Risk of death, hospitalization and intensive care unit admission by SARS-CoV-2 variants in Peru: a retrospective study.

OBJECTIVES: Peru has had the highest death toll from the pandemic worldwide; however, it is not clear what the effects of the different variants on these outcomes are. The study aimed to evaluate the risk of death, hospitalization, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission rates of COVID-19 according to the SARS-CoV-2 variants detected in Peru from March 2020-February 2022. METHODS: Retrospective study using open-access databases were published by the Peruvian Ministry of Health. Databases of genomic sequencing, death, COVID-19 cases, hospitalization and ICU, and vaccination were used. Crude and adjusted Cox proportional hazards regressions with clustered variances were modeled to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) of outcomes by variant. RESULTS: Lambda variant had the highest risk of death (HR 1.92, 95% CI 1.37-2.68), whereas the Delta variant had the lowest risk (HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.31-0.82). Mu variant had the highest risk of hospitalization (HR: 2.39, 95% CI 1.56-3.67), Omicron the lowest (HR 0.45, 95%CI 0.23-0.90), and Gamma had the highest ICU admission rate (HR 1.95, 95%CI 1.40-2.71). CONCLUSION: SARS-CoV-2 variants showed distinctive risks of clinical outcomes, which could have implications for the management of infected persons during the pandemic.

Comparison of two isothermal methods for SARS-COV-2 screening in Callao, Peru

Objective: To compare the isothermal molecular screening techniques CPA and RT-LAMP, against the gold standard test, reverse transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR), and to determine its agreement. Materials and Methods: Paired comparative case-control study. For the evaluation of the CPA method, 70 cases and 130 controls were used, while for RT-LAMP, 30 cases and 70 controls were used. The sensitivity and specificity of both tests were calculated. Subsequently, the bias-corrected Kappa index was calculated by resampling. Results: Both techniques have adequate and equivalent values of sensitivity (RT-LAMP: 82.8%, CPA: 83%) and specificity (RT-LAMP and CPA: 91.5%), as well as a high concordance (88%), and Kappa-index (0.72). Conclusion: Both isothermal molecular screening techniques are suitable for SARS-CoV-2 screening, with a similar sensitivity and specificity.

Objetivo : Comparar las técnicas de cribado molecular isotérmico CPA y RT-LAMP, frente a la prueba de referencia, la reacción en cadena de la polimerasa cuantitativa de transcripción inversa (RT-qPCR), y determinar su concordancia. Materiales y métodos : Estudio comparativo de casos y controles emparejados. Para la evaluación del método CPA se utilizaron 70 casos y 130 controles, mientras que para la RT-LAMP se utilizaron 30 casos y 70 controles. Se calcularon la sensibilidad y la especificidad de ambas pruebas. Posteriormente, se calculó el índice Kappa corregido por sesgo mediante un nuevo muestreo. Resultados: Ambas técnicas presentan valores adecuados y equivalentes de sensibilidad (RT-LAMP: 82,8 %, CPA: 83 %) y especificidad (RT-LAMP y CPA: 91,5 %), así como una alta concordancia (88 %), y un índice Kappa (0,72). Conclusiones: Ambas técnicas de cribado molecular isotérmico son adecuadas para el cribado del SARS-CoV-2, con una sensibilidad y especificidad similares.