Impacts of COVID-19 on clinical indicators and mortality in patients with chronic conditions in Catalonia, Spain: A retrospective population-based cohort study.

Background: The reallocation of health care services during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic disrupted the continuity of primary care. This study examines the repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic on clinical indicators within the Catalan population, emphasising individuals with chronic conditions. It provides insights into mortality and transfer rates considering intersectional perspectives. Methods: We designed a retrospective, observational population-based cohort study based on routinely collected data from January 2015 to June 2021 for all individuals available in the Information System for Research in Primary Care (Sistema d'Informació per al Desenvolupament de la Investigació en Atenció Primària (SIDIAP)), the largest public primary care database in Catalonia, Spain. We included 6 301 095 individuals, constituting 81.6% of Catalonia's population in 2020. To perform a repeated measurements analysis of the indicators, we focussed on individuals who had one or more indicators in both the pre-pandemic (January 2015 to March 2020) and pandemic periods (March 2020 to June 2021), and those diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D), high blood pressure, and heart failure. We selected key clinical indicators for analysis, including systolic and diastolic blood pressure, body mass index (BMI), cholesterol (total, high, and low-density lipoprotein), triglycerides, glycosylated haemoglobin, the Barthel index, and cardiovascular risk (Registre Gironí del cor (REGICOR) index). Results: Mortality and transfer rates increased during the pandemic, contributing to a decline in the active population in the public health system. We also observed a reduction in pandemic period prevalence of patients with chronic conditions: -26.7% for heart failure, -15.1% for high blood pressure, and -14.6% for T2D. In both pre-pandemic and pandemic periods, 1 632 013 subjects had at least one clinical indicator record. Clinical indicators worsened in patients diagnosed with chronic conditions during the pandemic. Most indicators worsened, with differences between men and women (+9.4% vs +3.7% for the REGICOR index and -14.1% vs -16.6% for the Barthel index in men and in women, respectively), and to a similar extent (or greater in some cases) in individuals without these conditions. Conclusions: We used longitudinal data to assess the repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic on population health while considering a wide range of clinical indicators and socioeconomic determinants. Our analysis shows a deterioration in clinical indicators during the pandemic, particularly in cardiometabolic factors, underscoring the importance of continuous primary care for individuals with chronic conditions.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Socioeconomic Inequalities in Mortality in Spanish Provinces.

BACKGROUND: Although many studies have assessed the socioeconomic inequalities caused by COVID-19 in several health outcomes, there are numerous issues that have been poorly addressed. For instance, have socioeconomic inequalities in mortality from COVID-19 increased? What impact has the pandemic had on inequalities in specific causes of mortality other than COVID-19? Are the inequalities in COVID-19 mortality different from other causes? In this paper we have attempted to answer these questions for the case of Spain. METHODS: We used a mixed longitudinal ecological design in which we observed mortality from 2005 to 2020 in the 54 provinces into which Spain is divided. We considered mortality from all causes, not excluding, and excluding mortality from COVID-19; and cause-specific mortality. We were interested in analysing the trend of the outcome variables according to inequality, controlling for both observed and unobserved confounders. RESULTS: Our main finding was that the increased risk of dying in 2020 was greater in the Spanish provinces with greater inequality. In addition, we have found that: (i) the pandemic has exacerbated socioeconomic inequalities in mortality, (ii) COVID-19 has led to gender differences in the variations in risk of dying (higher in the case of women) and (iii) only in cardiovascular diseases and Alzheimer did the increased risk of dying differ between the most and least unequal provinces. The increase in the risk of dying was different by gender (greater in women) for cardiovascular diseases and cancer. CONCLUSION: Our results can be used to help health authorities know where and in which population groups future pandemics will have the greatest impact and, therefore, be able to take appropriate measures to prevent such effects.

Clinical and demographical characteristics in a cohort of MND patients treated with riluzole. Differences between tablets and oral suspension.

