A novel, reverse-phase-shifting, thermoreversible foaming hydrogel containing antibiotics for the treatment of thermal burns in a swine model - A pilot study.

BACKGROUND: This study compared a novel topical hydrogel burn dressing (CI-PRJ012) to standard of care (silver sulfadiazine) and to untreated control in a swine thermal burn model, to assess for wound healing properties both in the presence and absence of concomitant bacterial inoculation. METHODS: Eight equal burn wounds were created on six Yorkshire swine. Half the wounds were randomized to post-burn bacterial inoculation. Wounds were subsequently randomized to three treatments groups: no intervention, CI-PRJ012, or silver sulfadiazine cream. At study end, a blinded pathologist evaluated wounds for necrosis and bacterial colonization. RESULTS: When comparing CI-PRJ012 and silver sulfadiazine cream to no treatment, both agents significantly reduced the amount of necrosis and bacteria at 7 days after wound creation (p < 0.01, independently for both). Further, CI-PRJ012 was found to be significantly better than silver sulfadiazine (p < 0.02) in reducing bacterial colonization. For wound necrosis, no significant difference was found between silver sulfadiazine cream and CI-PRJ012 (p = 0.33). CONCLUSIONS: CI-PRJ012 decreases necrosis and bacterial colonization compared to no treatment in a swine model. CI-PRJ012 appeared to perform comparably to silver sulfadiazine. CI-PRJ012, which is easily removed with the application of room-temperature water, may provide clinical advantages over silver sulfadiazine.

Inpatient trial of a tablet app for communicating brain injury rehabilitation goals.

PURPOSE: We examine the use of a custom iPad application, the Rehab Portal, to provide clients in an inpatient brain injury rehabilitation service with access to short videos where clinicians-or the clients themselves-discuss their current rehabilitation goals. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We developed an initial version of the Rehab Portal app based on our previous co-design with service users, their families, and clinicians. This was examined in a field trial with a series of six clients over the course of their stays in inpatient rehabilitation, collecting quantitative data on clinician and client engagement with the Rehab Portal, alongside a thematic analysis of qualitative interviews with clients and clinicians at the point of discharge. RESULTS: Engagement with the platform was high for two clients while it was limited with four more. In our thematic analysis we discuss how introduction of the Rehab Portal disrupted practice, changing how things are done, causing deviation from usual routines, adding burden, and threatening professional integrity. At the same time, where it worked well it led to a repositioning of goal planning away from being clinician directed and towards an ongoing, dynamic collaboration between clinicians, clients and their families. Finally, in some cases we identified a reverting to the status quo, with client demotivation having an unexpected impact on clinician behaviour leading to the process being abandoned. CONCLUSIONS: The current findings do not provide wholesale support for this approach, yet we continue to feel that approaches that support clinician-client communication using asynchronous video may offer considerable future value and are worthy of further investigation.IMPLICATIONS FOR REHABILITATIONThe use of a novel technique to communicate rehabilitation goals via video disrupted practice, changed how things are done, caused deviation from usual routines, added burden, and threatened professional integrity for clinicians.Where it worked well it led to a repositioning of goal planning away from being clinician-directed and towards an ongoing, dynamic collaboration between clinicians, clients and their families.Approaches that support clinician-client communication using asynchronous video may offer considerable future value and are worthy of further investigation.

Thermoreversible Reverse-Phase-Shift Foam for Treatment of Noncompressible Torso Hemorrhage, a Safety Trial in a Porcine Model.

