A flexible stochastic curtailing procedure for the log-rank test.

For safety and ethical reasons, a data monitoring committee of a clinical trial may wish to assess the futility of continuing a trial if the currently available data at an interim look show no beneficial effect due to treatment, especially when accompanied by mounting evidence of treatment emergent adverse effects. Stochastic curtailing whereby conditional power is evaluated given currently observed data is one way of evaluating futility. In clinical trials that look at "time-to-event" as the primary outcome, difference between treatment groups with respect to the primary outcome is commonly evaluated using the log-rank test. Although the unconditional power function for the log-rank test has been described previously, its conditional power has not been widely investigated. We describe a method for evaluating conditional power when the log-rank test is used to assess the difference between the survival distributions of two treatment groups with respect to some failure-time outcome. The method is useful under a wide range of assumptions regarding the underlying survival distribution, patient entry distribution, losses to follow-up, and (if applicable) noncompliance, drop-ins, lag in treatment effect, and stratification. This level of applicability is attained by generalizing a flexible Markov chain approach to unconditional power computation, described previously, to compute conditional power.

Effect of intensive blood pressure control on the course of type 1 diabetic nephropathy. Collaborative Study Group.

Diabetic nephropathy is the most common cause of end-stage renal disease in the United States. We undertook a study to assess the impact of assignment to different levels of blood pressure control on the course of type 1 diabetic nephropathy in patients receiving angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor therapy. We also examined the long-term course of this well-characterized cohort of patients receiving ACE inhibitor therapy. One hundred twenty-nine patients with type 1 diabetes and diabetic nephropathy who had previously participated in the Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibition in Diabetic Nephropathy Study who had a serum creatinine level less than 4.0 mg/dL were randomly assigned to a mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) goal of 92 mm Hg or less (group I) or 100 to 107 mm Hg (group II). Patients received varying doses of ramipril as the primary therapeutic antihypertensive agent. All patients were followed for a minimum of 2 years. Outcome measures included iothalamate clearance, 24-hour creatinine clearance, creatinine clearance estimated by the Cockcroft and Gault formula, and urinary protein excretion. The average difference in MAP between groups was 6 mm Hg over the 24-month follow-up. The median iothalamate clearance in group I was 62 mL/min/1.73 m(2) at baseline and 54 mL/min/1.73 m(2) at the end of the study compared with a baseline of 64 mL/min/1.73 m(2) and final 58 mL/min/1.73 m(2) in group II. There were no statistically significant differences in the rate of decline in renal function between groups. There was a significant difference in follow-up total urinary protein excretion between group I (535 mg/24 h) and group II (1,723 mg/24 h; P = 0.02). Thirty-two percent of 126 patients achieved a final total protein excretion less than 500 mg/24 h. Patients from groups I and II had equivalent rates of adverse events. In patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus and diabetic nephropathy, the MAP goal should be 92 mm Hg or less for optimal renoprotection, if defined as including decreased proteinuria. With the combination of ACE inhibition and intensive blood pressure control, many patients can achieve regression or apparent remission of clinical evidence of diabetic nephropathy.

Design and baseline characteristics for the aminoguanidine Clinical Trial in Overt Type 2 Diabetic Nephropathy (ACTION II).

