Insights and Challenges for the Development of Mosquito Control Action Thresholds Using Historical Mosquito Surveillance and Climate Datasets.

Strategies to advance action threshold development can benefit both civilian and military vector control operations. The Anastasia Mosquito Control District (AMCD) has curated an extensive record database of surveillance programs and operational control activities in St. Johns County, Florida, since 2004. A thorough exploratory data analysis was performed on historical mosquito surveillance and county-wide climate data to identify climate predictors that could be used in constructing proactive threshold models for initiating control of Aedes, Culex, and Anopheles vector mosquitoes. Species counts pulled from Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) light trap (2004-2019) and BG trap (2014-2019) collection records and climate parameters of temperature (minimum, maximum, average), rainfall, and relative humidity were used in two iterations of generalized linear models. Climate readings were incorporated into models 1) in the form of continuous measurements, or 2) for categorization into number of "hot," "wet," or "humid" days by exceedance of selected biological index threshold values. Models were validated with tests of residual error, comparison of model effects, and predictive capability on testing data from the two recent surveillance seasons 2020 and 2021. Two iterations of negative binomial regression models were constructed for 6 species groups: container Aedes (Ae. aegypti, Ae. albopictus), standing water Culex (Cx. nigripalpus, Cx. quinquefasciatus), floodwater Aedes (Ae. atlanticus, Ae. infirmatus), salt-marsh Aedes (Ae. taeniorhyncus, Ae. sollicitans), swamp water Anopheles (An. crucians), and a combined Total Mosquitoes group. Final significant climate predictors varied substantially between species groups. Validation of models with testing data displayed limited predictive abilities of both model iterations. The most significant climate predictors for floodwater Aedes, the dominant and operationally influential species group in the county, were either total precipitation or frequency of precipitation events (number of "wet" days) at two to four weeks before trap collection week. Challenges hindering the construction of threshold models were discussed. Insights gained from these models provide initial feedback for streamlining the AMCD mosquito control program and analytical recommendations for future modelling efforts of interested mosquito control programs, in addition to generalized guidance for deployed armed forces personnel with needs of mosquito control but lacking active surveillance programs.

A systematic review of published literature on mosquito control action thresholds across the world.

BACKGROUND: Despite the use of numerous methods of control measures, mosquito populations and mosquito-borne diseases are still increasing globally. Evidence-based action thresholds to initiate or intensify control activities have been identified as essential in reducing mosquito populations to required levels at the correct/optimal time. This systematic review was conducted to identify different mosquito control action thresholds existing across the world and associated surveillance and implementation characteristics. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Searches for literature published from 2010 up to 2021 were performed using two search engines, Google Scholar and PubMed Central, according to PRISMA guidelines. A set of inclusion/exclusion criteria were identified and of the 1,485 initial selections, only 87 were included in the final review. Thirty inclusions reported originally generated thresholds. Thirteen inclusions were with statistical models that seemed intended to be continuously utilized to test the exceedance of thresholds in a specific region. There was another set of 44 inclusions that solely mentioned previously generated thresholds. The inclusions with "epidemiological thresholds" outnumbered those with "entomological thresholds". Most of the inclusions came from Asia and those thresholds were targeted toward Aedes and dengue control. Overall, mosquito counts (adult and larval) and climatic variables (temperature and rainfall) were the most used parameters in thresholds. The associated surveillance and implementation characteristics of the identified thresholds are discussed here. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: The review identified 87 publications with different mosquito control thresholds developed across the world and published during the last decade. Associated surveillance and implementation characteristics will help organize surveillance systems targeting the development and implementation of action thresholds, as well as direct awareness towards already existing thresholds for those with programs lacking available resources for comprehensive surveillance systems. The findings of the review highlight data gaps and areas of focus to fill in the action threshold compartment of the IVM toolbox.

Developing the radiation-based sterile insect technique (SIT) for controlling Aedes aegypti: identification of a sterilizing dose.

