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1.
J Environ Manage ; 112: 252-66, 2012 Dec 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22940123

ABSTRACT

The methodology for coastal management proposed in this study takes into account the physical processes of the coastal system and the stochastic nature of forcing agents. Simulation techniques are used to assess the uncertainty in the performance of a set of predefined management strategies based on different criteria representing the main concerns of interest groups. This statistical information as well as the distribution function that characterizes the uncertainty regarding the preferences of the decision makers is fed into a stochastic multi-criteria acceptability analysis that provides the probability of alternatives obtaining certain ranks and also calculates the preferences of a typical decision maker who supports an alternative. This methodology was applied as a management solution for Playa Granada in the Guadalfeo River Delta (Granada, Spain), where the construction of a dam in the river basin is causing severe erosion. The analysis of shoreline evolution took into account the coupled action of atmosphere, ocean, and land agents and their intrinsic stochastic character. This study considered five different management strategies. The criteria selected for the analysis were the economic benefits for three interest groups: (i) indirect beneficiaries of tourist activities; (ii) beach homeowners; and (iii) the administration. The strategies were ranked according to their effectiveness, and the relative importance given to each criterion was obtained.


Subject(s)
Decision Making , Uncertainty
3.
Clin Transpl ; : 179-86, 2001.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12211780

ABSTRACT

Liver transplantation has seen extraordinary advances over the past 2 decades and now represents the only life-saving therapy for many patients with decompensated liver disease, regardless of etiology. As the indications for transplantation expand, the patient waiting list continues to grow, while the number of available donors each year remains relatively constant. As a result, there is a marked shortage of donor organs, prolonging the waiting time and thereby increasing the mortality of patients while waiting for OLT. At UCLA, we are actively pursuing novel approaches to increase retrieval of transplant organs. The use of in-vivo split-liver transplantation represents an effective technique to safely expand the number of organs and also provides a size-matched organ for pediatric patients. Living-donor liver transplantation represents a significant surgical achievement in an effort to expand the critical shortage of donor organs. However, the added risk imposed on a healthy individual by the use of this technique raises serious bio-ethical concerns. Although the results of OLT have improved substantially, most of the current recipient morbidity and mortality results from recurrence of disease, infectious complications, rejection, PNF, and technical complications. The development of effective pharmacological agents to prevent disease recurrence, as well as improvements in immunosuppression therapy will be important issues in the upcoming decade.


Subject(s)
Academic Medical Centers , Liver Transplantation , Adult , California , Child , Health Care Rationing , Hepatitis B/complications , Hepatitis C/complications , Humans , Liver Cirrhosis/etiology , Liver Failure/surgery , Liver Transplantation/methods , Living Donors , Reoperation , Survival Analysis
4.
Ann Surg ; 229(6): 824-31; discussion 831-3, 1999 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10363896

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine the outcome of orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) for end-stage liver disease caused by hepatitis C virus (HCV). SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: HCV has become the leading cause of cirrhosis and hepatic failure leading to OLT. Recurrent HCV after OLT is associated with significant complications and may lead to graft loss that requires retransplantation (re-OLT). The authors studied the outcome of transplantation for HCV, the effect of primary immunotherapy, and causes of retransplantation. METHODS: The authors conducted a retrospective review of their experience during an 8-year period (1990-1997), during which 374 patients underwent transplants for HCV (298 [79.6%] received one OLT; 76 [20.4%] required re-OLT). Median follow-up was 2 years (range 0 to 8.3). Immunosuppression was based on cyclosporine in 190 patients and tacrolimus in 132 patients. In a third group of patients, therapy was switched from cyclosporine to tacrolimus or from tacrolimus to cyclosporine (cyclosporine/tacrolimus group). RESULTS: Overall, 1-, 2-, and 5-year actuarial patient survival rates were 86%, 82%, and 76%, respectively. The 2-year patient survival rate was 81 % in the cyclosporine group, 85% in the tacrolimus group, and 82% in the cyclosporine/tacrolimus group. In patients receiving one OLT, overall 1-, 2-, and 5-year patient survival rates were 85%, 81%, and 75%, respectively. The 2-year patient survival rate was 79% in the cyclosporine group, 84% in the tacrolimus group, and 80% in the cyclosporine/tacrolimus group. The overall graft survival rates were 70%, 65%, and 60% at 1, 2, and 5 years, respectively. The graft survival rate at 2 years was similar under cyclosporine (68.5%), tacrolimus (64%), or cyclosporine/tacrolimus (60%) therapy. Re-OLT was required in 42 (11.2%) patients for graft dysfunction in the initial 30 days after OLT. Other causes for re-OLT included hepatic artery thrombosis in 10 (2.6%), chronic rejection in 8 (2.1%), and recurrent HCV in 13 (3.4%) patients. The overall survival rates after re-OLT were 63% and 58% at 1 and 2 years. The 1-year survival rate after re-OLT was 61 % for graft dysfunction, 50% for chronic rejection, 60% for hepatic artery thrombosis, and 60% for recurrent HCV. At re-OLT, 85.3% of the patients were critically ill (United Network for Organ Sharing [UNOS] status 1); only 14.7% of the patients were UNOS status 2 and 3. In re-OLT for chronic rejection and recurrent HCV, the 1-year survival rate of UNOS 1 patients was 38.4%, compared with 87.5% for UNOS 2 and 3 patients. In patients requiring re-OLT, there was no difference in the 1-year patient survival rate after re-OLT when cyclosporine (60%), tacrolimus (63%), or cyclosporine/tacrolimus (56%) was used for primary therapy. With cyclosporine, three patients (1.5%) required re-OLT for chronic rejection versus one patient (0.7%) with tacrolimus. Re-OLT for recurrent HCV was required in four (3%) and seven (3.6%) patients with tacrolimus and cyclosporine therapy, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Orthotopic liver transplantation for HCV is performed with excellent results. There are no distinct advantages to the use of cyclosporine versus tacrolimus immunosuppression when patient and graft survival are considered. Re-OLT is an important option in the treatment of recurrent HCV and should be performed early in the course of recurrent disease. Survival after re-OLT is not distinctively affected by cyclosporine or tacrolimus primary immunotherapy. The incidence of re-OLT for recurrent HCV or chronic rejection is low after either tacrolimus or cyclosporine therapy.


