Performance of estimated glomerular filtration rate equations in Black living kidney donor candidates.

INTRODUCTION: New estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) equations using serum creatinine and/or cystatin C have been derived to eliminate adjustment by perceived Black ancestry. We sought to analyze the performance of newer eGFR equations among Black living kidney donor candidates. METHODS: Black candidates (n = 64) who had measured iothalamate GFR between January 2015 and October 2021 were included, and eGFR was calculated using race adjusted (eGFRcr2009 and eGFRcr-cys2012) and race unadjusted (eGFRcys2012, eGFRcr2021, and eGFRcr-cys2021) CKD-EPI equations. Bias and accuracy were calculated. RESULTS: The eGFRcr2021 equation had a negative bias of 9 mL/min/1.73 m2 , while other equations showed a modest positive bias. Accuracy within 10% and 30% was greatest using the eGFRcr-cys2021 equation. With the eGFRcr2021 equation, 9.4% of donors with an mGFR > 80 mL/min/1.73 m2 were misclassified as having an eGFR < 80 mL/min/1.73 m2 . eGFR was also compared among 18 kidney donors at 6-24 months post-donation. Post-donation, the percentage of donors with an eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 was 44% using the eGFRcr2021 equation compared to 11% using the eGFRcr-cys2021 equation. CONCLUSION: The CKD-EPICr2021 equation appears to underestimate true GFR in Black living donor candidates. Alternatively, compared to CKD-EPICr2021, the CKD-EPICr-CysC2021 equation appears to perform with less bias and improved accuracy.

The Number and Size of Individual Kidney Medullary Pyramids is Associated with Clinical Characteristics, Kidney Biopsy Findings, and CKD Outcomes among Kidney Donors.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Segmentation of multiple structures in cross-sectional imaging is time-consuming and impractical to perform manually, especially if the end goal is clinical implementation. In this study, we developed, validated, and demonstrated the capability of a deep learning algorithm to segment individual medullary pyramids in a rapid, accurate, and reproducible manner. The results demonstrate that cortex volume, medullary volume, number of pyramids, and mean pyramid volume is associated with patient clinical characteristics and microstructural findings and provide insights into the mechanisms that may lead to CKD. BACKGROUND: The kidney is a lobulated organ, but little is known regarding the clinical importance of the number and size of individual kidney lobes. METHODS: After applying a previously validated algorithm to segment the cortex and medulla, a deep-learning algorithm was developed and validated to segment and count individual medullary pyramids on contrast-enhanced computed tomography images of living kidney donors before donation. The association of cortex volume, medullary volume, number of pyramids, and mean pyramid volume with concurrent clinical characteristics (kidney function and CKD risk factors), kidney biopsy morphology (nephron number, glomerular volume, and nephrosclerosis), and short- and long-term GFR <60 or <45 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 was assessed. RESULTS: Among 2876 living kidney donors, 1132 had short-term follow-up at a median of 3.8 months and 638 had long-term follow-up at a median of 10.0 years. Larger cortex volume was associated with younger age, male sex, larger body size, higher GFR, albuminuria, more nephrons, larger glomeruli, less nephrosclerosis, and lower risk of low GFR at follow-up. Larger pyramids were associated with older age, female sex, larger body size, higher GFR, more nephrons, larger glomerular volume, more nephrosclerosis, and higher risk of low GFR at follow-up. More pyramids were associated with younger age, male sex, greater height, no hypertension, higher GFR, lower uric acid, more nephrons, less nephrosclerosis, and a lower risk of low GFR at follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Cortex volume and medullary pyramid volume and count reflect underlying variation in nephron number and nephron size as well as merging of pyramids because of age-related nephrosclerosis, with loss of detectable cortical columns separating pyramids.

Characteristics of Potential and Actual Living Kidney Donors: A Single-center Experience.

