Familial vs sporadic multiple sclerosis in the Israeli population: Differences in ethnicity distribution and disease progression, with anticipation in successive generations.

BACKGROUND: Multiple Sclerosis (MS) may cluster in families, an entity known as familial MS (FMS), possibly due to aggregation of genetic and environmental factors. Though previous studies have characterized FMS in different populations, no study to the best of our knowledge has yet characterized FMS in the unique Israeli population, which is comprised of relatively endogamous ethnicities. Our goal in this study was to compare demographic and clinical characteristics between FMS and sporadic MS (SMS), and to search for intra-familial patterns. METHODS: In a retrospective study of 101 FMS patients and 508 SMS patients, ethnicity and sex distribution was assessed. Clinical aspects were compared between 172 paired FMS and SMS patients, matched for sex, age and ethnicity, and between generations of the FMS cohort. RESULTS: Females comprised 75.3 % of FMS and 67.5 % of SMS patients (p = 0.1). Ethnic distribution was significantly different between FMS and SMS (p = 0.014), with the former comprising a higher proportion of Christian-Arabs (15.4% vs. 5.1 %, p = 0.004) and lower proportion of Jews (60% vs. 74.2 %, p = 0.016). Age at disease onset or diagnosis, frequency of positive Oligoclonal bands and comorbidity of other autoimmune/inflammatory disease or chronic diseases was comparable between FMS and SMS, yet motor symptoms at onset were more prevalent in FMS (34% vs. 20 %, p = 0.02). Annualized relapse rates throughout 10 years from onset were comparable. Among FMS, mean Expanded-Disability-Status-Scale (EDSS) and slope of deterioration in EDSS over 20 years from diagnosis were higher (p = 0.0004 and p = 0.023, respectively), time to EDSS ≥ 3 was shorter (7.1 vs. 12.1 years, HR 1.6, p = 0.036) and MS-Severity-Score (MSSS) was higher (3.84 vs. 2.95, p = 0.04), compared to SMS. Following adjustment for smoking, which tended to be higher among FMS patients (P = 0.06), mean EDSS and slope of deterioration in EDSS over 20 years remained significantly higher (p = 0.0006 and p = 0.025, respectively) in FMS, time to EDSS ≥ 3 tended to be higher (HR 1.5, p = 0.06), while MSSS was comparable. An inter-generational analysis of the total FMS cohort, as well as an intra-familial analysis, both adjusted for year of diagnosis, revealed significantly earlier age of onset (p < 0.0001 and p < 0.0001) and diagnosis (p = 0.001 and p < 0.0001) in the younger compared to the older generations, respectively. CONCLUSION: In this Israeli cohort, the proportions of specific ethnicities differ between FMS and SMS, indicating that FMS has a population-specific prevalence pattern, and that further investigation for susceptibility genes is warranted. Disease progression is faster in FMS patients and anticipation is observed in families with multiple cases of MS. Closer surveillance and application of a pro-active induction or early highly-effective therapeutic strategy for FMS patients should be considered, to reduce high disease activity and fast disability progression.

Secondary prophylaxis for Clostridioides difficile infection for patients on non-C. difficile antibiotics: a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Recurrent Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) poses healthcare challenges and morbidity. Preventing recurrence with prophylactic oral CDI antibiotics lack consensus. METHODS: We used data from the largest healthcare provider in Israel to identify all adults aged 18 years or older diagnosed with a first episode of CDI (Index CDI) between February 2018 and December 2022 and subsequently received a non-CDI antibiotic within 2-8 weeks. Patients who received a concurrent prophylactic CDI antibiotic constituted the CDI prophylaxis group. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to examine the association of secondary CDI prophylaxis with CDI recurrence according to the severity of the index CDI (primary objective) and with 4- and 8-week all-cause mortality (secondary objective). RESULTS: A total of 434 eligible patients were included. Among them, 327 did not receive CDI antibiotic prophylaxis, while 107 did. CDI antibiotic prophylaxis was associated with a significant risk reduction of CDI recurrence with an adjusted HR of 0.51 (95% CI, 0.27-0.97). The magnitude of the association was modified by the severity of the index CDI episode (P for interaction 0.0182). Specifically, the HR for recurrence was 0.163 (95% CI 0.045-0.593) for non-severe CDI, and 1.242 (95% CI 0.524-2.946) for severe CDI. No significant association was found between CDI antibiotic prophylaxis and 4-8 weeks mortality. CONCLUSION: Secondary prophylaxis with CDI antibiotics appears to be associated with a reduced risk of recurrence in patients with previous non-severe CDI episode. Further studies are needed to confirm this finding.

