Predictors of Clavien 4 Complications and Mortality After Necrosectomy: Analysis of the NSQIP Database.

BACKGROUND: Acute severe pancreatitis is one of the most common gastrointestinal reasons for admission to hospitals in the USA. Up to 20 % of these patients will progress to necrotizing pancreatitis requiring intervention. The aim of this study is to identify specific preoperative factors for the development of Clavien 4 complications and mortality in patients undergoing pancreatic necrosectomy. METHODS: The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) participant use files were reviewed from 2007 to 2012 to identify patients who underwent a pancreatic necrosectomy. Postoperative complications were stratified into Clavien 4 (ICU level complications) and Clavien 5 (mortality). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed. RESULTS: A total of 1156 patients underwent a pancreatic necrosectomy from 2007 to 2012. Overall, 42 % of patients experienced a Clavien 4 complication. Mortality rate was 9.5 %. Nonindependent functional status and ASA class were highly significant (p < 0.001) in univariate analysis. Frailty and emergency surgery status (p < 0.001), as well as increased blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and alkaline phosphatase and decreased albumin (p < 0.05) demonstrated independent significance of Clavien 4 complications and mortality in multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION: This study identified specific preoperative variables that place patients at increased risk of Clavien 4 complications and mortality after necrosectomy. Identification of high-risk patients can aid in selection of appropriate treatment strategies and allow for informed preoperative discussion regarding surgical risk.

Assessing Risk of Critical Care Complications and Mortality in the Elective Bariatric Surgery Population Using a Modified Frailty Index.

BACKGROUND: The rate of surgical complications from bariatric procedures remains low despite an increase in volume. When serious complications occur, they are associated with an increased risk of mortality. The aim of this study is to determine if frail bariatric patients have an increased rate of Clavien level 4 and 5 complications. This study was conducted in participating hospitals in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP). METHODS: The NSQIP participant use files were used to identify 104,952 patients undergoing elective bariatric procedures from 2005 to 2012. A previously described modified frailty index (mFI) was calculated based on available NSQIP variables, with a higher index suggesting more frail patients. Postoperative adverse events were stratified to Clavien levels 4 and 5 utilizing a pre-existing mapping scheme. RESULTS: Overall, 1 % of patients undergoing elective bariatric surgery experienced Clavien level 4 complications, and 0.2 % experienced a Clavien level 5 complication (mortality). Univariate analysis demonstrated that frailty was significant for both Clavien level 4 and 5 complications (p < 0.001). The mean mFI for those with Clavien level 4 complications, 0.15, was significantly higher than those without Clavien 4 complications, 0.09 (p < 0.001). Those experiencing mortality had a mean mFI of 0.17 compared to a mean mFI of 0.09 in those without mortality (p < 0.001). Frailty retained the highest odds ratio for both Clavien 4 and 5 complications in multivariate analysis compared to American Society of Anesthesiologist (ASA) class, age, sex, body mass index (BMI), and procedure type. CONCLUSIONS: Frailty may be used during patient selection to stratify bariatric surgery patients at high risk for critical care level complications.