BACKGROUND: There are limited data and no national capture of barriers associated with initiating and completing the donation process for potential living kidney donors (LKDs). METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of 3001 intake forms completed by prospective LKDs from 2016 to 2019 at a single transplant center. We analyzed data from all potential donors who completed the intake until they became ineligible or withdrew or donation was complete. We used univariate and multivariate models to evaluate independent factors associated with donation at various stages in the donation process. RESULTS: The donation process was deconstructed into 5 steps: intake form, immunologic compatibility testing, clinic evaluation, selection committee review, and donation. The highest percentage of potential donors dropped out after completing the intake form, primarily because of not responding to the follow-up phone call (22.6%). Of 455 potential LKDs that completed immunologic compatibility testing, 36% were ABO or crossmatch incompatible. One-hundred eighty-eight (7.5%) of all LKD applicants reached donation, the majority of whom were White (91.0%) and female (63.8%). CONCLUSIONS: A minority of LKD applicants make it to donation. Our ability to track all potential LKDs from the initial touch point to the transplant center will help us develop interventions to address barriers to a successful donation.

Self-reported marijuana use and its effects on overall approval in potential living kidney donors.

BACKGROUND: Past and present substance use is an important part of the psychosocial evaluation of potential living kidney donors (LKDs). Increasing state legalizations and social acceptance of marijuana (MJ) use can create challenges for transplant centers. METHODS: We investigated the frequency of reporting MJ use, and its effect on the LKD evaluation. A retrospective chart review was performed on all living donor candidates from December 2016 to December 2019 for reports of MJ use, both on an electronic intake form and during clinical evaluation with a licensed social worker (SW). Active MJ use was defined as current use or use within 1 year of evaluation. Baseline characteristics between MJ users and non-users were compared at each step of donor evaluation. We explored variables associated with MJ use including additional consults and testing during the donor evaluation. Overall approval and donation rates for living donors with active MJ use were compared to non-users. Additionally, 1-year donor follow-up was compared between the two groups. Results of 1818 living donor candidates who completed the intake form, 132 admitted to active MJ use. Compared to non-users, MJ users were more likely to be younger, male, single, renting a home, and with a lower level of education. Thirty three out of 338 candidates who completed a social work evaluation reported MJ use. Compared to non-users, MJ users were more frequently classified as moderate or high risk on SW evaluation, and often required a toxicology screen or psychiatry visit for clearance to donate. Altogether 24.2% of MJ users versus 9.5% of non-users discontinued their evaluation (p < .01). Altogether 42.4% of MJ users versus 56.1% of non-users donated their kidney (p = .13). For those who donated, MJ users were less likely than non-users to follow up at 1 year (57.1% vs. 83.0, p-value .02). CONCLUSION: MJ users were often asked to complete additional steps in their evaluation before an approval decision was made, which may have led to the higher rate of donor drop out observed in this group. Further research is needed to assess the effects of MJ use on living donor candidacy, as well as any effects of MJ use on long-term donor outcomes.

Donor-Derived Renal Cell Carcinoma in a Kidney Allograft: A Case Report.

Renal cell carcinoma (RCC) in the kidney allograft is a relatively rare complication most commonly seen approximately a decade or more after transplant. We report a case of diffuse multifocal RCC within 6 months of transplant. The initial signal leading to an abnormality in the graft was an elevated routine cell-free DNA. Initial imaging findings appeared consistent with post-transplant lymphoproliferative disorder; however, biopsy would ultimately yield RCC. The patient's diffuse disease necessitated radical nephrectomy. Tumor DNA fingerprinting was employed in this case to show the tumor originated from donor tissue rather than host, indicating primary rather than metastatic disease. Early RCC is a rare complication. Most cases are detected at an early stage, likely as a result of increased surveillance with ultrasound imaging. A donor's social history including significant tobacco use should be considered when evaluating the risk of malignancy transmission in the allograft. Clinicians should be aware of multifocal RCC as a potential differential diagnosis for diffuse nodular infiltrates in the allograft.

Beyond the Biopsy: Monitoring Immune Status in Kidney Recipients.

Improved long-term kidney allograft survival is largely related to better outcomes at 12 months, in association with declining acute rejection rates and more efficacious immunosuppression. Finding the right balance between under- and overimmunosuppression or rejection versus immunosuppression toxicity remains one of transplant's holy grails. In the absence of precise measures of immunosuppression burden, transplant clinicians rely on nonspecific, noninvasive tests and kidney allograft biopsy generally performed for cause. This review appraises recent advances of conventional monitoring strategies and critically examines the plethora of emerging tests utilizing tissue, urine, and blood samples to improve upon the diagnostic precision of allograft surveillance.