Association Between Guillain-Barré Syndrome and COVID-19 Infection and Vaccination: A Population-Based Nested Case-Control Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Existing data regarding occurrence of Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) after coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection and vaccination are inconclusive. We aimed to assess the association between GBS and both severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and COVID-19 vaccine. METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control study in a cohort of 3,193,951 patients aged 16 years or older, without a diagnosis of prior GBS, from the largest health care provider in Israel. Participants were followed from January 1, 2021, until June 30, 2022, for the occurrence of GBS. Ten randomly selected controls were matched to each case of GBS on age and sex. We assessed both SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 vaccine administration in the prior 6 weeks in cases and controls. RESULTS: Overall, 76 patients were diagnosed with GBS during follow-up and were matched to 760 controls. A positive test for SARS-CoV-2 was detected in 9 (11.8%) cases and 18 (2.4%) controls. An administration of COVID-19 vaccine was detected in 8 (10.5%) cases (all Pfizer-BioNTech [BNT162b2] vaccine) and 136 (17.9%) controls (134 Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine). Multivariable conditional logistic regression models showed that the odds ratio for GBS associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 vaccine administration was 6.30 (95% CI 2.55-15.56) and 0.41 (95% CI 0.17-0.96), respectively. The results were similar when exposure to SARS-CoV-2 infection or COVID-19 vaccine administration was ascertained in the prior 4 and 8 weeks, although did not reach statistical significance for COVID-19 vaccine at 4 weeks. DISCUSSION: Our study suggests that SARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with increased risk of GBS, whereas Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine is associated with decreased risk of GBS.

Association Between COVID-19 Infection and Pulmonary Fibrosis: A Nested Case-Control Study.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary fibrosis is associated with significant morbidity. Data are scarce on the link between coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and pulmonary fibrosis. We aimed to assess the association between COVID-19 with pulmonary fibrosis. METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control study in a cohort of 2,894,801 adults without a diagnosis of pulmonary fibrosis. The underlying cohort consisted of members of the largest healthcare provider in Israel aged 18 years or older as of May 1, 2020. Subjects were followed up from cohort entry until June 30, 2022, for the occurrence of pulmonary fibrosis. Ten randomly selected controls were matched to each case of pulmonary fibrosis on age, sex, and calendar time. To account for surveillance bias a lag time of 60 days was used for ascertainment of prior COVID-19 and COVID-19 severity. RESULTS: During follow-up 1284 patients were newly diagnosed with pulmonary fibrosis and matched with 12,840 controls. Multivariable conditional logistic-regression models showed that the odds ratio for pulmonary fibrosis was 1.80 (95% confidence interval, 1.47-2.19) in patients with COVID-19 compared with no COVID-19. The multivariable odds ratio for pulmonary fibrosis was 1.33 (1.06-1.68), 2.98 (1.16-7.65), and 9.30 (5.77-14.98) for mild, moderate, and severe COVID-19, respectively, compared with no COVID-19. The magnitude of the association was attenuated but remained statistically significant for severe disease when the lag time was extended to 180 days (1.08 [0.78-1.49], 2.37 [0.75-7.46], and 5.34 [2.75-10.36] for mild, moderate, and severe COVID-19, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 appears to be associated with an increased risk of pulmonary fibrosis and the magnitude of the association increases with COVID-19 severity.