INTRODUCTION: Noncompressible torso hemorrhage is the leading cause of exsanguination on the battlefield. A self-expanding, intraperitoneal deployed, thermoreversible foam has been developed that can be easily administered by a medic in austere settings to temporarily tamponade noncompressible torso hemorrhage. The purpose of this study was to assess the long-term safety and physical characteristics of using Fast Onset Abdominal Management (FOAM; Critical Innovations LLC) in swine. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Yorkshire swine (40-60 kg) were sedated, intubated, and placed on ventilatory support. An external jugular catheter was placed for sampling of blood. Continuous heart rate, temperature, saturation of peripheral oxygen, end-tidal carbon dioxide, and peak airway pressures were monitored for a 4-hour period after intervention (i.e., FOAM agent injection or a sham introducer without agent delivery). The FOAM agent was injected to obtain an intra-abdominal pressure of 60 mmHg for at least 10 minutes. After 4 hours, the animals were removed from ventilatory support and returned to their housing for a period of 7-14 days. Group size analysis was not performed, as this was a descriptive safety study. Blood samples were obtained at baseline and at 1-hour post-intervention and then on days 1, 3, 7, and 14. Euthanasia, necropsy, and harvesting of samples for histologic analysis (from kidneys, terminal ilium, liver, pancreas, stomach, spleen, and lungs) were performed upon expiration. Histologic scoring for evidence of ischemia, necrosis, and abdominal compartment sequela was blinded and reported by semi-quantitative scale (range 0-4; 0 = no change, 1 = minimal, 2 = mild, 3 = moderate, and 4 = marked). Oregon Health & Science University's Institutional Animal Care and Use Committee, as well as the U.S. Army Animal Care and Use Review Office, approved this protocol before the initiation of experiments (respectively, protocol numbers IP00003591 and MT180006.e002). RESULTS: Five animals met a priori inclusion criteria, and all of these survived to their scheduled endpoints. Two animals received sham injections of the FOAM agent (one euthanized on day 7 and one on day 14), and three animals received FOAM agent injections (one euthanized on day 7 and two on day 14). A transitory increase in creatinine and lactate was detected during the first day in the FOAM injected swine but resolved by day 3. No FOAM agent was observed in the peritoneal cavity upon necropsy at day 7 or 14. Histologic data revealed no clinically relevant differences in any organ system between intervention and control animals upon sacrifice at day 7 or 14. CONCLUSIONS: This study describes the characteristics, survival, and histological analysis of using FOAM in a porcine model. In our study, FOAM reached the desired intra-abdominal pressure endpoint while not significantly altering basic hematologic parameters, except for transient elevations of creatinine and lactate on day 1. Furthermore, there was no clinical or histological relevant evidence of ischemia, necrosis, or intra-abdominal compartment syndrome. These results provide strong support for the safety of the FOAM device and will support the design of further regulatory studies in swine and humans.

Intrinsic Folding Properties of the HLA-B27 Heavy Chain Revealed by Single Chain Trimer Versions of Peptide-Loaded Class I Major Histocompatibility Complex Molecules.

Peptide-loaded Major Histocompatibility Complex (pMHC) class I molecules can be expressed in a single chain trimeric (SCT) format, composed of a specific peptide fused to the light chain beta-2 microglobulin (ß2m) and MHC class I heavy chain (HC) by flexible linker peptides. pMHC SCTs have been used as effective molecular tools to investigate cellular immunity and represent a promising vaccine platform technology, due to their intracellular folding and assembly which is apparently independent of host cell folding pathways and chaperones. However, certain MHC class I HC molecules, such as the Human Leukocyte Antigen B27 (HLA-B27) allele, present a challenge due to their tendency to form HC aggregates. We constructed a series of single chain trimeric molecules to determine the behaviour of the HLA-B27 HC in a scenario that usually allows for efficient MHC class I molecule folding. When stably expressed, a pMHC SCT incorporating HLA-B27 HC formed chaperone-bound homodimers within the endoplasmic reticulum (ER). A series of HLA-B27 SCT substitution mutations revealed that the F pocket and antigen binding groove regions of the HLA-B27 HC defined the folding and dimerisation of the single chain complex, independently of the peptide sequence. Furthermore, pMHC SCTs can demonstrate variability in their association with the intracellular antigen processing machinery.

Contribution of warm habitat to cold-water fisheries.

A central tenet of landscape ecology is that mobile species depend on complementary habitats, which are insufficient in isolation, but combine to support animals through the full annual cycle. However, incorporating the dynamic needs of mobile species into conservation strategies remains a challenge, particularly in the context of climate adaptation planning. For cold-water fishes, it is widely assumed that maximum temperatures are limiting and that summer data alone can predict refugia and population persistence. We tested these assumptions in populations of redband rainbow trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss newberrii) in an arid basin, where the dominance of hot, hyperproductive water in summer emulates threats of climate change predicted for cold-water fish in other basins. We used telemetry to reveal seasonal patterns of movement and habitat use. Then, we compared contributions of hot and cool water to growth with empirical indicators of diet and condition (gut contents, weight-length ratios, electric phase angle, and stable isotope signatures) and a bioenergetics model. During summer, trout occurred only in cool tributaries or springs (<20 °C) and avoided Upper Klamath Lake (>25 °C). During spring and fall, ≥65% of trout migrated to the lake (5-50 km) to forage. Spring and fall growth (mean [SD] 0.58% per day [0.80%] and 0.34 per day [0.55%], respectively) compensated for a net loss of energy in cool summer refuges (-0.56% per day [0.55%]). In winter, ≥90% of trout returned to tributaries (25-150 km) to spawn. Thus, although perennially cool tributaries supported thermal refuge and spawning, foraging opportunities in the seasonally hot lake ultimately fueled these behaviors. Current approaches to climate adaptation would prioritize the tributaries for conservation but would devalue critical foraging habitat because the lake is unsuitable and unoccupied during summer. Our results empirically demonstrate that warm water can fuel cold-water fisheries and challenge the common practice of identifying refugia based only on summer conditions.

