Multivariable Risk Modelling and Survival Analysis with Machine Learning in SARS-CoV-2 Infection.

AIM: To evaluate the performance of a machine learning model based on demographic variables, blood tests, pre-existing comorbidities, and computed tomography(CT)-based radiomic features to predict critical outcome in patients with acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 694 SARS-CoV-2-positive patients. Clinical and demographic data were extracted from clinical records. Radiomic data were extracted from CT. Patients were randomized to the training (80%, n = 556) or test (20%, n = 138) dataset. The training set was used to define the association between severity of disease and comorbidities, laboratory tests, demographic, and CT-based radiomic variables, and to implement a risk-prediction model. The model was evaluated using the C statistic and Brier scores. The test set was used to assess model prediction performance. RESULTS: Patients who died (n = 157) were predominantly male (66%) over the age of 50 with median (range) C-reactive protein (CRP) = 5 [1, 37] mg/dL, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) = 494 [141, 3631] U/I, and D-dimer = 6.006 [168, 152.015] ng/mL. Surviving patients (n = 537) had median (range) CRP = 3 [0, 27] mg/dL, LDH = 484 [78, 3.745] U/I, and D-dimer = 1.133 [96, 55.660] ng/mL. The strongest risk factors were D-dimer, age, and cardiovascular disease. The model implemented using the variables identified using the LASSO Cox regression analysis classified 90% of non-survivors as high-risk individuals in the testing dataset. In this sample, the estimated median survival in the high-risk group was 9 days (95% CI; 9-37), while the low-risk group did not reach the median survival of 50% (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: A machine learning model based on combined data available on the first days of hospitalization (demographics, CT-radiomics, comorbidities, and blood biomarkers), can identify SARS-CoV-2 patients at risk of serious illness and death.

Do We Have Another Option to Treat Bleeding Hemorrhoids? The Emborrhoid Technique: Experience in 16 Patients.

BACKGROUND: Hemorrhoidal disease is very common in western countries and rectal bleeding is the main symptom complained by patients. Nowadays the ultimate goal of treatment is to block the bleeding with minimally-invasive techniques to minimize post-procedural pain. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to assess the preliminary results of the emborrhoid technique (embolization of the superior rectal arteries branches) as a new tool for the proctologist to treat severe bleeding hemorrhoids causing anemia. Many categories of patients might benefit from this treatment, such as patients not eligible for conventional surgery, patients not responding to conventional treatment and fit patients with severe bleeding who refused endorectal surgical therapy. METHODS: From May 2017 to November 2018 a total of 16 patients with chronic rectal bleeding due to hemorrhoids underwent super-selective embolization of the superior rectal arteries at the department of General Surgery in La Spezia, S. Andrea Hospital, Italy. Median age was 59 years. 14 patients were males (87.5%). RESULTS: No post-procedural and short-term complications were observed at maximum follow up (12 months). The reduction of rectal bleeding with improvement of the quality of life was obtained in 14 patients (87.5%). CONCLUSION: Our study, although small in number, demonstrates that embolization of superior rectal arteries with coils to treat severe bleeding due to hemorrhoids is safe and effective and does not lead to immediate complications.

Pre-operative Renal Artery Embolization in Laparoscopic Radical and Partial Nephrectomy: A Multidisciplinary Approach to Renal Tumors.

BACKGROUND: Despite being widely adopted, the laparoscopic approach to radical and partial nephrectomy is still burdened by high rates of hemorrhagic complications, which require blood transfusions and conversion to open surgery with increased morbidity. While pre-operative renal artery embolization (PRAE) can prevent intraoperative blood loss and vascular injuries, its prophylactic use is still a matter of debate. This study evaluated the safety and efficacy of PRAE in overcoming the main pitfalls of laparoscopy, which are related to the absence of tactile feedback. METHODS: Data from 48 patients who underwent laparoscopic nephrectomy for cancer (34 laparoscopic radical nephrectomy (LRN) and 14 "off-clamp" laparoscopic partial nephrectomy (LPN) after selective and superselective PRAE, respectively) were retrospectively evaluated. RESULTS: The overall median blood loss was 50 ml and only 2 patients (4%) required one unit of blood products. While conversion to open surgery was not required in the LPN group, one case in the LRN group was converted to open surgery due to intraoperative incoercible bleeding from an unrecognized, and thus not embolized, aberrant inferior polar artery. Post-embolization syndrome occurred in 7 patients (15%), resulting in mild flank pain and nausea. No patients in the LPN group experienced new onset of acute renal failure. CONCLUSION: Our experience supports pre-operative renal embolization as a safe, minimally invasive procedure that is effective for reducing perioperative bleeding in the laparoscopic setting.

Viabahn stent for hemodialysis shunt: efficacy, long segment recanalization and prognostic factors for reintervention.

INTRODUCTION: The study evaluated the Heparin Bioactive Surface (HBS) Viabahn Stent (W.L. Gore & Associates, Flagstaff, Arizona) efficacy in the maintenance or re-establishment of hemodialysis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Fifty HBS Viabahn stents deployed in 37 consecutive patients with hemodialysis dysfunction from January 2008 to May 2016 were evaluated in a single-institution retrospective review. Outcomes were stent patency intended as primary circuit patency (PP), assisted primary patency (APP), target lesion primary patency (TLPP) and secondary patency (SP). Moreover, the risk factor analysis for hemodialysis dysfunction that required reintervention was performed. A subgroup analysis was conducted to assess patency of Viabahn stent to treat peripheral venous long segment obstruction (LSO). RESULTS: Overall Kaplan-Meyer PPs were 60% at 12 months and 42% at 24 months. Overall TLPP estimated rates were 68% and 49% at 12 and 24 months, respectively. The corresponding SP rates were 85% and 78% at the same period. Estimated PP rates at 12 and 24 months for stent placement after peripheral venous long segment recanalization procedure were 53% and 31%, respectively. Corresponding SP rates were 82% and 68%, respectively. The APP rates were 79% at 12 months and 61% at 24 months. Female sex, access age and thrombosis were associated with reduced primary patency. CONCLUSIONS: Considering the high rates of PP, TLPP, APP and SP, Viabahn stents have been proven effective in maintaining or re-establishing the hemodialysis access. Moreover, stent placement after recanalization of LSO of venous out-flow represented a valid approach to rescue a dysfunctional fistula that would otherwise be abandoned.

A Rare Anatomical Variant of Spermatic Vein as Cause of Recurrence After Surgical Correction of Varicocele.

Varicocele may be treated with many different modalities, including radiologic and surgical approaches, but what is the best treatment remains controversial. The recurrence rate following varicocele repair ranges from 0.6% to 35% depending upon the technique used. We describe in detail a rare anatomical variant of the left internal spermatic veins and the appropriate treatment of recurrent varicocele with percutaneous scleroembolization. In case of recurrent varicocele after surgical repair, knowledge of anatomical variability of internal spermatic veins is essential for treatment planning.