What can ecosystem models tell us about the risk of eutrophication in the North Sea?

Eutrophication is a process resulting from an increase in anthropogenic nutrient inputs from rivers and other sources, the consequences of which can include enhanced algal biomass, changes in plankton community composition and oxygen depletion near the seabed. Within the context of the Marine Strategy Framework Directive, indicators (and associated threshold) have been identified to assess the eutrophication status of an ecosystem. Large databases of observations (in situ) are required to properly assess the eutrophication status. Marine hydrodynamic/ecosystem models provide continuous fields of a wide range of ecosystem characteristics. Using such models in this context could help to overcome the lack of in situ data, and provide a powerful tool for ecosystem-based management and policy makers. Here we demonstrate a methodology that uses a combination of model outputs and in situ data to assess the risk of eutrophication in the coastal domain of the North Sea. The risk of eutrophication is computed for the past and present time as well as for different future scenarios. This allows us to assess both the current risk and its sensitivity to anthropogenic pressure and climate change. Model sensitivity studies suggest that the coastal waters of the North Sea may be more sensitive to anthropogenic rivers loads than climate change in the near future (to 2040).

Development of an expert system for the integration of biomarker responses in mussels into an animal health index.

Biomarkers on sentinel organisms are utilised worldwide in biomonitoring programs. However, the lack of effective interpretational capacity has hampered their uptake for use for assessment of risk in environmental management. The aim of the present study was to develop and test an objective decision-support or expert system capable of integrating biomarker results into a five-level health-status index. The expert system is based on a set of rules derived from available data on responses to natural and contaminant-induced stress of marine mussels. Integration of parameters includes: level of biological organization; biological significance; mutual interrelationship; and qualitative trends in a stress gradient. The system was tested on a set of biomarker data obtained from the field and subsequently validated with data from previous studies. The results demonstrate that the expert system can effectively quantify the biological effects of different levels of pollution. The system represents a simple tool for risk assessment of the harmful impact of contaminants by providing a clear indication of the degree of stress syndrome induced by pollutants in mussels.

Diagnostic monitoring of a changing environment: an alternative UK perspective.

Adaptive management of the marine environment requires an understanding of the complex interactions within it. Establishing levels of natural variability within and between marine ecosystems is a necessary prerequisite to this process and requires a monitoring programme which takes account of the issues of time, space and scale. In this paper, we argue that an ecosystem approach to managing the marine environment should take direct account of climate change indicators at a regional level if it is to cope with the unprecedented change expected as a result of human impacts on the earth climate system. We discuss the purpose of environmental monitoring and the importance of maintaining long-term time series. Recommendations are made on the use of these data in conjunction with modern extrapolation and integration tools (e.g. ecosystem models, remote sensing) to provide a diagnostic approach to the management of marine ecosystems, based on adaptive indicators and dynamic baselines.

A carbon and nitrogen flux model of mussel digestive gland epithelial cells and their simulated response to pollutants.

The mussel digestive gland epithelial cells provide a key interface between the organism and pollutants such as aromatic hydrocarbons. The simulation of their uptake and export mechanisms as well as an internal protein degradation pathway, and any subsequent disruption to any of them, has been undertaken. A computational model is described, which simulates the flow of carbon and nitrogen through a mussel's digestive cell. The model uses a compartmentalised view of the cell with inviolate 'pipelines' connecting each of the volume-variable partitions. Only the major physiological pathways relevant to the flow of either carbon or nitrogen or volume are modelled. Simulated response to hydrocarbon exposure is examined.

Emergency upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Management and outcomes in specialty private practice.

