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1.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 117(29): 16816-16823, 2020 07 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32632003

ABSTRACT

South American (SA) societies are highly vulnerable to droughts and pluvials, but lack of long-term climate observations severely limits our understanding of the global processes driving climatic variability in the region. The number and quality of SA climate-sensitive tree ring chronologies have significantly increased in recent decades, now providing a robust network of 286 records for characterizing hydroclimate variability since 1400 CE. We combine this network with a self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) dataset to derive the South American Drought Atlas (SADA) over the continent south of 12°S. The gridded annual reconstruction of austral summer scPDSI is the most spatially complete estimate of SA hydroclimate to date, and well matches past historical dry/wet events. Relating the SADA to the Australia-New Zealand Drought Atlas, sea surface temperatures and atmospheric pressure fields, we determine that the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) are strongly associated with spatially extended droughts and pluvials over the SADA domain during the past several centuries. SADA also exhibits more extended severe droughts and extreme pluvials since the mid-20th century. Extensive droughts are consistent with the observed 20th-century trend toward positive SAM anomalies concomitant with the weakening of midlatitude Westerlies, while low-level moisture transport intensified by global warming has favored extreme rainfall across the subtropics. The SADA thus provides a long-term context for observed hydroclimatic changes and for 21st-century Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projections that suggest SA will experience more frequent/severe droughts and rainfall events as a consequence of increasing greenhouse gas emissions.


Subject(s)
Climate , Global Warming , Trees/growth & development , Droughts , Geographic Mapping , Models, Statistical , Rain , South America
2.
Oecologia ; 140(4): 617-25, 2004 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15221437

ABSTRACT

Vast areas of southern Chile are now covered by second-growth forests because of fire and logging. To study successional patterns after moderate-intensity, anthropogenic fire disturbance, we assessed differences in soil properties and N fluxes across a chronosequence of seven successional stands (2-130 years old). We examined current predictions of successional theory concerning changes in the N cycle in forest ecosystems. Seasonal fluctuations of net N mineralization (N(min)) in surface soil and N availability (N(a); N(a)=NH4+-N+NO3--N) in upper and deep soil horizons were positively correlated with monthly precipitation. In accordance with theoretical predictions, stand age was positively, but weakly related to both N(a) ( r(2)=0.282, P<0.001) and total N (N(tot); r(2)=0.192, P<0.01), and negatively related to soil C/N ratios ( r(2)=0.187, P<0.01) in surface soils. A weak linear increase in soil N(min) (upper plus deep soil horizons) was found across the chronosequence ( r(2)=0.124, P<0.022). N(min) occurred at modest rates in early successional stands, suggesting that soil disturbance did not impair microbial processes. The relationship between N fixation (N(fix)) in the litter layer and stand age best fitted a quadratic model ( r(2)=0.228, P<0.01). In contrast to documented successional trends for most temperate, tropical and Mediterranean forests, non-symbiotic N(fix) in the litter layer is a steady N input to unpolluted southern temperate forests during mid and late succession, which may compensate for hydrological losses of organic N from old-growth ecosystems.


Subject(s)
Ecosystem , Models, Biological , Nitrogen/analysis , Soil/analysis , Trees/physiology , Age Factors , Carbon/analysis , Chile , Nitrogen Fixation/physiology , Rain , Regression Analysis , Seasons
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