Variations in the impact of long-term wartime stressors on mortality among the middle-aged and older population in Beirut, Lebanon, 1983--1993.

The authors investigated the relation between exposure to wartime events and cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality in Lebanon, which recently underwent a 16-year civil war. The study population comprised a representative cohort (n = 1,786) of middle-aged and older men and women who, in 1983, participated in a community-based health interview survey. In 1993, the authors traced 87.7 % of the original cohort (n = 1,567) and assessed their vital status, exposure to war-related events, and, in case they had died, cause of death. War experiences were aggregated into different clusters according to type of exposure, realm affected (human vs. property losses), and person central to the event. Women, but not men, had a significantly elevated CVD mortality risk for exposures to human traumas that occurred to them (rate ratio = 3.37, 95% confidence interval: 1.41, 8.05) or their families (rate ratio = 1.45, 95% confidence interval: 1.20, 1.74). Exposure to property losses and work-related problems carried a greater mortality risk for men, particularly those with lower levels of education, than for women. Subjects displaced during the war had a significantly higher risk for CVD and total mortality. These results suggest that, during prolonged wars, different elements of exposures have a long-term impact on mortality, with effects varying by gender and socioeconomic resources.

occupational physical activity and the development of impaired mobility: the 12-year follow-up of the Baltimore Epidemiologic Catchment Area sample.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between occupational physical activity and self-reported disability. DESIGN: Population-based case control analysis of a longitudinal population-based study in east Baltimore. Eligible participants were aged 18 to 29 yr in 1981, had complete information on occupation in 1981, no disability with tasks related to the domain of mobility in 1981, and complete information on mobility function in 1993 (n = 174). Occupations were divided into low, moderate, and high metabolic equivalents based on job category in 1981. The main outcome measure was disability defined by self-report of difficulty in one or more of five exercise mobility tasks in 1993. RESULTS: Of 174 eligible participants, 45 (26%) reported the onset of disability at follow-up in 1993. A crude odds ratio of 0.25 (95% confidence interval, 0.06, 0.82) was found for the association of moderate compared with low occupational physical activity and the risk of incident disability in mobility tasks. After adjustments to control for possible confounders, moderate job metabolic activity (1.8-2.9 Mets) was independently protective against disability in this cohort (odds ratio = 0.25; 95% confidence interval = 0.083, 0.783). CONCLUSION: In this cohort of people aged 18 to 29 yr, a moderate amount of occupational physical activity was protective against disability in mobility tasks.

Major depression and cancer: the 13-year follow-up of the Baltimore epidemiologic catchment area sample (United States).

OBJECTIVE: The relationship between depression and development of cancer is not well understood, with some studies finding a significant but small increase in risk for cancer among persons with depression. No studies have employed standardized interviews keyed to the diagnostic criteria for Major Depression. Our objective was to evaluate the relationship between Major Depression at baseline and new onset of cancer at follow-up. METHOD: The study was based on a population-based 13-year follow-up survey of community-dwelling adults living in East Baltimore in 1981. After excluding 372 persons with a history of cancer or those whom reported their health as poor at the baseline interview, 3109 adults remained. Information on baseline depression status and cancer at follow-up was available for 2017 persons. A diagnosis of cancer was ascertained at follow-up through interview of survivors and from death certificates. RESULTS: There were 203 new cases of cancer among 2017 persons at risk. Neither Major Depression (relative risk (RR) = 1.0, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.5-2.1) nor dysphoric episode (RR = 1.3, 95% CI 0.9-1.9) were significantly associated with increased risk of cancer at follow-up. However, among women with Major Depression, the risk of breast cancer was increased (adjusted RR = 3.8, 95% CI 1.0-14.2). CONCLUSIONS: We found no overall association of depression with cancer. However, among women, Major Depression (but not dysphoric episode alone) was associated with the onset of breast cancer.

