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1.
Sci Total Environ ; 650(Pt 1): 1521-1528, 2019 Feb 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30308837

ABSTRACT

Persistent organic pollutants (POPs) were assessed for the first time in blue whales from the South Pacific Ocean. Concentrations of polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs), hexachlorobenzene (HCB) and dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane and its main metabolites (DDTs), were determined in 40 blubber samples from 36 free-ranging individuals and one stranded, dead animal along the coast of southern Chile between 2011 and 2013. PCBs were the most abundant pollutants (2.97-975 ng/g l.w.), followed by DDTs (3.50-537 ng/g l.w.), HCB (nd-77.5 ng/g l.w.) and PBDEs (nd-33.4 ng/g l.w). There was evidence of differences between sexes, with lower loads in females potentially due to pollutants passing to calves. POP concentrations were higher in specimens sampled in 2013; yet, between-year differences were only statistically significant for HCB and PBDEs. Lower chlorinated (penta > tetra > tri) and brominated (tetra > tri) congeners were the most prevalent among PCBs and PBDEs, respectively, mostly in agreement with findings previously reported in blue and other baleen whales. The present study provides evidence of lower levels of contamination by POPs in eastern South Pacific blue whales in comparison to those reported for the Northern Hemisphere.


Subject(s)
Adipose Tissue/metabolism , Balaenoptera/metabolism , Environmental Monitoring , Water Pollutants, Chemical/metabolism , Animals , Chile , DDT/metabolism , Female , Halogenated Diphenyl Ethers/metabolism , Hexachlorobenzene/metabolism , Hydrocarbons, Chlorinated/metabolism , Male , Pacific Ocean , Polychlorinated Biphenyls/metabolism
2.
Conserv Biol ; 30(5): 1060-9, 2016 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26892747

ABSTRACT

Research in reintroduction biology has provided a greater understanding of the often limited success of species reintroductions and highlighted the need for scientifically rigorous approaches in reintroduction programs. We examined the recent genetic-based captive-breeding and reintroduction literature to showcase the underuse of the genetic data gathered. We devised a framework that takes full advantage of the genetic data through assessment of the genetic makeup of populations before (past component of the framework), during (present component), and after (future component) captive-breeding and reintroduction events to understand their conservation potential and maximize their success. We empirically applied our framework to two small fishes: Yarra pygmy perch (Nannoperca obscura) and southern pygmy perch (Nannoperca australis). Each of these species has a locally adapted and geographically isolated lineage that is endemic to the highly threatened lower Murray-Darling Basin in Australia. These two populations were rescued during Australia's recent decade-long Millennium Drought, when their persistence became entirely dependent on captive-breeding and subsequent reintroduction efforts. Using historical demographic analyses, we found differences and similarities between the species in the genetic impacts of past natural and anthropogenic events that occurred in situ, such as European settlement (past component). Subsequently, successful maintenance of genetic diversity in captivity-despite skewed brooder contribution to offspring-was achieved through carefully managed genetic-based breeding (present component). Finally, genetic monitoring revealed the survival and recruitment of released captive-bred offspring in the wild (future component). Our holistic framework often requires no additional data collection to that typically gathered in genetic-based breeding programs, is applicable to a wide range of species, advances the genetic considerations of reintroduction programs, and is expected to improve with the use of next-generation sequencing technology.


Subject(s)
Breeding , Conservation of Natural Resources , Australia , Genetic Variation
3.
Perfusion ; 30(7): 556-64, 2015 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25564507

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) can be associated with deleterious clinical effects. However, the impact of CPB on inflammatory, immunological and other homeostatic pathways remains poorly understood. We investigated the impact of CPB on the plasma proteome in children undergoing tetralogy of Fallot repair. METHODS: Blood samples were taken from 20 children prior to and at the end of CPB and 6h, 12h and 24h after CPB. Plasma was analysed by liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS) in a label-free, untargeted approach. Data were analysed using Genedata software to identify peptides that were differentially expressed (p<0.01 above a false discovery rate). Proteins were identified from peptides that demonstrated differential expression. RESULTS: The proteins that were found to be differentially expressed were haptoglobin isoform 1 preproprotein, isoform 2 of semaphorin-6C, vitamin D-binding protein, inter-alpha-trypsin inhibitor, ceruloplasmin, apolipoprotein B100 and fibrinogen alpha. CONCLUSION: CPB alters the plasma proteome with differences most apparent at 6h and 12h post CPB. There was a return to baseline with no proteins differentially regulated by 24h.


