What is the spatiotemporal pattern of benzene concentration spread over susceptible area surrounding the Hartman Park community, Houston, Texas?

The Hartman Park community in Houston, Texas-USA, is in a highly polluted area which poses significant risks to its predominantly Hispanic and lower-income residents. Surrounded by dense clustering of industrial facilities compounds health and safety hazards, exacerbating environmental and social inequalities. Such conditions emphasize the urgent need for environmental measures that focus on investigating ambient air quality. This study estimated benzene, one of the most reported pollutants in Hartman Park, using machine learning-based approaches. Benzene data was collected in residential areas in the neighborhood and analyzed using a combination of five machine-learning algorithms (i.e., XGBR, GBR, LGBMR, CBR, RFR) through a newly developed ensemble learning model. Evaluations on model robustness, overfitting tests, 10-fold cross-validation, internal and stratified validation were performed. We found that the ensemble model depicted about 98.7% spatial variability of benzene (Adj. R2 =0.987). Through rigorous validations, stability of model performance was confirmed. Several predictors that contribute to benzene were identified, including temperature, developed intensity areas, leaking petroleum storage tank, and traffic-related factors. Analyzing spatial patterns, we found high benzene spread over areas near industrial zones as well as in residential areas. Overall, our study area was exposed to high benzene levels and requires extra attention from relevant authorities.

A machine learning-based ensemble model for estimating diurnal variations of nitrogen oxide concentrations in Taiwan.

Air pollution is inextricable from human activity patterns. This is especially true for nitrogen oxide (NOx), a pollutant that exists naturally and also as a result of anthropogenic factors. Assessing exposure by considering diurnal variation is a challenge that has not been widely studied. Incorporating 27 years of data, we attempted to estimate diurnal variations in NOx across Taiwan. We developed a machine learning-based ensemble model that integrated hybrid kriging-LUR, machine-learning, and an ensemble learning approach. Hybrid kriging-LUR was performed to select the most influential predictors, and machine-learning algorithms were applied to improve model performance. The three best machine-learning algorithms were suited and reassessed to develop ensemble learning that was designed to improve model performance. Our ensemble model resulted in estimates of daytime, nighttime, and daily NOx with high explanatory powers (Adj-R2) of 0.93, 0.98, and 0.94, respectively. These explanatory powers increased from the initial model that used only hybrid kriging-LUR. Additionally, the results depicted the temporal variation of NOx, with concentrations higher during the daytime than the nighttime. Regarding spatial variation, the highest NOx concentrations were identified in northern and western Taiwan. Model evaluations confirmed the reliability of the models. This study could serve as a reference for regional planning supporting emission control for environmental and human health.

Greenspace related to bipolar disorder in Taiwan: Quantitative benefits of saving DALY loss and increasing income.

Scientific evidence reported that surrounding greenspace could promote better mental health. Considering bipolar disorder as the health outcome, this study aimed to investigate the association between greenspace and bipolar disorder in Taiwan and quantified the benefits of greenspace on bipolar disorder adjusted for the international greenspace availability standard. By examining datasets across 348 townships, two quantitative measures (i.e., disability-adjusted life year loss and income) were used to represent the benefits. The incidence rate of bipolar disorder was obtained from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. Normalized different vegetation index (NDVI) was measured as a proxy for the greenspace availability. A generalized additive mixed model coupled with a sensitivity test were applied to evaluate the statistical association. The prevented fraction for the population (PFP) was then applied to develop a scenario for quantifying benefit. The result showed a significant negative association between greenspace and bipolar disorder in Taiwan. Compared to low greenspace, areas with medium and high greenspace may reduce the bipolar risk by 21% (RR = 0.79; 95% CI = 0.76-0.83) and 51% (RR = 0.49; 95% CI = 0.45-0.53). Calculating benefits, we found that the development of a scenario by increasing greenspace adjusted for availability indicator in township categorized as low greenspace could save in DALY loss due to bipolar disorder up to10.97% and increase in income up to 11.04% from the current situation. Lastly, this was the first study in Asia-Pacific to apply a customized greenspace increment scenario to quantify the benefits to a particular health burden such as bipolar disorder.

Estimating the daily average concentration variations of PCDD/Fs in Taiwan using a novel Geo-AI based ensemble mixed spatial model.

It is generally established that PCDD/Fs is harmful to human health and therefore extensive field research is necessary. This study is the first to use a novel geospatial-artificial intelligence (Geo-AI) based ensemble mixed spatial model (EMSM) that integrates multiple machine learning algorithms and geographic predictor variables selected using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values to predict spatial-temporal fluctuations in PCDD/Fs concentrations across the entire island of Taiwan. Daily PCDD/F I-TEQ levels from 2006 to 2016 were used for model construction, while external data was used for validating model dependability. We utilized Geo-AI, incorporating kriging, five machine learning, and ensemble methods (combinations of the aforementioned five models) to develop EMSMs. The EMSMs were used to estimate long-term spatiotemporal variations in PCDD/F I-TEQ levels, considering in-situ measurements, meteorological factors, geospatial predictors, social and seasonal influences over a 10-year period. The findings demonstrated that the EMSM was superior to all other models, with an increase in explanatory power reaching 87 %. The results of spatial-temporal resolution show that the temporal fluctuation of PCDD/F concentrations can be a result of weather circumstances, while geographical variance can be the result of urbanization and industrialization. These results provide accurate estimates that support pollution control measures and epidemiological studies.