Objective: To describe the clinical and demographic characteristics of patients with MND treated with riluzole by comparing two dosage forms (oral suspension and tablets), as well as the impact on survival in patients with and without dysphagia according to the form of dosage.Methods: Retrospective and prospective cohort of patients diagnosed with MND at the multidisciplinary functional unit of Motor Neuron Disease in our center in the period between 1 of January 2011 and 31 of December 2020 (n = 742). A descriptive analysis (univariate and bivariate) was carried out and survival curves were estimated.Results: During the follow-up period, 402 males (54.18%) and 340 females (45.82%) were diagnosed with MND. Of these patients, 632 (97.23%) were being treated with 100mg riluzole: 282 (54.55%) patients took this in tablet form and 235 (45.45%) oral suspension. Riluzole in tablet form is taken more frequently by men than women, in younger age ranges, and mostly without dysphagia (78.31%). Also, it is the predominant dosage form for classic spinal ALS and respiratory phenotypes. Dosages via oral suspension are taken by patients in the older age ranges (over 64.8 years), mostly with dysphagia (53.67%) and more frequently with bulbar phenotypes such as classic bulbar ALS and PBP. Because of this, patients using oral suspension (most of them with dysphagia) had a poorer survival rate (at 90% CI) than patients using tablets (most of them without dysphagia).Conclusions: The most appropriate dosage form should be given according to the patient's needs at each stage of the disease and, furthermore, oral suspension could improve adherence to treatment because it avoids having to change from one form (tablet) to the other (suspension) when swallowing disorders appear.

PandemonCAT: Monitoring the COVID-19 Pandemic in Catalonia, Spain.

BACKGROUND: The principal objective of this paper is to introduce an online interactive application that helps in real-time monitoring of the COVID-19 pandemic in Catalonia, Spain (PandemonCAT). METHODS: This application is designed as a collection of user-friendly dashboards using open-source R software supported by the Shiny package. RESULTS: PandemonCAT reports accumulated weekly updates of COVID-19 dynamics in a geospatial interactive platform for individual basic health areas (ABSs) of Catalonia. It also shows on a georeferenced map the evolution of vaccination campaigns representing the share of population with either one or two shots of the vaccine, for populations of different age groups. In addition, the application reports information about environmental and socioeconomic variables and also provides an interactive interface to visualize monthly public mobility before, during, and after the lockdown phases. Finally, we report the smoothed standardized COVID-19 infected cases and mortality rates on maps of basic health areas ABSs and regions of Catalonia. These smoothed rates allow the user to explore geographic patterns in incidence and mortality rates. The visualization of the variables that could have some influence on the spatiotemporal dynamics of the pandemic is demonstrated. CONCLUSIONS: We believe the addition of these new dimensions, which is the key innovation of our project, will improve the current understanding of the spread and the impact of COVID-19 in the community. This application can be used as an open tool for consultation by the public of Catalonia and Spain in general. It could also have implications in facilitating the visualization of public health data, allowing timely interpretation due to the unpredictable nature of the pandemic.

Prenatal exposure to antibiotics and risk of childhood overweight or obesity: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Infant antibiotic use has been modestly associated with childhood overweight, while evidence on prenatal exposures remains less clear. A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted to examine associations between maternal antibiotic exposure and subsequent risk of childhood overweight/obesity. Publications were retrieved from PubMed and Web of Science databases up to December 2019. A random effects model was used to summarize risk estimates, overall, and by period and frequency of exposure. Ten observational studies were included in the narrative synthesis. We did not observe a clear pattern of association between prenatal antibiotic use and childhood overweight/obesity. There were suggestive associations for repeated exposures (≥3 courses) and those taking place during the second trimester of gestation, which were also pointed out in our meta-analysis (relative risk, RR2T = 1.15 (95% CI 1.04; 1.28, I2  = 18%), and RR3courses = 1.31 (95% CI 1.03; 1.67, I2  = 65%), respectively). In most studies, however, confounding by underlying infections cannot be ruled out. Overall, current data do not conclusively support the hypothesis that prenatal exposure to antibiotics is a risk factor for childhood obesity/overweight. Further studies, controlling for underlying infections and exploring the association according to frequency, period (both prenatal and intrapartum) and type of antibiotic, are needed to clarify this association.