Severe upper gastrointestinal (UGI) bleeding is a common medical emergency associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Recent studies from selected academic medical centers show that emergency UGI endoscopy with therapeutic intervention prevents recurrent hemorrhage, reduces complications, and limits costs. We determined prospective outcomes for patients presenting to 11 hospitals in Minneapolis and treated by 17 gastroenterologists from an independent single-specialty group. All 291 patients with severe UGI bleeding seen from July 1994 to January 1995 were enrolled and treated according to a guideline that the gastroenterologists had previously agreed upon. Chart review after hospital discharge showed that therapeutic endoscopy resulted in substantial reductions in the risk of recurrent bleeding compared with recent historic controls; the reductions were comparable to those seen in randomized studies from academic centers. Low risk of recurrent bleeding was associated with fewer blood transfusions and fewer days in hospital and in ICU. We conclude that 1) committed specialists can develop and adhere to treatment plans that optimize patient benefit and limit costs, and 2) therapeutic endoscopy performed by gastroenterologists in community hospitals may be as effective as endoscopy performed by academicians with a special interest in UGI bleeding.

Molecular biology of colon polyps and colon cancer.

From a histologic and endoscopic standpoint, colon and rectal cancer (CRC) begins as a small neoplastic polyp which progressively enlarges and transforms through a dysplasia stage into invasive cancer. Recently, molecular abnormalities underlying the adenomacarcinoma progression have been defined. The adenomatous polyposis coli (APC) gene and mismatch repair genes are found to be dysfunctional early in the neoplastic process; either as inherited or somatic mutations. Subsequently, polyps progress to cancer along one of two paths depending on which gene is abnormal. When the APC gene is the initial mutation tumor development follows the "loss of heterozygocity" (LOH) pathway. If mismatch repair genes are altered, the "replication error" (RER) pathway is followed. Somatic mutations of the K-ras oncogene and the MCC, DCC, and p53 tumor suppressor genes accumulate in the LOH pathway and mark the progression through polyp stages. Microsatellite instability is a characteristic of the RER pathway but the precise genes involved in this pathway currently are not known. Defining these pathways has led to a new classification scheme for CRC with resultant changes in our clinical approach to screening, surveillance, and treatment.

Protein energy malnutrition in severe alcoholic hepatitis: diagnosis and response to treatment. The VA Cooperative Study Group #275.

BACKGROUND: Active nutrition therapy and the anabolic steroid oxandrolone (OX), in selected patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis, significantly improved liver status and survival. We report here on the changes in their nutritional parameters. METHODS: Protein energy malnutrition (PEM) was evaluated and expressed as percent of low normal in 271 patients initially, at 1 month and at 3 months. Active therapy consisted of OX plus a high caloric food supplement vs a matching placebo and a low calorie supplement. RESULTS: PEM was present in every patient; mean PEM score 60% of low normal. Most of the parameters improved significantly from baseline on standard care; the largest improvement seen in visceral proteins, the smallest in fat stores (skinfold thickness). Total PEM score significantly correlated with 6 month mortality (p = .0012). Using logistic regression analysis, creatinine height index, hand grip strength and total peripheral blood lymphocytes were the best risk factors for survival. When CD lymphocyte subsets replaced total lymphocyte counts in the equation, CD8 levels became a significant risk factor (p = .004). Active treatment produced significant risk factor (p = .004). Active treatment produced significant improvements in those parameters related to total body and muscle mass (ie, mid arm muscle area, p = .02; creatinine height index, p = .03; percent ideal body weight, p = .04). CONCLUSION: Deterioration in nutritional parameters is a significant risk factor for survival in severe patients with alcoholic hepatitis. This deterioration is reversible with standard hospital care. Active therapy further improves creatinine height index, mid arm muscle area and total lymphocyte counts. Hence, these later parameters appear to be the best indicators for follow-up assessments.

The role of tumor necrosis factor-alpha in acute endotoxin-induced hepatotoxicity in ethanol-fed rats.