Mental disorders and the incidence of migraine headaches in a community sample: results from the Baltimore Epidemiologic Catchment area follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: The cross-sectional relation between migraine headaches and affective disorders has been demonstrated in studies of clinical and community populations. Few studies have investigated the prospective relation between psychiatric disorders and migraine headaches. METHODS: A prospective follow-up of the Baltimore, Md, cohort of the Epidemiologic Catchment Area Study assessed psychopathologic features in 1981 and again between 1993 and 1996. Interviews included a history of headaches at baseline and self-reported assessment of migraine headaches at follow-up. Risk estimates for incident migraine headaches by 1981 demographic variables and psychopathologic features were calculated. The cross-sectional association between prevalent migraine and lifetime psychiatric diagnoses was estimated. RESULTS: In the at-risk population of 1343, there were 118 incident cases of migraine headaches. The age- and sex-specific incident rates of migraine headaches followed the expected patterns, with younger age and female sex identified as risk factors. In cross-sectional analyses, major depression (odds ratio, 3.14; 95% confidence interval, 2.03-4. 84) and panic disorder (odds ratio, 5.09; 95% confidence interval, 2. 65-9.79) had the strongest associations, and alcohol and other substance abuse were not associated. In logistic regression models including age, sex, and psychiatric illness in 1981, only phobia was predictive of incident migraines (odds ratio, 1.70; 95% confidence interval, 1.11-2.58). Affective disorders were not predictive of incident migraine headaches. Including a history of tricyclic antidepressant use did not change the results. CONCLUSIONS: There is a strong cross-sectional relation between affective disorders and migraine headaches in this cohort. However, there is no association between antecedent affective disorders and incident migraine headaches in this population-based prospective study.

Loss as a determinant of PTSD in a cohort of adult survivors of the 1988 earthquake in Armenia: implications for policy.

OBJECTIVE: To study the relationship of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) to severity of the disaster experience. METHOD: A sample of 1785 adult participants of an epidemiological study initiated in the immediate aftermath of the 1988 earthquake in Armenia were interviewed about 2 years following the disaster based on the NIMH DIS-Disaster Supplement. All 154 cases of pure PTSD were compared with 583 controls without symptoms satisfying psychiatric diagnoses of interest. RESULTS: PTSD cases included more persons from areas with the worst destruction. Having the highest level of education compared to lowest (OR 0.6 [95% CI 0.4-0.9]), being accompanied at the moment of the earthquake (OR 0.6 [95% CI 0.4-0.9]) and making new friends after the earthquake (OR 0.6 [95% CI 0.5-0.8]) were protective for PTSD. PTSD risk increased with the total amount of loss to the family (OR for highest level of loss 4.1 [95% CI 2.3-7.5]). CONCLUSION: Based on this large population sample, we believe that early support to survivors with high levels of loss may reduce PTSD following earthquakes.

The relation between Chlamydia pneumoniae infection and abdominal aortic aneurysm: case-control study.

Due to recent interest in the role of Chlamydia pneumoniae as a pathogen of the vascular system, a case-control study was conducted to investigate the association between serological evidence of infection with C. pneumoniae and the occurrence of abdominal aortic aneurysm. Detectable IgG antibody to C. pneumoniae was more common among abdominal aortic aneurysm cases than among control patients (adjusted odds ratio, 5.97; P = .08), as was detectable IgM antibody (10% vs. 0%; P = .02). These findings suggest that infection with C. pneumoniae may play a role in the pathogenesis of abdominal aortic aneurysm; therefore, further research in this area is warranted.

Interaction of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 and human herpesvirus type 8 infections on the incidence of Kaposi's sarcoma.

To determine Kaposi's sarcoma (KS) risk related to timing of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) and human herpesvirus type 8 (HHV-8) infections, stored longitudinal sera from 400 homosexual men with known dates of HIV-1 seroconversion (+/-4.5 months) were tested for HHV-8 antibody. Times from HHV-8 seroconversion to KS were compared for the 69 men who became infected with HHV-8 after acquiring HIV-1 to the 182 men who were HHV-8 seropositive before their HIV-1 infection. None developed KS before coinfection. HHV-8 seroconversion after HIV-1 infection increased the risk of KS (risk ratio, 2.55; 95% confidence interval, 1.06-6.10) compared with those infected with HHV-8 before HIV-1. The KS hazards in HHV-8-infected men increased by 60% (P<.001) for each year of HIV-1 infection. Faster CD4 cell loss and higher HIV-1 RNA levels significantly predicted KS. The quicker development of KS in men acquiring HHV-8 after HIV-1 and its association with CD4 slope argues that KS is more likely if HHV-8 infection occurs in an immunocompromised person.

Risk factors for abdominal aortic aneurysm: results of a case-control study.

Abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) have historically been considered to be a manifestation of atherosclerosis. However, there are epidemiologic and biochemical differences between occlusive atherosclerotic disease and aneurysmal disease of the aorta. A case-control study was performed to investigate risk factors for AAA at the two tertiary care hospitals in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada, between June 1992 and December 1995 to investigate risk factors for AAA. Newly diagnosed cases of AAA (n = 98) were compared with non-AAA controls (n = 102), who underwent ultrasound for indications similar to those of the cases. Compared with that for never smokers, the adjusted odds ratio (OR) was 2.75 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.85, 8.91) for 1-19 pack-years, 7.31 (95% CI: 2.44, 21.9) for 20-34 pack-years, 7.35 (95% CI: 2.40, 22.5) for 35-49 pack-years, and 9.55 (95% CI: 2.81, 32.5) for 50 or more pack-years. Other factors significantly associated with AAA were male gender (OR = 2.68, 95% CI: 1.26, 5.73), diastolic blood pressure (OR per 10 mmHg = 1.88, 95% CI: 1.31, 2.69), and family history of AAA (OR = 4.77, 95% CI: 1.26, 18.1). There was an inverse association between diabetes mellitus and AAA (OR = 0.32, 95% CI: 0.12, 0.88). Neither clinical hypercholesterolemia nor serum levels of total cholesterol, low density lipoprotein cholesterol, and high density lipoprotein cholesterol was associated with AAA. The results of this study suggest that the risk factors for AAA differ from those for atherosclerosis and that atherosclerosis per se is not an adequate explanation as the cause of AAAs.

Serum soluble CD23 level correlates with subsequent development of AIDS-related non-Hodgkin's lymphoma.

The cytokine soluble CD23 (sCD23) has been shown to act as a B cell growth factor and to be elevated in serum prior to development of AIDS-related non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (AIDS NHL). To further characterize the elevation of serum sCD23 in AIDS NHL patients and investigate its potential as a diagnostic test, a matched case-control study of AIDS NHL (n = 101) was nested within the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study. Serum sCD23 was measured in cases' and controls' serum specimens at three different time periods (0-6, 6-12, and 12-18 months) and CD4+ thresholds (0-99, 100-199, and 200-299 cells/microl) prior to the case's NHL diagnosis. Changes in serum sCD23 over time were examined in AIDS NHL cases relative to controls, and t tests were performed to determine whether cases' serum sCD23 exceeded that of controls at each time period and CD4+ threshold. Overall, cases' median serum sCD23 levels were approximately double those of controls. Serum sCD23 concentration was positively correlated with lymphocyte counts for both cases and controls. The difference in cases' and controls' serum sCD23 levels became greater as AIDS NHL diagnosis date approached: in the 18 months preceding the case's NHL diagnosis, serum sCD23 was stable in cases but dropped in controls. Although this difference was statistically significant (P < 0.05), it was not clinically significant. It is unlikely that serum sCD23 would make a useful test for AIDS NHL because the magnitude of the difference between cases and controls was small and there was no change in serum sCD23 in cases that would indicate disease.

Elevated HPRT mutation frequencies in aflatoxin-exposed residents of daxin, Qidong county, People's Republic of China.

Molecular biomarkers are becoming increasingly important tools to identify people who are at highest risk of developing cancer. For many years we have been studying residents of Qidong County, People's Republic of China, to examine the combined impact of aflatoxin exposure with other risk factors as contributors to the high liver cancer incidence rates in this region. This study was conducted to determine the effects of aflatoxin exposure, as measured by serum aflatoxin-albumin adduct levels, on somatic mutation frequency in the human hypoxanthine guanine phosphoribosyl transferase gene (HPRT). Subjects were assigned as low or high according to a dichotomization around the population mean of aflatoxin-albumin adducts. HPRT mutant frequency was determined in individuals by a T cell clonal assay and the samples were categorized as low or high according to mean values. Separate analyses were also conducted for the small set of hepatitis B virus surface antigen (HBsAg)-positive and the larger set of HBsAg-negative individuals, known risk factors for liver cancer. An odds ratio of 19.3 (95% confidence interval 2.0, 183) was demonstrated for a high HPRT mutation frequency in individuals with high aflatoxin exposure compared with those with low aflatoxin exposure. This association indicates that aflatoxin-induced DNA damage in T lymphocytes, assessed using the validated surrogate albumin adduct markers, leads to increased mutations reflected as elevated HPRT gene mutations. This cross-sectional study suggests the potential use of mutation frequency of the HPRT gene as a long-term biomarker of aflatoxin exposure in high risk populations.