RESUMEN: Un principio central de la ecología de paisaje es que las especies ambulantes dependen de hábitats complementarios, los cuales son insuficientes en aislamiento, pero al combinarse mantienen a los animales durante el ciclo anual completo. Sin embargo, la incorporación de las necesidades dinámicas de las especies ambulantes dentro de las estrategias de conservación todavía es un reto, particularmente en el contexto de la planeación de la adaptación climática. Para los peces de agua fría, generalmente se asume que las temperaturas máximas son limitantes y que los datos estivales son suficientes para predecir refugios y la persistencia poblacional. Pusimos a prueba estas suposiciones en poblaciones de trucha arcoíris (Oncorhynchus mykiss newberrii) de una cuenca árida, en donde el dominio de aguas cálidas e hiperproductivas durante el verano emula las amenazas del cambio climático pronosticadas para los peces de agua fría en otras cuencas. Usamos telemetría para descubrir los patrones estacionales de movimiento y uso de hábitat. Después, comparamos las contribuciones que tienen las aguas cálidas y frías al crecimiento con indicadores empíricos de dieta y condición (contenidos intestinales, proporciones peso-longitud, ángulo de fase eléctrica y huellas de isotopos estables) y un modelo bioenergético. Durante el verano, las truchas sólo estuvieron presentes en manantiales o afluentes fríos (<20°C) y evitaron el Lago Klamath Superior (>25°C). Durante la primavera y el otoño, ≥65% de las truchas migraron al lago (5-50 km) para procurar alimento. El crecimiento durante la primavera y el otoño (media [SD] 0.58% día-1 [0.80%] y 0.34 día-1 [0.55%], respectivamente) compensaron la pérdida neta de energía en los refugios fríos durante el verano (-0.56% día-1 [0.55%]). En el invierno, ≥90% de las truchas regresaron a los afluentes (25-150 km) para desovar. Entonces, mientras que los afluentes perennemente fríos fomentaron los refugios termales y el desove, fueron las oportunidades de alimentación en el lago cálido estacional las que finalmente alentaron estos comportamientos. Las estrategias actuales de adaptación climática pondrían como prioridad de conservación a los afluentes, pero devaluarían el hábitat crítico de alimentación porque el lago está desocupado y no es apto durante el verano. Nuestros resultados demuestran empíricamente que las aguas cálidas pueden promover las pesquerías de aguas frías y desafiar la práctica común de identificar refugios basándose solamente en las condiciones estivales.

20-year-old woman • 2 syncopal episodes • nausea • dizziness • Dx?

► 2 syncopal episodes ► Nausea ► Dizziness.