Advanced glycosylation endproduct (AGE) formation has been implicated in the development and progression of nephropathy in type 2 diabetes mellitus. In diabetic animals, aminoguanidine inhibits AGE-mediated cross-linking of proteins in vascular and renal tissue and slows the progression of renal disease. ACTION II is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial comparing two dose levels of aminoguanidine with placebo on the progression of nephropathy in 599 type 2 diabetic patients with renal disease from 84 centers in the United States and Canada. The primary endpoint is time to doubling of serum creatinine concentration. Secondary endpoints include the effect of aminoguanidine on time to all-cause mortality, end-stage renal disease (ESRD), cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, rate of change in indices of renal function (iothalamate, Cockcroft and Gault [C&G] calculated creatinine and measured creatinine clearances), proteinuria, retinopathy, circulating and urinary AGE levels, and estimation of the relationship between plasma aminoguanidine concentrations and primary and secondary efficacy endpoints and adverse events. Progression of macrovascular disease was monitored and fundus photography performed. Type 2 diabetic patients aged 30 to 70 years were eligible for the trial if their blood pressure was < or =180 mm Hg systolic and < or =120 mm Hg diastolic, serum creatinine concentration > or =1.0 mg/dL (in women) or > or =1.2 mg/dL (in men), C&G clearance > or =40 mL/min, and proteinuria > or =500 mg/d with diabetic retinopathy or diabetic nephropathy on renal biopsy. Recruitment began in July 1995 and terminated in December 1996. The trial randomized a total of 599 subjects. At baseline, the mean (standard deviation [SD]) age was 58 (7.7) years, diabetes duration 16.5 (7.5) years, body mass index 32 kg/m2 (10-90% range 2642), arterial blood pressure 105 (12) mm Hg, C-peptide concentration 2.55 (1.71) ng/mL, serum glucose concentration 201 (89) mg/dL, hemoglobin A1c 8.7% (1.6), serum creatinine concentration 1.6 (0.5) mg/dL, iothalamate clearance 52 (25) mL/min/1.73 m2, proteinuria 4.1 (4.2) g/d, triglycerides 259 (214) mg/dL, and LDL cholesterol 144 (40) mg/dL. Patients are 72% male, 68% white, 16% black, and 16% Asian American and Native American. At baseline, 76% were receiving concomitant angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors and 43% lipid-lowering agents. Follow-up in ACTION II was scheduled to continue through December 1998, so that follow-up was to be 2 years after the date of randomization of the final enrolled patient. The trial in fact ended in March 1998. This trial will contribute to our understanding of the natural history of type 2 diabetes mellitus-associated nephropathy and determine whether aminoguanidine will slow the progression of established diabetic renal disease.

Remission of nephrotic syndrome in type 1 diabetes: long-term follow-up of patients in the Captopril Study.

In 1994, we reported a 3.4 +/- 0.8 year follow-up of the eight patients who experienced remission of nephrotic syndrome during the Collaborative Study Group-sponsored, multicenter trial of captopril therapy in patients with type 1 diabetes with nephropathy (Captopril Study). Of the 409 patients randomized to treatment on the Captopril Study, 108 had nephrotic syndrome (24-hour proteinuria >/= 3.5 g of protein) at baseline. Of these 108 patients, 8 experienced remission of nephrotic syndrome (proteinuria

Report of a National Institutes of Health--Centers for Disease Control and Prevention workshop on the feasibility of conducting a randomized clinical trial to estimate the long-term health effects of intentional weight loss in obese persons.

A workshop was convened in 1997 by the National Institutes of Health and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to consider the need for and feasibility of conducting a randomized clinical trial to estimate the long-term health effects of intentional weight loss in obese persons. Although the benefits of weight loss in obese individuals may seem obvious, little information is available showing that intentional weight loss improves long-term health outcomes. Observational studies may be unable to provide convincing answers about the magnitude and direction of the health effects of intentional weight loss. Workshop participants agreed that a well-designed randomized clinical trial could answer several questions necessary for developing a rational clinical and public health policy for treating obesity. Such information will ultimately provide needed guidance on the risks and benefits of weight loss to health care providers and payers, as well as to millions of obese Americans.

Predictors of progression from impaired glucose tolerance to NIDDM: an analysis of six prospective studies.

