of SARS-CoV-2. We compared overlapping timeseries of COVID-19 pandemic-related restrictions, epidemiological data on cases and vaccination rates, and high-resolution human movement data to characterize population-level responses to the pandemic in Australian cities. We found that restrictions on human movement and/or mandatory business closures reduced the average population-level weekly movement volumes in cities, as measured by aggregated travel time, by almost half. Of the movements that continued to occur, long movements reduced more dramatically than short movements, likely indicating that people stayed closer to home. We also found that the repeated lockdowns did not reduce their impact on human movement, but the effect of the restrictions on human movement waned as the duration of restrictions increased. Lastly, we found that after restrictions ceased, the subsequent surge in SARS-CoV-2 transmission coincided with a substantial, non-mandated drop in human movement volume. These findings have implications for public health policy makers when faced with anticipating responses to restrictions during future emergency situations.

SELECTION OF CITATIONS
SEARCH DETAIL
...