Subject(s)
Cyclosporine/therapeutic use , Hepatitis C/surgery , Immunosuppression Therapy , Immunosuppressive Agents/therapeutic use , Liver Transplantation , Adult , Follow-Up Studies , Graft Survival , Hepatitis C/mortality , Humans , Liver Transplantation/mortality , Reoperation , Retrospective Studies , Survival Rate , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome
5.
Transplantation ; 67(1): 5-18, 1999 Jan 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9921790

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There are limited experimental data on the nature of the humoral response elicited in humans against pig antigens. In this study, we have examined the xenoantibody (XAb) response in eight patients with acute liver failure exposed to pig hepatocytes after treatment with the bioartificial liver (BAL). METHODS: Patients' plasma samples obtained before and after BAL treatment were tested for IgM and IgG XAbs, IgG subclasses, and XAb cytotoxicity, using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and flow-cytometric assays. The characterization of pig aortic endothelial cell (PAEC) surface xenoantigens was analyzed by immunoprecipitation. RESULTS: We observed by day 10, a strong anti-pig IgG and IgM XAb response in patients undergoing two or more BAL treatments, with a significant increase in all the IgG subclasses; in contrast, XAb titers did not change if the patients received only one BAL treatment. The majority of the XAbs produced to porcine antigens were primarily specific for the alphaGal epitope. Both IgG and IgM XAbs were cytotoxic to PAECs, and the cytotoxic activity of IgG was associated with high levels of IgG1 and IgG3 subclasses, known to be efficient on complement activation. The characterization of porcine surface antigens demonstrated that IgM human XAbs, before and after BAL exposure, recognized xenoantigens on PAECs with similar molecular weights, suggesting that the same population of XAbs were present in the patients before and after exposure to pig antigens. CONCLUSIONS: Repetitive exposure of humans to porcine antigens after BAL treatment, results in a strong IgG and IgM XAb responses that are primarily directed against the alphaGal epitope. These XAbs are cytotoxic to PAECs and the IgG toxicity correlates with high IgG1 and IgG3 levels. Our data also suggest that no new XAb specificity emerges after porcine exposure.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Heterophile/immunology , Liver Failure/immunology , Liver Failure/surgery , Liver, Artificial , Liver/cytology , Animals , Antibody Formation/physiology , Antibody-Dependent Cell Cytotoxicity/physiology , Antigens, Heterophile/immunology , Aorta/immunology , Endothelium, Vascular/immunology , Epitopes/immunology , Equipment Design , Humans , Immunoglobulin G/analysis , Immunoglobulin Isotypes/analysis , Immunoglobulin M/immunology , Liver/immunology , Liver/physiology , Swine/immunology
7.
Transplantation ; 64(12): 1665-70, 1997 Dec 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9422399