Subject(s)
Cardiopulmonary Bypass , Proteome/metabolism , Tetralogy of Fallot/blood , Tetralogy of Fallot/surgery , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Male
4.
J Med Econ ; 18(3): 173-88, 2015 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25347449

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The NeoSphere trial demonstrated that the addition of pertuzumab to trastuzumab and docetaxel for the neoadjuvant treatment of HER2-positive locally advanced, inflammatory, or early breast cancer (eBC) resulted in a significant improvement in pathological complete response (pCR). Furthermore, the TRYPHAENA trial supported the benefit of neoadjuvant dual anti-HER2 therapy. Survival data from these trials is not yet available; however, other studies have demonstrated a correlation between pCR and improved event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) in this patient population. This study represents the first Canadian cost-effectiveness analysis of pertuzumab in the neoadjuvant treatment of HER2-positive eBC. METHODS: A cost-utility analysis (CUA) was conducted using a three health state Markov model ('event-free', 'relapsed', and 'dead'). Two separate analyses were conducted; the first considering total pCR (ypT0/is ypN0) data from NeoSphere, and the second from TRYPHAENA. Published EFS and OS data partitioned for patients achieving/not achieving pCR were used in combination with the percentage achieving pCR in the pertuzumab trials to estimate survival. This CUA included published utility values and direct medical costs including drugs, treatment administration, management of adverse events, supportive care, and subsequent therapy. To address uncertainty, a probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) and alternative scenarios were explored. RESULTS: Both analyses suggested that the addition of pertuzumab resulted in increased life-years and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). The incremental cost per QALY ranged from $25,388 (CAD; NeoSphere analysis) to $46,196 (TRYPHAENA analysis). Sensitivity analyses further support the use of pertuzumab, with cost-effectiveness ratios ranging from $9230-$64,421. At a threshold of $100,000, the addition of pertuzumab was cost-effective in nearly all scenarios (93% NeoSphere; 79% TRYPHAENA). CONCLUSION: Given the improvement in clinical efficacy and a favorable cost per QALY, the addition of pertuzumab in the neoadjuvant setting represents an attractive treatment option for HER2-positive eBC patients.


Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/economics , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use , Breast Neoplasms/drug therapy , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/economics , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/therapeutic use , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/adverse effects , Breast Neoplasms/mortality , Canada , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Disease-Free Survival , Female , Humans , Markov Chains , Middle Aged , Neoadjuvant Therapy , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local , Receptor, ErbB-2 , Trastuzumab/economics , Trastuzumab/therapeutic use
5.
J Thromb Haemost ; 12(7): 1141-4, 2014 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24801362

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Antithrombin, a hemostatic protein and naturally occurring anticoagulant, is a major thrombin inhibitor. The capacity of antithrombin to inhibit thrombin is known to increase a 1000-fold whilst in the presence of unfractionated heparin. ß-antithrombin is an isoform of antithrombin with a high affinity for unfractionated heparin. This study aimed to determine the differences in the anticoagulant activity of the ß-antithrombin isoform in children compared with adults. METHODS: Plasma samples were obtained from 105 healthy individuals from the following age groups: neonates (day 1 and day 3), 28 days to 1 year, 1-5 years, 6-10 years, 11-16 years and adults. The method utilized to measure the activity of ß-antithrombin in plasma is a modified version of the total antithrombin assay routinely used in diagnostic laboratories. The modified version of this assay allows for the specific quantification of the ß-antithrombin glycoform anticoagulant activity alone, as the ß-antithrombin molecule is activated under a high salt concentration, which in turn does not allow activation of other antithrombin isoforms. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated that there are no age-specific differences in the activity of ß-antithrombin. However, considering that the total AT activity is significantly reduced in neonates, our results suggest that in this population ß-antithrombin activity is a major contributor to the overall activity of AT.


Subject(s)
Antithrombins/chemistry , Heparin/therapeutic use , Plasma/chemistry , Adolescent , Adult , Anticoagulants/therapeutic use , Blood Coagulation Tests , Child , Child, Preschool , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Pediatrics , Protein Isoforms/chemistry , Thrombin/chemistry
6.
Curr Oncol ; 21(1): e41-51, 2014 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24523620

