Understanding the legacies of shocks on health system performance: Exploring Ireland's management of recent crises and its implications for policy.

This paper contrasts the Irish experience of the 2008 economic crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic, and the health system responses to these shocks, from the perspective of health system leaders working across both time periods. Based on semi-structured interviews with seven senior national and international officials, the research presented here forms the qualitative component of RESTORE, a five-year research project examining health system resilience and reform, funded through the Health Research Board's Research Leader Award in Ireland. Findings indicate that the financial crisis deeply impacted the Irish health system in relation to infrastructure and capacity, service delivery and workforce. Due to these legacy issues, Ireland's health system was in a relatively weak position when faced with the Covid-19 pandemic but the system proved adaptive and innovative during this time. Furthermore, the pandemic proved to be a catalyst for positive change, providing opportunities for long-term reform, alongside an immediate response to the crisis. This was facilitated by increased funding, a devolution in decision-making structures and a political commitment to the health system. Exploring lessons from the Irish response to these crises provides a case study for developing appropriate policy responses around financing and resource allocation, fostering support for healthcare among political leaders and policy makers, and preparing for future shocks. Furthermore, examining these experiences facilitates understanding around the impact of each crisis on the health system, exploring options for addressing legacy issues and considering practical steps to improve health system performance.

Development of a clinical score to estimate pancreatitis-related hospital admissions in patients with a new diagnosis of chronic pancreatitis: the trinity score.

BACKGROUND: The clinical course of chronic pancreatitis is unpredictable and there is no globally accepted score to predict the disease course. We developed a clinical score to estimate pancreatitis-related hospitalisation in patients with newly diagnosed chronic pancreatitis. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using two clinical chronic pancreatitis databases held in tertiary referral centres in Dublin, Ireland, and in Tarragona, Spain. Individuals diagnosed with chronic pancreatitis between 2007 and 2014 were eligible for inclusion. Candidate predictors included aetiology, body mass index, exocrine dysfunction, smoking and alcohol history. We used multivariable logistic regression to develop the model. RESULTS: We analysed data from 154 patients with newly diagnosed chronic pancreatitis. Of these, 105 patients (68%) had at least one hospital admission for pancreatitis-related reasons in the 6 years following diagnosis. Aetiology of chronic pancreatitis, body mass index, use of pain medications and gender were found to be predictive of more pancreatic-related hospital admissions. These predictors were used to develop a clinical score which showed acceptable discrimination (area under the ROC curve = 0.70). DISCUSSION: We developed a clinical score based on easily accessible clinical parameters to predict pancreatitis-related hospitalisation in patients with newly diagnosed chronic pancreatitis.

Metrics and indicators used to assess health system resilience in response to shocks to health systems in high income countries-A systematic review.

Health system resilience has never been more important than with the COVID-19 pandemic. There is need to identify feasible measures of resilience, potential strategies to build resilience and weaknesses of health systems experiencing shocks. The purpose of this systematic review is to examine how the resilience of health systems has been measured across various health system shocks. Following PRISMA guidelines, with double screening at each stage, the review identified 3175 studies of which 68 studies were finally included for analysis. Almost half (46%) were focused on COVID-19, followed by the economic crises, disasters and previous pandemics. Over 80% of studies included quantitative metrics. The most common WHO health system functions studied were resources and service delivery. In relation to the shock cycle, most studies reported metrics related to the management stage (79%) with the fewest addressing recovery and learning (22%). Common metrics related to staff headcount, staff wellbeing, bed number and type, impact on utilisation and quality, public and private health spending, access and coverage, and information systems. Limited progress has been made with developing standardised qualitative metrics particularly around governance. Quantitative metrics need to be analysed in relation to change and the impact of the shock. The review notes problems with measuring preparedness and the fact that few studies have really assessed the legacy or enduring impact of shocks.

