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2.
Nature ; 609(7928): 741-746, 2022 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35772670

ABSTRACT

The January 2022 Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai eruption was one of the most explosive volcanic events of the modern era1,2, producing a vertical plume that peaked more than 50 km above the Earth3. The initial explosion and subsequent plume triggered atmospheric waves that propagated around the world multiple times4. A global-scale wave response of this magnitude from a single source has not previously been observed. Here we show the details of this response, using a comprehensive set of satellite and ground-based observations to quantify it from surface to ionosphere. A broad spectrum of waves was triggered by the initial explosion, including Lamb waves5,6 propagating at phase speeds of 318.2 ± 6 m s-1 at surface level and between 308 ± 5 to 319 ± 4 m s-1 in the stratosphere, and gravity waves7 propagating at 238 ± 3 to 269 ± 3 m s-1 in the stratosphere. Gravity waves at sub-ionospheric heights have not previously been observed propagating at this speed or over the whole Earth from a single source8,9. Latent heat release from the plume remained the most significant individual gravity wave source worldwide for more than 12 h, producing circular wavefronts visible across the Pacific basin in satellite observations. A single source dominating such a large region is also unique in the observational record. The Hunga Tonga eruption represents a key natural experiment in how the atmosphere responds to a sudden point-source-driven state change, which will be of use for improving weather and climate models.

3.
Science ; 375(6582): 729-730, 2022 02 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35175816

Subject(s)
Arctic Regions
4.
Science ; 373(6559): 1116-1121, 2021 Sep 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34516838

ABSTRACT

The Arctic is warming at a rate twice the global average and severe winter weather is reported to be increasing across many heavily populated mid-latitude regions, but there is no agreement on whether a physical link exists between the two phenomena. We use observational analysis to show that a lesser-known stratospheric polar vortex (SPV) disruption that involves wave reflection and stretching of the SPV is linked with extreme cold across parts of Asia and North America, including the recent February 2021 Texas cold wave, and has been increasing over the satellite era. We then use numerical modeling experiments forced with trends in autumn snow cover and Arctic sea ice to establish a physical link between Arctic change and SPV stretching and related surface impacts.

5.
Ann N Y Acad Sci ; 1472(1): 49-75, 2020 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32246848

ABSTRACT

Globally, thermodynamics explains an increase in atmospheric water vapor with warming of around 7%/°C near to the surface. In contrast, global precipitation and evaporation are constrained by the Earth's energy balance to increase at ∼2-3%/°C. However, this rate of increase is suppressed by rapid atmospheric adjustments in response to greenhouse gases and absorbing aerosols that directly alter the atmospheric energy budget. Rapid adjustments to forcings, cooling effects from scattering aerosol, and observational uncertainty can explain why observed global precipitation responses are currently difficult to detect but are expected to emerge and accelerate as warming increases and aerosol forcing diminishes. Precipitation increases with warming are expected to be smaller over land than ocean due to limitations on moisture convergence, exacerbated by feedbacks and affected by rapid adjustments. Thermodynamic increases in atmospheric moisture fluxes amplify wet and dry events, driving an intensification of precipitation extremes. The rate of intensification can deviate from a simple thermodynamic response due to in-storm and larger-scale feedback processes, while changes in large-scale dynamics and catchment characteristics further modulate the frequency of flooding in response to precipitation increases. Changes in atmospheric circulation in response to radiative forcing and evolving surface temperature patterns are capable of dominating water cycle changes in some regions. Moreover, the direct impact of human activities on the water cycle through water abstraction, irrigation, and land use change is already a significant component of regional water cycle change and is expected to further increase in importance as water demand grows with global population.