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The accord 11/0402 trial demonstrated that folfirinox (5-fluorouracil, leucovorin, irinotecan, oxaliplatin) is significantly more efficacious than gemcitabine monotherapy in the first-line treatment of metastatic pancreatic cancer (mpc). The present study assessed the cost-effectiveness of first-line folfirinox compared with first-line gemcitabine for public payers in Canada. METHODS: A Markov model simulated the movement of mpc patients from first-line treatment until death. Overall survival (os) and progression-free survival (pfs) data were derived from accord. Published utility data and Canadian costs were applied based on time in each health state and on treatment-related adverse event (ae) rates. Costs included first- and second-line therapy, monitoring, and costs to treat aes. Two separate analyses were performed. Analysis 1 was based on trial data [first-line folfirinox followed by second-line gemcitabine compared with first-line gemcitabine followed by second-line platinum-based chemotherapy, with use of granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (g-csf) allowed], and analysis 2 used Ontario treatment patterns before folfirinox funding (first-line folfirinox followed by second-line gemcitabine compared with first-line gemcitabine followed by best supportive care, no use of g-csf). RESULTS: Compared with first-line gemcitabine, first-line folfirinox resulted in more life-years and quality adjusted life-years (qalys). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis results showed that, for analyses 1 and 2 respectively, folfirinox has a greater than 85% probability and an approximately 80% probability of being cost-effective at the $100,000 threshold. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with gemcitabine, first-line folfirinox significantly prolongs median os. Given the favourable cost per qaly, the improvement in clinical efficacy, and the limited available treatment options, folfirinox represents an attractive cost-effective treatment for mpc.

9.
J Thromb Haemost ; 11(10): 1850-4, 2013 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23927605

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Developmental hemostasis recognizes the physiologic differences between the hemostatic system of neonates and children and that of adults. As compared with the knowledge of hemostatic system physiology in adults, our understanding in neonates and children remains inadequate. Routine clinical coagulation testing most commonly measures functional parameters of the hemostatic system. Very few studies have measured age-specific levels of hemostatic proteins. An understanding of the normal fluctuations in the levels of hemostatic proteins is vital in the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of hemostatic problems during infancy and childhood. This study was designed as the first comprehensive study of the age-specific changes in the levels of important hemostatic proteins in healthy neonates, children, and adults. METHODS: Plasma samples were obtained from 120 healthy individuals from the following age groups: neonates (day 1 and day 3), 28 days to 1 year, 1-5 years, 6-10 years, 11-16 years, and adults. Factor II, FV, FVII, FVIII, FIX, FX, FXI, FXII, FXIII, plasminogen, protein C and total and free protein S were quantified with commercially available ELISA kits. RESULTS: The levels of 10 proteins were significantly different between neonates and adults, and these differences persisted throughout childhood for most of these proteins. CONCLUSION: The results of this study confirm that the levels of the majority of coagulation proteins vary significantly with age. Future studies should investigate how hemostatic protein level relates to functional changes with age.


Subject(s)
Age Factors , Blood Coagulation Factors/metabolism , Hemostasis , Adolescent , Adult , Child , Child, Preschool , Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Young Adult
11.
Thromb Res ; 130(5): 804-7, 2012 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22884545

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Current anticoagulation therapy in children is less than ideal, requiring regular venous monitoring and dosing adjustments. Limitations associated with conventional anticoagulants have prompted the development of novel drugs that specifically target key proteins in the coagulation system. Rivaroxaban is the first oral, direct Factor Xa inhibitor available for the prevention of venous thromboembolism in adults. Its predictable pharmacokinetic profile, high oral bioavailability and once-daily dosing make rivaroxaban an optimal anticoagulant that warrants investigation in children. The aim of this study was to investigate the age-related anticoagulant effect of rivaroxaban in vitro. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Age-specific plasma pools were created (i.e. 28 days-23 months, 2-6, 7-11, 12-16 years and adults) and spiked with increasing concentrations of rivaroxaban (0-500 ng/ml). Commercially available PT, APTT and anti-Factor Xa assays, as well as sub-sampling thrombin generation assays, were used to measure rivaroxaban effect. RESULTS: The results of this study indicate that there are no significant differences in rivaroxaban effect across the age groups in vitro. CONCLUSION: In vivo studies are required to confirm the consistency of dose-response across the paediatric age groups.


Subject(s)
Anticoagulants/pharmacology , Morpholines/pharmacology , Thiophenes/pharmacology , Adolescent , Adult , Age Factors , Child , Child, Preschool , Factor Xa Inhibitors , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Middle Aged , Rivaroxaban , Young Adult
12.
Curr Oncol ; 17(1): 17-24, 2010 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20179799