Care burden, loneliness, and social isolation in caregivers of people with physical and brain health conditions in English-speaking regions: Before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND: Public health restrictions due to the COVID-19 (SARS CoV-2) pandemic have disproportionately affected informal caregivers of people living with long term health conditions. We aimed to explore levels of care burden, loneliness, and social isolation among caregivers of people with enduring physical and brain health conditions in English-speaking regions worldwide, by investigating outcomes before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: A cross-sectional anonymous online survey data from 2287 English-speaking caregivers of people with long term health conditions from four English-speaking regions (UK, Ireland, USA, New Zealand) included measures of care burden, loneliness, and social isolation, reported before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Analyses were descriptive, followed by an ordinal regression model for predictors of burden. RESULTS: Compared to pre-pandemic levels, all caregivers experienced a significant increase in burden, loneliness, and isolation. Caregivers of people with both brain health and physical conditions were the most burdened and had the highest levels of loneliness and isolation compared to caregivers of people with either a brain health or physical condition only. The increase in care burden among caregivers of people with brain health challenges was associated with caregiver's gender, moderate and severe emotional loneliness, magnitude and frequency of isolation during the pandemic, and care circumstances (cohabitation with the care recipient, restrictions on the ability to provide care). CONCLUSIONS: Health and social care interventions should target caregivers' care circumstances and psychological outcomes, particularly in women, accounting for the significant additional burden of care, loneliness, and isolation resulting from pandemic-related restrictions.

Hospital-associated deconditioning: Not only physical, but also cognitive.

INTRODUCTION: Hospital-associated deconditioning (HAD) or post-hospital syndrome is well recognized as reduced functional performance after an acute hospitalization. Recommendations for the management of HAD are still lacking, partly due to a poor understanding of the underlying processes. We aimed to review existing data on risk factors, pathophysiology, measurement tools, and potential interventions. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a systematic review from bibliographical databases in English, Spanish and French with keywords such as 'post-hospitalization syndrome' or 'deconditioning'. We selected studies that included people aged 60 years or older. Three researchers independently selected articles and assessed their quality. RESULTS: From 4421 articles initially retrieved, we included 94 studies. Most were related to risk factors, trajectories and measures, and focused on the physical aspects of deconditioning. Risk factors for HAD included age, nutritional status, mobility, and pre-admission functional status, but also cognitive impairment and depression. Regarding interventions, almost all studies were devoted to physical rehabilitation and environmental modifications. Only one study focused on cognitive stimulation. DISCUSSION: In the last decade, studies on HAD have mostly focused on the physical domain. However, neurological changes may also play a role in the pathophysiology of HAD. Beyond physical interventions, cognitive rehabilitation and neurological interventions should also be evaluated to improve deconditioning prevention and treatment in the hospital setting.

Race, Genetic Admixture, and Cognitive Performance in the Cuban Population.

BACKGROUND: Population aging will lead to a dramatic increase in dementia prevalence, which will disproportionally affect racial minorities. The presence of racial differences in dementia prevalence has been widely reported in United States, but there are no relevant studies on this topic in low- and middle-income countries. METHODS: In a cross-sectional survey, 2944 older Cubans were recruited at a community-based level aimed to identify the effects of self-identified race and genetic admixture on cognitive performance. Dementia diagnosis was established using 10/66 Dementia and DSM-IV criteria. APOE-ε4 genotype was determined in 2511 (85%) and genetic admixture was completed for all dementia cases and in a randomly selected sample of cognitive healthy participants (218 dementia cases and 367 participants without dementia). RESULTS: The overall prevalence of dementia was 8.7%, without large or statistically significant differences on dementia prevalence (p = .12) by self-identified race. Mean cognitive scores were similar across racial groups (p = .46). After controlling for age, sex, and education, greater proportion of African ancestry was not associated with cognitive performance (p = .17). CONCLUSIONS: We found no evidence of an independent effect of self-identified race and/or population ancestry on dementia prevalence or cognitive performance. This suggests that observed differences in dementia prevalence among diverse populations may be driven primarily by social determinants of health.