Failure to Advance Access to Kidney Transplantation over Two Decades in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Extensive research and policies have been developed to improve access to kidney transplantation among patients with ESKD. Despite this, wide variation in transplant referral rates exists between dialysis facilities. METHODS: To evaluate the longitudinal pattern of access to kidney transplantation over the past two decades, we conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients with ESKD initiating ESKD or placed on a transplant waiting list from 1997 to 2016 in the United States Renal Data System. We used cumulative incidence models accounting for competing risks and multivariable Cox models to evaluate time to waiting list placement or transplantation (WLT) from ESKD onset. RESULTS: Among the study population of 1,309,998 adult patients, cumulative 4-year WLT was 29.7%, which was unchanged over five eras. Preemptive WLT (prior to dialysis) increased by era (5.2% in 1997-2000 to 9.8% in 2013-2016), as did 4-year WLT incidence among patients aged 60-70 (13.4% in 1997-2000 to 19.8% in 2013-2016). Four-year WLT incidence diminished among patients aged 18-39 (55.8%-48.8%). Incidence of WLT was substantially lower among patients in lower-income communities, with no improvement over time. Likelihood of WLT after dialysis significantly declined over time (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.80; 95% confidence interval, 0.79 to 0.82) in 2013-2016 relative to 1997-2000. CONCLUSIONS: Despite wide recognition, policy reforms, and extensive research, rates of WLT following ESKD onset did not seem to improve in more than two decades and were consistently reduced among vulnerable populations. Improving access to transplantation may require more substantial interventions.

Long-term kidney transplant graft survival-Making progress when most needed.

Current short-term kidney post-transplant survival rates are excellent, but longer-term outcomes have historically been unchanged. This study used data from the national Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) and evaluated 1-year and 5-year graft survival and half-lives for kidney transplant recipients in the US. All adult (≥18 years) solitary kidney transplants (n = 331,216) from 1995 to 2017 were included in the analysis. Mean age was 49.4 years (SD +/-13.7), 60% male, and 25% Black. The overall (deceased and living donor) adjusted hazard of graft failure steadily decreased from 0.89 (95%CI: 0.88, 0.91) in era 2000-2004 to 0.46 (95%CI: 0.45, 0.47) for era 2014-2017 (1995-1999 as reference). Improvements in adjusted hazards of graft failure were more favorable for Blacks, diabetics and older recipients. Median survival for deceased donor transplants increased from 8.2 years in era 1995-1999 to an estimated 11.7 years in the most recent era. Living kidney donor transplant median survival increased from 12.1 years in 1995-1999 to an estimated 19.2 years for transplants in 2014-2017. In conclusion, these data show continuous improvement in long-term outcomes with more notable improvement among higher-risk subgroups, suggesting a narrowing in the gap for those disadvantaged after transplantation.

Effects of body mass index on kidney transplant outcomes are significantly modified by patient characteristics.

Body mass index (BMI) is a known risk factor associated with kidney transplant outcomes and is incorporated for determining transplant candidate eligibility. However, BMI is a coarse health measure and risks associated with BMI may vary by patient characteristics. We evaluated 296 807 adult (age > 17) solitary kidney transplant recipients from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (2000-2019). We examined effects of BMI using survival models and tested interactions with recipient characteristics. Overall, BMI demonstrated a "J-Shaped" risk profile with elevated risks for overall graft loss with low BMI and obesity. However, multivariable models indicated interactions between BMI with recipient age, diagnosis, gender, and race/ethnicity. Low BMI was relatively higher risk for older recipients (>60 years), people with type I diabetes, and males and demonstrated no additional risk among younger (18-39) and Hispanic recipients. High BMI was associated with elevated risk for Caucasians and attenuated risk among African Americans and people with type II diabetes. Effects of BMI had variable risks for mortality vs graft loss by recipient characteristics in competing risks models. The association of BMI with posttransplant outcomes is highly variable among kidney transplant recipients. Results are important considerations for personalized care and risk stratification. Findings suggest that transplant contraindications should not be based on absolute BMI thresholds but modified based on patient characteristics.