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The cost-effectiveness of oxaliplatin in combination with 5-fluorouracil/leucovorin (5FU/LV)-the FOLFOX regimen-was compared with that of 5FU/LV alone as adjuvant therapy for patients with stage III colon cancer, from the perspective of the Cancer Care Ontario New Drug Funding Program. In the mosaic (Multicenter International Study of Oxaliplatin/5-Fluorouracil/Leucovorin in the Adjuvant Treatment of Colon Cancer) trial, the FOLFOX regimen significantly improved disease-free survival. The mosaic trial formed the basis of the present analysis. METHODOLOGY: Extrapolated patient-level data from the mosaic trial were used to model patient outcomes from treatment until death. Utilities were obtained from the literature. Resource utilization data were derived from the mosaic trial and supplemented with data from the literature. Unit costs were obtained from the Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care, the London Health Sciences Centre, and the literature. RESULTS: Lifetime incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for FOLFOX compared with 5fu/lv were CA$14,266 per disease-free year, CA$23,598 per life-year saved, and CA$24,104 per quality adjusted life-year (QALY) gained, discounting costs and outcomes at 5% per annum. These results were stable for a wide range of inputs; only utility values associated with relapse seemed to influence the cost-effectiveness ratios observed. CONCLUSIONS: With an incremental cost of CA$24,104 per QALY gained, FOLFOX is a cost-effective adjuvant treatment for stage iii colon cancer. Compared with 5fu/lv alone, this regimen offers better clinical outcomes and provides good value for money.

13.
Pharmacoeconomics ; 19(10): 1039-49, 2001.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11735672

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Clinical trials have shown rofecoxib, a selective inhibitor of cyclo-oxygenase-2, to be associated with fewer gastrointestinal complications than non-selective nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs). OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the potential clinical and economic consequences of rofecoxib prescription in Ontario, Canada, for patients with osteoarthritis (OA) aged >65 years who did not respond to paracetamol (acetaminophen) therapy. DESIGN: Decision analytic modelling study. METHODS: A model was constructed to compare rofecoxib and nonselective NSAIDs with respect to their gastrointestinal complications in patients with OA. The model had a 1-year horizon and considered direct medical costs from the perspective of the Ontario Ministry of Health. Event rates were estimated from a pooled analysis of 8 phase IIb/Ill clinical trials. The number of perforations, ulcers and bleeds (PUBs) with each strategy was used as the primary measure of effectiveness. RESULTS: In the base-case scenario, the expected total cost per patient-day on nonselective NSAIDs was 1.60 Canadian dollars (Can dollars) versus 1.67 Can dollars on rofecoxib (1999 values). Rofecoxib was associated with 0.0109 fewer PUBs per patient per year. The incremental cost to avoid 1 additional PUB by substituting rofecoxib for nonselective NSAIDs was 2247 Can dollars. The rofecoxib strategy became dominant if a gastroprotective agent was prescribed to more than 27.5% of the patients receiving nonselective NSAIDs. CONCLUSION: For patients with OA aged >65 years in whom paracetamol therapy has failed, rofecoxib may represent a cost-effective alternative to nonselective NSAIDs. Increased costs for drug acquisition are offset, in part. by avoidance of gastrointestinal complications and reduced use of gastroprotective agents. Rofecoxib may offer increased benefit among patients at a higher risk of serious gastrointestinal events.


Subject(s)
Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal/economics , Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal/therapeutic use , Cyclooxygenase Inhibitors/economics , Cyclooxygenase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Isoenzymes/metabolism , Lactones/economics , Lactones/therapeutic use , Osteoarthritis/drug therapy , Osteoarthritis/economics , Prostaglandin-Endoperoxide Synthases/metabolism , Aged , Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal/adverse effects , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Cyclooxygenase 2 , Cyclooxygenase 2 Inhibitors , Cyclooxygenase Inhibitors/adverse effects , Decision Support Techniques , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage/chemically induced , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage/economics , Humans , Lactones/adverse effects , Membrane Proteins , Ontario , Stomach Ulcer/chemically induced , Stomach Ulcer/economics , Sulfones
14.
Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol ; 94(1): 31-6, 2001 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11134823

ABSTRACT

UNLABELLED: The symptomatology of nausea and vomiting of pregnancy (NVP) ranges from mild to very severe. The most advanced method to measure the burden of NVP, the Rhode's scores, incorporates physical signs (length and number of episodes of nausea, number and volume of vomits, and number of retching) with measures of distress caused by these symptoms. However, this system has been validated only for symptoms that occurred in the past 12 h, thus obviating its wide clinical use, and particularly its retrospective use. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether the severity of the physical symptoms of NVP correlate with the degree of stress caused by them, and to develop simple scores that can be used clinically. METHODS AND RESULTS: We prospectively scored 283 women with NVP using the Rhode's system. There was excellent and highly significant correlation between the physical symptoms and their degrees of distress. Subsequently, we examined two simple scoring systems, one with three and one with five physical symptoms. Both yielded distribution of severity of NVP not different from the one found with the use of the full Rhode's score. CONCLUSION: A scoring system based on all five physical symptoms, or only on three (length of nausea, number of episodes of nausea and number of vomits) yielded accurate estimates of severity and changes in severity of NVP. Unlike the Rhode's score, this simple method can be used clinically to evaluate the severity and changes in NVP.


