Estimated distribution of malaria cases among children in sub-Saharan Africa by specified age categories using data from the Global Burden of Diseases 2019.

BACKGROUND: Children in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) remain the most vulnerable to malaria and malaria mortality. This study estimated the disease burden and distribution of Plasmodium falciparum malaria among children with age categories (0 to < 2 years, 2 to < 6 years, 6 to < 12 years, ≥ 12 years) in SSA. METHODS: Data on the number of cases and incidence rates of P. falciparum malaria by age group from the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (GBD 2019) for 11 countries in SSA was employed in this study. The best-fitting distribution of P. falciparum malaria cases by prespecified age categories was derived using a combination of a Log-normal and Weibull distribution. RESULTS: Plasmodium falciparum malaria was 15.4% for ages 0 to < 2 years, 30.5% for 2 to < 6 years, 17.6% for 6 to < 12 years, and 36.5% for ≥ 12 years based on data from countries in SSA. The results have important implications for the current drive by the FDA and EMA to ensure the representativeness of real-world populations in clinical trials evaluating the safety and efficacy of medication exposure. CONCLUSIONS: The theoretical distributions of P. falciparum malaria will help guide researchers in ensuring that children are appropriately represented in clinical trials and other interventions aiming to address the current burden of malaria in SSA.

Emulation of the control cohort of a randomized controlled trial in pediatric kidney transplantation with Real-World Data from the CERTAIN Registry.

BACKGROUND: Randomized controlled trials in pediatric kidney transplantation are hampered by low incidence and prevalence of kidney failure in children. Real-World Data from patient registries could facilitate the conduct of clinical trials by substituting a control cohort. However, the emulation of a control cohort by registry data in pediatric kidney transplantation has not been investigated so far. METHODS: In this multicenter comparative analysis, we emulated the control cohort (n = 54) of an RCT in pediatric kidney transplant patients (CRADLE trial; ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01544491) with data derived from the Cooperative European Paediatric Renal Transplant Initiative (CERTAIN) registry, using the same inclusion and exclusion criteria (CERTAIN cohort, n = 554). RESULTS: Most baseline patient and transplant characteristics were well comparable between both cohorts. At year 1 posttransplant, a composite efficacy failure end point comprising biopsy-proven acute rejection, graft loss or death (5.8% ± 3.3% vs. 7.5% ± 1.1%, P = 0.33), and kidney function (72.5 ± 24.9 vs. 77.3 ± 24.2 mL/min/1.73 m2 P = 0.19) did not differ significantly between CRADLE and CERTAIN. Furthermore, the incidence and severity of BPAR (5.6% vs. 7.8%), the degree of proteinuria (20.2 ± 13.9 vs. 30.6 ± 58.4 g/mol, P = 0.15), and the key safety parameters such as occurrence of urinary tract infections (24.1% vs. 15.5%, P = 0.10) were well comparable. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, usage of Real-World Data from patient registries such as CERTAIN to emulate the control cohort of an RCT is feasible and could facilitate the conduct of clinical trials in pediatric kidney transplantation. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Cardiovascular safety of mometasone/indacaterol and mometasone/indacaterol/glycopyrronium once-daily fixed-dose combinations in asthma: pooled analysis of phase 3 trials.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate cardiovascular safety of two new inhaled fixed-dose combinations for treatment of asthma: (i) the inhaled corticosteroid/long-acting beta2-agonist (ICS/LABA) mometasone furoate/indacaterol acetate (MF/IND), (ii) the ICS/LABA/long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA) MF/IND/glycopyrronium bromide (GLY). METHODS: Patient-level data were pooled from four randomized trials, including 52-week studies PALLADIUM (n = 2216) and IRIDIUM (n = 3092), 24-week study ARGON (n = 1426), and 12-week study QUARTZ (n = 802). Cardio-/cerebrovascular (CCV) event frequencies were examined in the following comparisons: (1) LABA effect: pooled-dose MF/IND vs. pooled-dose MF; (2) LAMA effect: pooled-dose MF/IND/GLY vs. pooled-dose MF/IND; (3) ICS-dose effects: (a) high-dose MF/IND vs. medium-dose MF/IND, (b) high-dose MF/IND/GLY vs. medium-dose MF/IND/GLY; (4) intra-class effects: (a) high-dose MF/IND vs. Fluticasone/Salmeterol (F/S), (b) high-dose MF/IND/GLY vs. F/S + Tiotropium (TIO). Risk estimates (percentage of patients with ≥1 CCV event) and risk differences (RDs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for each comparison. RESULTS: The frequency of CCV events was low, without notable differences between comparison groups. Risk estimates and corresponding RDs (95% CIs) were as follows: (1) pooled-dose MF/IND = 2.35%, pooled-dose MF = 2.18%, RD = 0.17% (-1.00%, 1.34%); (2) pooled-dose MF/IND/GLY = 3.65%, pooled-dose MF/IND = 3.77%, RD = -0.12% (-1.63%, 1.39%); (3a) high-dose MF/IND = 3.69%, medium-dose MF/IND = 3.35%, RD = 0.34% (-1.25%, 1.94%); (3b) high-dose MF/IND/GLY = 2.84%, medium-dose MF/IND/GLY = 2.02%, RD = 0.82% (-0.49%, 2.13%); (4a) high-dose MF/IND = 3.69%, F/S = 2.82%, RD = 0.87% (-0.66%, 2.40%); (4b) high-dose MF/IND/GLY = 1.26%, F/S + TIO = 1.05%, RD = 0.21% (-1.26%, 1.68%). CONCLUSIONS: There was no evidence of increased cardiovascular risk attributable to the addition of IND to MF or addition of GLY to MF/IND. Similarly, no evidence of increased cardiovascular risk was observed with an increase in the ICS-dose or relative to F/S ± TIO.

