Identifying Postural Instability in Children with Cerebral Palsy Using a Predictive Model: A Longitudinal Multicenter Study.

Insufficient postural control and trunk instability are serious concerns in children with cerebral palsy (CP). We implemented a predictive model to identify factors associated with postural impairments such as spastic or hypotonic truncal tone (TT) in children with CP. We conducted a longitudinal, double-blinded, multicenter, descriptive study of 102 teenagers with CP with cognitive impairment and severe motor disorders with and without truncal tone impairments treated in two specialized hospitals (60 inpatients and 42 outpatients; 60 males, mean age 16.5 ± 1.2 years, range 12 to 18 yrs). Clinical and functional data were collected between 2006 and 2021. TT-PredictMed, a multiple logistic regression prediction model, was developed to identify factors associated with hypotonic or spastic TT following the guidelines of "Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis". Predictors of hypotonic TT were hip dysplasia (p = 0.01), type of etiology (postnatal > perinatal > prenatal causes; p = 0.05), male gender, and poor manual (p = 0.01) and gross motor function (p = 0.05). Predictors of spastic TT were neuromuscular scoliosis (p = 0.03), type of etiology (prenatal > perinatal > postnatal causes; p < 0.001), spasticity (quadri/triplegia > diplegia > hemiplegia; p = 0.05), presence of dystonia (p = 0.001), and epilepsy (refractory > controlled, p = 0.009). The predictive model's average accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity reached 82%. The model's accuracy aligns with recent studies on applying machine learning models in the clinical field.

Prediction Model for Identifying Factors Associated with Epilepsy in Children with Cerebral Palsy.

(1) Background: Cerebral palsy (CP) is associated with a higher incidence of epileptic seizures. This study uses a prediction model to identify the factors associated with epilepsy in children with CP. (2) Methods: This is a retrospective longitudinal study of the clinical characteristics of 102 children with CP. In the study, there were 58 males and 44 females, 65 inpatients and 37 outpatients, 72 had epilepsy, and 22 had intractable epilepsy. The mean age was 16.6 ± 1.2 years, and the age range for this study was 12−18 years. Data were collected on the CP etiology, diagnosis, type of epilepsy and spasticity, clinical history, communication abilities, behaviors, intellectual disability, motor function, and feeding abilities from 2005 to 2020. A prediction model, Epi-PredictMed, was implemented to forecast the factors associated with epilepsy. We used the guidelines of "Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis" (TRIPOD). (3) Results: CP etiology [(prenatal > perinatal > postnatal causes) p = 0.036], scoliosis (p = 0.048), communication (p = 0.018), feeding disorders (p = 0.002), poor motor function (p < 0.001), intellectual disabilities (p = 0.007), and the type of spasticity [(quadriplegia/triplegia > diplegia > hemiplegia), p = 0.002)] were associated with having epilepsy. The model scored an average of 82% for accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. (4) Conclusion: Prenatal CP etiology, spasticity, scoliosis, severe intellectual disabilities, poor motor skills, and communication and feeding disorders were associated with epilepsy in children with CP. To implement preventive and/or management measures, caregivers and families of children with CP and epilepsy should be aware of the likelihood that these children will develop these conditions.

Detecting Reconnaissance and Discovery Tactics from the MITRE ATT&CK Framework in Zeek Conn Logs Using Spark's Machine Learning in the Big Data Framework.

While computer networks and the massive amount of communication taking place on these networks grow, the amount of damage that can be done by network intrusions grows in tandem. The need is for an effective and scalable intrusion detection system (IDS) to address these potential damages that come with the growth of these networks. A great deal of contemporary research on near real-time IDS focuses on applying machine learning classifiers to labeled network intrusion datasets, but these datasets need be relevant pertaining to the currency of the network intrusions. This paper focuses on a newly created dataset, UWF-ZeekData22, that analyzes data from Zeek's Connection Logs collected using Security Onion 2 network security monitor and labelled using the MITRE ATT&CK framework TTPs. Due to the volume of data, Spark, in the big data framework, was used to run many of the well-known classifiers (naïve Bayes, random forest, decision tree, support vector classifier, gradient boosted trees, and logistic regression) to classify the reconnaissance and discovery tactics from this dataset. In addition to looking at the performance of these classifiers using Spark, scalability and response time were also analyzed.

