ABSTRACT
Measuring the trends of growth and variability in agricultural production is important to understand how outputs change over time. Ethiopia is the largest producer of coffee in Africa and the fifth in the world. Despite the abundant opportunities and continuous efforts made to enhance its production, it is often said that the productivity of Ethiopian coffee remains far below its potential. Yet, empirical data on the status of coffee production over time in Ethiopia is scant. We, thus, analyzed the trend, instability, and decomposition of coffee production in Ethiopia for three periods, i.e., the entire period (1993-2019), the pre-Agricultural Growth Program period (1993-2010), and the Agricultural Growth Program period (2011-2019). In all three periods, harvested area and production showed an increasing trend while productivity showed a cyclical decreasing trend. The compound growth rates of harvested area (8.14%) and production (6.68%) in the 1993-2019 period were positive and significant at 1% level, whereas that of productivity (-0.45%) was not significant. Similarly, the compound growth rates of harvested area and production during pre-AGP (6.02 and 6.06%) and AGP (6.43 and 3.57%) were positive, but only significant during AGP, and that of productivity in both pre-AGP and AGP (0.19 and -1.6%) were not significant. Productivity was, however, more stable than harvested area and production during the entire and pre-AGP periods, while harvested area and production were more stable in AGP than in the other two periods. Besides, the harvested area effect on production differentials was substantial in all three periods, while productivity and productivity-harvested area interaction effects declined production during the entire and AGP periods. Overall, the results demonstrate that to enhance and sustain coffee production in Ethiopia, using improved varieties and agronomic practices can be a better option than expanding the cultivation area since land is scarce and fixed in supply.
ABSTRACT
Regardless of the fact that the vegetable crop is crucial for Ethiopia's economy, public research on vegetable crops was negligible, and limited attention has been given to the sector. The main objective of the study was to analyze profitability of vegetable production, market performance and identify major constraints of smallholder vegetables production, specifically potato, tomato and cabbage. A multi-stage sampling procedure was employed to select 420 sample households randomly from nine kebeles, and 139 traders were selected purposively. Both qualitative and quantitative data were collected from primary and secondary sources by using structured questionnaires. Descriptive statistics, gross profit formula and structure-conduct-performance model was applied to analyze the data. The result of profitability analysis showed that potato, tomato and cabbage production in the study area was profitable. The result of structure analysis indicated that the market structure for potato, tomato and cabbage was characterized by weak oligopolistic market. The analysis of market conduct showed that the price of vegetables was determined by traders. Performance analysis demonstrated that the total gross marketing margin and profit margin was highest when producers sold vegetables to consumers and the lowest when they sold vegetables to collectors across the channel. Shortage of inputs, pests and diseases, lack of improved storage, post-harvest loss, brokers' interventions, low price of the product, poor transportation facility and information flow were the major constraints. Therefore, policy initiatives aiming at increasing farmers' access to quality vegetables inputs, strengthen vegetable extension services, improving infrastructure, disseminating reliable market information, reducing unfair profit distribution and increasing bargaining power of farmers to accelerate rural economic growth and poverty reduction. In addition, research institutes and universities should significantly contribute in releasing high yielding and disease resistant varieties to improve production and productivity of vegetables sector.
ABSTRACT
Wheat is a source of food and income for Ethiopian farmers in general, and the Duna district in particular. Despite the district's high wheat production potential, a number of constraints impede the wheat sector's and value chain's development. This study, thus, analyzed the wheat value chain in Duna district, Hadiya zone, Southern Ethiopia. Descriptive statistics, marketing margin, and a multiple linear regression model were used to analyze data from 149 respondents. The result showed that the actors in the wheat value chain have a shaky relationship. According to the findings, flour wholesalers had the highest market margin (18.36%), followed by flour processors (17.70%). The estimated multiple linear regression result revealed that wheat supply is influenced by the quantity of wheat produced, household education level, farming experience, frequency of extension contact, and lagged market price. Furthermore, wheat producers identified climate variability and low wheat prices as the top two problems in wheat production and wheat marketing, respectively. Hence, the government and other concerned bodies should focus on productivity increasing technologies in the study area in order to boost productivity and thus increase wheat market supply. In addition, to solve the marketing problem, the promotion of value-added practices and the formation of wheat cooperatives are suggested.