Risk Factors for Incident Dementia Among Older Cubans.

Introduction: Little is known about risk factors of dementia in Latin American countries. We aimed to identify socio-demographic, health and lifestyle risk factors of incident dementia in Cuban older adults. Methods: Data were from 1,846 participants in the Cuban cohort of the 10/66 Dementia Research Group. Participants completed questionnaires, health examinations, and cognitive tests at baseline (2003-2006) and 4.5 years later (2007-2010). Associations between risk factors (baseline) and incident dementia (follow-up) were examined using logistic regression. Results: Just over 9% of participants developed dementia. Overall, older age and low physical activity were associated with incident dementia. In those 65-74 years of age, depression, stroke and low physical activity were associated with incident dementia. In those ≥75 years of age, low physical activity, never eating fish, and smoking were associated with incident dementia. Conclusions: Modifiable lifestyle factors play an important role in developing dementia in Cuban older adults. This knowledge opens up opportunities for preventive strategies.

Factores de riesgo de diabetes mellitus tipo 2 en adolescentes / Risk factors for type 2 diabetes mellitus in adolescentes

RESUMEN Fundamento: La creciente prevalencia de diabetes mellitus tipo 2 (DM2) desde las edades pediátricas, ha convertido a la morbimortalidad relacionada con ella en un problema importante de salud pública. La detección precoz de factores de riesgo de DM2 en adolescentes, permitiría realizar acciones preventivas con enfoque de riesgo, que conducirían a disminuir la incidencia de esta entidad, siendo un pilar fundamental de la atención primaria. Objetivo: Identificar la presencia de factores de riesgo de DM2 en adolescentes. Método: Se realizó un estudio descriptivo transversal en un área de salud (Policlínico "Raúl Gómez García") con una muestra de 96 adolescentes. Se recogieron variables como edad, sexo, antecedentes de diabetes gestacional, bajo peso al nacer, tiempo de lactancia materna, historia familiar de DM2, consumo de frutas/vegetales, actividades físicas y resultantes del examen físico. Resultados: El 62,50% de los adolescentes pertenecía al sexo femenino y la adolescencia temprana. El inadecuado consumo de frutas y vegetales con 81,25% fue el factor de riesgo más común, seguido del sedentarismo con un 45,83%. Todos los adolescentes poseían al menos un factor de riesgo, y el 72,92% poseía 3 o más con predominio en el sexo femenino (p=0,022) Conclusiones: Existe una alta frecuencia de factores de riesgo para el desarrollo de DM2 en los adolescentes, con predominio de factores modificables. La mayoría de los adolescentes poseían un riesgo metabólico incrementado al presentar 3 o más factores de riesgo, en especial las féminas.

ABSTRACT Foundation: The increasing prevalence of diabetes mellitus type 2 (DM2) from the pediatric ages, has made its morbidity and mortality a major public health problem. Early detection of DM2 risk factors in adolescents, would allow preventive actions with a risk approach, which would lead to decrease the incidence of this condition, being a fundamental pillar of primary care . Objective: To identify the presence of DM2 risk factors in adolescents. Method: A cross-sectional descriptive study was conducted in a health area ("Raúl Gómez García" Polyclinic) with a sample of 96 adolescents. Variables such as age, sex, history of gestational diabetes, low birth weight, breastfeeding time, family history of DM2, fruit / vegetable intake, physical activity and physical examination results were collected. Results: The 62.50% of the adolescents belonged to the feminine sex and the early adolescence. The inadequate consumption of fruits and vegetables with 81.25% was the most common risk factor, followed by a sedentary lifestyle with 45.83%. All adolescents had at least one risk factor, and 72.92% had 3 or more with a predominance in females (p = 0.022). Conclusion: There is a high frequency of risk factors for developing of DM2 in adolescents, with a predominance of modifiable factors. Most adolescents had an increased metabolic risk when presenting 3 or more risk factors, especially females.