Efficacy of past, present, and future fluid strategies in an improved large animal model of non-compressible intra-abdominal hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: Noncompressible hemorrhage is a leading cause of potentially survivable combat death, with the vast majority of such deaths occurring in the out-of-hospital environment. While large animal models of this process are important for device and therapeutic development, clinical practice has changed over time and past models must follow suit. Developed in conjunction with regulatory feedback, this study presents a modernized, out-of-hospital, noncompressible hemorrhage model, in conjunction with a randomized study of past, present, and future fluid options following a hypotensive resuscitation protocol consistent with current clinical practice. METHODS: We performed a randomized controlled experiment comparing three fluid resuscitation options in Yorkshire swine. Baseline data from animals of same size from previous experiments were analyzed (n = 70), and mean systolic blood pressure was determined, with a permissive hypotension resuscitation target defined as a 25% decrease from normal (67 mm Hg). After animal preparation, a grade IV to V liver laceration was induced. Animals bled freely for a 10-minute "time-to-responder" period, after which resuscitation occurred with randomized fluid in boluses to the goal target: 6% hetastarch in lactated electrolyte injection (HEX), normal saline (NS), or fresh whole blood (FWB). Animals were monitored for a total simulated "delay to definitive care" period of 2 hours postinjury. RESULTS: At the end of the 2-hour study period, 8.3% (1 of 12 swine) of the HEX group, 50% (6 of 12 swine) of the NS group, and 75% (9 of 12 swine) of the FWB had survived (p = 0.006), with Holm-Sidak pairwise comparisons showing a significant difference between HEX and FWB and (p = 0.005). Fresh whole blood had significantly higher systemic vascular resistance and hemoglobin levels compared with other groups (p = 0.003 and p = 0.001, respectively). CONCLUSION: Survival data support the movement away from HEX toward NS and, preferably, FWB in clinical practice and translational animal modeling. The presented model allows for future research including basic science, as well as translational studies of novel diagnostics, therapeutics, and devices.

Temperature, emergence phenology and consumption drive seasonal shifts in fish growth and production across riverscapes.

Changes in biophysical conditions through time generate spatial and temporal variability in habitat quality across landscapes. For river ecosystems, researchers are increasingly able to characterize spatial and temporal patterns in habitat conditions, referred to as shifting habitat mosaics, yet rarely demonstrate how this translates into corresponding biological processes such as organism growth and production. We assessed spatial patterns and processes determining seasonal changes in juvenile Chinook Salmon Oncorhynchus tshawytscha size, growth and production over 30-40 km in two NE Oregon subbasins. We quantified seasonal patterns of growth by combining estimated emergence dates and body size distributions in July and September. We then used analysis of bioenergetics, empirical fish diets and spatial models incorporating temperature, habitat and population density to evaluate mechanisms driving spatiotemporal patterns of growth. Lastly, we quantified seasonal contributions to individual fish growth and to total production as a function of position within the stream network. Spatial heterogeneity in incubation temperatures corresponded to later estimated emergence timing with distance upstream in both subbasins. During spring, estimated growth rates decreased with distance upstream, and coupled with emergence patterns, resulted in pronounced longitudinal gradients in body size by July. During summer, spatial patterns of growth reversed, with greater diet ration sizes and growth efficiencies upstream than downstream. These opposing spatiotemporal patterns of emergence timing and seasonal growth rates produced longitudinal gradients in the proportion of fish growth achieved in spring versus summer, with up to 80% of an individual's growth occurring in spring at downstream sites but as low as 10% at upstream sites. Coupling longitudinal patterns of fish density and growth revealed that in one subbasin the majority (65%) of total production occurred in spring, while in the other, in which fish were concentrated in headwaters, the majority (60%) of production occurred in summer. While recent work has emphasized inter-annual shifts in fish production across large spatial scales, this study demonstrates that longitudinal gradients of fish growth and production can reverse across seasons, and reveals important contributions of warmer, downstream habitats to overall production that occurred during cooler times of the year.

The importance of warm habitat to the growth regime of cold-water fishes.

A common goal of biological adaptation planning is to identify and prioritize locations that remain suitably cool during summer. This implicitly devalues areas that are ephemerally warm, even if they are suitable most of the year for mobile animals. Here we develop an alternative conceptual framework, the growth regime, which considers seasonal and landscape variation in physiological performance, focusing on riverine fish. Using temperature models for 14 river basins, we show that growth opportunities propagate up and down river networks on a seasonal basis, and that downstream habitats that are suboptimally warm in summer may actually provide the majority of growth potential expressed annually. We demonstrate with an agent-based simulation that shoulder-season use of warmer downstream habitats can fuel annual fish production. Our work reveals a synergy between cold and warm habitats that could be fundamental for supporting coldwater fisheries, highlighting the risk in conservation strategies that underappreciate warm habitats.

