Predictors of mortality in acute renal failure in a developing country: a prospective study.

Acute renal failure (ARF) occurs in wide range of conditions, making the evaluation of its prognosis a difficult task. Data regarding prognostic factors in ARF in a general population in developing countries are scarce. The objective of the study was to describe predictors of mortality in ARF that are relevant in the developing world. This prospective study was carried out over a one-year period; all hospitalized adults with ARF were included in the study. Predictors of mortality studied included causes of ARF, pre-existing diseases, and severity as well as complications of ARF. Of 33,301 patients admitted during the study period, 294 (0.88%) were either admitted with or developed ARF after hospitalization. Mean age was 43.9 +/- 16.9 (18-86 yrs). Sepsis was the most common cause (63.26%). Pre-existing diseases like cardiovascular disease (CVSD), respiratory system disease (RSD), central nervous system disease (CNSD), hypertension, diabetes mellitus (DM), and malignancy were significantly higher in elderly as compared to younger patients. On univariate analysis sepsis, hypoperfusion as a cause of ARF and hospital-acquired ARF were associated with higher mortality. Pre-existing diseases viz. RSD, CVSD, CNSD, and DM had higher mortality. Among the severity and complications of ARF, oliguria, bleeding and infection during the course of ARF and critical illness were predictors of poor outcome. Age > 60 yrs was associated with significantly higher mortality. However, on multivariate analysis, only critical illness (odds ratio 37.3), age > 60 years (odds ratio of 5.6), and sepsis as cause of ARF (odds ratio of 2.6) were found to be independent predictors of mortality.

Predictors of mortality in elderly patients with acute renal failure in a developing country.

This prospective study was undertaken to systematically analyze the predictors of mortality in the elderly in a developing country. All elderly patients with ARF hospitalized at this tertiary care centre over 1 year were studied. Various predictors analyzed were hospital-acquired ARF, causative factors of ARF, preexisting hypertension and diabetes mellitus, severity of renal failure (initial and peak serum creatinine, need for dialysis), and complications of ARF: infection during the course of illness; serum albumin levels and critical illness defined as presence of two or more organ system failures excluding renal failure. Of 33,301 patients admitted, 4,255 (12.7%) were elderly. Of these 69 (1.6%) had ARF. On analysis of the whole group, both young and elderly, age >60 years had an independent predictor of mortality (odds ratio 5.6, P = 0.001). Forty-two of the 69 (60.9%) elderly ARF patients died. The mortality was significantly increased in those elderly with hospital-acquired ARF (79.2%, P = 0.027), those with sepsis as a cause of ARF (71.2%, P = 0.004), those who required dialysis (72.5%, P = 0.022), those developing an infection during the course of ARF (87.9%, P = 0.000) and in those with a critical illness (90.0%, P = 0.00). On logistic regression analysis of those variables that were significant on univariate analysis, only critical illness (odds ratio 9.97) and infection during course (odds ratio 9.72) were the independent predictors of mortality. To conclude, ARF complicates only 1.6% of hospitalized elderly patients but is associated with a high mortality rate of 61%. Infection during the course of illness and critical illness were the independent predictors of mortality.

Hepatitis C virus related lymphoproliferative disorder in a renal transplant recipient.

Posttransplant lymphoproliferative disorders (PTLD) are commonly caused by Ebstein-Barr Virus infection. The role of hepatitis C virus (HCV) in the genesis of lymphomas has been recognized recently. We report a HCV infected renal transplant recipient who developed PTLD 11 months after transplantation. Reduction of immunosuppression led to disappearance of viremia and clearance of PTLD. This is the first such report in the world literature.

The prevalence of tuberculin sensitivity and anergy in chronic renal failure in an endemic area: tuberculin test and the risk of post-transplant tuberculosis.

BACKGROUND: Cutaneous sensitivity to the tuberculin antigen is thought to indicate latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI). Some guidelines suggest treating end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients for LTBI on the basis of tuberculin positivity. The prevalence of tuberculin sensitivity and cutaneous anergy in Indian patients with ESRD and the utility of the tuberculin test for predicting post-transplant tuberculosis are not known. METHODS: We prospectively studied cutaneous tuberculin reactivity and anergy in 108 ESRD patients and 100 age- and sex-matched healthy controls. Mumps antigen and tetanus toxoid were used as control antigens. Patients who failed to react to all antigens were classified as anergic. Seventy-nine patients underwent living donor kidney transplants and were followed-up for approximately 2 years. RESULTS: About 44% of ESRD patients and 66% of controls showed tuberculin reactivity (P = 0.0018). The prevalence of anergy was significantly higher in the ESRD population (44% vs 16%, P<0.001). The haemoglobin, serum albumin and creatinine values were significantly higher amongst the tuberculin-reactor ESRD patients. Tuberculin positivity and anergy rates in a subgroup of well-nourished ESRD patients were similar to the control population. Four patients developed tuberculosis after transplantation. Tuberculin test had a sensitivity of 50% and a specificity of 52% for post-transplant tuberculosis. CONCLUSIONS: In comparison to healthy controls, tuberculin reactivity rates are lower and anergy rates higher in Indian ESRD patients. There is a significant relationship between markers of nutritional status (haemoglobin, albumin and creatinine) and cutaneous reactivity. Pre-transplant Mantoux positivity has low sensitivity and specificity for predicting post-transplant tuberculosis.