ABSTRACT
AIM: The aim was to predict and understand variations in swimmer performance between individual and relay events, and develop a predictive model for the 4x200-m swimming freestyle relay event to help inform team selection and strategy. DATA AND METHODS: Race data for 716 relay finals (4 x 200-m freestyle) from 14 international competitions between 2010-2018 were analysed. Individual 200-m freestyle season best time for the same year was located for each swimmer. Linear regression and machine learning was applied to 4 x 200-m swimming freestyle relay events. RESULTS: Compared to the individual event, the lowest ranked swimmer in the team (-0.62 s, CI = [-0.94, -0.30]) and American swimmers (-0.48 s [-0.89, -0.08]) typically swam faster 200-m times in relay events. Random forest models predicted gold, silver, bronze and non-medal with 100%, up to 41%, up to 63%, and 93% sensitivity, respectively. DISCUSSION: Team finishing position was strongly associated with the differential time to the fastest team (mean decrease in Gini (MDG) when this variable was omitted = 31.3), world rankings of team members (average ranking MDG of 18.9), and the order of swimmers (MDG = 6.9). Differential times are based on the sum of individual swimmer's season's best times, and along with world rankings, reflect team strength. In contrast, the order of swimmers reflects strategy. This type of analysis could assist coaches and support staff in selecting swimmers and team orders for relay events to enhance the likelihood of success.
Subject(s)
Competitive Behavior , Swimming , Athletic PerformanceABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are one of the widely used classifiers in the brain-computer interface (BCI) systems-based on noninvasive electroencephalography (EEG) signals. Among the different ANN architectures, the most commonly applied for BCI classifiers is the multilayer perceptron (MLP). When appropriately designed with optimal number of neuron layers and number of neurons per layer, the ANN can act as a universal approximator. However, due to the low signal-to-noise ratio of EEG signal data, overtraining problem may become an inherent issue, causing these universal approximators to fail in real-time applications. NEW METHOD: In this study we introduce a higher order neural network, namely the functional link neural network (FLNN) as a classifier for motor imagery (MI)-based BCI systems, to remedy the drawbacks in MLP. RESULTS: We compare the proposed method with competing classifiers such as linear decomposition analysis, naïve Bayes, k-nearest neighbours, support vector machine and three MLP architectures. Two multi-class benchmark datasets from the BCI competitions are used. Common spatial pattern algorithm is utilized for feature extraction to build classification models. COMPARISON WITH EXISTING METHOD(S): FLNN reports the highest average Kappa value over multiple subjects for both the BCI competition datasets, under similarly preprocessed data and extracted features. Further, statistical comparison results over multiple subjects show that the proposed FLNN classification method yields the best performance among the competing classifiers. CONCLUSIONS: Findings from this study imply that the proposed method, which has less computational complexity compared to the MLP, can be implemented effectively in practical MI-based BCI systems.