Methodological limitations in studies assessing the effects of environmental and socioeconomic variables on the spread of COVID-19: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: While numerous studies have assessed the effects of environmental (meteorological variables and air pollutants) and socioeconomic variables on the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, many of them, however, have significant methodological limitations and errors that could call their results into question. Our main objective in this paper is to assess the methodological limitations in studies that evaluated the effects of environmental and socioeconomic variables on the spread of COVID-19. MAIN BODY: We carried out a systematic review by conducting searches in the online databases PubMed, Web of Science and Scopus up to December 31, 2020. We first excluded those studies that did not deal with SAR-CoV-2 or COVID-19, preprints, comments, opinion or purely narrative papers, reviews and systematic literature reviews. Among the eligible full-text articles, we then excluded articles that were purely descriptive and those that did not include any type of regression model. We evaluated the risk of bias in six domains: confounding bias, control for population, control of spatial and/or temporal dependence, control of non-linearities, measurement errors and statistical model. Of the 5631 abstracts initially identified, we were left with 132 studies on which to carry out the qualitative synthesis. Of the 132 eligible studies, we evaluated 63.64% of the studies as high risk of bias, 19.70% as moderate risk of bias and 16.67% as low risk of bias. CONCLUSIONS: All the studies we have reviewed, to a greater or lesser extent, have methodological limitations. These limitations prevent conclusions being drawn concerning the effects environmental (meteorological and air pollutants) and socioeconomic variables have had on COVID-19 outcomes. However, we dare to argue that the effects of these variables, if they exist, would be indirect, based on their relationship with social contact. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12302-021-00550-7.

Estimation of the prevalence and incidence of motor neuron diseases in two Spanish regions: Catalonia and Valencia.

According to the degree of upper and lower motor neuron degeneration, motor neuron diseases (MND) can be categorized into amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), primary lateral sclerosis (PLS) or progressive muscular atrophy (PMA). Although several studies have addressed the prevalence and incidence of ALS, there is a high heterogeneity in their results. Besides this, neither concept has been previously studied in PLS or PMA. Thus, the objective of this study was to estimate the prevalence and incidence of MND, (distinguishing ALS, PLS and PMA), in the Spanish regions of Catalonia and Valencia in the period 2011-2019. Two population-based Spanish cohorts were used, one from Catalonia and the other from Valencia. Given that the samples that comprised both cohorts were not random, i.e., leading to a selection bias, we used a two-part model in which both the individual and contextual observed and unobserved confounding variables are controlled for, along with the spatial and temporal dependence. The prevalence of MND was estimated to be between 3.990 and 6.334 per 100,000 inhabitants (ALS between 3.248 and 5.120; PMA between 0.065 and 0.634; and PLS between 0.046 and 1.896), and the incidence between 1.682 and 2.165 per 100,000 person-years for MND (ALS between 1.351 and 1.754; PMA between 0.225 and 0.628; and PLS between 0.409-0.544). Results were similar in the two regions and did not differ from those previously reported for ALS, suggesting that the proposed method is robust and that neither region presents differential risk or protective factors.

Comparative effectiveness of school-based interventions targeting physical activity, physical fitness or sedentary behaviour on obesity prevention in 6- to 12-year-old children: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