The long-term outcomes of mental health treatment in a population-based study.

This study examined the long-term outcomes of mental health treatment, specifically individual therapy, group therapy, and pharmacotherapy, in a population-based study. Using a prospective cohort design, the effectiveness of mental health treatment was analyzed on the basis of data from an epidemiological catchment area follow-up study, which assessed health care use and mental health status at 2 times, 15 years apart, in a random sample of Baltimore residents. A cohort of 771 men and women with at least 1 diagnosable Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders disorder was selected from the 1,920 individuals randomly sampled in 1980 who were followed in 1994-1996. The results are consistent with clinical trials on the efficacy of pharmacotherapy and psychotherapy. After controlling for baseline psychopathology, sociodemographic characteristics, and service providers, participants who received group and individual therapy had lower distress at follow-up than those who either received medication or did not seek or receive any treatment. No concomitant reductions in the number of disorders were found, except for a dose-response association between the number of therapy sessions and the number of disorders at follow-up, as well as distress at follow-up.

Long term mortality and morbidity related to degree of damage following the 1998 earthquake in Armenia.

To assess the relation of increased mortality and morbidity to personal loss and damage following the 1988 earthquake in Armenia, the authors conducted a prospective study of mortality and a nested case-control analysis of incident morbidity. Employees of the Armenian Ministry of Health and their immediate families (n = 35,043) who survived the disaster formed the study population. Two sets of interviews with the employees, carried out over a period of 4 years of follow-up, were used as the primary source of data for this study. The highest numbers of deaths from all causes and from heart disease were observed within the first 6 months following the earthquake. The nested case-control analysis of 483 cases of newly reported heart disease and 482 matched non-heart-disease controls revealed that people with increasing levels of loss of material possessions and family members had significant increases in heart disease risk (odds ratios for "loss scores" of 1, 2, and 3 were 1.3, 1.8, and 2.6, respectively). The findings were similar with regard to the relation of damage and loss to newly reported hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and arthritis. The findings of this study support the hypothesis that longer term increased rates of heart disease and chronic disease morbidity following an earthquake are related to the intensity of exposure to disaster-related damage and losses. People sustaining such losses should be closely monitored for increased long term morbidity.

Psychopathology as a predictor of disability: a population-based follow-up study in Baltimore, Maryland.

To determine whether psychopathology is associated with disability as a result of underlying physical illness or whether such psychopathology antedates disability and is an independent determinant of disability, the authors conducted a nested case-control study within the Epidemiologic Catchment Area Follow-up Study in Baltimore, Maryland. From a 1981 random sample of 3,481 persons from Baltimore interviewed for psychopathology, disability, and other comorbidity, 1,920 who were alive in 1993 were traced and were reinterviewed with a similar instrument. Within the study population, 168 new cases of disability were identified as occurring between 1981 and 1993, as measured by the inability to perform activities of daily living. These cases were compared with 1,715 controls who reported no disability. The sociodemographic factors that were significantly related to incident disability in this analysis were age, female gender, and less than a high school education. These comparisons revealed associations of incident disability in activities of daily living with almost all antecedent chronic physical illnesses. Significant age- and gender-adjusted associations were observed between incident disability in activities of daily living and antecedent (in 1981) alcohol abuse and dependence (odds ratio (OR)=2.5, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.5-4.2), major depressive disorder (OR=4.2, 95% CI 2.2-8.3), and phobia (OR=1.9, 95% CI 1.3-2.8). The adjusted odds ratio for the joint effect of antecedent depression and chronic physical illness on incident disability in activities of daily living was 17.0 (95% CI 6.9-41.7). There was a significant independent effect of antecedent major depression on activities of daily living disability. The effect of psychopathology on incident disability is nonspecific as to type of baseline chronic physical illness. Such a finding has important implications for defining strategies to prevent disability.

Alcohol dehydrogenase 3 genotype and risk of oral cavity and pharyngeal cancers.