Thermoreversible Reverse-Phase-Shift Foam for Treatment of Noncompressible Torso Hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: Noncompressible torso hemorrhage (NCTH) is a leading cause of traumatic exsanguination, requiring emergent damage control surgery performed by a highly trained surgeon in a sterile operating environment. A self-expanding, intraabdominally deployed, thermoreversible foam is one proposed method to potentially task shift temporizing hemostasis to earlier providers and additional settings. The purpose of this study was to assess the feasibility of using Fast Onset Abdominal Management (FOAM) in a lethal swine model of NCTH. METHODS: This was a proof-of-concept study comparing FOAM intervention in large Yorkshire swine to historical control animals in the established Ross-Burns model of NCTH. After animal preparation, a Grade IV liver laceration was surgically induced, followed by a free bleed period of 10 min. FOAM was then deployed to a goal intraabdominal pressure of 60 mm Hg for 5 min, followed by a total 60-min observation period following injury. RESULTS: At the end of the experiment, the FOAM agent was found to be distributed throughout the peritoneal cavity in all animals, without signs of iatrogenic injury. The FOAM group demonstrated a significantly higher mean arterial pressure compared with historical controls and a trend toward improved survival: 82% (9/11) compared with 50% for controls (7/14; P = 0.082). CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to describe the use of a thermoresponsive foam to manage NCTH and successfully demonstrated proof-of-concept feasibility of FOAM deployment. These results provide strong support for future, higher-powered studies to confirm improved survival with this novel intervention.

Emerging Perspectives on Resource Tracking and Animal Movement Ecology.

Resource tracking, where animals increase energy gain by moving to track phenological variation in resources across space, is emerging as a fundamental attribute of animal movement ecology. However, a theoretical framework to understand when and where resource tracking should occur, and how resource tracking should lead to emergent ecological patterns, is lacking. We present a framework that unites concepts from optimal foraging theory and landscape ecology, which can be used to generate and test predictions on how resource dynamics shape animal movement across taxa, systems, and scales. Consideration of the interplay between animal movement and resource dynamics not only advances ecological understanding but can also guide biodiversity conservation in an era of global change.

Aerial surveys cause large but ephemeral decreases in bear presence at salmon streams in Kodiak, Alaska.

Aerial surveys are often used to monitor wildlife and fish populations, but rarely are the effects on animal behavior documented. For over 30 years, the Kodiak National Wildlife Refuge has conducted low-altitude aerial surveys to assess Kodiak brown bear (Ursus arctos middendorffi) space use and demographic composition when bears are seasonally congregated near salmon spawning streams in southwestern Kodiak Island, Alaska. Salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) are an important bear food and salmon runs are brief, so decreases in time spent fishing for salmon may reduce salmon consumption by bears. The goal of this study was to apply different and complementary field methods to evaluate the response of bears to these aerial surveys. Ground-based counts at one stream indicated 62% of bears departed the 200m-wide survey zone in response to aerial surveys, but bear counts returned to pre-survey abundance after only three hours. Although this effect was brief, survey flights occurred during the hours of peak daily bear activity (morning and evening), so the three-hour disruption appeared to result in a 25% decline in cumulative daily detections by 38 time-lapse cameras deployed along 10 salmon streams. Bear responses varied by sex-male bears were much more likely than female bears (with or without cubs) to depart streams and female bears with GPS collars did not move from streams following surveys. Although bears displaced by aerial surveys may consume fewer salmon, the actual effect on their fitness depends on whether they compensate by foraging at other times or by switching to other nutritious resources. Data from complementary sources allows managers to more robustly understand the impacts of surveys and whether their benefits are justified. Similar assessments should be made on alternative techniques such as Unmanned Aerial Vehicles and non-invasive sampling to determine whether they supply equivalent data while limiting bear disturbance.

Massive-Scale Binding Free Energy Simulations of HIV Integrase Complexes Using Asynchronous Replica Exchange Framework Implemented on the IBM WCG Distributed Network.