A systematic search of the literature was performed to compare the effects of interventions that targeted sedentary behaviours or physical activity (PA) or physical fitness on primary prevention of obesity in 6- to 12-year-old children. The search identified 146 reports that provided relevant data for meta-analysis. Point estimates in % body fat were higher for fitness interventions compared with PA interventions (standardized mean difference = -0.11%; 95% CI = -0.26 to 0.04, and -0.04%; 95% CI = -0.15 to 0.06, respectively). Including sedentary behaviour to a PA- or fitness-oriented intervention was not accompanied by an increase in intervention effectiveness, as the point estimates were slightly smaller compared with those for PA- or fitness-only interventions. Overall, the effects tended to be larger in girls than in boys, especially for PA + sedentary behaviour interventions. There was some evidence for inequality, as the effects on body mass index were seen when interventions were delivered in the general population (standardized mean difference = -0.05, 95% CI = -0.07 to -0.02), but not in groups of disadvantaged children (standardized mean difference = -0.01, 95% CI = -0.29 to 0.19). In conclusion, school-based PA interventions appear to be an effective strategy in the primary prevention of childhood obesity among 6- to 12-year-old children, but targeting sedentary behaviour in addition to PA or fitness does not increase the effectiveness of the intervention.

Evaluation of Dysphagia in Motor Neuron Disease. Review of Available Diagnostic Tools and New Perspectives.

Oropharyngeal dysphagia (OD) is highly prevalent (up to 80%) in patients with motor neuron disease (MND), influencing the prognosis of the disease. The clinical assessment of dysphagia is complex. There are assessment scales and screening questionnaires, but they have not been tested in patients with MND. In a sample of 46 patients with MND, the sensitivity and specificity of the EAT-10 and SwalQoL questionnaires, as well as the ALS-SS and FOIS scales, were tested and compared to the gold standard technique (videofluoroscopy, VFS). The patients were stratified using the DOSSc variable according to the video fluoroscopic examination with (n = 37) or without (n = 8) signs of dysphagia, and the results were compared with the scores obtained in the dysphagia questionnaires. None of the studied questionnaires was more sensitive than the others, but one stood out for its high specificity (= 1): the SwalQoL revised FS. The symptom frequency section of the SwalQoL questionnaire with some modifications, (SwalQoL revised FS) may be a useful tool in the clinical assessment of dysphagia because it's capable to detect the patients that really don't have dysphagia. The ALS-SS showed the greatest validity as a severity scale of dysphagia among the sample studied. A specific questionnaire for screening for dysphagia in MND needs to be developed. Until that time, the proposal is to use a combination of the existing questionnaires for other pathologies (EAT-10 and SwalQoL) and the specific scale for MND, the ALS-SS, to make an accurately clinical assessment of OD in MND patients before to perform a videofluoroscopy.

Effects of long-term exposure to air pollutants on the spatial spread of COVID-19 in Catalonia, Spain.

BACKGROUND: The risk of infection and death by COVID-19 could be associated with a heterogeneous distribution at a small area level of environmental, socioeconomic and demographic factors. Our objective was to investigate, at a small area level, whether long-term exposure to air pollutants increased the risk of COVID-19 incidence and death in Catalonia, Spain, controlling for socioeconomic and demographic factors. METHODS: We used a mixed longitudinal ecological design with the study population consisting of small areas in Catalonia for the period February 25 to May 16, 2020. We estimated Generalized Linear Mixed models in which we controlled for a wide range of observed and unobserved confounders as well as spatial and temporal dependence. RESULTS: We have found that long-term exposure to nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and, to a lesser extent, to coarse particles (PM10) have been independent predictors of the spatial spread of COVID-19. For every 1 µm/m3 above the mean the risk of a positive test case increased by 2.7% (95% credibility interval, ICr: 0.8%, 4.7%) for NO2 and 3.0% (95% ICr: -1.4%,7.44%) for PM10. Regions with levels of NO2 exposure in the third and fourth quartile had 28.8% and 35.7% greater risk of a death, respectively, than regions located in the first two quartiles. CONCLUSION: Although it is possible that there are biological mechanisms that explain, at least partially, the association between long-term exposure to air pollutants and COVID-19, we hypothesize that the spatial spread of COVID-19 in Catalonia is attributed to the different ease with which some people, the hosts of the virus, have infected others. That facility depends on the heterogeneous distribution at a small area level of variables such as population density, poor housing and the mobility of its residents, for which exposure to pollutants has been a surrogate.