ABSTRACT

We have recently demonstrated that cardiac allograft rejection in the PVG.R8-to-PVG.1U rat strain combination involves the recognition of a isolated class I (RT1.Aa) molecules as peptides in the context of the recipient MHC molecules. Three synthetic peptides (P1, P2, and P3) corresponding to the alpha-helices of the RT1.Aa molecule served as T-cell epitopes for graft rejection. In this study, we demonstrate that two of these peptides (P2 and P3) are sufficient to induce immune nonresponsiveness (median survival time >237 days) to cardiac allografts when presented to the recipient immune system in the thymus 7 days before transplantation. This effect was time dependent, as intrathymic inoculation 60 days before transplantation did not prolong graft survival (median survival time=12 days). Previous studies have demonstrated a critical role for alloantibody responses in mediating graft rejection in this rat strain combination. We, therefore, studied the role alloantibody responses may play in the observed immune nonresponsiveness. The titers of alloantibody in serum samples harvested from graft recipients at different times after transplantation were measured. We used recipient primary aortic endothelial cells genetically manipulated to express the donor RT1.Aa molecule as targets in an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. High titers of anti-RT1.Aa IgM antibody were detected in unmanipulated controls at the time of graft rejection. The IgM antibody switched to high IgG titers in intrathymically inoculated rats with accelerated or delayed rejection. Graft rejection in intrathymically manipulated recipients that had achieved a transient state of immunological nonresponsiveness correlated with higher titers of the IgG2b alloantibody. In marked contrast, the long-term graft survivors expressed undetectable or low levels of the IgG2b antibody and moderate to high levels of the IgG1 and IgG2a subclasses. These data suggest that the IgG2b alloantibody may contribute to the rejection reaction, whereas IgG1 and IgG2a may be involved in active enhancement of graft survival.


Subject(s)
Heart Transplantation/immunology , Histocompatibility Antigens Class I/immunology , Immunosuppression Therapy/methods , Isoantibodies/immunology , Acute Disease , Animals , Graft Rejection/immunology , Graft Survival , Immunoglobulin G/immunology , Peptides/immunology , Rats , Rats, Inbred Strains , Thymus Gland/immunology , Tissue Donors
8.
Oncol. (Quito) ; 6(2): 153-4, abr.-jun. 1996.
Article in Spanish | LILACS | ID: lil-188612

Subject(s)
Humans , Cells , Oncogenic Viruses
9.
Oncol. (Quito) ; 6(2): 154, abr.-jun. 1996.
Article in Spanish | LILACS | ID: lil-188613
10.
Oncol. (Quito) ; 6(2): 155, abr.-jun. 1996.
Article in Spanish | LILACS | ID: lil-188614

Subject(s)
Humans , Neoplasms/etiology
11.
Rev Med Chil ; 120(3): 311-6, 1992 Mar.
Article in Spanish | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1342486

ABSTRACT

Infection by Echinococcus granulosus is the main zoonosis affecting the human population of the IXth Region in southern Chile. Prevalence rates vary from 18.2 to 48 per 100,000. Animals are affected with prevalence rates of 40% for bovines, 39.5% for sheep and 14.8% for pork as estimated at the central meat processing plant in the city of Temuco. A cost of approximately $300,000 is estimated to treat affected individuals. Much greater losses may be estimated from unnotified meat processing in rural areas and from reduced yield of animal products such as wool an milk. Accordingly, a regional program for control of this zoonosis is urgently required.


Subject(s)
Echinococcosis/epidemiology , Animals , Animals, Domestic/parasitology , Chile/epidemiology , Echinococcosis/diagnosis , Echinococcosis/economics , Echinococcosis/prevention & control , Echinococcosis/transmission , Echinococcosis/veterinary , Echinococcus/isolation & purification , Food Contamination/economics , Food Contamination/prevention & control , Food Contamination/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Immunologic Tests/methods , Incidence , Meat/parasitology , Prevalence , Zoonoses
12.
J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg ; 102(3): 427-30, 1991 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1881181

ABSTRACT

Echinococcus disease is prevalent in Chile, with a rate of occurrence of 8.2 per 100,000. During a 15-year-period (1970 to 1985) we operated on 331 patients for pulmonary hydatidosis. Chest roentgenography was the main method of diagnosis. Among the total of 508 surgical procedures performed, pulmonary cystectomy was the most common (61.4%), whereas pulmonary resection was used in 31.4% of patients. The arc 5 test was used to confirm the diagnosis. Results were positive in 85% of the patients in whom it was done. There were 12.9% immediate postoperative complications in 12.9%, with late complications occurring in 4.10% and an overall mortality rate of 4.21%. These data suggest that hydatid cyst is still a common disease in our country, causing an important number of hospital admissions and a high percentage of complications.


Subject(s)
Echinococcosis, Pulmonary/surgery , Echinococcosis, Pulmonary/diagnostic imaging , Echinococcosis, Pulmonary/mortality , Female , Humans , Male , Postoperative Complications , Radiography , Surgical Procedures, Operative/methods
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