BACKGROUND: The sterile insect technique (SIT) is emerging as a tool to supplement traditional pesticide-based control of Aedes aegypti, a prominent mosquito vector of microbes that has increased the global burden of human morbidity and mortality over the past 50 years. SIT relies on rearing, sterilizing and releasing large numbers of male mosquitoes that will mate with fertile wild females, thus reducing production of offspring from the target population. In this study, we investigated the effects of ionizing radiation (gamma) on male and female survival, longevity, mating behavior, and sterility of Ae. aegypti in a dose-response design. This work is a first step towards developing an operational SIT field suppression program against Ae. aegypti in St. Augustine, Florida, USA. RESULTS: Exposing late-stage pupae to 50 Gy of radiation yielded 99% male sterility while maintaining similar survival of pupae to adult emergence, adult longevity and male mating competitiveness compared to unirradiated males. Females were completely sterilized at 30 Gy, and when females were dosed with 50 Gy, they had a lower incidence of blood-feeding than unirradiated females. CONCLUSION: Our work suggests that an ionizing radiation dose of 50 Gy should be used for future development of operational SIT in our program area because at this dose males are 99% sterile while maintaining mating competitiveness against unirradiated males. Furthermore, females that might be accidentally released with sterile males as a result of errors in sex sorting also are sterile and less likely to blood-feed than unirradiated females at our 50 Gy dose. © 2022 Society of Chemical Industry.

Efficacy Evaluation of Medium-Chain Fatty Acids as Skin and Spatial Repellents Against Aedes aegypti (Diptera:Culicidae) Mosquitoes.

Fatty acids derived from natural oils are considered as perspective products for adoption as repellents. Fatty acids derived from coconut oil have shown promise as repellents. This study consisted of an olfactometer evaluation of new formulations containing medium-chain fatty acids for spatial repellency and an in laboratory arm-in cage study for contact repellency against Aedes aegypti L. mosquitoes. Six formulations each of capric acid and lauric acid were evaluated for spatial repellency. These formulations contained 0.28-10% of either capric acid or lauric acid as the active ingredients in a consumer friendly skin care formulation. Base formula without fatty acids was evaluated as control in spatial repellency evaluation. For the arm-in cage evaluations, six formulations of capric acid, one base formulation, and a 7% N,N-diethyl-m-toluamide (DEET) product were tested for contact repellency. For contact repellency, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) standard repellent test cages were used to determine the complete protection time (CPT) of the different formulated repellents. Among all capric acid formulations tested, the concentration of 2.25% (wt) indicated the best level of spatial repellency, but not significantly different from other concentrations. None of the lauric acid concentrations showed any level of spatial repellency. In the arm-in-cage evaluations, the highest contact repellency resulted from 4.5% capric acid, which was significantly higher than 7% DEET and base formula.

Laboratory Evaluation of Bigshot Maxim Against Three Species of Larval and Adult Mosquitoes, Aedes aegypti, Culex quinquefasciatus, and Anopheles quadrimaculatus.

The use of synthetic insecticides has been the main approach in mosquito control programs (MCPs) to prevent or reduce mosquito populations. The global problem of insecticide resistance and the concern of environmental impacts of synthetic insecticides have resulted in the interest of botanicals as an alternative. In this study, the botanical product BigShot Maxim, which contains cedarwood oil (14%), thyme oil (0.53%), and cinnamon oil (0.23%) as active ingredients, was examined in adulticide and larvicide bioassays against Aedes aegypti, Culex quinquefasciatus, and Anopheles quadrimaculatus. In the adulticide bioassay, 100% mortality was reached at a dilution of 1:10 after 4 h of exposure for all 3 species. In the larvicide bioassay, at the highest tested concentration (30 ppm by volume) the greatest mortality was 96.44 ± 1.44% SE for Ae. aegypti, 92.44 ± 2.07% SE for Cx. quinquefasciatus, and 33.33 ± 3.61% for An. quadrimaculatus, respectively. Insecticidal properties presented in all the experiments indicate that BigShot Maxim could be a viable alternative to some synthetic insecticides used in MCPs.

Initial Survey of Mosquito Control Programs with Set Action Thresholds and Associated Surveillance Characteristics.

The establishment of action thresholds is becoming critical in mosquito control management to implement effective proactive control measures using limited available resources. As a part of a large-scale study to identify different mosquito control action thresholds used in different geographical regions, we conducted an initial survey to identify mosquito control programs that claim to have set action thresholds and to investigate their associated program characteristics. We identified 68% (USA), 60% (mainland Australia), 78% (Asia), 35% (Africa), and 50% (US military units) of the responding programs, which perform mosquito control, have set mosquito control action thresholds. More than 50% of the programs that have not set mosquito control action thresholds already collect basic surveillance information as do the programs with thresholds. Further investigations with the selected mosquito control programs from this initial survey will help develop guidelines on establishing action thresholds by identifying different types of actual action thresholds used by programs in different geographical settings and other related information.

The Effects of Boric Acid Sugar Bait on Wolbachia Trans-Infected Male Aedes albopictus (ZAP Males®) in Laboratory Conditions.