Association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and new-onset atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. New-onset AF (NOAF) has been related recently to SARS-CoV-2 infection; however, the evidence supporting this link is still scarce. We aimed to examine the association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and NOAF. METHODS: We conducted a nested-case control study in a cohort of 2,931,046 adults from the largest healthcare provider in Israel. Subjects were followed from March 1st, 2020, until June 30th, 2022, for the occurrence of NOAF. Ten randomly selected controls were matched to each case of NOAF on age, sex, and duration of follow-up. Exposure to SARS-CoV-2 infection in the prior 30 days was assessed in cases and controls. To account for surveillance bias we performed a lag-time analysis and assessed the association with a negative control exposure (low back pain). Data was analyzed using conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: During the follow-up 18,981 patients developed NOAF and were matched to 189,810 controls. The mean age of cases and matched controls was 73.8 ± 13 years, and 51.1% of them were women. Multivariable analysis showed that SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with an increased risk of NOAF; adjusted-OR, 4.24 (95% CI, 3.89-4.62). The association remained significant on lag-time analysis; however, the strength of the association was gradually attenuated with increasing lag-time but stabilized around a lag-time of 20 days. The negative control exposure (low back pain) was associated only with small increased risk of NOAF; adjusted-OR of 1.13 (95% CI, 1.02-1.26). CONCLUSION: SARS-CoV-2 infection appears to be associated with increased risk of NOAF.

Association between COVID-19 vaccination and myasthenia gravis: A population-based, nested case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Existing data regarding the link between COVID-19 vaccine and myasthenia gravis (MG) are scarce. We aimed to assess the association between Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine with both new-onset MG and MG exacerbation. METHODS: For the first aim, we conducted a nested case-control study in a cohort of 3,052,467 adults, without a diagnosis of MG, from the largest healthcare provider in Israel. Subjects were followed from January 1, 2021 until June 30, 2022 for the occurrence of MG. Ten randomly selected controls were matched to each case of new-onset MG on age and sex. For the second aim, a nested case-control study was conducted in a cohort of 1446 MG patients. Four randomly selected MG patients (controls) were matched to each case of MG exacerbation. Exposure to COVID-19 vaccine in the prior 4 weeks was assessed in cases and controls. RESULTS: Overall, 332 patients had new-onset MG and were matched with 3320 controls. Multivariable conditional logistic regression models showed that the odds ratio (OR) for new-onset MG, associated with COVID-19 vaccine, was 1.14 (95% CI 0.73-1.78). The results were consistent in sensitivity analysis that used more stringent criteria to define MG. Overall, 62 patients with MG exacerbation were matched to 248 MG controls. The multivariable OR for MG exacerbation, associated with COVID-19 vaccine, was 1.35 (95% CI 0.37-4.89). All results were similar when the prior exposure to COVID-19 vaccine was extended to 8 weeks. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine is not associated with increased risk of new-onset nor exacerbation of MG.

Breast cancer polygenic risk scores derived in White European populations are not calibrated for women of Ashkenazi Jewish descent.

PURPOSE: Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) are a major component of accurate breast cancer (BC) risk prediction but require ethnicity-specific calibration. Ashkenazi Jewish (AJ) population is assumed to be of White European (WE) origin in some commercially available PRSs despite differing effect allele frequencies (EAFs). We conducted a case-control study of WE and AJ women from the Predicting Risk of Cancer at Screening Study. The Breast Cancer in Northern Israel Study provided a separate AJ population-based case-control validation series. METHODS: All women underwent Illumina OncoArray single-nucleotide variation (SNV; formerly single-nucleotide polymorphism [SNP]) analysis. Two PRSs were assessed, SNV142 and SNV78. A total of 221 of 2243 WE women (discovery: cases = 111; controls = 110; validation: cases = 651; controls = 1772) and 221 AJ women (cases = 121; controls = 110) were included from the UK study; the Israeli series consisted of 2045 AJ women (cases = 1331; controls = 714). EAFs were obtained from the Genome Aggregation Database. RESULTS: In the UK study, the mean SNV142 PRS demonstrated good calibration and discrimination in WE population, with mean PRS of 1.33 (95% CI 1.18-1.48) in cases and 1.01 (95% CI 0.89-1.13) in controls. In AJ women from Manchester, the mean PRS of 1.54 (1.38-1.70) in cases and 1.20 (1.08-1.32) in controls demonstrated good discrimination but overestimation of BC relative risk. After adjusting for EAFs for the AJ population, mean risk was corrected (mean SNV142 PRS cases = 1.30 [95% CI 1.16-1.44] and controls = 1.02 [95% CI 0.92-1.12]). This was recapitulated in the larger Israeli data set with good discrimination (area under the curve = 0.632 [95% CI 0.607-0.657] for SNV142). CONCLUSION: AJ women should not be given BC relative risk predictions based on PRSs calibrated to EAFs from the WE population. PRSs need to be recalibrated using AJ-derived EAFs. A simple recalibration using the mean PRS adjustment ratio likely performs well.