Risk factors associated with the progression from impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) to NIDDM were examined in data from six prospective studies. IGT and NIDDM were defined in all studies by World Health Organization (WHO) criteria, and baseline risk factors were measured at the time of first recognition of IGT. The studies varied in size from 177 to 693 participants with IGT, and included men and women followed from 2 to 27 years after the recognition of IGT. Across the six studies, the incidence rate of NIDDM was 57.2/1,000 person-years and ranged from 35.8/1,000 to 87.3/1,000 person-years. Although baseline measures of fasting and 2-h postchallenge glucose levels were both positively associated with NIDDM incidence, incidence rates were sharply higher for those in the top quartile of fasting plasma glucose levels, but increased linearly with increasing 2-h postchallenge glucose quartiles. Incidence rates were higher among the Hispanic, Mexican-American, Pima, and Nauruan populations than among Caucasians. The effect of baseline age on NIDDM incidence rates differed among the studies; the rates did not increase or rose only slightly with increasing baseline age in three of the studies and formed an inverted U in three studies. In all studies, estimates of obesity (including BMI, waist-to-hip ratio, and waist circumference) were positively associated with NIDDM incidence. BMI was associated with NIDDM incidence independently of fasting and 2-h post challenge glucose levels in the combined analysis of all six studies and in three cohorts separately, but not in the three studies with the highest NIDDM incidence rates. Sex and family history of diabetes were generally not related to NIDDM progression. This analysis indicates that persons with IGT are at high risk and that further refinement of risk can be made by other simple measurements. The ability to identify persons at high risk of NIDDM should facilitate clinical trials in diabetes prevention.

Predictors of the progression of renal insufficiency in patients with insulin-dependent diabetes and overt diabetic nephropathy. The Collaborative Study Group.

We designed a prospective, double-blind controlled trial to determine predictors of loss of renal function in patients with insulin dependent diabetes and established nephropathy. A total of 409 insulin-dependent diabetic patients with established nephropathy enrolled in a trial on the effect of Captopril on the rate of progression of renal disease. Baseline demographic, clinical (history and physical) and laboratory parameters were analyzed as risk factors for time to progression. Dichotomous characteristics were compared by Fisher's exact test and continuous characteristics with the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Univariate proportional hazards regression analysis was used to estimate relative risk of nephropathy progression, and bivariate proportional hazard regression to identify interactions with the treatment group assignment. Multivariate proportional hazard regression was employed to determine which characteristics were independent risk factors. We found that a number of demographic and clinical characteristics were significantly associated with nephropathy progression even after adjustment for treatment group. However, after multivariate analysis, the risk factors that independently predicted progression were onset of IDDM later in life, parental diagnosis of IDDM, the presence of edema, increased mean arterial pressure, and an abnormal electrocardiogram. Likewise, a number of laboratory characteristics were also predictive of nephropathy progression. A low hematocrit, high blood sugar, and higher protein excretion predicted nephropathy progression as did a higher serum creatinine, particularly in the face of a normal serum albumin. In conclusion, this study identifies a number of clinical and laboratory risk factors that can predict which patients with insulin-dependent diabetes with established nephropathy are more likely to sustain a clinically important decrease in renal function over a median follow-up of three years.

Determinants of preterm delivery in low-risk pregnancies. The RADIUS Study Group.

From 14,948 low-risk singleton pregnancies, we calculated incidence, risk ratios, and attributable risks for characteristics associated with spontaneous and medically induced preterm delivery. There were 754 women who gave birth prior to 37 weeks of gestation (50.4/1000 deliveries). The greatest fraction of the incidence of prematurity among low-risk pregnancies was due to unknown factors associated with carrying a first live birth, regardless of preterm delivery mechanism (i.e., spontaneous labor, PROM, medical intervention), with population-attributable risk percents (PAR%) ranging from 16.0 to 30.5%. Other than nulliparity, male sex of the fetus accounted for the greatest fraction of spontaneous labor-induced prematurity incidence (PAR% = 13.6%), and maternal age greater than 30 years or a positive urine culture accounted for the greatest fraction of PROM-induced prematurity incidence (PAR% = 7.9 and 6.7, respectively). All other risk factors for either preterm labor or PROM accounted for less than 5% of the incidence. Three characteristics explained a large fraction of medically induced prematurity: women over 150 pounds at the onset of pregnancy (PAR% = 23.8), a > or = 2+ prenatal urine protein (PAR% = 18.7%), and cigarette smoking during the first trimester (PAR% = 8.6). Our results suggest known risk factors may explain only a small fraction of spontaneous preterm delivery incidence in low-risk pregnancies.

