ABSTRACT
The prevalence, risk factors, and clinical significance of high liver cell proliferative activity were investigated in 208 well-compensated cirrhotic patients (150 men; 50 years; 135 with chronic hepatitis C) who had been under prospective surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with annual abdominal ultrasound (US) and serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) determination. Immunostaining for proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) was employed to assess liver cell proliferative activity in formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded liver specimens. The percentage of reactive nuclei was calculated by a computer-assisted image analysis system. The overall PCNA labeling index (LI) ranged from 0.1% to 12.5% (mean, 2.1%), being significantly higher in the 50 patients who developed HCC during 88 +/- 42 months of follow-up than in the 158 patients who remained cancer-free (3.6% +/- 2.4% vs. 1.6% +/- 1.5%; P <.0001). By receiver operating curve (ROC), a 2.0% cut-off value of PCNA-LI discriminated between patients at high and low risk for developing cancer. By multivariate analysis, high histologic grading scores and gender were associated to PCNA LI >2.0%. The yearly incidence of HCC was 5.2% for the 80 patients with PCNA-LI >2.0% compared with 1.1% for the 128 with low PCNA-LI (relative risk, 4.90; 95% CI, 2.63-9.55). By multivariate analysis, PCNA-LI >2.0% was the strongest independent predictor of cancer (hazard ratio, 5.49; 95% CI, 2.90-10.37). Overall, survival was significantly lower in patients with high liver cell proliferative activity rates than in those with low proliferative rates (10% vs. 75%; P <.0001). In conclusion, development of HCC in patients with compensated cirrhosis seems to be reliably predicted by liver cell proliferation status.
Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/etiology , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Liver Cirrhosis/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/etiology , Liver/pathology , Adult , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/metabolism , Cell Division , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Italy , Liver Neoplasms/metabolism , Male , Middle Aged , Multivariate Analysis , Population Surveillance , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , Proliferating Cell Nuclear Antigen/metabolism , Prospective StudiesABSTRACT
Because progressive fibrosis is a histological hallmark of the aging kidney, we sought to characterize the course of some fibrosis-related genes [pro-alpha2(I)collagen (COL-I), pro-alpha1(III)collagen (COL-III), and transforming growth factors beta1 and beta3 (TGF-beta1 and TGF-beta3)] of interstitial collagen accumulation [COL-I and COL-III proteins, hydroxyproline (PRO-OH), histology] and its degradation (matrix metalloproteinase MMP-1 and -2) during maturation and early aging in rats. During the lifespan considered we observed no changes in the mRNA, except that COL-I mRNA tended to be up-regulated from 2 to 19 months of age. However, progressive fibrosis was histologically detectable, with COL-I accumulation (p < .05 and p < .01 in 12-month- and 19-month-old rats vs the youngest), and confirmed by the PRO-OH tissue levels (p = .0001); COL-III seemed to be less involved. The MMP-1 protein level decreased significantly in the cortex of 12-month- and 19-month-old rats (p < .05), whereas MMP-2 protein level and activity remained essentially unchanged. These results show that, during aging of the kidney, (i) renal cortex fibrosis is explained by COL-I accumulation as a consequence of an altered balance between its synthesis and degradation, and (ii) the expression of the pleiotropic factor TGF-beta in the renal cortex is not modified.