The Role First-Day Readings Play in a 3-Day Schedule of Self-Monitoring Home Blood Pressure Based on Prognostic Data. VAMPAHICA Study.

BACKGROUND: The optimal schedule for self-monitoring home BP (SMHBP) readings is enormously important in the diagnosis of different phenotypes related to hypertension. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic capacity of a 3-day SMHBP schedule when using or suppressing the first-day measurements in compiling the results. METHODS: A total of 767 newly diagnosed, nontreated patients with no history of cardiovascular disease (CVD) were followed for 6.2 years. As a baseline, office BP measurements were taken for all the patients who then went on to follow a 3-day SMHBP schedule, taking 2 readings in the morning and 2 in the evening. The prognostic calculation was performed with CVD variables. The prognostic capacity of the 3-day schedule was evaluated with and without the first-day readings (12 and 8 readings). RESULTS: A total of 223 normotensive subjects (NT), 271 subjects with sustained hypertension (SHT), and 184 white-coat hypertensive subjects (WCH) were followed. The distribution of 98 (14.4%) nonfatal CV events during the follow-up was as follows: WCH 21 (11.4%), NT 9 (4.0%), and SHT 68 (25.1%). No statistically significant differences were observed in the risk of CV events (OR) for the 2 groups of hypertensives, irrespective of the schedule of readings used (SHT with vs. without first-day readings: 8.81 (4.28-18.15) vs. 8.61 (4.15-17.85) and WCH with vs. without first-day readings: 2.71(1.13-6.47) vs. 3.40 (1.49-7.78)). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show that first-day readings do not need to be discarded in order to calculate the final value of an SMHBP schedule.

Prognostic Value of the Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Decline in Hypertensive Patients Without Chronic Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND: Our objective of this study was to determine if rate of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline and its intensity was associated with cardiovascular risk and death in patients with hypertension whose baseline eGFR was higher than 60 ml/minute/1.73 m2. METHODS: This study comprised 2,516 patients with hypertension who had had at least 2 serum creatinine measurements over a 4-year period. An eGFR reduction of ≥10% per year has been deemed as high eGFR and a reduction in eGFR of less than 10% per year as a low decline. The end points were coronary artery disease, stroke, transitory ischemic accident, peripheral arterial disease, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and death from any cause. Cox regression analyses adjusted for potentially confounding factors were conducted. RESULTS: A total of 2,354 patients with low rate of eGFR decline and 149 with high rate of eGFR decline were analyzed. The adjusted model shows that a -10% rate of eGFR decline per year is associated with a higher risk of the primary end point (HR 1.9; 95% CI 1.1-3.5; P = 0.02) and arteriosclerotic vascular disease (HR 2.2; 95% CI 1.2-4.2; P < 0.001) in all hypertensive groups. The variables associated to high/low rate of eGFR decline in the logistic regression model were serum creatinine (OR 3.35; P < 0.001), gender, women (OR 15.3; P < 0.001), tobacco user (OR 1.9; P < 0.002), and pulse pressure (OR 0.99; P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: A rate of eGFR decline equal to or higher than -10% per year is a marker of cardiovascular risk for patients with arterial hypertension without chronic kidney disease at baseline. It may be useful to consider intensifying the global risk approach for these patients.

Duration and dosing of Proton Pump Inhibitors associated with high incidence of chronic kidney disease in population-based cohort.