The urine protein to creatinine ratio as a predictor of 24-hour urine protein excretion in type 1 diabetic patients with nephropathy. The Collaborative Study Group.

The purpose of this study was to determine the usefulness of a random urine specimen protein to creatinine (P/C) ratio in predicting 24-hour urine protein excretion (24 UP) in type 1 diabetic patients with overt nephropathy. Two hundred twenty-nine outpatient diabetic subjects enrolled in the Collaborative Study Group's multicenter clinical trial of "Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibition in Type 1 Diabetic Nephropathy" provided specimens for study, which encompassed a wide range of proteinuria (0.05 to 13.3 g/d). Twenty-four hour urine collections for total protein and creatinine (g/d) were obtained in the outpatient setting. This was followed shortly thereafter by an untimed single urine specimen for protein and creatinine (mg/dL). For longitudinal analysis, 33 patients provided two 24-hour urine collections with concomitant random urine specimens, separated by at least a 3-month period. Across the range of proteinuria that we studied, the log random urine P/C ratio correlated to log 24 UP (r = 0.90). The regression line was almost identical to the line of unity, which indicates that a patient's 24 U/P (in g/d) can be predicted directly from the random urine specimen P/C ratio (P/C = 24 UP in g/d). However, the standard deviations associated with these predictions were large, especially at the higher 24 UP values. Of the 33 patients who provided two time-separated specimens, the direction of change in P/C ratio was discordant with the direction of change in 24 UP in 14 of the 33 repeat specimens.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Nonparametric test of stochastic ordering for multiple longitudinal measures.

We present a nonparametric approach that tests whether multiple longitudinal measures tend in the same direction over time. It is not required that each measure have the same number of serial observations, or that the observations be evenly spaced. The test and related estimators of group differences are based on the multivariate rank test of Wei and Lachin (1) and multivariate Mann-Whitney shift estimators of Thall and Lachin (2) and Lachin (3). An example is given using a subset of exercise data from a clinical trial of vesnarinone in congestive heart failure.

The study of the effect of intensity of blood pressure management on the progression of type 1 diabetic nephropathy: study design and baseline patient characteristics. Collaborative Study Group.

A randomized, prospective, clinical trial has been initiated to continue follow-up in a subset of the patients previously enrolled in the recently completed Study of Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibition (ACEi) in Type 1 Diabetic Nephropathy. In that study, the use of captopril was associated with a 48% reduction in the risk of doubling the serum creatinine and a 50% reduction in the risk of experiencing dialysis, transplantation, or death, compared with the use of placebo. These effects were independent of captopril's effect on the blood pressure. This study is designed to determine whether the level of mean arterial blood pressure (MAP), using the ACE inhibitor ramipril as the primary therapy, is associated with an improved prognosis of diabetic nephropathy with respect to (1) the rate of decline in renal function; (2) the rate of progression to end-stage renal failure; (3) the clinical course of proteinuria; (4) morbidity; and (5) mortality. Patients are randomized into one of two distinct blood pressure control groups, an Intensive Group #1, MAP < or = 92 mm Hg; and a Moderate Group #2, MAP 100 to 107 mm Hg. Patients previously enrolled in the "Study of ACEi in Type 1 Diabetic Nephropathy" whose serum creatinine was less than 4.0 mg/dL (354 mumol/L) were eligible for randomization into this study. All patients will receive ramipril (2.5 to 10.0 mg/day) as the primary therapy, with the addition or removal of other antihypertensive agents as needed to achieve the assigned blood pressure goal.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Epidemiologic predictors of cesarean section in nulliparous patients at low risk. RADIUS Study Group. Routine Antenatal Diagnostic Imaging with Ultrasound Study.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine whether certain maternal and fetal characteristics influenced the risk of maternal- and fetal-indicated cesarean sections in pregnant women at low risk for adverse perinatal outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: From a cohort of 6393 low-risk nulliparous patients maternal and fetal indicated cesarean section rates with 95% confidence intervals were calculated and stratified by demographic, anthropometric, and clinical tests and measurements. The strongest risk factors were modeled by means of multiple logistic regression. RESULTS: Few risk factors distinguished maternal from fetal characteristics preceding cesarean delivery. Maternal age was associated with increased cesarean section risk in the tallest group of women only, and cesarean section rates decreased with increasing height, increased with higher prepregnancy weights, and was highest in women carrying male fetuses. Higher first prenatal visit diastolic blood pressure, increasing numbers of nonstress tests, > or = 2+ prenatal urine protein, late sonograms, geographic region, and practice type were statistically significant risk factors as well. Interestingly, results of prenatal visit tests and measurements contributed less to the prevalence of cesarean section than did age, fetal sex, and anthropometric parameters. However, the generalizability of these results is limited to low-risk (predominantly white) populations. CONCLUSIONS: Of the risk factors we were able to assess, a large proportion of the incidence of cesarean section in this population of nulliparous patients at low risk was attributable to age, sex of fetus, and anthropometric patient profiles.

