Prognostic significance of oncogenic markers in ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast: a clinicopathologic study.

Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) is a heterogeneous malignant condition of the breast with an excellent prognosis. Until recently mastectomy was the standard treatment. As the results of the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project-17 trial and the introduction of the Van Nuys Prognostic Index (VNPI) less radical therapies are used. Objectives are to identify clinicopathologic and biologic factors that may predict outcome. Cases of DCIS diagnosed in two Belgian University Centers were included. Paraffin-embedded material and Hematoxylin and Eosin stained slides of DCIS cases were reviewed and tumor size, margin width, nuclear grade, and comedo necrosis were assessed. Molecular markers (estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, HER1-4, Ki67, and c-myc) were assayed immunohistochemically. Applied treatment strategies were correlated with the prospective use of the VNPI score. Kaplan-Meier survival plots were generated with log-rank significance and multiple regression analysis was carried out using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis; 159 patients were included with a median age of 54 years (range 29-78); 141 had DCIS and 18 DCIS with microinvasion. The median time of follow-up was 54 months (range 5-253). Twenty-three patients developed a recurrence (14.5%). The median time to recurrence was 46 months (range 5-253). Before the introduction of the VNPI, 37.5% of the DCIS patients showed a recurrence while thereafter 6.7% recurred (p < 0.005). Two recurrences occurred in the VNPI group I (7.1%); seven in the VNPI group II (8.5%) (median time to recurrence 66.3 months) and 14 in the VNPI group III (28.5%) (median time to recurrence 40.2 months) (disease-free survival [DFS]: p < 0.05). A Cox proportional hazards regression analysis indicated that tumor size, margin width, pathologic class, and age were independent predictors of recurrence, but none of the studied molecular markers showed this. Overexpression of HER4 in the presence of HER3 was found to be associated with a better DFS (p < 0.05). This study confirms the value of the VNPI score and questions the benefit of an aggressive approach in the low-risk DCIS lesions. Independent predictors for recurrence included size, margin width, pathologic class, and age, but none of the molecular markers were part of it. Overexpression of HER4 in the presence of HER3 was associated with a better DFS.

The value of the Van Nuys Prognostic Index in ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast: a retrospective analysis.

The Van Nuys Prognostic Index 1996 (VNPI), based upon tumor size, pathological grade and tumor margins, is a guideline for the treatment of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS). It was thought to strongly decrease overtreatment. In 2003, age was added to the index as a fourth prognostic factor. We examined changes in treatment modality after applying the VNPI retrospectively and investigated if the addition of age to the Index causes a shift in treatment. The influence of each prognostic factor on disease-free survival (DFS) was calculated. We performed a retrospective file study of DCIS patients treated between 1985 and 2003 at the University Hospital, Antwerp. Patients were assigned a Van Nuys Score 1996 and 2003. The influence of tumor size, pathological grade, tumor margins and age on DFS was calculated with the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test. We identified 104 DCIS cases with a median follow-up of 36 months. Twelve patients showed recurrence (11.5%), of whom seven were invasive (58%). Seventeen of the 29 women diagnosed before 1997 were undertreated according to the VNPI 1996 and six of them showed recurrence. The remaining three recurrences were correctly treated. Seventy-five patients diagnosed after 1997 were all treated according to the VNPI 1996 and only three had a recurrence. The introduction of age caused no significant shift in treatment modalities. Significant differences in DFS were seen between large (>41 mm) and small (<15 mm) tumors (p = 0.0074), old (>60 years) and young (<40 years) patients (p = 0.024) and Van Nuys Subgroup 2 and 3 (p = 0.04). Tumor margins and pathological grade showed no significant difference in DFS. The VNPI can be a useful tool in the treatment of DCIS. However, this Index is not evidence-based, using a relatively small retrospective series of patients. The validity of the modified VNPI must be prospectively confirmed with large numbers of DCIS patients.