Factors Associated With Residual Kidney Function and Proteinuria After Living Kidney Donation in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Living kidney donors are carefully screened, but despite overall good health, long-term donor outcomes have been shown to vary by predonation demographics. Since 2013, the United Network for Organ Sharing has mandated 2-year postdonation follow-up with measurements of kidney function and proteinuria. METHODS: Using data from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients, we sought to analyze donor factors associated with the percent change of kidney function from baseline (predonation) to 2-year postdonation, along with incidence of proteinuria reported within the same follow-up period. RESULTS: Older donor age, male gender, black race, and body mass index >25 kg/m2 were independently associated with a greater percent decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Male gender, black race, and higher body mass index were also independently associated with incident proteinuria. In contrast, younger donor age was associated with proteinuria, but proteinuria did not correlate with greater decline in eGFR in the overall cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Donor factors associated with lower eGFR at 2-year postdonation were similar to those previously found to be associated with long-term risk for end-stage renal disease. Early postdonation assessment of kidney function and proteinuria may help to identify donors who are at greater risk of end-stage renal disease and who may benefit from more intense long-term monitoring.

Kidney Structural Features from Living Donors Predict Graft Failure in the Recipient.

BACKGROUND: Nephrosclerosis, nephron size, and nephron number vary among kidneys transplanted from living donors. However, whether these structural features predict kidney transplant recipient outcomes is unclear. METHODS: Our study used computed tomography (CT) and implantation biopsy to investigate donated kidney features as predictors of death-censored graft failure at three transplant centers participating in the Aging Kidney Anatomy study. We used global glomerulosclerosis, interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy, artery luminal stenosis, and arteriolar hyalinosis to measure nephrosclerosis; mean glomerular volume, cortex volume per glomerulus, and mean cross-sectional tubular area to measure nephron size; and calculations from CT cortical volume and glomerular density on biopsy to assess nephron number. We also determined the death-censored risk of graft failure with each structural feature after adjusting for the predictive clinical characteristics of donor and recipient. RESULTS: The analysis involved 2293 donor-recipient pairs. Mean recipient follow-up was 6.3 years, during which 287 death-censored graft failures and 424 deaths occurred. Factors that predicted death-censored graft failure independent of both donor and recipient clinical characteristics included interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy, larger cortical nephron size (but not nephron number), and smaller medullary volume. In a subset with 12 biopsy section slides, arteriolar hyalinosis also predicted death-censored graft failure. CONCLUSIONS: Subclinical nephrosclerosis, larger cortical nephron size, and smaller medullary volume in healthy donors modestly predict death-censored graft failure in the recipient, independent of donor or recipient clinical characteristics. These findings provide insights into a graft's "intrinsic quality" at the time of donation, and further support the use of intraoperative biopsies to identify kidney grafts that are at higher risk for failure.

Comparison of high glomerular filtration rate thresholds for identifying hyperfiltration.

BACKGROUND: High glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is often used as a surrogate for single-nephron hyperfiltration. Our objective was to determine the definition for high GFR that best reflects clinical and structural characteristics of hyperfiltration. METHODS: We studied living kidney donors at the Mayo Clinic and Cleveland Clinic. Potential donors underwent evaluations that included measured GFR (mGFR) by iothalamate clearance and estimated GFR (eGFR) by the serum creatinine-based Chronic Kidney Disease-Epidemiology collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation. High GFR was defined by the 95th percentile for each method (mGFR or eGFR) using either overall or age-specific thresholds. High mGFR was defined as both corrected and uncorrected for body surface area. The association of high GFR by each definition with clinical characteristics and radiologic findings (kidney volume) was assessed. In the subset that donated, the association of high GFR with kidney biopsy findings (nephron number and glomerular volume) and single-nephron GFR was assessed. RESULTS: We studied 3317 potential donors, including 2125 actual donors. The overall 95th percentile for corrected mGFR was 134 mL/min/1.73 m2 and for eGFR was 118 mL/min/1.73 m2. The age-based threshold for uncorrected mGFR was 198 mL/min - 0.943×Age, for corrected mGFR it was 164 mL/min/1.73 m2 - 0.730×Age and for eGFR it was 146 mL/min/1.73 m2 - 0.813×Age. High age-based uncorrected mGFR had the strongest associations with higher single-nephron GFR, larger glomerular volume, larger kidney volume, male gender, higher body mass index and higher 24-h urine albumin, but also had the strongest association with high nephron number. A high age-height-gender-based uncorrected mGFR definition performed almost as well but had a weaker association with nephron number and did not associate with male gender. CONCLUSIONS: High age-based uncorrected mGFR showed the most consistent associations reflective of hyperfiltration. However, high age-based uncorrected mGFR has limited clinical utility because it does not distinguish between hyperfiltration and high nephron number.