BACKGROUND: The consumption of alcoholic beverages is a strong risk factor for cancers of the oral cavity and pharynx (oral cancers). Alcohol dehydrogenase type 3 (ADH3) metabolizes ethanol to acetaldehyde, a carcinogen. We evaluated whether individuals homozygous for the fast-metabolizing ADH3(1) allele (ADH3[1-1]) have a greater risk of developing oral cancer in the presence of alcoholic beverage consumption than those with the slow-metabolizing ADH3(2) allele (ADH3[1-2] and ADH3[2-2]). METHODS: As part of a population-based study of oral cancer conducted in Puerto Rico, the ADH3 genotypes of 137 patients with histologically confirmed oral cancer and of 146 control subjects (i.e., individuals with no history of oral cancer) were determined by molecular genetic analysis of oral epithelial cell samples. Risks were estimated by use of multiple logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: Compared with nondrinkers with the ADH3(1-1) genotype, consumers of at least 57 alcoholic drinks per week with the ADH3(1-1), ADH3(1-2), and ADH3(2-2) genotypes had 40.1-fold (95% confidence interval [CI] = 5.4-296.0), 7.0-fold (95% CI = 1.4-35.0), and 4.4-fold (95% CI = 0.6-33.0) increased risks of oral cancer, respectively; the risk associated with the ADH3(1-1) genotype, compared with the ADH3(1-2) and ADH3(2-2) genotypes combined, was 5.3 (95% CI = 1.0-28.8) among such drinkers. Considering all levels of alcohol consumption, the risk of oral cancer per additional alcoholic drink per week increased 3.6% (95% CI = 1.9%-5.4%) for subjects with the ADH3(1-1) genotype and 2.0% (95% CI = 0.9%-3.0%) for subjects with the ADH3(1-2) or ADH3(2-2) genotype (two-sided P = .04). CONCLUSIONS: The ADH3(1-1) genotype appears to substantially increase the risk of ethanol-related oral cancer, thus providing further evidence for the carcinogenicity of acetaldehyde.

Deaths and injuries due to the earthquake in Armenia: a cohort approach.

BACKGROUND: This is the first population-based study of earthquake injuries and deaths that uses a cohort approach to identify factors of high risk. As part of a special project that collected data about the population in the aftermath of the earthquake that hit Northern Armenia on 7 December 1988, employees of the Ministry of Health working in the earthquake zone on 7 December 1988, and their families, were studied as a cohort to assess the short and long term impact of the disaster. The current analysis assesses short term outcomes of injuries and deaths as a direct result of the earthquake. METHODS: From an unduplicated list of 9017 employees, it was possible to contact and interview 7016 employees or their families over a period extending from April 1990 to December 1992. The current analysis presents the determinants of 831 deaths and 1454 injuries that resulted directly from the earthquake in our study population of 32,743 people (employees and their families). RESULTS: Geographical location, being inside a building during the earthquake, height of the building, and location within the upper floors of the building were risk factors for injury and death in the univariate analyses. However, multivariate analyses, using different models, revealed that being in the Spitak region (odds ratio [OR] = 80.9, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 55.5-118.1) and in the city of Gumri (OR = 30.7, 95% CI: 21.4-44.2) and inside a building at the moment of the earthquake (OR = 10.1, 95% CI: 6.5-15.9) were the strongest predictors for death. Although of smaller magnitude, the same factors had significant OR for injuries. Building height was more important as a factor in predicting death than the location of the individual on various floors of the building except for being on the ground floor of the building which was protective. CONCLUSIONS: Considering that most of the high rise buildings destroyed in this earthquake were built using standard techniques, the most effective preventive effort for this disaster would have been appropriate structural approaches prior to the earthquake.

Reductions in high-risk drug use behaviors among participants in the Baltimore needle exchange program.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether enrollment in the Baltimore Needle Exchange Program (NEP) was associated with short-term reduction in risky injection practices. METHODS: Demographic information was collected on NEP participants upon enrollment. A systematic sample of enrollees was interviewed at program entry, 2 weeks, and 6 months later on recent drug-related behaviors. Comparisons were performed using paired t-tests. RESULTS: Among 221 NEP participants who completed baseline, 2-week and 6-month follow-up visits, significant reductions (p < .01) were reported in using a previously used syringe (21.6%, 11.0%, 7.8%, respectively), lending one's used syringe to a friend (26.7%, 18.4%, 12%, respectively), and several indirect sharing activities. Reductions were reported in the mean number of injections per syringe and the mean number of injections per day (p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: These results show rapid and mostly large reductions in a variety of risky injection drug use behaviors. Study findings are consistent with earlier reports showing an association between behavioral risk reduction and participation in a needle exchange program.