Association Between ABCG2, ABCB1, ABCC2 Efflux Transporter Single-Nucleotide Variants and Irinotecan Adverse Effects in Patients With Colorectal Cancer: A Real-Life Study.

Among patients treated with irinotecan, homozygous carriers of the UGT1A1*28 allele are at increased risk for neutropenia, but UGT1A1 genotype alone does not account for irinotecan-induced toxicity. Our aim was to study the association between single-nucleotide variants in genes encoding for efflux transporters of irinotecan (ABCG2, ABCB1, and ABCC2) and toxicity in real life. The source population was a cohort of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) in Northern Israel, who had undergone genome-wide association study. From the source population we chose the patients with CRC prescribed irinotecan, and a comparative cohort of patients with CRC treated with other anticancer systemic therapies. Using Clalit Health Services electronic medical records (including laboratory results) we ascertained hematological and gastrointestinal adverse effects and mortality, within 90 days of the first dose, as a composite outcome. There were 601 patients with CRC who received irinotecan, and 756 patients with CRC treated with other anticancer regimens. The minor allele in rs2231142 (ABCG2) was associated with lower incidence of the composite outcome (odds ratio (OR) = 0.54 (0.33, 0.91); P = 0.02) in irinotecan-treated patients with CRC, but not in patients with CRC treated with other regimens. ABCB1 rs1045642 and ABCC2 rs3740066 were not associated with the composite outcome. In a sensitivity analysis, adjusted for UGT1A1 status and for possible demographic and clinical confounders, adjusted OR was 0.56 (0.33, 0.94) for the association between rs2231142 (ABCG2) and the composite outcome. In conclusion, we describe a novel association between the minor allele of rs2231142 in the efflux transporter gene ABCG2 and protection against severe side effects in CRC patients treating with irinotecan.

Opaganib in Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pneumonia: Results of a Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Phase 2a Trial.

Background: Opaganib, an oral sphingosine kinase-2 inhibitor with antiviral and anti-inflammatory properties, was shown to inhibit severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 replication in vitro. We thus considered that opaganib could be beneficial for moderate to severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia. The objective of the study was to evaluate the safety of opaganib and its effect on supplemental oxygen requirements and time to hospital discharge in COVID-19 pneumonia hospitalized patients requiring supplemental oxygen. Methods: This Phase 2a, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study was conducted between July and December 2020 in 8 sites in the United States. Forty-two enrolled patients received opaganib (n = 23) or placebo (n = 19) added to standard of care for up to 14 days and were followed up for 28 days after their last dose of opaganib/placebo. Results: There were no safety concerns arising in this study. The incidence of ≥Grade 3 treatment-emergent adverse events was 17.4% and 33.3% in the opaganib and placebo groups, respectively. Three deaths occurred in each group. A numerical advantage for opaganib over placebo was observed in in this nonpowered study reflected by total supplemental oxygen requirement from baseline to Day 14, the requirement for supplemental oxygen for at least 24 hours by Day 14, and hospital discharge. Conclusions: In this proof-of-concept study, hypoxic, hospitalized patients receiving oral opaganib had a similar safety profile to placebo-treated patients, with preliminary evidence of benefit for opaganib as measured by supplementary oxygen requirement and earlier hospital discharge. These findings support further evaluation of opaganib in this population.

