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1.
J Antimicrob Chemother ; 68(6): 1406-14, 2013 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23485767

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Genotypic HIV drug-resistance testing is typically 60%-65% predictive of response to combination antiretroviral therapy (ART) and is valuable for guiding treatment changes. Genotyping is unavailable in many resource-limited settings (RLSs). We aimed to develop models that can predict response to ART without a genotype and evaluated their potential as a treatment support tool in RLSs. METHODS: Random forest models were trained to predict the probability of response to ART (≤400 copies HIV RNA/mL) using the following data from 14 891 treatment change episodes (TCEs) after virological failure, from well-resourced countries: viral load and CD4 count prior to treatment change, treatment history, drugs in the new regimen, time to follow-up and follow-up viral load. Models were assessed by cross-validation during development, with an independent set of 800 cases from well-resourced countries, plus 231 cases from Southern Africa, 206 from India and 375 from Romania. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was the main outcome measure. RESULTS: The models achieved an AUC of 0.74-0.81 during cross-validation and 0.76-0.77 with the 800 test TCEs. They achieved AUCs of 0.58-0.65 (Southern Africa), 0.63 (India) and 0.70 (Romania). Models were more accurate for data from the well-resourced countries than for cases from Southern Africa and India (P < 0.001), but not Romania. The models identified alternative, available drug regimens predicted to result in virological response for 94% of virological failures in Southern Africa, 99% of those in India and 93% of those in Romania. CONCLUSIONS: We developed computational models that predict virological response to ART without a genotype with comparable accuracy to genotyping with rule-based interpretation. These models have the potential to help optimize antiretroviral therapy for patients in RLSs where genotyping is not generally available.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections/drug therapy , HIV/genetics , Adult , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Anti-HIV Agents/supply & distribution , Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , Computer Simulation , Databases, Factual , Female , Follow-Up Studies , HIV Infections/virology , HIV Protease Inhibitors/supply & distribution , HIV Protease Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Health Resources , Humans , India/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Models, Statistical , Predictive Value of Tests , ROC Curve , Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitors/supply & distribution , Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Romania/epidemiology , Treatment Failure , Viral Load
3.
Int J STD AIDS ; 20(3): 193-5, 2009 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19255269

ABSTRACT

It can be difficult to establish the clinical significance of the isolation of non-tuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) from the sputum of HIV-infected patients. In this observational study, we have investigated factors associated with having NTM infection. During the period of the study, 10 patients had NTM infection and 14 had NTM colonization. Factors associated with having NTM infections were: CD4 lymphocyte count <50 cells/mL (odds ratio [OR] 10; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.4-69.3), haemoglobin <11 g/dL (OR 7.2; 95% CI 1.08-47.9), weight loss (OR 9; 95% CI 1.3-63.9), duration of symptoms for more than a month (OR 54; 95% CI 4.2-692.5), the presence of acid fast bacilli (AFB) in sputum (OR 30.3; 95% CI 2.6-348.9) and repeated positive NTM cultures in other sputum samples (OR 4.3; 95% CI 1.6-11.7). In conclusion, we must suspect NTM infection in patients with long-standing symptoms, anaemia, low CD4 lymphocyte count, several positive sputum cultures and when AFB are seen.


Subject(s)
AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections/epidemiology , Mycobacterium Infections, Nontuberculous/epidemiology , Mycobacterium avium-intracellulare Infection/epidemiology , Nontuberculous Mycobacteria/isolation & purification , Sputum/microbiology , AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections/microbiology , Adult , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , Female , Hemoglobins/analysis , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Mycobacterium Infections, Nontuberculous/microbiology , Mycobacterium avium Complex/isolation & purification , Mycobacterium avium-intracellulare Infection/microbiology , Mycobacterium kansasii/isolation & purification , Mycobacterium xenopi/isolation & purification , Statistics, Nonparametric , Weight Loss
4.
HIV Med ; 10(5): 269-73, 2009 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19210695

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) is active against hepatitis B virus (HBV) and HIV. However, the long-term efficacy of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) is not well known and the appearance of resistance is a major concern. We have studied the efficacy of TDF against HBV in patients treated at an Infectious Diseases Unit. METHODS: We carried out a retrospective observational study of the efficacy of TDF against HBV replication in a cohort of 52 HIV-coinfected patients who received TDF for at least 6 months. RESULTS: The median duration of follow-up of TDF treatment was 34 months. Forty-one patients (79%) were positive for HBV envelope antigen (HBeAg) and 35 had received previous lamivudine monotherapy for a median duration of 32 months. Virological breakthrough was observed in nine cases (17%). At the end of the follow-up period, HBV DNA levels were <1000 copies/mL in 42 patients (81%) and <200 copies/mL in 31 patients (60%). There were no significant differences between the lamivudine-naïve and lamivudine-experienced groups. In the lamivudine-experienced group, the duration of previous lamivudine monotherapy was associated with failure to achieve HBV DNA levels <200 copies/mL (P=0.036). Adding lamivudine or emtricitabine to TDF did not improve virological suppression. In 39 patients who achieved <200 HBV DNA copies/mL during TDF treatment, virological breakthrough was seen only in two patients (5%) after a median follow-up duration of 39.7 months. CONCLUSIONS: TDF was able to control HBV replication in most HIV-coinfected patients after a median follow-up duration of 34 months, regardless of previous lamivudine treatment. However, a sizeable proportion of patients developed virological breakthrough.


Subject(s)
Adenine/analogs & derivatives , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , HIV Infections/complications , Hepatitis B virus/drug effects , Hepatitis B/drug therapy , Organophosphonates/therapeutic use , Adenine/therapeutic use , Adult , DNA, Viral/blood , Deoxycytidine/analogs & derivatives , Deoxycytidine/therapeutic use , Drug Resistance, Viral , Drug Therapy, Combination , Emtricitabine , Female , Hepatitis B/blood , Hepatitis B/complications , Hepatitis B Antigens/blood , Hepatitis B virus/physiology , Humans , Lamivudine/therapeutic use , Male , Retrospective Studies , Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Tenofovir , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , Virus Replication/drug effects
5.
Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 26(10): 635-8, 2003 Dec.
Article in Spanish | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14670237

ABSTRACT

Gastrointestinal hemorrhage is an exceptional complication of antiphospholipid syndrome and most reported cases are secondary to ischemic lesions. Brunner's gland hyperplasia is an infrequent and usually asymptomatic condition that has been associated with chronic renal failure. We report a patient with primary antiphospholipid syndrome who, after mechanic heart valve replacement and while in a state of drug-induced anticoagulation, experienced a life-threatening upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage due to nodular hyperplasia of Brunner's glands. This entity may be considered in the differential diagnosis of upper gastrointestinal bleeding in patients with antiphospholipid syndrome, most of whom are treated with oral anticoagulatory drugs, and particularly in patients with chronic renal failure.


Subject(s)
Antiphospholipid Syndrome/complications , Brunner Glands/pathology , Duodenal Diseases/complications , Duodenum/pathology , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage/etiology , Adult , Antiphospholipid Syndrome/therapy , Duodenal Diseases/pathology , Duodenum/surgery , Humans , Hyperplasia/pathology , Male , Treatment Outcome
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