Validation of the MARS: a combined physiological and laboratory risk prediction tool for 5- to 7-day in-hospital mortality.

BACKGROUND: The Medical Admission Risk System (MARS) uses 11 physiological and laboratory data and had promising results in its derivation study for predicting 5- and 7- day mortality. AIM: To perform an external independent validation of the MARS score. DESIGN: An unplanned secondary cohort study. METHODS: Patients admitted to the medical admission unit at The Hospital of South West Jutland were included from 2 October 2008 until 19 February 2009 and 23 February 2010 until 26 May 2010 were analysed. Validation of the MARS scores using 5- and 7- day mortality was the primary endpoint. RESULTS: Patients of 5858 were included in the study. Patients of 2923 (49.9%) were women with a median age of 65 years (15-107). The MARS score had an area under the receiving operator characteristic curve of 0.858 (95% CI: 0.831-0.884) for 5-day mortality and 0.844 (0.818-0.870) for 7 day mortality with poor calibration for both outcomes. CONCLUSION: The MARS score had excellent discriminatory power but poor calibration in predicting both 5- and 7-day mortality. The development of accurate combination physiological/laboratory data risk scores has the potential to improve the recognition of at risk patients.

Three- and four-year cognitive outcome in children with noncortical brain tumors treated with whole-brain radiotherapy.

Cognitive function and school achievement were studied prospectively over 3 to 4 years in 19 children treated for brain tumors with whole-brain radiotherapy; 14 of 19 also received adjuvant chemotherapy. For the group as a whole, mean IQ fell from a baseline of 104 to 92 at follow-up (p < 0.01). Age was inversely correlated with change in IQ over time (r = 0.71; p < 0.001). Children younger than 7 years at diagnosis had a mean IQ loss of 27 points, while children over 7 years at diagnosis showed no significant decrease in IQ. Decline in IQ occurred between baseline and year 2 of follow-up; none could be documented between years 2 and 4. All children younger than 7 years at diagnosis were receiving special education at follow-up; 50% of the children over 7 years at diagnosis were receiving supplemental educational services.

A prospective study of cognitive function in children receiving whole-brain radiotherapy and chemotherapy: 2-year results.

As survival rates have risen for children with malignant primary brain tumors, so has the concern that many survivors have significant permanent cognitive deficits. Cranial irradiation (CRT) has been implicated as the major cause for cognitive dysfunction. To clarify the etiology, incidence, and severity of intellectual compromise in children with brain tumors after CRT, a prospective study was undertaken comparing the neuropsychological outcome in 18 consecutive children with malignant brain tumors treated with CRT to outcome in 14 children harboring brain tumors in similar sites in the nervous system who had not received CRT. Children with cortical or subcortical brain tumors were not eligible for study. Neuropsychological testing was performed after surgery prior to radiotherapy, after radiotherapy, and at 1- and 2-year intervals thereafter. Children who had received CRT had a mean full-scale intelligence quotient (FSIQ) of 105 at diagnosis which fell to 91 by Year 2. Similar declines were noted in their performance intelligence quotient (IQ) and verbal IQ. After CRT, patients demonstrated a statistically significant decline from baseline in FSIQ (p less than 0.02) and verbal IQ (p less than 0.04). Children who had not received CRT did not demonstrate a fall in any cognitive parameter over time. The decline between baseline testing and testing performed at Year 2 in patients who had CRT was inversely correlated with age (p less than 0.02), as younger children demonstrated the greatest loss of intelligence. Children less than 7 years of age at diagnosis had a mean decline in FSIQ of 25 points 2 years posttreatment. No other clinical parameter correlated with the overall IQ or decline in IQ. After CRT, children demonstrated a wide range of dysfunction including deficits in fine motor, visual-motor, and visual-spatial skills and memory difficulties. After CRT, children with brain tumors also demonstrated a fall in a wide range of achievement scores and an increased need, over time, for special help in school. The 2-year results of this study suggest that children with brain tumors treated with CRT are cognitively impaired and that these deficits worsen over time. The younger the child is at the time of treatment, the greater is the likelihood and severity of damage. These children, although not retarded, have a multitude of neurocognitive deficits which detrimentally affects school performance. New treatment strategies are needed for children with malignant brain tumors.

Quality of life in children with primitive neuroectodermal tumors (medulloblastoma) of the posterior fossa.

We reviewed our experience in 43 consecutive patients with primitive neuroectodermal tumors (medulloblastoma), PNET (MB), treated between 1975 and 1984, to characterize their quality of life and identify factors which impacted on long-term function. Twenty-four of forty-three (56%) of children are alive and free of disease, a median of 4.5 years after diagnosis. The quality of life was analyzed for the 24 long-term survivors. 79% (19 of 24) were functioning well in everyday activities. The median full-scale intelligence quotient (FSIQ), obtained a median of 3.5 years after diagnosis for those tested (n = 17) was 97, with all but 3 (12%) of the patients functioning in the normal range. Specific learning, memory and fine-motor disabilities were found in over one half of patients. Factors associated with poorer performance and lower FSIQ included preoperative obtundation, the need for a permanent shunt, younger age at diagnosis, and a complicated postoperative course. It is concluded that (1) the majority of long-term survivors have 'normal' intellectual function, but may have specific intellectual and academic disabilities, and (2) preoperative and postoperative factors strongly impact on the quality of life of survivors.