Association between Vaccination with the BNT162b2 mRNA Coronavirus Disease 2019 Vaccine and Noninfectious Uveitis: A Population-Based Study.

PURPOSE: To assess the association between BNT162b2 mRNA coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine and the risk of active noninfectious uveitis (NIU). DESIGN: Retrospective, population-based study. PARTICIPANTS: Two million six hundred two thousand five hundred fifty-seven people who received the first vaccine dose between December 20, 2020, and April 30, 2021, and 2 441 719 people who received the second vaccine dose between January 10, 2021, and April 30, 2021. METHODS: Events of active NIU were included if they occurred within 21 days after either vaccine dose. Active NIU was defined as newly active or worsening ocular inflammation requiring initiation or increase in local or systemic corticosteroids. Observed cases were compared with the expected number, based on the experience of the population in 2019. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Age- and sex-adjusted standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and attributable risks after BNT126b2 vaccination. RESULTS: Overall, 100 and 88 events of active NIU were recorded within 21 days after the first and second vaccine doses, respectively. Using the experience of the population in 2019 as a reference, after the first dose, the estimated age- and sex-adjusted SIR was 1.41 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.15-1.71) along with a 21-day attributable risk of 1.12 cases per 100 000 vaccinees. After the second dose, the SIR was 1.31 (95% CI, 1.05-1.62), with an estimated attributable risk of 0.86 cases per 100 000 vaccinees. Anterior uveitis was the most common site of inflammation, occurring in 90.96% of eyes, and idiopathic uveitis was the most common cause (56.38%). CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine may be associated with an increased risk of active NIU. However, considering the small effect size and study limitations, this study does not provide proof for a cause-and-effect relationship. The small estimated attributable risks suggest that the impact on public health is relatively minor.

Five-year survival decreases over time in patients with BRCA-mutated ovarian cancer: a systemic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Short-term survival rates of patients with BRCA-mutated ovarian cancer have been previously shown to be longer than those of non-carriers. We aimed to study the long-term survival rates of these patients and investigate whether the 5-year advantage decreases over time. METHODS: A systematic review of the literature was conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyzes (PRISMA) statement. The study protocol can be assessed at PROSPERO International prospective register of systematic reviews (http://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO, registration number CRD42019137455). We considered for inclusion studies providing Kaplan-Meier survival curves up to and including 10 years, comparing patients with ovarian cancer with and without BRCA mutations. Our main outcome was the conditional probability of surviving an additional 5 years. RESULTS: A total of 13 references comprising 4565 patients was analyzed, of which 1131 BRCA1/2-mutated carriers and 3434 non-carriers were included. The expected higher 5-year survival rate in BRCA-mutated patients was observed (risk difference (RD)=14.9%, p=0.0002, risk ratio (RR)=1.36, p=0.001). Ten-year survival rates were comparatively less improved in BRCA-mutated patients (RD=8.6%, p=0.042, RR=1.25, p=0.12). After already surviving 5 years, no advantage in probability of further surviving 5 additional years was observed for the BRCA-mutated group (RD=2.9%, p=0.71, RR=0.97, p=0.78). CONCLUSION: Our results provide insight into long-term survival rates and prognosis in patients with BRCA-mutated ovarian cancer which suggest that, despite the improved 5-year prognosis, the conditional probability of surviving an additional 5 years does not show the same advantage. The relatively low long-term advantage highlights the significance of epithelial ovarian cancer recurrence prevention. In the era of poly adenosine ribose inhibitors, future studies should explore the adequate follow-up and the benefit of a longer maintenance treatment phase, aiming to prolong the long-term survival of BRCA-mutated patients.

