Predictive performance and clinical application of COV50, a urinary proteomic biomarker in early COVID-19 infection: a cohort study

BackgroundThe SARS-CoV-2 pandemic remains a worldwide challenge. The CRIT-Cov-U pilot study generated a urinary proteomic biomarker consisting of 50 peptides (COV50), which predicted death and disease progression. Following the interim analysis demanded by the German government, the full dataset was analysed to consolidate findings and propose clinical applications. MethodsIn eight European countries, 1012 adults with PCR-confirmed COVID-19 were followed up for death and progression along the 8-point WHO scale. Capillary electrophoresis coupled with mass spectrometry was used for urinary proteomic profiling. Statistical methods included logistic regression, receiver operating curve analysis with comparison of the area under curve (AUC) between nested models. Hospitalisation costs were derived from the care facility corresponding with the Markov chain probability of reaching WHO scores ranging from 3 to 8 and flat-rate hospitalistion costs standardised across countries. FindingsThe entry WHO scores were 1-3, 4-5 and 6 in 445 (44{middle dot}0%), 529 (52{middle dot}3%), and 38 (3{middle dot}8%) patients, of whom 119 died and 271 progressed. The standardised odds ratios associated with COV50 for death were 2{middle dot}44 (95% CI, 2{middle dot}05-2{middle dot}92) unadjusted and 1{middle dot}67 (1{middle dot}34-2{middle dot}07) if adjusted for sex, age, body mass index, comorbidities and baseline WHO score, and 1{middle dot}79 (1{middle dot}60-2{middle dot}01) and 1{middle dot}63 (1{middle dot}40-1{middle dot}90), respectively, for disease progression (p<0{middle dot}0001 for all). The predictive accuracy of optimised COV50 thresholds were 74{middle dot}4% (95% CI, 71{middle dot}6-77{middle dot}1) for mortality (threshold 0{middle dot}47) and 67{middle dot}4% (64{middle dot}1-70{middle dot}3) for disease progression (threshold 0{middle dot}04). On top of covariables and the baseline WHO score, these thresholds improved AUCs from 0{middle dot}835 to 0{middle dot}853 (p=0{middle dot}0331) and from 0{middle dot}697 to 0{middle dot}730 (p=0{middle dot}0008) for death and progression, respectively. Of 196 ambulatory patients, 194 (99{middle dot}0%) did not reach the 0{middle dot}04 threshold. Earlier intervention guided by high-risk COV50 levels should reduce hospital days with cost reductions expressed per 1000 patient-days ranging from M{euro} 1{middle dot}208 (95% percentile interval, 1{middle dot}035-1{middle dot}406) at low risk (COV50 <0{middle dot}04) to M{euro} 4{middle dot}503 (4{middle dot}107-4{middle dot}864) at high risk (COV50 [≥]0{middle dot}04 and age [≥]65 years). InterpretationThe urinary proteomic COV50 marker is accurate in predicting adverse COVID-19 outcomes. Even in mild-to-moderate PCR-confirmed infections (WHO scores 1-5), the 0{middle dot}04 threshold justifies earlier drug treatment, thereby reducing hospitalisation days and costs. FundingGerman Federal Ministry of Health acting upon a decree from the German Federal Parliament.

Critical COVID-19 represents an endothelial disease with high similarity to kidney disease on the molecular level

In patients with critical or mild COVID19 (WHO stages 6-8 [n=53] and stages 1-3 [n=66]), 593 urinary peptides significantly affected by disease severity were identified, reflecting the molecular pathophysiology associated with the course of the infection. The peptide profiles were similar compared with those observed in kidney disease, a prototype of target organ damage with major microvascular involvement, thereby confirming the observation that endothelial damage is a hallmark of COVID19. The clinical corollary is that COVID19 is an indication for anti-oxidative, anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive treatment modalities protecting the endothelial lining.