To perform massive-scale replica exchange molecular dynamics (REMD) simulations for calculating binding free energies of protein-ligand complexes, we implemented the asynchronous replica exchange (AsyncRE) framework of the binding energy distribution analysis method (BEDAM) in implicit solvent on the IBM World Community Grid (WCG) and optimized the simulation parameters to reduce the overhead and improve the prediction power of the WCG AsyncRE simulations. We also performed the first massive-scale binding free energy calculations using the WCG distributed computing grid and 301 ligands from the SAMPL4 challenge for large-scale binding free energy predictions of HIV-1 integrase complexes. In total there are ∼10000 simulated complexes, ∼1 million replicas, and ∼2000 µs of aggregated MD simulations. Running AsyncRE MD simulations on the WCG requires accepting a trade-off between the number of replicas that can be run (breadth) and the number of full RE cycles that can be completed per replica (depth). As compared with synchronous Replica Exchange (SyncRE) running on tightly coupled clusters like XSEDE, on the WCG many more replicas can be launched simultaneously on heterogeneous distributed hardware, but each full RE cycle requires more overhead. We compared the WCG results with that from AutoDock and more advanced RE simulations including the use of flattening potentials to accelerate sampling of selected degrees of freedom of ligands and/or receptors related to slow dynamics due to high energy barriers. We propose a suitable strategy of RE simulations to refine high throughput docking results which can be matched to corresponding computing resources: from HPC clusters, to small or medium-size distributed campus grids, and finally to massive-scale computing networks including millions of CPUs like the resources available on the WCG.

Migratory coupling between predators and prey.

Animal migrations act to couple ecosystems and are undertaken by some of the world's most endangered taxa. Predators often exploit migrant prey, but the movements taken by these consumers are rarely studied or understood. We define such movements, where migrant prey induce large-scale movements of predators, as migratory coupling. Migratory coupling can have ecological consequences for the participating prey, predators and the communities they traverse across the landscape. We review examples of migratory coupling in the literature and provide hypotheses regarding conditions favourable for their occurrence. We also provide a framework for interactions induced by migratory coupling and demonstrate their potential community-level impacts by examining other forms of spatial shifts in predators. Migratory coupling integrates the fields of landscape, movement, food web and community ecologies, and represents an understudied frontier in ecology.

Phenological tracking associated with increased salmon consumption by brown bears.

There is growing interest in the ecological significance of phenological diversity, particularly in how spatially variable resource phenologies (i.e. resource waves) prolong foraging opportunities for mobile consumers. While there is accumulating evidence of consumers moving across landscapes to surf resource waves, there is little data quantifying how phenological tracking influences resource consumption due to the challenge of documenting all the components of this ecological phenomenon (i.e., phenological variation, consumer movement, resource consumption, and consumer fitness). We examined the space use of GPS collared female brown bears to quantify the exploitation of a salmon resource wave by individual bears. We then estimated salmon consumption levels in the same individuals using stable isotope and mercury analyses of hair. We found strong positive relationships between time spent on salmon streams and percent salmon in assimilated diets (R2 = 0.70) and salmon mass consumed (R2 = 0.49). Salmon abundance varied 2.5-fold between study years, yet accounting for salmon abundance did not improve salmon consumption models. Resource abundance generally is viewed as the key variable controlling consumption levels and food web dynamics. However, our results suggest that in intact watersheds of coastal Alaska with abundant salmon runs, interannual variation in salmon abundance likely has less effect on salmon consumption than individual variation in bear foraging behavior. The results complement previous work to demonstrate the importance of phenological variation on bear foraging behavior and fitness.

Phenological synchronization disrupts trophic interactions between Kodiak brown bears and salmon.

Climate change is altering the seasonal timing of life cycle events in organisms across the planet, but the magnitude of change often varies among taxa [Thackeray SJ, et al. (2016) Nature 535:241-245]. This can cause the temporal relationships among species to change, altering the strength of interaction. A large body of work has explored what happens when coevolved species shift out of sync, but virtually no studies have documented the effects of climate-induced synchronization, which could remove temporal barriers between species and create novel interactions. We explored how a predator, the Kodiak brown bear (Ursus arctos middendorffi), responded to asymmetric phenological shifts between its primary trophic resources, sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) and red elderberry (Sambucus racemosa). In years with anomalously high spring air temperatures, elderberry fruited several weeks earlier and became available during the period when salmon spawned in tributary streams. Bears departed salmon spawning streams, where they typically kill 25-75% of the salmon [Quinn TP, Cunningham CJ, Wirsing AJ (2016) Oecologia 183:415-429], to forage on berries on adjacent hillsides. This prey switching behavior attenuated an iconic predator-prey interaction and likely altered the many ecological functions that result from bears foraging on salmon [Helfield JM, Naiman RJ (2006) Ecosystems 9:167-180]. We document how climate-induced shifts in resource phenology can alter food webs through a mechanism other than trophic mismatch. The current emphasis on singular consumer-resource interactions fails to capture how climate-altered phenologies reschedule resource availability and alter how energy flows through ecosystems.