Lymphopenia and mortality among patients undergoing coronary angiography: Long-term follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: Lymphopenia is associated with adverse prognosis in chronic disease states that are related to immune dysregulation. We aimed to determine the association between lymphopenia and mortality in patients presenting to coronary angiography and investigate whether elevated red blood cell distribution width (RDW), an established cardiovascular prognostic marker, further refines risk stratification. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of patients undergoing coronary angiography for evaluation or treatment of coronary artery disease between 2003 and 2018. Mortality risk associated with relative (1000-1500/µL) or severe ( < 1000/µL) lymphopenia was analyzed using adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: Overall, 15,179 patients aged 65 ± 12 years underwent coronary angiography. During a median follow-up of 8 years, 4253 patients died. Compared to normal lymphocyte count, the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for mortality was 1.31 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.21-1.41) and 1.97 (95% CI 1.75-2.22) for relative and severe lymphopenia, respectively. The increase in mortality associated with severe lymphopenia was significant in patients presenting in the non-acute setting (HR 2.18, 95% CI 1.74-2.73), ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.15-2.21), or unstable angina/non-STEMI (HR 2.00, 95% CI 1.70-2.34); p-value for interaction 0.626. The association of lymphopenia with mortality remained significant after additional adjustment to RDW. High RDW ( > 14.5%) was associated with reduced survival, and it improved the predictive accuracy of lymphocytes count with an increase in Harrell's Concordance statistic from 0.634 (SE = 0.005) to 0.672 (SE = 0.005), p < 0.001. CONCLUSIONS: lymphopenia is associated with increased risk of mortality during long-term follow-up in patients undergoing coronary angiography, regardless of the coronary presentation. High RDW may enhance the predictive ability of lymphopenia.

Novel bleeding prediction model in atrial fibrillation patients on new oral anticoagulants.

OBJECTIVE: Clinical models such as the HAS-BLED (standing for Hypertension, Abnormal liver/renal function, Stroke history, Bleeding history or predisposition, Labile INR, Elderly, Drug/alcohol usage) were developed to predict risk of major bleeding on vitamin K antagonists/antiplatelet therapy. We aimed to develop a model that will improve the ability to predict major bleeding events in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) treated with new oral anticoagulants (NOACs). METHODS: Clalit Health Services is the largest of four integrated healthcare organisations in Israel, which insures 4.7 million patients (53% of the population). We identified in Clalit Health Services all patients with AF, new users of an NOAC (2013-2017), and followed them until first occurrence of a major bleeding event, death, switch to another oral anticoagulant, 30 days after discontinuation of NOAC or end of follow-up (31 December 2019). Importance of the candidate model variables was estimated by inclusion frequencies across forward selection algorithm applied to 50 bootstrap samples. Then, backward selection algorithm using the modified Bayesian Information Criterion for competing risks was applied to select predictors for the final model. RESULTS: 47 623 patients with AF prescribed NOAC were studied. 28 055 patients with AF, initiators of apixaban (mean age 78.7, SD 9.0), were included in the first phase and had 662 major bleeding events. Nine variables were selected for inclusion in a final points-based risk-scoring system: male sex, anaemia, thrombocytopaenia (<99×103/µL), concurrent antiplatelet therapy, hypertension, prior major bleeding, risk factors for a fall, low cholesterol level and low estimated glomerular filtration rate, with apparent area-under-curve (AUC) of 0.6546. Applicability of the model was then shown for 14 118 and 5450 patients with AF, initiators of dabigatran and rivaroxaban, where the score achieved c indices of 0.62 and 0.61, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We present a novel and simple risk score for prediction of major bleeding in patients with non-valvular AF treated with NOACs. Validation in additional cohorts is warranted.

Is fasting still necessary prior to contrast-enhanced computed tomography? A randomized clinical study.