An in vivo model of ethanol ingestion in rats was used to examine tumor necrosis factor-alpha production after intravenous injection with lipopolysaccharide or saline solution. Four groups of 125-gm male Sprague-Dawley rats were given one of the following four diets: liquid ethanol diet (ethanol, 36% of calories), liquid control diet, chow ad libitum or control liquid diet pair-fed to match calories consumed by ethanol-fed rats. After 6 wk of diet, all rats were injected with 1 mg/kg lipopolysaccharide or 0.9% saline. AST concentrations in the ethanol-lipopolysaccharide group (388 +/- 54 U/ml) were significantly increased compared with those in control-saline, ethanol-saline and control-lipopolysaccharide groups (166 +/- 23, 166 +/- 18, 219 +/- 47; p < 0.01). Serum tumor necrosis factor-alpha concentrations for the ethanol-LPS group (3,990 +/- 624 pg/ml) were increased compared with those in control-saline (87 +/- 18), ethanol-saline (68 +/- 24) and control-LPS (695 +/- 165) groups (p < 0.001). A strong correlation was seen between serum tumor necrosis factor-alpha and AST concentrations (r = 0.91, p < 0.001). Treatment with lipopolysaccharide also increased transcriptional levels of tumor necrosis factor-alpha-specific mRNA from hepatic Kupffer cells isolated from rats fed the long-term ethanol diet by a factor of 3 compared with control rats. From these data, we conclude that long-term ethanol administration sensitized hepatic Kupffer cells to secrete high levels of tumor necrosis factor-alpha after lipopolysaccharide injection. Increased serum tumor necrosis factor-alpha concentrations correlated directly with increased levels of serum transaminase, which may have reflected hepatic injury.

A study of oral nutritional support with oxandrolone in malnourished patients with alcoholic hepatitis: results of a Department of Veterans Affairs cooperative study.

A Veterans Affairs cooperative study involving 273 male patients was performed to evaluate efficacy of oxandrolone in combination with an enteral food supplement in severe alcoholic hepatitis. All patients had some degree of protein calorie malnutrition. On an intention-to-treat basis, only minimal changes in mortality were observed. However, in patients with moderate malnutrition mortality on active treatment at 1 mo was 9.4% compared with 20.9% in patients receiving placebo. This beneficial effect was maintained so that after 6 mo on active treatment 79.7% of patients were still alive, compared with 62.7% of placebo-treated patients (p = 0.037). Improvements in both the severity of the liver injury (p = 0.03) and malnutrition (p = 0.05) also occurred. No significant improvement was observed with severe malnutrition. To better determine the effect on therapeutic efficacy, we compared results with those from a nearly identical population (cooperative study 119) treated with oxandrolone but not given the food supplement. Patients were stratified according to their caloric intake (greater than 2,500 kcal/day was considered adequate to supply energy needs and promote anabolism). For patients with moderate malnutrition and adequate caloric intake, oxandrolone treatment reduced 6-mo mortality (4% active treatment vs. 28% placebo [p = 0.002]). For patients with moderate malnutrition and inadequate calorie intake, oxandrolone had no effect on mortality (30% active treatment vs. 33% placebo). In cases of severe malnutrition, oxandrolone had no effect on survival. However, adequate caloric intake was associated with 19% mortality, whereas patients with inadequate intake exhibited 51% mortality (p = 0.0001). These results indicate that nutritional status should be evaluated in patients with alcoholic hepatitis. When malnutrition is present, vigorous nutrition therapy should be provided, and in patients with moderate malnutrition oxandrolone should be added to the regimen.

Circulating tumor necrosis factor, interleukin-1 and interleukin-6 concentrations in chronic alcoholic patients.

