New-onset atrial fibrillation and clinical outcome in non-cardiac intensive care unit patients.

BACKGROUND: Data regarding new onset atrial fibrillation (nAF) in general, non-cardiac, intensive care unit (ICU) patients are limited. However, it has been suggested that nAF is associated with worse clinical outcome in these patients. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of the present work was to study the prognostic impact of nAF, in this setting. METHODS: We prospectively studied all patients admitted to a single ICU for a period of 12 months. Patients admitted for brief post-operative monitoring, patients with chronic, intermittent atrial fibrillation and atrial fibrillation present upon admission, were excluded. Death during ICU stay (ICUD) was the pre-specified study end-point. Length of stay (LOS) for survivors was also reported. A number of factors related to the occurrence of nAF and the present disease were recorded for each patient. RESULTS: The study population was comprised of 133 patients. Twenty (15%) of them manifested nAF. The end-point of ICUD was observed in 27.1% of the patients. The median LOS reported was 8 days. Patients with nAF seemed to have significantly worse prognosis, compared to those who did not manifest nAF (OR=3.35, 95%CI:1.26-8.92; P=0.016). Additionally, nAF patients appear to require significantly extended LOS (P=0.01). Nevertheless, when the effect of nAF on ICUD was adjusted for sepsis, there was no statistically significant difference between those that manifested nAF and the rest of the patients. CONCLUSION: Patients suffering nAF seem to have worse prognosis during ICU stay. However, a direct impact of nAF on mortality was not documented.

Incidence and predictors of new-onset atrial fibrillation in noncardiac intensive care unit patients.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is thought to be a relatively common arrhythmia in the setting of noncardiac intensive care unit (ICU). However, data concerning AF deriving from such populations are scarce. In addition, it is unclear which of the wide spectrum of AF predictors are relevant to the ICU setting. OBJECTIVES: The aim of our study was to evaluate the incidence of new-onset AF and investigate the factors that contribute to its occurrence in ICU patients. METHODS: We prospectively studied all patients admitted to our ICU during a 1-year period. Patients admitted for brief postoperative monitoring and patients with chronic or intermittent AF and AF present upon admission were excluded. A number of conditions incriminated as AF risk factors or "triggers" from demographics, medical history, present disease, and cardiac echocardiography as well as circumstances of AF onset were recorded. RESULTS: The study population consisted of 133 patients (90 males). Atrial fibrillation was observed in 15% of them. Age older than 65 years (P=.001), arterial hypertension (P=.03), systemic inflammatory response syndrome (P<.001), sepsis (P=.001), left atrial dilatation (P=.01), and diastolic dysfunction (P=.04) were significantly associated with the occurrence of AF. By multivariate analysis, it was demonstrated that only older than 65 years (odds ratio, 7.0; 95% confidence interval, 2.0-24.6; P=.003) and sepsis (odds ratio, 6.5; 95% confidence interval, 2.0-21.1; P=.002) independently predict new-onset AF. Patients manifesting AF were frequently hypovolemic (30%) and had electrolyte disorders (40%) as well as elevated and rising serum C-reactive protein (70%). CONCLUSION: A significant fraction of ICU patients manifest AF. The predictors of interest for the ICU patients might be considerably different than those of the general population and other subgroups with systemic inflammation possibly having a pivotal role.

Prognostic usefulness of serial C-reactive protein measurements in ST-elevation acute myocardial infarction.

