Molecular genetic evaluation of myeloproliferative neoplasms.

The classical myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) consist of chronic myelogenous leukemia (CML) and the non-CML MPNs, polycythemia vera (PV), essential thrombocythemia (ET), and primary myelofibrosis (PMF). Molecular testing plays a crucial role in each of these disease entities. In this review, we discuss the role and caveats of BCR-ABL1 fusion transcript evaluation in CML diagnosis and monitoring, as well as ABL1 kinase mutation testing in the setting of tyrosine kinase inhibitor resistance. We also focus on JAK2, MPL, and CALR mutations in PV, ET, and PMF.

A population-based validation of the prognostic model PREDICT for early breast cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Predict (www.predict.nhs.uk) is a prognostication and treatment benefit tool developed using UK cancer registry data. The aim of this study was to compare the 10-year survival estimates from Predict with observed 10-year outcome from a British Columbia dataset and to compare the estimates with those generated by Adjuvant! (www.adjuvantonline.com). METHOD: The analysis was based on data from 3140 patients with early invasive breast cancer diagnosed in British Columbia, Canada, from 1989-1993. Demographic, pathologic, staging and treatment data were used to predict 10-year overall survival (OS) and breast cancer specific survival (BCSS) using Adjuvant! and Predict models. Predicted outcomes from both models were then compared with observed outcomes. RESULTS: Calibration of both models was excellent. The difference in total number of deaths estimated by Predict was 4.1 percent of observed compared to 0.7 percent for Adjuvant!. The total number of breast cancer specific deaths estimated by Predict was 3.4 percent of observed compared to 6.7 percent for Adjuvant! Both models also discriminate well with similar AUC for Predict and Adjuvant! respectively for both OS (0.709 vs 0.712) and BCSS (0.723 vs 0.727). Neither model performed well in women aged 20-35. CONCLUSION: In summary Predict provided accurate overall and breast cancer specific survival estimates in the British Columbia dataset that are comparable with outcome estimates from Adjuvant! Both models appear well calibrated with similar model discrimination. This study provides further validation of Predict as an effective predictive tool following surgery for invasive breast cancer.

Common germ-line polymorphism of C1QA and breast cancer survival.

BACKGROUND: A synonymous single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) rs172378 (A>G, Gly->Gly) in the complement component C1QA has been proposed to be associated with distant breast cancer metastasis. We previously reported overexpression of this gene to be significantly associated with better prognosis in oestrogen-receptor-negative tumours. The purpose of this study was to investigate the association of rs172378 with expression of C1QA and breast cancer survival. METHODS: We analysed the gene expression pattern of rs172378 in normal and tumour tissue samples, and further explored its involvement in relation to mortality in 2270 women with breast cancer participating in Studies of Epidemiology and Risk factors in Cancer Heredity, a population-based case-control study. RESULTS: We found that although rs172378 showed differential allelic expression significantly different between normal (preferentially expressing the G allele) and tumour tissue samples (preferentially expressing the A allele), there was no significant difference in survival by rs172378 genotype (per allele hazard ratio (HR) 1.02, 95% CI: 0.88-1.19, P=0.78 for all-cause mortality; HR 1.03, 95% CI: 0.87-1.22, P=0.72 for breast-cancer-specific mortality). CONCLUSION: Our study results show that rs172378 is linked to a cis-regulatory element affecting gene expression and that allelic preferential expression is altered in tumour samples, but do not support an association between genetic variation in C1QA and breast cancer survival.

Prevalent cases in observational studies of cancer survival: do they bias hazard ratio estimates?

Observational epidemiological studies often include prevalent cases recruited at various times past diagnosis. This left truncation can be dealt with in non-parametric (Kaplan-Meier) and semi-parametric (Cox) time-to-event analyses, theoretically generating an unbiased hazard ratio (HR) when the proportional hazards (PH) assumption holds. However, concern remains that inclusion of prevalent cases in survival analysis results inevitably in HR bias. We used data on three well-established breast cancer prognosticators - clinical stage, histopathological grade and oestrogen receptor (ER) status - from the SEARCH study, a population-based study including 4470 invasive breast cancer cases (incident and prevalent), to evaluate empirically the effectiveness of allowing for left truncation in limiting HR bias. We found that HRs of prognostic factors changed over time and used extended Cox models incorporating time-dependent covariates. When comparing Cox models restricted to subjects ascertained within six months of diagnosis (incident cases) to models based on the full data set allowing for left truncation, we found no difference in parameter estimates (P=0.90, 0.32 and 0.95, for stage, grade and ER status respectively). Our results show that use of prevalent cases in an observational epidemiological study of breast cancer does not bias the HR in a left truncation Cox survival analysis, provided the PH assumption holds true.