Although altered cytokine homeostasis has been implicated in the pathogenesis of alcoholic liver disease, the relationship between cytokines and metabolic consequences of alcoholic liver disease is unknown. We, therefore, sought to correlate circulating concentrations of tumor necrosis factor-alpha, interleukin-1 and interleukin-6 to clinical and biochemical parameters of liver disease in chronic alcoholic patients. We used an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay to measure plasma tumor necrosis factor and interleukin-1 and a bioassay to measure serum interleukin-6 in three groups of alcoholic men as follows: (a) actively drinking alcoholic men without evidence of chronic liver disease, (b) nondrinking alcoholic men with stable cirrhosis and (c) patients with acute alcoholic hepatitis. Mean cytokine concentrations were elevated in cirrhotic patients and alcoholic hepatitis patients compared with controls and alcoholic patients without liver disease. Tumor necrosis factor-alpha and interleukin-1 alpha concentrations remained elevated for up to 6 mo after diagnosis of alcoholic hepatitis, whereas interleukin-6 normalized in parallel with clinical recovery. Concentrations of all three cytokines were correlated with biochemical parameters of liver injury and hepatic protein synthesis plus serum immunoglobulin concentrations. We could not demonstrate a relationship between cytokine concentrations and peripheral endotoxemia. Percentages of peripheral blood monocytes that reacted with monoclonal antibodies to CD25 (interleukin-2 receptor) and human lymphocyte antigen-DR were similar for alcoholic patients and controls. These data suggest that tumor necrosis factor-alpha and interleukin-1 alpha are related to some of the metabolic consequences of both acute and chronic alcohol-induced liver disease, whereas interleukin-6 is related to abnormalities seen in acute liver injury.

Interaction between endogenous opioids and IL-2 on PHA-stimulated human lymphocytes.

Endogenous opioids exert a variety of extra central nervous system (CNS) functions, including modulation of some human lymphocyte functions. The latter opioid activity may result in elevation of human natural killer (NK) function (i.e. by beta-endorphin), which is reversed by an opioid antagonist, Naloxone. Since recent evidence has suggested both structural and functional similarities between lymphokines known to elevate human NK function (interferon and interleukin-2) and endogenous opioids, we investigated if Naloxone could modulate lymphokine-enhanced human NK activity. Naloxone blunted, in a dose-dependent fashion, the NK-enhancing activity of peripheral blood lymphocytes or large granular lymphocytes by recombinant interferon-alpha (IFN-alpha) or interleukin-2 (IL-2). Naloxone decreased the uptake of radiolabelled IL-2 receptors. beta-endorphin also decreased the binding of radiolabelled IL-2 or IL-2 receptor-positive human lymphocytes. Finally, labelled Naloxone was inhibited from binding to phytohaemagglutinin (PHA)-stimulated lymphocytes by either beta-endorphin or IL-2. These findings strongly suggest that human lymphocyte receptors for opioid, IFN or IL-2 molecules, once occupied, have distinct influences on the alternate receptor. In addition, these data further strengthen the potential role of CNS-mediated influences on the human immune system.

Peritoneovenous shunting as compared with medical treatment in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis and massive ascites. Veterans Administration Cooperative Study on Treatment of Alcoholic Cirrhosis with Ascites.

The optimal management of severe ascites in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis has not been defined. in a 5 1/2-year study, we randomly assigned 299 men with alcoholic cirrhosis, who had persistent or recurrent severe ascites despite a standard medical regimen, to receive either intensive medical treatment or peritoneovenous (LeVeen) shunting. We identified three risk groups: Group 1 had normal or mildly abnormal results on liver-function tests, Group 2 had more severe liver dysfunction or previous complications, and Group 3 had severe prerenal azotemia without kidney disease. For the patients who received the medical treatment and those who received the surgical treatment combined, the median survival times were 1093 days in Group 1, 222 days in Group 2, and 37 days in Group 3 (P less than or equal to 0.01) for all comparisons). For all the groups combined, the median time to the resolution of ascites was 5.4 weeks for medical patients and 3.0 weeks for surgical patients (P less than 0.01). Within each risk group, mortality during the initial hospitalization and median long-term survival were similar among patients receiving either treatment. However, the median time to the recurrence of ascites in Group 1 was 4 months in medical patients, as compared with 18 months in surgical patients (P = 0.01); in Group 2 it was 3 months in medical patients as compared with 12 months in surgical patients (P = 0.04). The median duration of hospitalization was longer in medical patients than in surgical patients (6.1 vs. 2.4 weeks in Group 1 [P less than 0.001] and 5.0 vs. 3.1 weeks in Group 2 [P less than 0.01]). Group 3 was too small to permit a meaningful comparison. During the initial hospitalization, the incidence of infections, gastrointestinal bleeding, and encephalopathy was similar among the medical and surgical patients. We conclude that peritoneovenous shunting alleviated disabling ascites more rapidly than medical management. However, survival was closely related to the severity of the illness at the time of randomization and was not altered by shunting.

