IBD prevalence in Lothian, Scotland, derived by capture-recapture methodology.

OBJECTIVE: IBD prevalence is estimated to be rising, but no detailed, recent UK data are available. The last reported prevalence estimate in the UK was 0.40% in 2003. We aimed to establish the current, and project future, prevalence in Lothian, Scotland. DESIGN: We conducted an all-age multiparameter search strategy using inpatient IBD international classification of disease (ICD-10) coding (K50/51)(1997-2018), IBD pathology coding (1990-2018), primary and secondary care prescribing data (2009-2018) and a paediatric registry, (1997-2018) to identify 'possible' IBD cases up to 31/08/2018. Diagnoses were manually confirmed through electronic health record review as per Lennard-Jones/Porto criteria. Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) regression was applied to forecast prevalence to 01/08/2028. RESULTS: In total, 24 601 possible IBD cases were identified of which 10 499 were true positives. The point prevalence for IBD in Lothian on 31/08/2018 was 784/100 000 (UC 432/100 000, Crohn's disease 284/100 000 and IBD unclassified (IBDU) 68/100 000). Capture-recapture methods identified an additional 427 'missed' cases (95% CI 383 to 477) resulting in a 'true' prevalence of 832/100 000 (95% CI 827 to 837).Prevalence increased by 4.3% per year between 2008 and 2018 (95% CI +3.7 to +4.9%, p<0.0001). ARIMA modelling projected a point prevalence on 01/08/2028 of 1.02% (95% CI 0.97% to 1.07%) that will affect an estimated 1.53% (95% CI 1.37% to 1.69%) of those >80 years of age. CONCLUSIONS: We report a rigorously validated IBD cohort with all-age point prevalence on 31/08/2018 of 1 in 125, one of the highest worldwide.

Therapeutic options in acute severe ulcerative colitis.

Ulcerative colitis is a relapsing-remitting inflammatory disease affecting the colon and is associated with considerable morbidity. In acute severe attacks, there continues to be an associated mortality rate of 1-2%, even in specialist units. During an acute severe exacerbation, approximately two-thirds of patients will respond to intravenous corticosteroid therapy, the accepted first-line therapy in such cases. For steroid-refractory patients, options are limited to surgery (colectomy) or second-line agents, such as ciclosporin or infliximab, used in an attempt to salvage the colon. Considerable debate exists over the optimal management of such patients. During the last decade, an increased understanding of the pathogenesis of inflammatory bowel disease has led to the rapid development of other biological agents, such as basiliximab and visilizumab. Novel methods, such as leucopheresis, have been studied and other established immunomodulatory agents, such as tacrolimus, have also been suggested. The purpose of this review is to highlight some of the areas of recent development in the treatment of acute severe ulcerative colitis and review important safety data, with a particular emphasis on biological agents.

Technology insight: the application of proteomics in gastrointestinal disease.

Analysis of the human genome has increased our knowledge of the genes that are associated with disease. At the same time, however, it has become clear that having complete DNA sequences alone is not sufficient to elucidate the biological functions of the proteins that they encode. For this reason, proteomics-the analysis of proteins-has become increasingly attractive, because the proteome reflects both the intrinsic genetic programming of a cell and the impact of its immediate environment. The principal goals of clinical proteomics are to identify biomarkers for the early diagnosis of disease and potential targets for therapeutic intervention. Other goals include the identification of biomarkers for the early detection of disease recurrence (relapse) and how they might be combined with diagnostic imaging techniques to improve the sensitivity for detecting disease. This Review describes conventional proteomic technologies, their strengths and limitations, and demonstrates their application to clinical practice, with specific reference to their use in the gastroenterology field.