Subject(s)
Nausea/physiopathology , Pregnancy Complications , Vomiting/physiopathology , Adolescent , Adult , Female , Humans , Nausea/diagnosis , Pain Measurement , Pregnancy , Prospective Studies , Vomiting/diagnosis
15.
Ostomy Wound Manage ; 47(8): 36-46, 2001 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11890002

ABSTRACT

Venous ulcers are the most common chronic wounds of the lower leg. Skin substitutes recently have been introduced to stimulate nonhealing wounds. To conduct an incremental cost-effectiveness analysis, a model was developed to compare the four-layer bandage system, with and without one application of skin substitute, for the outpatient treatment of venous leg ulcers. The model estimated the costs and consequences of treatment with and without the skin substitute application. Two analytic horizons were explored: 3 months and 6 months. Determined by seven physicians, data and assumptions for the 3-month model were based on information from a clinical trial, published studies, and clinical experience. Data for the 6-month model were extrapolated from the shorter model. The model results indicate that over 3 months, the use of the skin substitute provided a benefit of 22 ulcer days averted per patient at an incremental cost of $304 (societal). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $14 per ulcer day averted. Over 6 months, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was less than $5 per ulcer-day averted. The skin substitute plus a four-layer bandage was more costly and more effective than the four-layer bandage alone. The skin substitute is increasingly cost-effective over a longer analytic horizon and in a subgroup of patients with ulcers of long duration (greater than 1-year duration at baseline). The results come from a model that is based on a series of estimates and assumptions, and accordingly, confirmation of this finding in a prospective study is encouraged.


Subject(s)
Collagen/therapeutic use , Varicose Ulcer/therapy , Aged , Ambulatory Care , Bandages/economics , Bandages/standards , Collagen/economics , Combined Modality Therapy , Cost of Illness , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Decision Support Techniques , Drug Combinations , Female , Gelatin/economics , Gelatin/therapeutic use , Glycerol/economics , Glycerol/therapeutic use , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Models, Econometric , Skin Care/methods , Skin Care/nursing , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , Varicose Ulcer/physiopathology , Wound Healing , Zinc Compounds/economics , Zinc Compounds/therapeutic use
16.
J Rheumatol ; 23(4): 730-8, 1996 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8730135

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess agreement among rheumatologists and family physicians (FP) about the indications for knee replacement (KR) referral, use of nonsurgical management options, and perceived outcomes of KR, and to determine the relationship between these opinions and the number of patients seen with severe osteoarthritis (OA) of the knee. METHODS: 98 adult rheumatologists and a random sample of 250 FP in Ontario, Canada were surveyed. Of the practising and traceable rheumatologists and FP, 70.0 and 5.16% responded, respectively. RESULTS: FP disagreed on how 28 of 32 patient factors affected their KR referral decision, while rheumatologists disagreed on 26 of these 32 factors (p = 0.03). Rheumatologists and FP consistently disagreed on the use of 8 of 10 treatments for knee OA (p = 0.37). While rheumatologists and FP reported similar KR outcomes, FP were less in agreement (p = 0.03). Clinical disagreement for the indications for KR (p < 0.0001) and KR outcomes (p < 0.0001) were greater among FP than among orthopedic surgeons who were surveyed in a prior study. Clinical disagreement about the indications for KR was greater among rheumatologists than among surgeons (p = 0.04), but there was no difference in perceived KR incomes (p = 0.18). CONCLUSION: Referring physicians disagreed on the indications for KR referral an on the treatments for knee arthritis, but were in general agreement regarding KR outcomes. Clinical disagreement was greater among FP than among rheumatologists, who in turn reported more disagreement than orthopedic surgeons. Explanations for these difference in perceptions should be the focus of research, but guidelines specifically tailored for each physician specialty may be required to reduce clinical uncertainty.


Subject(s)
Family Practice/statistics & numerical data , Knee Joint/surgery , Knee Prosthesis , Osteoarthritis/surgery , Rheumatology/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Family Practice/standards , Humans , Knee Joint/pathology , Observer Variation , Osteoarthritis/diagnosis , Practice Patterns, Physicians' , Retrospective Studies , Rheumatology/standards , Treatment Outcome
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