BACKGROUND: Proton Pump Inhibitors (PPIs) have been associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Our objective was to quantify the association between PPI use and incident CKD in a population-based cohort. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We used a population-based retrospective cohort, including people aged 15 years or over, between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2012. PPI use was measured in a follow-up session by recording prescriptions. Incident CKD was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 ml/ min/1.73 m2 and/or urinary albumin level to creatinine level ≥ 30 mg/g, in two or more determinations over a period of at least 3 months of the follow-up. Proton Pump Inhibitor use was associated with incident CKD in analysis adjusted for different clinical variables (Hazard Ratio (HR) 1.18; 95% CI 1.04-1.51) in individuals who used PPI in the basal visit (HR 1.37; 95% CI 1.25-1.50) and in those who started to use PPI during the follow-up. High doses of PPI increased the risk of incident CKD (HR 1.92; 95%CI 1.00-6.19) for any type of exposure to PPIs (HR 2.40; 95%CI 1.65-3.46) and for individuals who used high doses throughout the follow-up. This risk of incident CKD increased after three months' exposure to PPIs, (HR1.78; 95% CI 1.39-2.25) between the third and sixth months and (HR 1.30; 95%CI 1.07-1.72) after the sixth month. CONCLUSIONS: PPI use is associated with a higher risk of incident CKD. This association is greater for high doses and becomes apparent after three months' exposure.

The association between exposure to environmental factors and the occurrence of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). A population-based retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: A number of factors contribute to attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) and although they are not fully known, the occurrence of ADHD seems to be a consequence of an interaction between multiple genetic and environmental factors. However, apart from pesticides, the evidence is inadequate and inconsistent as it differs not only in the population and time period analysed, but also in the type of study, the control of the confounding variables and the statistical methods used. In the latter case, the studies also differ in the adjustment of spatial and temporal variability. Our objective here, is to provide evidence on an association between environmental factors and ADHD. METHODS: In our study, we used a population-based retrospective cohort in which we matched cases and controls (children free of the disease) by sex and year of birth (n = 5193, 78.9% boys). The cases were children born between 1998 and 2012 and diagnosed with ADHD (n = 116). To evaluate whether there was a geographical pattern in the incidence of ADHD, we first represented the smoothed standardized incidence rates on a map of the region being studied. We then estimated the probability of being a case by using a generalized liner mixed model with a binomial link. As explanatory variables of interest, we included the following environmental variables: distance to agricultural areas, distance to roads (stratified into three categories according to traffic density and intensity), distance to petrol stations, distance to industrial estates, and land use. We control for both observed (individual and family specific variables and deprivation index) and unobserved confounders (in particular, individual and familial heterogeneity). In addition, we adjusted for spatial extra variability. RESULTS: We found a north-south pattern containing two clusters (one in the centre of the study region and another in the south) in relation to the risk of developing ADHD. The results from the multivariate model suggest that these clusters could be related to some of the environmental variables. Specifically, living within 100 m from an agricultural area or a residential street and/or living fewer than 300 m from a motorway, dual carriageway or one of the industrial estates analysed was associated (statistically significant) with an increased risk of ADHD. CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that some environmental factors could be associated with ADHD occurring, particularly those associated with exposure to pesticides, organochlorine compounds and air pollutants because of traffic.

The dynamic behaviour of metabolic syndrome and its components in an eight-year population-based cohort from the Mediterranean.

BACKGROUND: The significant rise in the prevalence of obesity coincides with the considerable increase in the prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MS) currently being observed worldwide. The components of MS are not static and their dynamics, such as the order of their occurrence, or the time of exposure to them are, as yet, unknown but could well be clinically relevant. Our objective was to study the dynamic behaviour of MS and its components in a large population-based cohort from a Mediterranean region. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Our study employed a retrospective cohort (between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2012) made up of individuals from the general population in a region in the northeast of Catalonia, Spain. Given that most of the explicative variables of the risk of having MS were time dependent and, therefore, the risk was not proportional, we used the Andersen-Gill (AG) model to perform a multivariate survival analysis and inferences were performed using a Bayesian framework. Thirty-nine percent of the participants developed MS; 44.6% of them with a single limited episode. Triglycerides and low HDL cholesterol, together with obesity, are components associated with the first occurrence of MS. Components related to the metabolism of glucose are associated with a medium risk of having a first episode of MS, and those related to blood pressure are associated with a lower risk. When the components related to blood pressure and the metabolism of glucose appear first, they determine the appearance of the first episode of MS. The variables concerning the persistence of MS are those that correspond to clinical conditions that do not have well-established drug treatment criteria. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that the components related to the metabolism of glucose and to high blood pressure appear early on and act as biomarkers for predicting MS, while the components related to obesity and dyslipidaemia, although essential for the development of MS, appear later. Making lifestyle changes reduces the conditions associated with the persistence of MS.