Modest rates and wide variation in timely access to repeat kidney transplantation in the United States.

Success of transplantation is not limited to initial receipt of a donor organ. Many kidney transplant recipients experience graft loss following initial transplantation and the benefits of expedited placement on the waiting list and retransplantation extend to this population. Factors associated with access to repeat transplantation may be unique given experience with the transplant process and prior viability as a candidate. We examined the incidence, risk factors, secular changes, and center-level variation of preemptive relisting or transplantation (PRLT) for kidney transplant recipients in the United States with graft failure (not due to death) using Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data from 2007 to 2018 (n = 39 557). Overall incidence of PRLT was 15% and rates of relisting declined over time. Significantly lower PRLT was evident among patients who were African American and Hispanic, males, older, obese, publicly insured, had lower educational attainment, were diabetic, had longer dialysis time prior to initial transplant, shorter graft survival, longer distance to transplant center, and resided in distressed communities. There was significant variation in PRLT by center, median = 13%, 10th percentile = 6%, 90th percentile = 24%. Cumulatively, results indicate that despite prior access to transplantation, incidence of PRLT is modest with pronounced clinical, social, and center-level sources of variation suggesting opportunities to improve preemptive care among patients with failing grafts.

Diagnostic Performance of Blood Pressure Measurement Modalities in Living Kidney Donor Candidates.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Precise BP measurement to exclude hypertension is critical in evaluating potential living kidney donors. Ambulatory BP monitoring is considered the gold standard method for diagnosing hypertension, but it is cumbersome to perform. We sought to determine whether lower BP cutoffs using office and automated BP would reduce the rate of missed hypertension in potential living donors. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: We measured BP in 578 prospective donors using three modalities: (1) single office BP, (2) office automated BP (average of five consecutive automated readings separated by 1 minute), and (3) ambulatory BP. Daytime ambulatory BP was considered the gold standard for diagnosing hypertension. We assessed both the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure (JNC-7) and the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) definitions of hypertension in the cohort. Empirical thresholds of office BP and automated BP for the detection of ambulatory BP-diagnosed hypertension were derived using Youden index, which maximizes the sum of sensitivity and specificity and gives equal weight to false positive and false negative values. RESULTS: Hypertension was diagnosed in 90 (16%) prospective donors by JNC-7 criteria and 198 (34%) prospective donors by ACC/AHA criteria. Masked hypertension was found in 3% of the total cohort by JNC-7 using the combination of office or automated BP, and it was seen in 24% by ACC/AHA guidelines. Using Youden index, cutoffs were derived for both office and automated BP using JNC-7 (<123/82 and <120/78 mm Hg) and ACC/AHA (<119/79 and <116/76 mm Hg) definitions. Using these lower cutoffs, the sensitivity for detecting hypertension improved from 79% to 87% for JNC-7 and from 32% to 87% by ACC/AHA definition, with negative predictive values of 95% and 87%, respectively. Missed (masked) hypertension was reduced to 2% and 4% of the entire cohort by JNC-7and ACC/AHA, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of hypertension was higher in living donor candidates using ACC/AHA compared JNC-7 definitions. Lower BP cutoffs in the clinic improved sensitivity and led to a low overall prevalence of missed hypertension in prospective living kidney donors.

Larger nephron size, low nephron number, and nephrosclerosis on biopsy as predictors of kidney function after donating a kidney.

It is unclear whether structural findings in the kidneys of living kidney donors predict postdonation kidney function. We studied living kidney donors who had a kidney biopsy during donation. Nephron size was measured by glomerular volume, cortex volume per glomerulus, and mean cross-sectional tubular area. Age-specific thresholds were defined for low nephron number (calculated from CT and biopsy measures) and nephrosclerosis (global glomerulosclerosis, interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy, and arteriosclerosis). These structural measures were assessed as predictors of postdonation measured GFR, 24-hour urine albumin, and hypertension. Analyses were adjusted for baseline age, gender, body mass index, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, hypertension, measured GFR, urine albumin, living related donor status, and time since donation. Of 2673 donors, 1334 returned for a follow-up visit at a median 4.4 months after donation, with measured GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 in 34%, urine albumin >5 mg/24 h in 13%, and hypertension in 5.3%. Larger glomerular volume and interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy predicted follow-up measured GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 . Larger cortex volume per glomerulus and low nephron number predicted follow-up urine albumin >5 mg/24 h. Arteriosclerosis predicted hypertension. Microstructural findings predict GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 , modest increases in urine albumin, and hypertension shortly after kidney donation.