The risk of systemic lupus erythematosus associated with vaccines: an international case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: Studies have suggested that systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) may be triggered by vaccinations. We undertook this study to investigate the relationship between vaccination and onset of SLE. METHODS: This international case-control study was conducted between April 2008 and June 2012 in 36 specialist referral centers (34 in France and 2 in Quebec, Canada) and recruited patients ≤60 years old recently diagnosed as having either definite SLE (meeting ≥4 American College of Rheumatology [ACR] criteria including at least 1 immunologic criterion) or probable SLE (meeting 3 ACR criteria including at least 1 immunologic criterion). Controls were recruited from general practice settings through a closely monitored protocol and matched to patients by age, sex, region of residence, and date of recruitment. Vaccinations and other potential risk factors for SLE were assessed using a standardized telephone interview. We compared proportions of patients and controls who were vaccinated 12 and 24 months before the index date (date of first clinical symptom presented by the patient) using odds ratios (ORs) from conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: We assessed 105 patients (89 with definite SLE and 16 with probable SLE) and 712 controls. Twenty-two of the 105 patients (21.0%) and 181 of the 712 controls (25.4%) had received at least 1 vaccination within 24 months before the index date (adjusted OR 0.9 [95% confidence interval 0.5-1.5]). The proportions of patients and controls vaccinated within the previous 12 months were also similar. CONCLUSION: Our study showed no association between exposure to vaccination and risk of developing SLE.

Real-life effectiveness of statins in the prevention of first acute coronary syndrome in France: a prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Evidence on the real effectiveness of statins on acute coronary syndrome (ACS) incidence is scarce. We assessed the effectiveness of real-life statins on the risk of first non-fatal ACS in a low-cardiovascular-risk country. METHODS: Systematic case-control study was conducted in 60 cardiology centres and 371 general practices from across France. A total of 2238 cases with first ACS within 1 month from recruitment and 2238 controls without history of ACS were included; controls were matched to ACS cases on sex, age, frequency of visits to GPs, date of recruitment and personal history of chronic diseases. Statin exposure and risk factors were documented through patient telephone interviews and validated against medical records. The index date was the date of ACS for cases. Adjusted odds ratios (OR) of first ACS and statin use were estimated by multiple conditional logistic regression models controlled for risk factors and propensity score for statin exposure. RESULTS: Statin use was associated with lower ACS risk, with an adjusted matched OR of 0.67; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.56 to 0.79 for current use (within 2 months) and 0.73; 95% CI: 0.62 to 0.86 for any use within 24 months [atorvastatin: 0.83 (0.63-1.10), fluvastatin: 0.75 (0.43-1.30), pravastatin: 0.98 (0.72-1.34), rosuvastatin: 0.49 (0.35-0.68) and simvastatin: 0.62 (0.46-0.84)]. The preventive effect of statins on non-fatal ACS reached its maximum after one to four years of use. CONCLUSION: A similar magnitude of effect for statin use was observed in real life, as compared to randomised clinical trials in France.