Remission of nephrotic range proteinuria in type I diabetes. Collaborative Study Group.

The present study assessed the extent to which remission of nephrotic-range proteinuria occurred in patients with Type I diabetes enrolled in the Captopril Study, a placebo controlled multicenter clinical trial of captopril therapy in diabetic nephropathy. Of the 409 patients recruited into the Captopril Study, 108 had nephrotic-range proteinuria (> 3.5 g/24 hr) at entry in the Study (baseline). This group was the subject of the present study. Remission of nephrotic-range proteinuria was defined as follows: (1) Onset of the remission was taken as the date when proteinuria was first noted to be < or = 1.0 g/24 hr. (2) The reduction in proteinuria had to be sustained for a minimum of six months and until the end of the Captopril Study. (3) During the remission, the average of all 24 hour proteinuria measurements could not exceed 1.5 g. (4) Decline in renal function could not explain the reduced proteinuria. That is, the patient's serum creatinine during the entire period of observation in the Captopril Study had to remain at less than a doubling of the baseline serum creatinine. Remission of nephrotic-range proteinuria occurred in 7 of 42 patients assigned to captopril (16.7%, mean follow-up 3.4 +/- 0.8 years) and in 1 of 66 patients assigned to placebo (1.5%, mean follow-up 2.3 +/- 1.1 years; P = 0.005, comparing remission rate in captopril vs. placebo-treated patients).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

A randomized trial of prenatal ultrasonographic screening: impact on the detection, management, and outcome of anomalous fetuses. The RADIUS Study Group.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this randomized clinical trial was to test the hypothesis that ultrasonographic screening would significantly alter perinatal outcome as a result of the antenatal detection of fetal congenital malformations. STUDY DESIGN: Pregnant women without a specific indication for ultrasonography were randomly assigned to have either two screening sonograms (15 to 22 weeks and 31 to 35 weeks) or conventional obstetric care with ultrasonography used only as determined by the clinical judgment of the patient's physician. The frequency of birth defect detection in the screened and control populations was compared, as was the impact of discovery on pregnancy outcome. RESULTS: Major congenital malformations occurred in 2.3% of the 15,281 fetuses and infants in this study. Antenatal ultrasonography detected 35% of the anomalous fetuses in the screened group versus only 11% in the control population (relative detection rate 3.1; 95% confidence interval 2.0 to 5.1). Ultrasonography screening did not, however, significantly influence the management or outcome of pregnancies complicated by congenital malformations. Specifically, only 9 abortions were performed for anomalies among 7685 fetuses in the screened group whereas 4 pregnancies were terminated for fetal anomalies detected among 7596 control subjects. Ultrasonography screening also had no significant impact on survival rates among infants with potentially treatable, life-threatening anomalies despite the opportunity to take precautionary measures such as delivery in a tertiary center. CONCLUSIONS: Ultrasonography screening in a low-risk pregnant population had no significant impact on the frequency of abortion for fetal anomalies. Survival rates for anomalous fetuses were also unaffected by screening.