Risk Factors for Abnormal Cervical Cytology in Women Undergoing Kidney Transplant Evaluation.

OBJECTIVES: Cervical cytology screening has been successful in reducing deaths from cervical cancer. We sought to determine risk factors for abnormal Pap test results in women undergoing kidney transplant evaluation. MATERILAS AND METHODS: We retrospectively examined women undergoing kidney transplant evaluations from 2008 to 2011. Patients were stratified based on normal cytology and atypical/malignant cytology. RESULTS: Of 404 patients, 293 patients (72.5%) had normal cytologic findings, whereas 111 (27.5%) had abnormal findings. On univariate logistic regression analyses, patients who had chronic kidney disease with an autoimmune cause (odds ratio = 2.71 [95% confidence interval, 1.41-5.19]; P = .003), previous renal transplants (odds ratio = 2.64 [95% confidence interval, 1.20-5.82], P = .016), or age ≤ 50 years (odds ratio = 1.68 [95% confidence interval, 1.08-2.61], P = .022) were more likely to have abnormal findings. Patients with normal and abnormal findings had similar rates of dialysis use. On multivariate logistic regression, patients who had chronic kidney disease with autoimmune causes (odds ratio = 2.48 [95% confidence interval, 1.26-4.88]; P = .008) and who had previous renal transplants (odds ratio = 2.67 [95% confidence interval, 1.20-5.95]; P = .017) were more likely to have abnormal findings. CONCLUSIONS: Previous kidney transplant, autoimmune disease, and age ≤ 50 years were associated with abnormalities on cervical cancer screening in our female group of patients. Patients with these characteristics may benefit more from routine cervical cancer screening than other patients evaluated for kidney transplant.

Global Glomerulosclerosis in Kidney Biopsies With Differing Amounts of Cortex: A Clinical-Pathologic Correlation Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The number of glomeruli is often used to determine the adequacy of a kidney biopsy (eg, at least 10 glomeruli). It is often assumed that biopsy specimens with limited amounts of cortex are too imprecise for detection of focal pathology. STUDY DESIGN: Clinical-pathologic correlation (cross-sectional). SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Living kidney donors who underwent a needle core biopsy of their kidney at the time of donation. EXPOSURE: The amount of cortex biopsied as determined by either the number of glomeruli or area of cortex on histology. OUTCOME: The percentage of globally sclerotic glomeruli, density of interstitial fibrosis foci, and severity of arteriosclerosis were determined. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: A beta-binomial model assessed how the mean percentage of globally sclerotic glomeruli and patient variability in percentage of globally sclerotic glomeruli differed with the number of glomeruli on the biopsy specimen. Additional models assessed the association of interstitial fibrosis and arteriosclerosis with number of glomeruli. RESULTS: There were 2,915 kidney donors studied. Fewer glomeruli on the biopsy specimen associated with higher mean percentage of globally sclerotic glomeruli and higher patient variability in percentage of globally sclerotic glomeruli. Smaller cortical volume on imaging correlated with both less cortex on biopsy and higher percentage of globally sclerotic glomeruli. Based on a statistical simulation, the probability of patient percentage of globally sclerotic glomeruli ≥ 10% if the biopsy percentage of globally sclerotic glomeruli is ≥10% (positive predictive value) was 45% with 1 to 9 glomeruli versus 31% with 10 or more glomeruli; the negative predictive value was 91% versus 98%. Fewer glomeruli also associated with more interstitial fibrosis and arteriosclerosis. LIMITATIONS: The study was limited to living kidney donors. Patient variability in percentage of globally sclerotic glomeruli was based on a statistical model because multiple biopsy specimens per patient were not available. CONCLUSIONS: The amount of cortex on a needle core biopsy is not completely random. Chronic changes from loss of cortex contribute to low amounts of cortex on a kidney biopsy specimen.