Accumulation of colony-stimulating factor 1 in amniotic fluid during human pregnancy.

Colony-stimulating factor 1 is a hematopoietic growth factor that increases 1000-fold in the uteri of pregnant mice, and its receptor is abundantly expressed in the human placenta. The concentration of colony-stimulating factor 1 in amniotic fluid at 33 to 40 weeks (9.0 +/- 1.1 ng/ml) was twofold higher than that at 16 to 18 weeks gestation (4.1 +/- 0.5 ng/ml), whereas maternal serum colony-stimulating factor 1 levels did not rise significantly. Colony-stimulating factor 1 was detected in endometrial extracts from pregnant women and levels were higher than those in extracts from nonpregnant women.

Detection of endogenous macrophage colony-stimulating factor (M-CSF) in human blood.

We have detected endogenous human macrophage colony-stimulating factor (M-CSF) in blood of normal individuals, using a novel RIA that accurately measures M-CSF concentrations as low as 60 U/ml (1.2 ng/ml) in the presence of serum proteins. The RIA uses an antibody to highly purified recombinant human M-CSF and is calibrated to a mouse bone marrow colony-forming assay. Ten samples of normal human blood plasma contained an average 118 +/- 9 U/ml of M-CSF, and similar concentrations were detected in serum prepared from the same individuals. RIA-positive samples contained biologically active M-CSF, as determined in a colony assay performed on mouse bone marrow cells. The M-CSF biological activity was removed by specific immune precipitation and inhibited by addition of M-CSF antibody. Physical characterization of plasma M-CSF was done by immunoblotting after partial purification on controlled pore glass and immunoaffinity chromatography. The major reduced protein species of plasma M-CSF had an apparent molecular weight of about 24 kd, and minor species of 30, 45, and 60-70 kd were also present. The RIA results on ten normal individuals suggest that endogenous circulating M-CSF is present at a low but detectable concentration. This RIA can be used to measure M-CSF in clinical samples that contain serum proteins and other growth factors that may interfere with accurate bioassay determinations.

Opiate antagonist nalmefene inhibits ethanol-induced flushing in Asians: a preliminary study.

Ethanol-induced flushing (EIF) occurs in up to 80% of Asians and is characterized by facial flushing, tachycardia, and increased cardiac output. Since endogenous opiates and prostaglandins may be mediators of flushing syndromes, we attempted to block EIF in four Asian flushers with single doses of either the opiate antagonist nalmefene, or the prostaglandin synthesis inhibitor indomethacin. Nonflushers (2 Caucasian, 2 Asian) and four Asian flushers were given on separate days water, ethanol (0.4 g/kg p.o.), ethanol plus nalmefene (2 mg i.v.), or ethanol plus indomethacin (50 mg p.o.). Ethanol concentrations of flushers and nonflushers were similar. Mean (+/- SEM) plasma acetaldehyde concentrations of flushers (28.2 +/- 11.8 microM) were significantly greater than nonflushers (1.4 +/- 0.5 microM) following ethanol ingestion (p less than 0.001). Ethanol alone always induced a significant rise in facial skin temperature [mean area under the curve (AUC) = 5142 +/- 648 % delta T x min, p less than 0.01] and of pulse (mean AUC = 1622 +/- 120 bpm x min, p less than 0.001) in flushers compared to water ingestion. A single dose of nalmefene (2 mg i.v.) but not indomethacin (50 mg p.o.), reduced the mean (+/- SEM) ethanol-induced rise in facial skin temperature of flushers by 58 +/- 14% (p less than 0.05) without changing plasma acetaldehyde concentrations. These data are preliminary evidence that the opiate antagonist, nalmefene, blocks some of the vascular manifestations of EIF without altering the elevated plasma concentrations of acetaldehyde.