Subject(s)
Climate Change , Floods , Rain , Water Cycle , Humans , Temperature
6.
Auton Neurosci ; 198: 38-49, 2016 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27498137

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Intermittent hypoxia training (IHT) produces robust myocardial protection against ischemia-reperfusion induced infarction and arrhythmias. Blockade of this cardioprotection by antagonism of either ß1-adrenergic or δ-opioid receptors (δ-OR) suggests autonomic and/or opioidergic adaptations. PURPOSE: To test the hypothesis that IHT shifts cardiac autonomic balance toward greater cholinergic and opioidergic influence. METHODS: Mongrel dogs completed 20d IHT, non-hypoxic sham training, or IHT with the δ-OR antagonist naltrindole (200µg/kgsc). The vagolytic effect of the δ-OR agonist met-enkephalin-arg-phe delivered by sinoatrial microdialysis was evaluated following IHT. Sinoatrial, atrial and left ventricular biopsies were analyzed for changes in δ-OR, the neurotrophic monosialoganglioside, GM-1, and cholinergic and adrenergic markers. RESULTS: IHT enhanced vagal bradycardia vs. sham dogs (P<0.05), and blunted the δ2-OR mediated vagolytic effect of met-enkephalin-arg-phe. The GM-1 labeled fibers overlapped strongly with cholinergic markers, and IHT increased the intensity of both signals (P<0.05). IHT increased low and high intensity vesicular acetylcholine transporter labeling of sinoatrial nodal fibers (P<0.05) suggesting an increase in parasympathetic arborization. IHT reduced select δ-OR labeled fibers in both the atria and sinoatrial node (P<0.05) consistent with moderation of the vagolytic δ2-OR signaling described above. Furthermore, blockade of δ-OR signaling with naltrindole during IHT increased the protein content of δ-OR (atria and ventricle) and vesicular acetylcholine transporter (atria) vs. sham and untreated IHT groups. IHT also reduced the sympathetic marker, tyrosine hydroxylase in ventricle (P<0.05). SUMMARY: IHT shifts cardiac autonomic balance in favor of parasympathetic control via adaptations in opioidergic, ganglioside, and adrenergic systems.


Subject(s)
Heart Atria/metabolism , Hypoxia/drug therapy , Neuronal Plasticity , Receptors, Opioid, delta/metabolism , Animals , Dogs , Enkephalin, Methionine/pharmacology , Heart Atria/drug effects , Heart Atria/physiopathology , Microdialysis/methods , Naltrexone/analogs & derivatives , Naltrexone/pharmacology , Narcotic Antagonists/pharmacology , Neuronal Plasticity/drug effects , Norepinephrine/metabolism , Norepinephrine/pharmacology , Sinoatrial Node/drug effects , Vagus Nerve/physiopathology
7.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 105(32): 11081-6, 2008 Aug 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18685101

ABSTRACT

Since 1980, the number of undernourished people in eastern and southern Africa has more than doubled. Rural development stalled and rural poverty expanded during the 1990s. Population growth remains very high, and declining per-capita agricultural capacity retards progress toward Millennium Development goals. Analyses of in situ station data and satellite observations of precipitation have identified another problematic trend: main growing-season rainfall receipts have diminished by approximately 15% in food-insecure countries clustered along the western rim of the Indian Ocean. Occurring during the main growing seasons in poor countries dependent on rain-fed agriculture, these declines are societally dangerous. Will they persist or intensify? Tracing moisture deficits upstream to an anthropogenically warming Indian Ocean leads us to conclude that further rainfall declines are likely. We present analyses suggesting that warming in the central Indian Ocean disrupts onshore moisture transports, reducing continental rainfall. Thus, late 20th-century anthropogenic Indian Ocean warming has probably already produced societally dangerous climate change by creating drought and social disruption in some of the world's most fragile food economies. We quantify the potential impacts of the observed precipitation and agricultural capacity trends by modeling "millions of undernourished people" as a function of rainfall, population, cultivated area, seed, and fertilizer use. Persistence of current tendencies may result in a 50% increase in undernourished people by 2030. On the other hand, modest increases in per-capita agricultural productivity could more than offset the observed precipitation declines. Investing in agricultural development can help mitigate climate change while decreasing rural poverty and vulnerability.


Subject(s)
Agriculture/economics , Agriculture/trends , Disasters/economics , Food Supply/economics , Greenhouse Effect , Rain , Africa , Forecasting , Humans , Oceans and Seas
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