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J Math Biol ; 79(3): 1015-1028, 2019 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31127328

ABSTRACT

Many disease transmission models exhibit a threshold behaviour based on the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text], where the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text] and unstable if [Formula: see text]. However, if a system includes immigration of infected individuals, then there is no disease-free equilibrium. We consider how the disease-free equilibrium moves as the level of immigration of infected individuals is increased from 0, finding, under mild assumptions, that the disease-free equilibrium becomes an endemic equilibrium if [Formula: see text] and leaves the biologically relevant space (by having at least one coordinate become negative) if [Formula: see text].


Subject(s)
Communicable Diseases/transmission , Disease Transmission, Infectious/prevention & control , Epidemics/prevention & control , Models, Biological , Communicable Diseases/epidemiology , Computer Simulation , Disease Transmission, Infectious/statistics & numerical data , Epidemics/statistics & numerical data , Humans
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