Residential greenness and air pollution's association with nasal microbiota among asthmatic children.

Both greenness and air pollution have widely been linked with asthma. However, the potential mechanism has rarely been investigated. This study aimed to identify the association between residential greenness and air pollution (fine particulate matter [PM2.5]; nitrogen dioxide [NO2]; ozone [O3]) with nasal microbiota among asthmatic children during the recovery phase. The normalized difference vegetation index was used to assess the extent of residential greenness. Spatiotemporal air pollution variation was estimated using an integrated hybrid kriging-LUR with the XG-Boost algorithm. These exposures were measured in 250-m intervals for four incremental buffer ranges. Nasal microbiota was collected from 47 children during the recovery phase. A generalized additive model controlled for various covariates was applied to evaluate the exposure-outcome association. The lag-time effect of greenness and air pollution related to the nasal microbiota also was examined. A significant negative association was observed between short-term exposure to air pollution and nasal bacterial diversity, as a one-unit increment in PM2.5 or O3 significantly decreased the observed species (PM2.5: -0.59, 95%CI -1.13, -0.05 and O3: -0.93, 95%CI -1.54, -0.32) and species richness (PM2.5: -0.64, 95%CI -1.25, -0.02 and O3: -0.68, 95%CI -1.43, -0.07). Considering the lag-time effect, we found a significant positive association between greenness and both the observed species and species richness. In addition, we identified a significant negative association for all pollutants with the observed species richness. These findings add to the evidence base of the links between nasal microbiota and air pollution and greenness. This study establishes a foundation for future studies of how environmental exposure plays a role in nasal microbiota, which in turn may affect the development of asthma.

Exploring the Potential Relationship Between Global Greenness and DALY Loss Due to Depressive Disorders.

Objective: Prior studies have shown that greenness can reduce the burden of depressive disorders. However, most were focused on local-scale analyses while limited evaluated globally. We aimed to investigate the association between greenness and the burden of depressive disorders using data from 183 countries worldwide. Methods: We used the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) to estimate greenness. Country-level disability-adjusted life year (DALY) loss due to depressive disorders was used to represent depressive disorder burdens. A generalized linear mixed model was applied to assess the relationship between greenness and depressive disorders after controlling for covariates. Stratified analyses were conducted to determine the effects of greenness across several socio-demographic levels. Results: The findings showed a significant negative association between greenness and the health burden of depressive disorders with a coefficient of -0.196 (95% CI: -0.356, -0.035) in the DALY changes per interquartile unit increment of NDVI. The stratified analyses suggested beneficial effects of greenness on depressive disorders across sex, various age groups especially for those aged <49 years, with low-income and/or those living in highly urbanized countries. Conclusions: Our study noted that greenness exposure was significant negative association with the burden of depressive disorders. The findings should be viewed as recommendations for relevant authorities in supporting environmental greenness enhancement to reduce the mental burdens.

Examining the Benefits of Greenness on Reducing Suicide Mortality Rate: A Global Ecological Study.

Objective: This study applied an ecological-based analysis aimed to evaluate on a global scale the association between greenness exposure and suicide mortality. Methods: Suicide mortality data provided by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) were employed. The generalized additive mixed model was applied to evaluate with an adjustment of covariates the association between greenness and suicide mortality. Sensitivity tests and positive-negative controls also were used to examine less overt insights. Subgroup analyses were then conducted to investigate the effects of greenness on suicide mortality among various conditions. Results: The main finding of this study indicates a negative association between greenness exposure and suicide mortality, as greenness significantly decreases the risk of suicide mortality per interquartile unit increment of NDVI (relative risk = 0.69, 95%CI: 0.59-0.81). Further, sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the findings. Subgroup analyses also showed a significant negative association between greenness and suicide mortality for various stratified factors, such as sex, various income levels, urbanization levels, etc. Conclusions: Greenness exposure may contribute to a reduction in suicide mortality. It is recommended that policymakers and communities increase environmental greenness in order to mitigate the global health burden of suicide.

Spatial patterns of lower respiratory tract infections and their association with fine particulate matter.

This study aimed to identify the spatial patterns of lower respiratory tract infections (LRIs) and their association with fine particulate matter (PM2.5). The disability-adjusted life year (DALY) database was used to represent the burden each country experiences as a result of LRIs. PM2.5 data obtained from the Atmosphere Composition Analysis Group was assessed as the source for main exposure. Global Moran's I and Getis-Ord Gi* were applied to identify the spatial patterns and for hotspots analysis of LRIs. A generalized linear mixed model was coupled with a sensitivity test after controlling for covariates to estimate the association between LRIs and PM2.5. Subgroup analyses were performed to determine whether LRIs and PM2.5 are correlated for various ages and geographic regions. A significant spatial auto-correlated pattern was identified for global LRIs with Moran's Index 0.79, and the hotspots of LRIs were clustered in 35 African and 4 Eastern Mediterranean countries. A consistent significant positive association between LRIs and PM2.5 with a coefficient of 0.21 (95% CI 0.06-0.36) was identified. Furthermore, subgroup analysis revealed a significant effect of PM2.5 on LRI for children (0-14 years) and the elderly (≥ 70 years), and this effect was confirmed to be significant in all regions except for those comprised of Eastern Mediterranean countries.