Early glucose metabolism in children at risk for type 1 diabetes based on islet autoantibodies compared to low-risk control groups.

Background: Anatomic variation or early differences in glucose metabolism have been linked to the development of type 1 diabetes. We aimed to describe early glucose metabolism based on HbA1c, oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), and random plasma glucose years before the presentation of type 1 diabetes in five risk groups based on autoantibody combinations. For the first time, we were able to include for comparison children with very low risk of progression to type 1 diabetes. Methods: The Finnish Diabetes Prediction and Prevention birth cohort study screened newborn infants for HLA susceptibility to type 1 diabetes since 1994. Those carrying a risk genotype were prospectively followed up with islet autoantibody testing. Glucose parameters were obtained starting from the time of seroconversion. By 31 August 2014, 1162 children had developed at least one islet autoantibody and were included in the current study. Type 1 diabetes was diagnosed in 335 children (progressors). In the non-progressor groups, 207 developed multiple (≥2) biochemical islet autoantibodies, 229 a single biochemical autoantibody, 370 ICA only, and 64 transient autoantibodies. Children were divided into five risk groups. Glucose metabolism was evaluated. Results: We observed lower HbA1c values in early follow-up 4.5 to 6.0 years before diagnosis in the progressors when compared to the same time in children with a single biochemical autoantibody or low-risk (ICA only and transient) participants, who did not progress to clinical type 1 diabetes. However, no such differences were observed in OGTTs or random plasma glucose. The variation was minimal in glucose values in the low-risk groups. Conclusion: We report the possibility of early alteration in glucose metabolism in future progressors. This could suggest early defects in multiple glucose-regulating hormones.

First-emerging islet autoantibody and glucose metabolism: search for type 1 diabetes subtypes.

Objective: Subtypes in type 1 diabetes pathogenesis have been implicated based on the first-appearing autoantibody (primary autoantibody). We set out to describe the glucose metabolism in preclinical diabetes in relation to the primary autoantibody in children with HLA-conferred disease susceptibility. Design and methods: Dysglycemic markers are defined as a 10% increase in HbA1c in a 3-12 months interval or HbA1c ≥5.9% (41 mmol/mol) in two consecutive samples, impaired fasting glucose or impaired glucose tolerance, or a random plasma glucose value ≥7.8 mmol/L. A primary autoantibody could be detected in 295 children who later developed at least 1 additional biochemical autoantibody. These children were divided into three groups: insulin autoantibody (IAA) multiple (n = 143), GAD antibody (GADA) multiple (n = 126) and islet antigen 2 antibody (IA-2A) multiple (n = 26). Another 229 children seroconverted to positivity only for a single biochemical autoantibody and were grouped as IAA only (n = 87), GADA only (n = 114) and IA-2A only (n = 28). Results: No consistent differences were observed in selected autoantibody groups during the preclinical period. At diagnosis, children with IAA only showed the highest HbA1c (P < 0.001 between groups) and the highest random plasma glucose (P = 0.005 between groups). Children with IA-2A only progressed to type 1 diabetes as frequently as those with IA-2A multiple (46% vs 54%, P = 0.297) whereas those with IAA only or GADA only progressed less often than children with IAA multiple or GADA multiple (22% vs 62% (P < 0.001) and 7% vs 43% (P < 0.001)), respectively. Conclusions: The phenotype of preclinical diabetes defined by the primary autoantibody is not associated with any discernible differences in glucose metabolism before the clinical disease manifestation.