It has been reported that increased levels of C-reactive protein are related to adverse long-term prognosis in the setting of ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction (MI). In previous studies, the timing of C-reactive protein determination has varied widely. In the present study, serial high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) measurements were performed to investigate if any of the measurements is superior regarding long-term prognosis. A total of 861 consecutive patients admitted for ST-segment elevation MI and treated with intravenous thrombolysis within the first 6 hours from the index pain were included. HsCRP levels were determined at presentation and at 24, 48, and 72 hours. The median follow-up time was 3.5 years. New nonfatal MI and cardiac death were the study end points. By the end of follow-up, cardiac death was observed in 22.4% and nonfatal MI in 16.1% of the patients. HsCRP levels were found to be increasing during the first 72 hours. Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that hsCRP levels at presentation were an independent predictor of the 2 end points (relative risk [RR] 2.8, p = 0.002, and RR 2.1, p = 0.03, for MI and cardiac death, respectively), while hsCRP levels at 24 hours did not yield statistically significant results (RR 1.4, p = 0.40, and RR 1.1, p = 0.80, for MI and cardiac death, respectively). The corresponding RRs at 48 hours were 1.2 (p = 0.5) for MI and 3.2 (p = 0.007) for cardiac death and at 72 hours were 1.6 (p = 0.30) for MI and 3.9 (p <0.001) for cardiac death. In conclusion, hsCRP levels at presentation represent an independent predictor for fatal and nonfatal events during long-term follow-up. HsCRP levels at 48 and 72 hours, which are close to peak hsCRP levels, independently predict only cardiac death.

The impact of hs C-reactive protein and other inflammatory biomarkers on long-term cardiovascular mortality in patients with acute coronary syndromes.

We evaluated whether high circulating levels of serum amyloid A (SAA), fibrinogen, interleukin-6 (IL-6) or leukocytes count (LC), can provide any additional predictive value over that provided by hs C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) for the incidence of 5-year cardiovascular mortality, in 458 and 476 consecutive patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTE-ACS), respectively. By 5 years the incidence of cardiovascular mortality was 37.3% and 35.5% in patients with STEMI and NSTE-ACS, respectively. Each of the study inflammatory biomarkers conferred independent to clinical risk predictors (and to cardiac troponin I) long-term prognostic information (all p<0.05), but only LC provided additional predictive value over that provided by hs-CRP, in either cohort (p<0.05). By multivariate Cox regression analysis, hs-CRP (p<0.001 for both cohorts) and LC (p=0.009 and p<0.001 for STEMI and NSTE-ACS, respectively) were the only inflammatory biomarkers independently associated with the incidence of 5-year cardiovascular mortality. According to the present results high circulating levels of LC but not of SAA, fibrinogen or IL-6 can provide additional long-term predictive value over that provided by hs-CRP in patients with acute coronary syndromes.

Continuous 12-lead electrocardiographic ST monitoring adds prognostic information to the thrombolysis in myocardial infarction risk score in patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes.

BACKGROUND: Continuous 12-lead electrocardiographic (ECG) ST monitoring and the Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction Risk Score (TIMI-RS), both have been shown to be useful for early risk stratification in patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTACS). HYPOTHESIS: Transient ST ischemic events, detected by continuous 12-lead ECG ST monitoring, early in the course of NSTACS, may add prognostic information to the TIMI-RS. METHODS: In all, 567 consecutive patients with a NSTACS underwent 24-h continuous 12-lead ECG ST monitoring. An ST ischemic event was defined as a transient ST shift in any lead of > or = 0.10 mV compared with the reference ECG, lasting for > or = 1 min. RESULTS: The incidence of the composite of death, nonfatal myocardial infarction (or reinfarction) and recurrent ischemia by Day 14 was 22.2%. By Day 30, the incidence of the composite of death and nonfatal myocardial infarction (or reinfarction) was 14.7%. There was a significantly increased risk of 14-day (p value for trend < 0.001) or 30-day (p value for trend <0.001) composite endpoint with increasing of TIMI-RS. Moreover, the occurrence of > or = 1 ST shifts during ST monitoring was associated with a significantly increased risk of 14- (p value < 0.001) or 30-day (p value < 0.001) composite endpoint, and this was true throughout the groups of TIMI-RS. CONCLUSIONS: The present study suggests that continuous 12-lead ECG ST monitoring, early in the course of NSTACS, may serve as an affordable tool to add prognostic information to the TIMI-RS.