Who Should Pick the Winners of Climate Change?

Many conservation strategies identify a narrow subset of genotypes, species, or geographic locations that are predicted to be favored under different scenarios of future climate change. However, a focus on predicted winners, which might not prove to be correct, risks undervaluing the balance of biological diversity from which climate-change winners could otherwise emerge. Drawing on ecology, evolutionary biology, and portfolio theory, we propose a conservation approach designed to promote adaptation that is less dependent on uncertain predictions about the identity of winners and losers. By designing actions to facilitate numerous opportunities for selection across biological and environmental conditions, we can allow nature to pick the winners and increase the probability that ecosystems continue to provide services to humans and other species.

Adaptive capacity at the northern front: sockeye salmon behaviourally thermoregulate during novel exposure to warm temperatures.

As climate change increases maximal water temperatures, behavioural thermoregulation may be crucial for the persistence of coldwater fishes, such as salmonids. Although myriad studies have documented behavioural thermoregulation in southern populations of salmonids, few if any have explored this phenomenon in northern populations, which are less likely to have an evolutionary history of heat stress, yet are predicted to experience substantial warming. Here, we treated a rare heat wave as a natural experiment to test whether wild sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) at the northern extent of their primary range (60° latitude) can thermoregulate in response to abnormally high thermal conditions. We tagged adult sockeye salmon with temperature loggers as they staged in a lake epilimnion prior to spawning in small cold streams (n = 40 recovered loggers). As lake surface temperatures warmed to physiologically suboptimal levels (15-20°C), sockeye salmon thermoregulated by moving to tributary plumes or the lake metalimnion. A regression of fish body temperature against lake surface temperature indicated that fish moved to cooler waters when the epilimnion temperature exceeded ~12°C. A bioenergetics model suggested that the observed behaviour reduced daily metabolic costs by as much as ~50% during the warmest conditions (18-20°C). These results provide rare evidence of cool-seeking thermoregulation at the poleward extent of a species range, emphasizing the potential ubiquity of maximal temperature constraints and the functional significance of thermal heterogeneity for buffering poikilotherms from climate change.

Kodiak brown bears surf the salmon red wave: direct evidence from GPS collared individuals.

A key constraint faced by consumers is achieving a positive energy balance in the face of temporal variation in foraging opportunities. Recent work has shown that spatial heterogeneity in resource phenology can buffer mobile consumers from this constraint by allowing them to track changes in resource availability across space. For example, salmon populations spawn asynchronously across watersheds, causing high-quality foraging opportunities to propagate across the landscape, prolonging the availability of salmon at the regional scale. However, we know little about how individual consumers integrate across phenological variation or the benefits they receive by doing so. Here, we present direct evidence that individual brown bears track spatial variation in salmon phenology. Data from 40 GPS collared brown bears show that bears visited multiple spawning sites in synchrony with the order of spawning phenology. The number of sites used was correlated with the number of days a bear exploited salmon, suggesting the phenological variation in the study area influenced bear access to salmon, a resource which strongly influences bear fitness. Fisheries managers attempting to maximize harvest while maintaining ecosystem function should strive to protect the population diversity that underlies the phenological variation used by wildlife consumers.

Resource waves: phenological diversity enhances foraging opportunities for mobile consumers.

Time can be a limiting constraint for consumers, particularly when resource phenology mediates foraging opportunity. Though a large body of research has explored how resource phenology influences trophic interactions, this work has focused on the topics of trophic mismatch or predator swamping, which typically occur over short periods, at small spatial extents or coarse resolutions. In contrast many consumers integrate across landscape heterogeneity in resource phenology, moving to track ephemeral food sources that propagate across space as resource waves. Here we provide a conceptual framework to advance the study of phenological diversity and resource waves. We define resource waves, review evidence of their importance in recent case studies, and demonstrate their broader ecological significance with a simulation model. We found that consumers ranging from fig wasps (Chalcidoidea) to grizzly bears (Ursus arctos) exploit resource waves, integrating across phenological diversity to make resource aggregates available for much longer than their component parts. In model simulations, phenological diversity was often more important to consumer energy gain than resource abundance per se. Current ecosystem-based management assumes that species abundance mediates the strength of trophic interactions. Our results challenge this assumption and highlight new opportunities for conservation and management. Resource waves are an emergent property of consumer-resource interactions and are broadly significant in ecology and conservation.