Reduced ß-cell function in early preclinical type 1 diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to characterize insulin responses to i.v. glucose during the preclinical period of type 1 diabetes starting from the emergence of islet autoimmunity. DESIGN AND METHODS: A large population-based cohort of children with HLA-conferred susceptibility to type 1 diabetes was observed from birth. During regular follow-up visits islet autoantibodies were analysed. We compared markers of glucose metabolism in sequential intravenous glucose tolerance tests between 210 children who were positive for multiple (≥2) islet autoantibodies and progressed to type 1 diabetes (progressors) and 192 children testing positive for classical islet-cell antibodies only and remained healthy (non-progressors). RESULTS: In the progressors, the first phase insulin response (FPIR) was decreased as early as 4-6 years before the diagnosis when compared to the non-progressors (P=0.001). The difference in FPIR between the progressors and non-progressors was significant (P<0.001) in all age groups, increasing with age (at 2 years: difference 50% (95% CI 28-75%) and at 10 years: difference 172% (95% CI 128-224%)). The area under the 10-min insulin curve showed a similar difference between the groups (P<0.001; at 2 years: difference 36% (95% CI 17-58%) and at 10 years: difference 186% (95% CI 143-237%)). Insulin sensitivity did not differ between the groups. CONCLUSIONS: FPIR is decreased several years before the diagnosis of type 1 diabetes, implying an intrinsic defect in ß-cell mass and/or function.

OGTT and random plasma glucose in the prediction of type 1 diabetes and time to diagnosis.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We assessed the utility of the OGTT and random plasma glucose concentrations in predicting the time to diagnosis of type 1 diabetes. METHODS: A population-derived cohort of 14,876 newborns with HLA-conferred risk of type 1 diabetes were invited to regular follow-up for islet autoantibodies. When two or more autoantibodies were detected, an OGTT was performed once a year and random plasma glucose analysed twice a year. During follow-up, 567 children developed multiple autoantibodies, 255 (45%) of whom were diagnosed with type 1 diabetes, while 312 remained non-diabetic by December 2011. RESULTS: Impaired fasting glucose (IFG) and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) were risk factors for type 1 diabetes (HR 3.2 [95% CI 1.5, 7.0] and 8.3 [95% CI 6.0, 11.5], respectively). When a random plasma glucose value ≥ 7.8 mmol/l was observed, the HR for diabetes was 6.0 (95% CI 4.3, 8.6). The median time to diagnosis after the detection of IFG was 5.2 years (interquartile range [IQR] 3.4, 6.3); after IGT, 0.7 years (IQR 0.3, 1.9); and, after a random plasma glucose ≥ 7.8 mmol/l, 1.0 years (IQR 0.3, 1.5). In a retrospective analysis, both OGTT-derived 2 h plasma glucose and random plasma glucose started to increase 1.5 years before diagnosis (p < 0.001 and p = 0.004, respectively). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Dysglycaemia detected in an OGTT or based on random plasma glucose is a useful marker in the prediction of time to onset of type 1 diabetes in high-risk children. Random plasma glucose is a simple and low-cost measurement with comparable predictive characteristics to that of OGTT-derived 2 h glucose.

HbA1c Predicts Time to Diagnosis of Type 1 Diabetes in Children at Risk.

Prediction of type 1 diabetes is based on the detection of multiple islet autoantibodies in subjects who are at increased genetic risk. Prediction of the timing of diagnosis is challenging, however. We assessed the utility of HbA1c levels in predicting the clinical disease in genetically predisposed children with multiple autoantibodies. Cord blood samples from 168,055 newborn infants were screened for class II HLA genotypes in Finland, and 14,876 children with increased genetic risk for type 1 diabetes were invited to participate in regular follow-ups, including screening for diabetes-associated autoantibodies. When two or more autoantibodies were detected, HbA1c levels were analyzed at each visit. During follow-up, multiple (two or more) autoantibodies developed in 466 children; type 1 diabetes was diagnosed in 201 of these children (43%, progressors), while 265 children remained disease free (nonprogressors) by December 2011. A 10% increase in HbA1c levels in samples obtained 3-12 months apart predicted the diagnosis of clinical disease (hazard ratio [HR] 5.7 [95% CI 4.1-7.9]) after a median time of 1.1 years (interquartile range [IQR] 0.6-3.1 years) from the observed rise of HbA1c. If the HbA1c level was ≥5.9% (41 mmol/mol) in two consecutive samples, the median time to diagnosis was 0.9 years (IQR 0.3-1.5, HR 11.9 [95% CI 8.8-16.0]). In conclusion, HbA1c is a useful biochemical marker when predicting the time to diagnosis of type 1 diabetes in children with multiple autoantibodies.