Effects of the Financial Crisis on Psychotropic Drug Consumption in a Cohort from a Semi-Urban Region in Catalonia, Spain.

PURPOSE: Evidence of whether the recent economic crisis has or has not had an effect on psychotropic drug consumption is very scarce. Our objective was to determine if there had in fact been an increase in psychotropic drug use as a result of the financial crisis. METHODS: In our study a retrospective cohort (between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2012) was made up of individuals from the general population in a region in the northeast of Catalonia, Spain. We specified a generalized linear mixed model along with combined 'selection on observables' as (propensity scoring) matching and 'selection on unobservables' as (random coefficient) the panel data model methods, and performed inferences using a Bayesian framework. RESULTS: In the period following the economic crisis (post 2009), there was an increase in the consumption of psychotropic drugs which was significantly higher among those who had already been consuming psychotropic drugs prior to 2009 and those most likely to be unemployed. The increase was of greater significance when consumption was measured by the number of drugs being taken, rather than by the defined daily dose (DDD), with the greatest increase occurring in 2011; the very year in which Spain was most affected by the crisis. CONCLUSIONS: Once the financial crisis had ended, there was an increase in the severity, rather than the intensity, of mental health disorders in individuals who had already had disorders before the crisis. This increase occurred in those most likely to be unemployed, and the severity was accentuated in the toughest year of the economic crisis.

A common error in the ecological regression of cancer incidence on the deprivation index.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if introducing age as another explanatory variable in an ecological regression model relating crude rates of cancer incidence and a deprivation index provides better results than the usual practice of using the standard incidence ratio (SIR) as the response variable, introducing the non-standardized index, and not including age in the model. METHODS: Relative risks associated with the deprivation index for some locations of cancer in Spain's Girona Health Region were estimated using two different models. Model 1 estimated relative risks with the indirect method, using the SIR as the response variable. Model 2 estimated relative risks using age as an explanatory variable and crude cancer rates as the response variable. Two scenarios and two sub-scenarios were simulated to test the properties of the estimators and the goodness of fit of the two models. RESULTS: The results obtained from Model 2's estimates were slightly better (less biased) than those from Model 1. The results of the simulation showed that in all cases (two scenarios and two sub-scenarios) Model 2 had a better fit than Model 1. The probability density for the parameter of interest provided evidence that Model 1 leads to biased estimates. CONCLUSIONS: When attempting to explain the relative risk of incidence of cancer using ecological models that control geographic variability, introducing age as another explanatory variable and crude rates as a response variable provides less biased results.

A common error in the ecological regression of cancer incidence on the deprivation index / Un error frecuente en los modelos de regresión ecológica de la incidencia de cáncer con respecto al índice de carencia

OBJECTIVE: To determine if introducing age as another explanatory variable in an ecological regression model relating crude rates of cancer incidence and a deprivation index provides better results than the usual practice of using the standard incidence ratio (SIR) as the response variable, introducing the non-standardized index, and not including age in the model. METHODS: Relative risks associated with the deprivation index for some locations of cancer in Spain's Girona Health Region were estimated using two different models. Model 1 estimated relative risks with the indirect method, using the SIR as the response variable. Model 2 estimated relative risks using age as an explanatory variable and crude cancer rates as the response variable. Two scenarios and two sub-scenarios were simulated to test the properties of the estimators and the goodness of fit of the two models. RESULTS: The results obtained from Model 2's estimates were slightly better (less biased) than those from Model 1. The results of the simulation showed that in all cases (two scenarios and two sub-scenarios) Model 2 had a better fit than Model 1. The probability density for the parameter of interest provided evidence that Model 1 leads to biased estimates. CONCLUSIONS: When attempting to explain the relative risk of incidence of cancer using ecological models that control geographic variability, introducing age as another explanatory variable and crude rates as a response variable provides less biased results.