Agreement between patients' self-report and medical records for vaccination: the PGRx database.

PURPOSE: Patients' self-reported vaccine exposure (PS) may be subject to memory errors and other biases. Physicians' prescription records and other medical records (MR) do not capture noncompliance with vaccination. This study compared PS with MR for influenza, 23-valent pneumococcal, and human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines. METHODS: The Pharmacoepidemiologic General Research Extension (PGRx) database uses a network of over 300 general practitioners across France, who systematically recruit an age- and sex-stratified sample of patients (≥ 14 years old), without reference to their diagnoses or prescriptions. Patients received a structured telephone interview, combined with an interview guide listing vaccines commonly given. Patients' self-reported vaccination in the 3 years before their recruitment was compared with medical records kept by the physician or the patient. RESULTS: Concordance between PS and MR was assessed for 7613 patients for whom both sources of information were available. Agreement within 3 years before the recruitment date was substantial for influenza vaccines (prevalence and bias-adjusted kappa [PABAK] = 0.74, sensitivity PS relative to MR 81.5%) and high for 23-valent pneumococcal vaccines (PABAK = 0.98, sensitivity PS 49.6) and HPV vaccines (PABAK = 0.92, sensitivity PS 91.6). In adjusted analyses, agreement varied with sociodemographic and health-related factors, particularly for influenza and 23-valent pneumococcal vaccines. CONCLUSIONS: The PGRx method for drug exposure assessment is a new tool in pharmacoepidemiology that shows substantial to high agreement between PS and MR for exposure to various vaccines. Our finding of high agreement between PS and MR for HPV vaccination status in young women is a significant addition to the literature.

A case-control study to assess the risk of immune thrombocytopenia associated with vaccines.

The cause of immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) remains unknown. Studies have suggested immunizations as possible triggering factors of ITP through molecular mimicry. This case-control study explored potential associations between adult ITP and various routinely administered vaccines. A network of internal medicine and hematology centers across France recruited 198 incident (ie, newly diagnosed) cases of ITP between April 2008 and June 2011. These cases were compared with 878 age- and sex-matched controls without ITP recruited in general practice. Information on vaccination was obtained from patients' standardized telephone interviews. Sixty-six of 198 cases (33.3%) and 303 of 878 controls (34.5%) received at least 1 vaccine within the 12 months before the index date. We found no evidence of an increase in ITP after vaccination in the previous 6 or 12 months (adjusted odds ratio [OR] for the previous 12 months = 1.0; 95% confidence interval, 0.7-1.4). When the 2-month time window was used, higher ORs were observed for all vaccines (OR = 1.3). This increase was mainly attributable to the vaccination against diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis-poliomyelitis (OR = 1.5) and was not statistically significant. The results of the present study show that in an adult population, the exposure to common vaccines is on average not associated with an observable risk of developing ITP.

Agreement between patients' self-report and physicians' prescriptions on nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and other drugs used in musculoskeletal disorders: the international Pharmacoepidemiologic General Research eXtension database.