Acute Heart Failure Management

Acute heart failure (AHF) is a life-threatening medical condition, where urgent diagnostic and treatment methods are of key importance. However, there are few evidence-based treatment methods. Interestingly, despite relatively similar ways of management of AHF throughout the globe, mid-term outcome in East Asia, including South Korea is more favorable than in Europe. Yet, most of the treatment methods are symptomatic. The cornerstone of AHF management is identifying precipitating factors and specific phenotype. Multidisciplinary approach is important in AHF, which can be caused or aggravated by both cardiac and non-cardiac causes. The main pathophysiological mechanism in AHF is congestion, both systemic and inside the organs (lung, kidney, or liver). Cardiac output is often preserved in AHF except in a few cases of advanced heart failure. This paper provides guidance on AHF management in a time-based approach. Treatment strategies, criteria for triage, admission to hospital and discharge are described.

Acute Heart Failure Management

Acute heart failure (AHF) is a life-threatening medical condition, where urgent diagnostic and treatment methods are of key importance. However, there are few evidence-based treatment methods. Interestingly, despite relatively similar ways of management of AHF throughout the globe, mid-term outcome in East Asia, including South Korea is more favorable than in Europe. Yet, most of the treatment methods are symptomatic. The cornerstone of AHF management is identifying precipitating factors and specific phenotype. Multidisciplinary approach is important in AHF, which can be caused or aggravated by both cardiac and non-cardiac causes. The main pathophysiological mechanism in AHF is congestion, both systemic and inside the organs (lung, kidney, or liver). Cardiac output is often preserved in AHF except in a few cases of advanced heart failure. This paper provides guidance on AHF management in a time-based approach. Treatment strategies, criteria for triage, admission to hospital and discharge are described.

Chronic Heart Failure and Comorbid Renal Dysfunction - A Focus on Type 2 Cardiorenal Syndrome.

The most important advancements in the Cardiorenal syndrome (CRS) are its definition and subsequent classifications. When the predominant pathology and pathophysiology is the heart, i.e. chronic heart failure (CHF), and where any renal impairment (RI) subsequent to this is secondary, the classification is type 2 CRS. There are unique differences in the pathophysiology and progression of individual subclasses. It is important to understand the evolution of CHF and consequences of subsequent RI as they are becoming increasingly prevalent, aggravate morbidity and mortality and limit many therapeutic options. In this paper we discuss the significance of the type 2 CRS patients in the context of the thematic series.

Plasma Levels of Soluble CD146 Reflect the Severity of Pulmonary Congestion Better Than Brain Natriuretic Peptide in Acute Coronary Syndrome

BACKGROUND: Acute heart failure negatively affects short-term outcomes of patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Therefore, reliable and non-invasive assessment of pulmonary congestion is needed to select patients requiring more intensive monitoring and therapy. Since plasma levels of natriuretic peptides are influenced by myocardial ischemia, they might not reliably reflect congestion in the context of ACS. The novel endothelial biomarker, soluble CD146 (sCD146), presents discriminative power for detecting the cardiac origin of acute dyspnea similar to that of natriuretic peptides and is associated with systemic congestion. We evaluated the performance of sCD146 for the assessment of pulmonary congestion in the early phase of ACS. METHODS: One thousand twenty-one consecutive patients with ACS were prospectively enrolled. Plasma levels of sCD146, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), and high-sensitive troponin T were measured within 24 hr after the onset of chest pain. Pulmonary congestion on chest radiography was determined and classified in three groups according to the degree of congestion. RESULTS: Nine hundred twenty-seven patients with ACS were analyzed. Ninety-two (10%) patients showed signs of pulmonary edema on chest radiography. Plasma levels of sCD146 reflected the radiological severity of pulmonary congestion. Higher plasma levels of sCD146 were associated with the worse degree of pulmonary congestion. In contrast to BNP, sCD146 levels were not affected by the level of troponin T. CONCLUSIONS: The novel endothelial biomarker, sCD146, correlates with radiological severity of pulmonary congestion in the early phase of ACS and, in contrast to BNP, is not affected by the amount of myocardial cell necrosis.