OBJETIVO: Determinar si la introducción de la edad como otra variable independiente en un modelo de regresión ecológica que relaciona las tasas brutas de incidencia de cáncer con un índice de carencia, ofrece mejores resultados que la práctica corriente del uso de la razón de incidencia normalizada como criterio de valoración, con introducción del índice sin normalización y sin incluir la edad en el modelo. MÉTODOS:Se calcularon los riesgos relativos asociados con el índice de carencia de algunos tipos de cáncer en la Región Sanitaria de Girona en España, mediante dos modelos diferentes. En el modelo 1 se calcularon los riesgos relativos con el método indirecto, usando la razón de incidencia normalizada como criterio de valoración. En el modelo 2 se calcularon los riesgos relativos introduciendo la edad como una variable independiente y las tasas brutas de cáncer como criterio de valoración. Se simularon dos hipótesis y dos subhipótesis con el fin de verificar las propiedades de los estimadores y la bondad del ajuste de ambos modelos. RESULTADOS: Los resultados obtenidos a partir de las estimaciones con el modelo 2 fueron un poco mejores (menos sesgados) que los resultados obtenidos con el modelo 1. Los resultados de la simulación indicaron que en todos los casos (las dos hipótesis y las dos subhipótesis) el modelo 2 exhibió un mejor ajuste que el modelo 1. La función de densidad del parámetro de interés puso en evidencia que el modelo 1 da lugar a estimaciones sesgadas. CONCLUSIONES: Cuando se intenta explicar el riesgo relativo de incidencia de cáncer mediante modelos de regresión ecológica que tienen en cuenta la variabilidad geográfica, se obtienen resultados menos sesgados cuando se introduce la edad como una de las variables independientes y se utilizan las tasas brutas de incidencia como criterio de valoración.

Usefulness of optic fundus examination with retinography in initial evaluation of hypertensive patients.

BACKGROUND: Although international guidelines for management of hypertension recommend optic fundus examination in the initial evaluation of hypertensive patients, there have been no studies to evaluate the usefulness of retinography in this application. METHODS: Two hundred and fifty consecutive new patients with hypertension but without known cardiovascular disease were studied. The average age was 57.2 years (s.d. 12.9) and 56% were men. The study was conducted in 14 primary care centers. Measurements included target organ damage (TOD) evaluation (electrocardiography, retinography, microalbuminuria, and serum creatinine) and blood pressure (BP) measurements. Outcome measurements were made to risk stratification according to 2003 World Health Organization and International Society of Hypertension (WHO-ISH) and 2007 European Society of Hypertension and European Society of Cardiology (ESH-ESC) guidelines, analyzed first without incorporating the retinography results and then reclassified using the retinography data. RESULTS: Advanced retinopathy was detected in 10.8%. The risk stratification arrived at as per the WHO-ISH guidelines, and without the retinography data was: 11.4% low risk, 62.4% moderate risk, and 26.2% high risk. When retinography results were taken into account, 8% from the moderate-risk group were reclassified to the high-risk group (11.4, 54.4, and 34.2%, respectively; P < 0.001). Using ESH-ESC guidelines, the risk stratification without the retinography data was 0.9% reference, 11.3% low, 58.8% moderate, 21.7% high, and 7.3% very high risk. With retinography, 10% were reclassified from a lower to a higher risk group (0.9, 10.4, 51.1, 20.4, and 17.2%, respectively; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: As an alternative to optic fundus examination, retinography enables a more accurate cardiovascular risk stratification in the first evaluation after diagnosis of hypertension. When retinography is included in the assessment of cardiovascular risk, approximately 10% of patients are reclassified to a higher risk group.