Predicting osteoarthritis in adults using statistical data mining and machine learning.

Background: Osteoarthritis (OA) has traditionally been considered a disease of older adults (⩾65 years old), but it may appear in younger adults. However, the risk factors for OA in younger adults need to be further evaluated. Objectives: To develop a prediction model for identifying risk factors of OA in subjects aged 20-50 years and compare the performance of different machine learning models. Methods: We included data from 52,512 participants of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey; of those, we analyzed only subjects aged 20-50 years (n = 19,133), with or without OA. The supervised machine learning model 'Deep PredictMed' based on logistic regression, deep neural network (DNN), and support vector machine was used for identifying demographic and personal characteristics that are associated with OA. Finally, we compared the performance of the different models. Results: Being a female (p < 0.001), older age (p < 0.001), a smoker (p < 0.001), higher body mass index (p < 0.001), high blood pressure (p < 0.001), race/ethnicity (lowest risk among Mexican Americans, p = 0.01), and physical and mental limitations (p < 0.001) were associated with having OA. Best predictive performance yielded a 75% area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Conclusion: Sex (female), age (older), smoking (yes), body mass index (higher), blood pressure (high), race/ethnicity, and physical and mental limitations are risk factors for having OA in adults aged 20-50 years. The best predictive performance was achieved using DNN algorithms.

Prediction Model for Identifying Computational Phenotypes of Children with Cerebral Palsy Needing Neurotoxin Treatments.

Factors associated with neurotoxin treatments in children with cerebral palsy (CP) are poorly studied. We developed and externally validated a prediction model to identify the prognostic phenotype of children with CP who require neurotoxin injections. We conducted a longitudinal, international, multicenter, double-blind descriptive study of 165 children with CP (mean age 16.5 ± 1.2 years, range 12−18 years) with and without neurotoxin treatments. We collected functional and clinical data from 2005 to 2020, entered them into the BTX-PredictMed machine-learning model, and followed the guidelines, "Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis". In the univariate analysis, neuromuscular scoliosis (p = 0.0014), equines foot (p < 0.001) and type of etiology (prenatal > peri/postnatal causes, p = 0.05) were linked with neurotoxin treatments. In the multivariate analysis, upper limbs (p < 0.001) and trunk muscle tone disorders (p = 0.02), the presence of spasticity (p = 0.01), dystonia (p = 0.004), and hip dysplasia (p = 0.005) were strongly associated with neurotoxin injections; and the average accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity was 75%. These results have helped us identify, with good accuracy, the clinical features of prognostic phenotypes of subjects likely to require neurotoxin injections.

Improving virtual screening predictive accuracy of Human kallikrein 5 inhibitors using machine learning models.

The readily available high throughput screening (HTS) data from the PubChem database provides an opportunity for mining of small molecules in a variety of biological systems using machine learning techniques. From the thousands of available molecular descriptors developed to encode useful chemical information representing the characteristics of molecules, descriptor selection is an essential step in building an optimal quantitative structural-activity relationship (QSAR) model. For the development of a systematic descriptor selection strategy, we need the understanding of the relationship between: (i) the descriptor selection; (ii) the choice of the machine learning model; and (iii) the characteristics of the target bio-molecule. In this work, we employed the Signature descriptor to generate a dataset on the Human kallikrein 5 (hK 5) inhibition confirmatory assay data and compared multiple classification models including logistic regression, support vector machine, random forest and k-nearest neighbor. Under optimal conditions, the logistic regression model provided extremely high overall accuracy (98%) and precision (90%), with good sensitivity (65%) in the cross validation test. In testing the primary HTS screening data with more than 200K molecular structures, the logistic regression model exhibited the capability of eliminating more than 99.9% of the inactive structures. As part of our exploration of the descriptor-model-target relationship, the excellent predictive performance of the combination of the Signature descriptor and the logistic regression model on the assay data of the Human kallikrein 5 (hK 5) target suggested a feasible descriptor/model selection strategy on similar targets.