The field release of Wolbachia trans-infected male mosquitoes, as well as the use of toxic sugar baits, is a novel and promising candidate technique for integrated mosquito management programs. However, the methods of action of the two techniques may not be complementary, because the Wolbachia method releases mosquitoes into the environment expecting a wild population reduction in subsequent generations while the toxic baits are intended to reduce the wild population by killing mosquitoes. This laboratory study was conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of boric acid toxic sugar baits on Wolbachia trans-infected male Aedes albopictus, relative to wild-type Ae. albopictus males. Wolbachia trans-infected (ZAP male®) and the wild-type Ae. albopictus males were exposed separately to 1% boric acid in a 10% sucrose solution in BugDorms. In the control test, the two groups were exposed to 10% sucrose solution without boric acid. Percent mortalities were counted for 24 h, 48 h and 72 h post exposure periods. The results show that 1% boric acid toxic sugar bait can effectively kill ZAP males under laboratory conditions, and the effectiveness was significantly higher after 24 h and 48 h, compared to wild-type male Ae. albopictus. This finding will help in planning and coordinating integrated mosquito management programs, including both Wolbachia trans-infected mosquito releases and the use of toxic sugar baits against Ae. albopictus.

Evaluation of Lotions of Botanical-Based Repellents Against Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae).

Thirteen botanical product repellent compounds such as 2-undecanone, capric, lauric, coconut fatty acids (and their methyl ester derivatives), and catnip oil were formulated in either Coppertone or Aroma Land lotions and evaluated against laboratory-reared Aedes aegypti L. (Diptera: Culicidae) mosquitoes. These formulations contained 7-15 wt/wt of the botanical repellent as the major active ingredient either pure or as mixtures. USDA standard repellent test cages were used to determine the complete protection time (CPT) of the different formulated repellents. Two of the evaluated formulations, a 7% capric acid in Coppertone (CPT 2.7 ± 0.6 h) and 7% coconut fatty acids containing carrylic acid, capric acid, and lauric acid in Coppertone (CPT 2.3 ± 2.0 h), provided strong repellency against mosquitoes up to 3 h, which was equivalent to the (N,N-diethyl-m-toluamide) DEET control (CPT 2.7 ± 0.6 h). This work suggests future potential for these botanical product-based repellents as alternatives to commercial DEET-containing products.

Evaluation of boric acid as toxic sugar bait against resistant Aedes aegypti mosquitoes.

Current methods of broad area application of contact insecticides used in mosquito control are becoming less effective, primarily due to resistance within mosquito populations. New methods that can deliver ingestible insecticides are being investigated as a means to mitigate resistance. This study evaluated insecticide delivery through toxic sugar baits (TSB) and resulting mortality of susceptible and resistant strains of Aedes aegypti. Two Ae. aegypti strains were evaluated using a 1% boric acid TSB: the susceptible Orlando 1952 (ORL) strain and the resistant Puerto Rican (PR) strain. The TSB resulted in high mortality for both ORL and PR strain of Ae. aegypti. Average mortality of female mosquitoes given TSB was 90.8% for PR and 99.3% for ORL. Our study suggests that targeting resistant mosquitoes with ingestible insecticides through TSBs could be a viable alternative to current mosquito control strategies and should be considered when developing an integrated vector management program.

Breteau index as a promising early warning signal for dengue fever outbreaks in the Colombo District, Sri Lanka.

Despite the efforts in reducing vector densities, outbreaks of dengue fever have become a frequent event in Sri Lanka. As explained by dengue transmission dynamics, vector control activities intensified at peak or near peak outbreak situations would not be successful in controlling the outbreaks. A reliable method of outbreak prediction is always warranted for early preparedness. Relationships between the monthly Breteau indices of the two vector species (Aedes aegypti L. and Ae. albopictus Skuse) and the monthly dengue incidence in a selected high-risk health division (Kaduwela) in the Colombo District, Sri Lanka were determined for three consecutive years, 2009 to 2011. The same procedure was extended for the whole Colombo District from 2013 to 2016. Cross correlation functions were used to determine the relationships with the corresponding lag-periods. Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves (ROC) were constructed to determine the performance of the Breteau indices as predictors of impending dengue outbreaks and to establish the threshold values. The pronounced performance with >80% areas under ROC curves and >75% sensitivity and >70% specificity of threshold values with defined lag-periods in correlations emphasize the importance of the Breteau index as a promising early warning signal for dengue outbreaks. The results indicate the importance of the carefully planned routine vector larval surveillance in dengue control programs which would make reliable outbreak predictions with a sufficient window period for early preparedness.