PURPOSE: The use of prescription records for the assessment of exposure to nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) does not capture over-the-counter drug use. This study compared patients' self-reported use to physician's prescriptions for NSAIDs and other drugs used to treat musculoskeletal disorders (MSDs). METHODS: The international Pharmacoepidemiologic General Research eXtension database includes a network of general practitioners recruiting patients without reference to diagnoses or prescriptions. Data on all drug use across France within the 2 years preceding the date of inclusion (index date) were obtained from both patients' self-reports (PSRs) and physicians' prescription reports (PPRs). Patients' reports were obtained using a structured telephone interview combined with an interview guide containing a list of drugs commonly used. Comparisons were made on exposure to four categories of MSD drugs and three time windows up to 24 months before the index date. RESULTS: Agreement between physician and patient reports was assessed on 4152 patient-physician pairs. Bias- and prevalence-adjusted kappa values showed fair agreement for nonaspirin NSAIDs, moderate to fair for nonnarcotic analgesics, high for osteoarthritis and moderate to substantial for muscle relaxants. Over-the-counter drug use was associated with greater disagreement (OR = 2.21, 95%CI = 1.05-1.38). Age was not associated with disagreement. CONCLUSION: Differences between PSR and PPR in estimating the prevalence of MSD drug use varied by the type of drug and the elapsed time from the index date. The patient-assisted interview method used in this study showed better agreement with PPR compared with standard interviews, especially for long time windows and patients older than 65 years. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Agreement between patients' self-report and physicians' prescriptions on cardiovascular drug exposure: the PGRx database experience.

PURPOSE: Patients' self-reported drug exposure is subjected to memory errors and different sources of bias. Utilization of prescription records is impaired with non-compliance and over-the-counter (OTC) drug utilization. This study compared patients' self-report (PS) to physician's prescriptions of cardiovascular drugs (CVDs). METHODS: The PGRx database is constituted by networks of specialized centers that recruited cases of 15 different diseases including myocardial infarction (MI) cases, and a network of general practitioners recruiting a pool of potential referents. For MI cases and referents, data on all drug utilization within the 2 years preceding the index date were obtained from PS and from physician's report of their prescriptions (PP). Patients' reports were obtained using a structured telephone interview complemented with an interview guide containing names of diseases and pictures of drug packages. Comparisons were made on exposure to each class of CVDs, for different time-windows, 2 months, 3-12 months and 13-24 months prior to the index date. RESULTS: The concordance between physician and patient report was assessed on 2702 patient-physician pairs. Agreement was excellent overall (kappa = 0.83, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.81-0.85). Prevalences of exposure were very close between PS and PP for all classes of prescription CVDs. CONCLUSION: Using a standardized and systematic collection of information on drug exposure directly from patients appeared to provide similar information to using physician prescription records over a 2-year recall period.

Mixed states vs. pure mania in the French sample of the EMBLEM study: results at baseline and 24 months--European mania in bipolar longitudinal evaluation of medication.

BACKGROUND: To describe the clinical course and treatment patterns over 24 months of patients experiencing an acute manic/mixed episode within the standard course of care. METHODS: EMBLEM was a 2-year European prospective, observational study on outcomes of patients experiencing a manic/mixed episode. Adults with bipolar disorder were enrolled within the standard course of care as in/outpatients if they initiated or changed oral medication for treatment of acute mania. After completing 12 weeks of acute phase, patients were assessed every 3-6 months during the maintenance phase. We present the 24 month results, with subgroup analysis for mixed states (MS) and pure mania (PM). These subgroup analyses are driven by the high proportion of antidepressants prescribed in this cohort. RESULTS: In France, 771 patients were eligible for the maintenance phase. 69% of patients completed the follow up over 24 months. The mean age was 45.5 years (sd = 13.6) with 57% of women. 504 (66%) patients were experiencing a PM and 262 (34%) a MS at baseline. The main significant differences in MS vs. PM at baseline were: a higher rate of women, and in the previous 12 months, a higher frequency of episodes (manic/mixed and depressive), more suicide attempts, more rapid cycling, fewer social activities and more work impairment. Over the 24 months of follow-up the MS group had a significantly lower recovery than PM (36% vs. 46%, p = 0.006). Overall, 42% of all patients were started on monotherapy and 58% on combination therapy; of those 35% and 30% respectively remained on their initial medication throughout the 24 months. At baseline, 36% were treated with an antidepressant, this proportion remains high throughout the follow-up period, with a significantly higher rate for MS vs. PM at 24 months (55% vs. 27%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: In this large sample, MS occur frequently (34%), they are more severe at baseline and have a worse functional prognosis than PM. Although antidepressants are not recommended in MS and PM, they were frequently prescribed at baseline and are maintained during the 24 months of follow-up.