The effect of angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibition on diabetic nephropathy. The Collaborative Study Group.

BACKGROUND: Renal function declines progressively in patients who have diabetic nephropathy, and the decline may be slowed by antihypertensive drugs. The purpose of this study was to determine whether captopril has kidney-protecting properties independent of its effect on blood pressure in diabetic nephropathy. METHODS: We performed a randomized, controlled trial comparing captopril with placebo in patients with insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus in whom urinary protein excretion was > or = 500 mg per day and the serum creatinine concentration was < or = 2.5 mg per deciliter (221 mumol per liter). Blood-pressure goals were defined to achieve control during a median follow-up of three years. The primary end point was a doubling of the base-line serum creatinine concentration. RESULTS: Two hundred seven patients received captopril, and 202 placebo. Serum creatinine concentrations doubled in 25 patients in the captopril group, as compared with 43 patients in the placebo group (P = 0.007). The associated reductions in risk of a doubling of the serum creatinine concentration were 48 percent in the captopril group as a whole, 76 percent in the subgroup with a baseline serum creatinine concentration of 2.0 mg per deciliter (177 mumol per liter), 55 percent in the subgroup with a concentration of 1.5 mg per deciliter (133 mumol per liter), and 17 percent in the subgroup with a concentration of 1.0 mg per deciliter (88.4 mumol per liter). The mean (+/- SD) rate of decline in creatinine clearance was 11 +/- 21 percent per year in the captopril group and 17 +/- 20 percent per year in the placebo group (P = 0.03). Among the patients whose base-line serum creatinine concentration was > or = 1.5 mg per deciliter, creatinine clearance declined at a rate of 23 +/- 25 percent per year in the captopril group and at a rate of 37 +/- 25 percent per year in the placebo group (P = 0.01). Captopril treatment was associated with a 50 percent reduction in the risk of the combined end points of death, dialysis, and transplantation that was independent of the small disparity in blood pressure between the groups. CONCLUSIONS: Captopril protects against deterioration in renal function in insulin-dependent diabetic nephropathy and is significantly more effective than blood-pressure control alone.

A randomized trial of prenatal ultrasonographic screening: impact on maternal management and outcome. RADIUS (Routine Antenatal Diagnostic Imaging with Ultrasound) Study Group.

OBJECTIVES: This randomized clinical trial of 15,530 women was designed to test the hypothesis that screening ultrasonography in low-risk pregnancies would improve perinatal outcome. A secondary hypothesis addressed in this article was that screening ultrasonography would have a favorable impact on maternal management or outcome. STUDY DESIGN: Pregnant women without a specific indication for ultrasonographic examination in early pregnancy were randomly assigned to have either two screening sonograms or conventional obstetric care. Pregnancy interventions and maternal outcomes were compared in the two groups. RESULTS: No significant differences were found in maternal outcomes. Use of ultrasonography was markedly higher in the screened group. The rates of induced abortion, amniocentesis, tests of fetal well-being, external version, induction, and cesarean section and the distribution of total hospital days were similar in the two groups. Use of tocolytics and the rate of postdate pregnancy were both slightly lower in the screened group. CONCLUSION: Screening ultrasonography resulted in no clinically significant benefit.

Effect of prenatal ultrasound screening on perinatal outcome. RADIUS Study Group.