OBJECTIVES: There is very limited evidence to support the common practice of preparative fasting prior to contrast-enhanced computerized tomography (CT). This study examined the effect of withholding fasting orders, prior to contrast-enhanced CT, on the incidence of aspiration pneumonitis and adverse gastrointestinal symptoms. METHODS: This randomized controlled trial enrolled hospitalized patients referred for non-emergency, contrast-enhanced CT scan to either at least 4 h of fasting or to an unrestricted consumption of liquids and solids up to the time of CT. The primary outcome was incidence of aspiration pneumonitis and the secondary outcomes were rates of adverse gastrointestinal symptoms (nausea and/or vomiting). RESULTS: After excluding participants with incomplete follow-up, a total of 1080 participants were assigned to the fasting group and 1011 were assigned to the non-fasting group. Aspiration pneumonitis was not identified in either group. The mean time of fasting in the fasting group was 8.4 ± 1.6 h. Rates of nausea and vomiting were not statistically different between the fasting group compared with the non-fasting group, 6.6% vs. 7.6% (p = 0.37) and 2.6% vs. 3.0% (p = 0.58), respectively. A subgroup analysis of patients who were required to drink oral contrast agent (n = 1257) showed that rates of nausea and vomiting were not statistically different between the fasting and non-fasting groups, 6.8% vs. 8.0% (p = 0.42) and 2.6% vs. 3.6% (p = 0.3), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Withholding fasting orders prior to contrast-enhanced CT was not associated with a greater risk of aspiration pneumonitis or a significant increase in rates of adverse gastrointestinal symptoms. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov : NCT03533348 KEY POINTS: • Is fasting necessary prior to contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT)? • In this randomized clinical study including 2091 participants referred to non-emergency contrast-enhanced CT scan, withholding preparative fasting was not associated with a greater risk of aspiration pneumonitis or clinically significant increase in rates of adverse gastrointestinal symptoms. • Eating and drinking prior to contrast-enhanced CT can be allowed and are not associated with an increased risk of aspiration pneumonitis.

Long-Term Risk Stratification of Patients Undergoing Coronary Angiography According to the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction Risk Score for Secondary Prevention.

Background A risk score for secondary prevention after myocardial infarction (Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction Risk Score for Secondary Prevention [TRS2P]), based on 9 established clinical factors, was recently developed from the TRA 2°P- TIMI 50 (Thrombin Receptor Antagonist in Secondary Prevention of Atherothrombotic Ischemic Events) trial. We aimed to evaluate the performance of TRS 2P for predicting long-term outcomes in real-world patients presenting for coronary angiography. Methods and Results A retrospective analysis of 13 593 patients referred to angiography for the assessment or treatment of coronary disease was performed. Risk stratification for 10-year major adverse cardiovascular events was performed using the TRS 2P, divided into 6 categories (0 to ≥5 points), and in relation to the presenting coronary syndrome. All clinical variables, except prior coronary artery bypass grafting, were independent risk predictors. The annualized incidence rate of major adverse cardiovascular events increased in a graded manner with increasing TRS 2P, ranging from 1.65 to 16.6 per 100 person-years ( Ptrend<0.001). Compared with the lowest-risk group (risk indicators=0), the hazard ratios (95% CIs) for 10-year major adverse cardiovascular events were 1.60 (95% CI, 1.36-1.89), 2.58 (95% CI, 2.21-3.02), 4.31 (95% CI, 3.69-5.05), 6.43 (95% CI, 5.47-7.56), and 10.03 (95% CI, 8.52-11.81), in those with 1, 2, 3, 4 and ≥5 risk indicators, respectively. Risk gradation was consistent among individual clinical end points. TRS 2P showed reasonable discrimination with C-statistics of 0.693 for major adverse cardiovascular events and 0.758 for mortality. The graded relationship between the risk score and event rates was observed in both patients presenting with acute and nonacute coronary syndromes. Conclusions The use of TRS 2P, a simple risk score based on routinely collected variables, enables risk stratification in patients undergoing coronary angiography. Its predictive value was demonstrated in a real-world setting with long-term follow-up and regardless of the acuity of coronary presentation.

