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Asian Pac J Cancer Prev ; 13(8): 4199-202, 2012.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23098430

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The aim of our study is to compare an ovarian malignancy prediction model based on age and four sonographic findings (OMPS1) with a new model called OMPS2 which differs just by adding serum CA125 measurement to (OMPS1). METHODS: In a cross sectional comparative study OMPS1 was validated in 830 operated ovarian masses within a 3 years period (2006-2009). Logistic regression analysis was used to construct OMPS2 based on OMPS1 adding serum CA125 findings. The area under the curve for two models was compared in 411 patients. RESULTS: OMPS2 was calculated as follows: OMPS1 + 1.444 (if serum CA125= 36-200) or 3.842 (if serum CA125 is more than 200). AUC of OMPS2 was increased to 84.3% (CI 95% 78.1- 89.8) in comparison to OMPS1 with AUC of 78.1% (CI 95% 71.8-84.5). CONCLUSION: Our second model is more accurate in prediction of ovarian malignancy, compared with our first model.


Subject(s)
Adnexal Diseases/epidemiology , Biomarkers, Tumor/blood , CA-125 Antigen/blood , Models, Statistical , Ovarian Neoplasms/epidemiology , Adnexal Diseases/blood , Adnexal Diseases/diagnostic imaging , Adult , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Health Status Indicators , Humans , Logistic Models , Middle Aged , Ovarian Neoplasms/blood , Ovarian Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Prognosis , ROC Curve , Secondary Care , Tertiary Care Centers , Ultrasonography
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