Cimetidine modulates natural killer cell function of patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia.

Peripheral blood natural killer (NK) activity in patients with B-cell chronic lymphocytic leukemia (B-CLL) is frequently low or absent. Because cimetidine (a histamine-2 antagonist) has been shown to alter human lymphocyte function in vitro, we decided to study cimetidine's effect on peripheral blood NK activity of patients with B-CLL and controls. We administered cimetidine orally (1.2 gm per day) to seven patients with B-CLL and 12 controls for up to 28 days. Peripheral blood NK activity of patients with B-CLL rose from a pretreatment level of 0.7 +/- 0.5 (mean +/- SEM) lytic units/10(6) cells (LU) to 8.7 +/- 2.4 LU (P less than 0.05) at day 28. Peripheral blood NK activity of controls decreased after 14 days of cimetidine treatment but returned to pretreatment levels by day 28. When peripheral blood cells from controls were exposed to cimetidine during in vitro incubation (10 micrograms/ml), mean NK activity was increased at 48 hours (54% +/- 22% increase over controls, n = 5, P less than 0.05). Single cell cytotoxicity assays revealed increased killing of target cells (but not effector-target conjugation) with cimetidine-exposed effector cells. These data suggest that cimetidine may be useful to augment peripheral blood NK activity for patients with B-CLL.

Pseudomonas infection of the biliary system resulting from use of a contaminated endoscope.

Pseudomonas aeruginosa was present in bile cultures from 10 patients who had undergone previous endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in 1984. After environmental cultures and review of instrument disinfection, we traced the infections to a single endoscope contaminated with P. aeruginosa, serotype 10. Although the instrument had been cleaned repeatedly with an automatic endoscope cleaning machine, P. aeruginosa survived on residual moisture left in the channels of the endoscope. Contamination ended only after we began to manually suction alcohol through the endoscope before air drying. In 5 of 10 patients, P. aeruginosa caused clinical infections including gangrenous cholecystitis, abscesses, and death. We could identify no factor that distinguished symptomatic from asymptomatic patients. In asymptomatic patients, P. aeruginosa was recovered from gallbladder bile up to 2 mo after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography. As this P. aeruginosa epidemic was discovered retrospectively because we monitor bile cultures, we advocate this practice as part of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography procedures.

Role of zinc supplementation in type II diabetes mellitus.

Zinc is required for normal immune function and taste acuity and enhances the in vitro effectiveness of insulin. Impaired immune function and taste have been reported in diabetic subjects, and decreased serum zinc levels and hyperzincuria occur in some diabetic subjects and animals. Subjects with type II diabetes were examined to determine whether the similar effects of zinc depletion and diabetes are causally related. Low serum zinc levels were found in 16 of 180 subjects (9 percent). There was no correlation between serum zinc and glycosylated hemoglobin levels. Natural killer cell activity did not differ between diabetic subjects (n = 28) and control subjects (n = 38) and did not correlate with serum zinc levels. T lymphocyte response to phytohemagglutinin was lower in diabetic subjects than in control subjects (70 +/- 10 versus 103 +/- 7 X 10(3) counts per minute) but was not lowest in those with the lowest zinc levels. Taste thresholds for hydrochloric acid, sucrose, sodium chloride, and urea were elevated in diabetic subjects (n = 28) versus control subjects (n = 10), but thresholds did not correlate with glycosylated hemoglobin or serum zinc levels. Zinc supplementation in nine diabetic subjects had no effect on the glycosylated hemoglobin level, natural killer cell activity, or taste thresholds, but it did increase mitogen activity in those with the lowest initial phytohemagglutinin responses. It is concluded that zinc deficiency occurs in a subset of subjects with type II diabetes but is not related to diabetes control and does not explain decreased taste acuity. Zinc deficiency may play a role in abnormal immune function in type II diabetes mellitus.