BACKGROUND: Many clinicians advocate routine ultrasound screening during pregnancy to detect congenital anomalies, multiple-gestation pregnancies, fetal growth disorders, placental abnormalities, and errors in the estimation of gestational age. However, it is not known whether the detection of these conditions through screening leads to interventions that improve perinatal outcome. METHODS: We conducted a randomized trial involving 15,151 pregnant women at low risk for perinatal problems to determine whether ultrasound screening decreased the frequency of adverse perinatal outcomes. The women randomly assigned to the ultrasound-screening group underwent one sonographic examination at 15 to 22 weeks of gestation and another at 31 to 35 weeks. The women in the control group underwent ultrasonography only for medical indications, as identified by their physicians. Adverse perinatal outcome was defined as fetal death, neonatal death, or neonatal morbidity such as intraventricular hemorrhage. RESULTS: The mean numbers of sonograms obtained per woman in the ultrasound-screening and control groups were 2.2 and 0.6, respectively. The rate of adverse perinatal outcome was 5.0 percent among the infants of the women in the ultrasound-screening group and 4.9 percent among the infants of the women in the control group (relative risk, 1.0; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.9 to 1.2; P = 0.85). The rates of preterm delivery and the distribution of birth weights were nearly identical in the two groups. The ultrasonographic detection of congenital anomalies had no effect on perinatal outcome. There were no significant differences between the groups in perinatal outcome in the subgroups of women with post-date pregnancies, multiple-gestation pregnancies, or infants who were small for gestational age. CONCLUSIONS: Screening ultrasonography did not improve perinatal outcome as compared with the selective use of ultrasonography on the basis of clinician judgment.

Effects of vesnarinone on morbidity and mortality in patients with heart failure. Vesnarinone Study Group.

BACKGROUND: Inotropic therapy, other than with digitalis glycosides, has had limited success in patients with chronic congestive heart failure. We investigated whether vesnarinone, a new positive inotropic agent, reduces morbidity and mortality and improves the quality of life of patients with symptomatic heart failure. METHODS: Patients receiving concomitant therapy with digoxin (87 percent) and an angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitor (90 percent) who had ejection fractions of 30 percent or less were randomly assigned to receive double-blinded therapy with 60 mg of vesnarinone per day, 120 mg of vesnarinone per day, or placebo. Afer 253 patients had been enrolled, randomization to the 120-mg vesnarinone group had to be stopped because of a significant increase in early mortality in this group. Thereafter, patients were randomly assigned only to 60 mg of vesnarinone per day (a total of 239 patients) or placebo (a total of 238 patients). RESULTS: Significantly fewer patients in the group receiving 60 mg of vesnarinone than in the group receiving placebo (26 vs. 50 patients; P = 0.003) died or had worsening heart failure during the six-month study period. The reduction in risk was 50 percent (95 percent confidence interval, 20 to 69 percent). Similarly, there was a 62 percent reduction (95 percent confidence interval, 28 to 80 percent) in the risk of dying from any cause among the patients receiving vesnarinone. Furthermore, quality of life improved to a greater extent in the vesnarinone group than in the placebo group over 12 weeks (P = 0.008). The principal side effect associated with vesnarinone was reversible neutropenia, which occurred in 2.5 percent of the patients. CONCLUSIONS: Six months of therapy with 60 mg of vesnarinone per day resulted in lower morbidity and mortality and improved the quality of life of patients with congestive heart failure. However, a higher dose of vesnarinone (120 mg per day) increased mortality, suggesting that this drug has a narrow therapeutic range; the long-term effects of vesnarinone are unknown.

Use of the serum creatinine to estimate glomerular filtration rate in health and early diabetic nephropathy. Collaborative Study Group of Angiotensin Converting Enzyme Inhibition in Diabetic Nephropathy.

We evaluated 100/serum creatinine, 24-hour creatinine clearance, and simultaneously measured creatinine clearance or creatinine clearance estimated by the formula devised by Cockcroft and Gault in comparison with measurements of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) using iothalamate among 136 patients with diabetic nephropathy. We also evaluated 100/serum creatinine, simultaneously measured creatinine clearance or creatinine clearance estimated by the Cockcroft and Gault formula in comparison with measurements of GFR using inulin among 88 healthy adults, 21 hypercalciuric kidney stone formers and their hypercalciuric relatives, and one man with chronic nephritis. Creatinine clearances measured simultaneously were closely correlated to GFR (r = 0.93) as were creatinine clearances, estimated by the Cockcroft and Gault formula (r = 0.84) when GFR ranged from 16 to 175 mL/min (0.27 to 2.92 mL/s). These observations confirm the clinical use of either creatinine clearances during water diuresis or estimates of creatinine clearance by the Cockcroft and Gault formula in the assessment of kidney function.