Association of Diabetes and Glycated Hemoglobin With the Risk of Intracerebral Hemorrhage: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association of diabetes and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) with the risk of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) in a large population-based cohort. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The computerized database of the largest health care provider in Israel was used to identify adult members aged 40 years or older and alive at 1 January 2010 (297,486 with diabetes and 1,167,585 without diabetes). The cohort was followed until 31 December 2017 for incidence of ICH. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models, adjusted for baseline disease risk score, were applied to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of ICH. RESULTS: Overall 4,170 ICH cases occurred during 10,730,915 person-years of follow-up. Diabetes was independently associated with increased ICH risk, with hazard ratio (HR) 1.36 (95% CI 1.27-1.45), and increased with longer diabetes duration: 1.23 (1.12-1.35) and 1.44 (1.34-1.56) for diabetes duration ≤5 years and >5 years, respectively. The increased ICH risk associated with diabetes was more pronounced in patients ≤60 years old (P interaction <0.001). Among patients with diabetes, HbA1c had a nonlinear J-shaped relationship with ICH (P for nonlinearity = 0.0186). Compared to the fourth HbA1c decile, 6.5-6.7% (48-50 mmol/mol), the HR for ICH was 1.27 (1.01-1.59) and 2.19 (1.75-2.73) in the lowest HbA1c decile, ≤6.0% (≤42 mmol/mol), and highest HbA1c decile, >9.3% (>78 mmol/mol), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes is associated with increased risk of ICH that is directly associated with diabetes duration. ICH and HbA1c appear to have a J-shaped relationship, suggesting that both poor control as well as extreme intensive diabetes control might be associated with increased risk.

Plaque Morphology as Predictor of Late Plaque Events in Patients With Asymptomatic Type 2 Diabetes: A Long-Term Observational Study.

OBJECTIVES: The authors used coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) to determine plaque characteristics predicting individual late plaque events precipitating acute coronary syndromes (ACS) in a cohort of asymptomatic type 2 diabetic patients. BACKGROUND: In patients with coronary artery disease, CTA plaque characteristics may predict mid-term patient events. METHODS: Asymptomatic patients with diabetes 55 to 74 years of age with no history of coronary artery disease (N = 630) underwent baseline 64-slice CTA and detailed plaque level analysis. All subsequent clinical events were recorded and adjudicated. In patients who developed ACS, culprit plaque was identified at invasive angiography and its precursor located on the baseline CTA. Plaque characteristics predicting an ACS-associated culprit plaque event were analyzed by time to event accounting for inpatient clustering of plaques and competing events. RESULTS: Among 2,242 plaques in 499 subjects, 24 ACS culprit plaques were identified in 24 subjects during median follow-up of 9.2 years (interquartile range: 8.4 to 9.8 years). Plaque volume (upper vs. lower quartile hazard ratio [HR]: 6.9; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.6 to 30.8; p = 0.011), percentage of low-density plaque content <50 Hounsfield units (HR: 14.2; 95% CI: 1.9 to 108; p = 0.010), and mild plaque calcification (HR vs. all other plaques 3.3 [95% CI: 1.5 to 7.3]; p = 0.004) predicted plaque events univariately and after adjustment by clinical risk score. A culprit plaque event occurred in 13 of 376 (3.5%) high-risk plaques (HRP) (plaques with ≥2 risk predictors) versus 11 of 1,866 (0.6%) in non-HRPs (p < 0.0001), at 12 of 343 (3.5%) stenotic sites (≥50%) versus 12 of 1,899 (0.6%) nonstenotic sites (p < 0.0001) and in 7 of 131 (5.3%) HRP with stenosis (p < 0.0001 vs. all others). In 130 (20.6%) subjects, no coronary plaque was present on baseline CTA. CONCLUSIONS: In asymptomatic patients with type 2 diabetes, CTA plaque volume, percent low-density plaque content, and mild calcification predicted late plaque events. The additional presence of luminal stenosis increased the probability of an acute event.

Association of statin use with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage: A cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between statin exposure in a dose-dependent manner and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) in a large nationwide study. METHODS: The computerized database of the largest health care provider in Israel was used to identify diagnosed ICH among new users of statins, who started statin treatment between 2005 and 2010. We assessed a dose-response relationship between ICH and statins, using the average atorvastatin equivalent daily dose (AAEDD). Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models, adjusted for baseline disease risk score, were applied to estimate the hazard ratio of ICH. RESULTS: Of the 345,531 included patients, 1,304 were diagnosed with ICH during a median follow-up of 9.5 years (interquartile range 7.6-11.0). Overall, 75.3% of patients had AAEDD <10 mg/d, 19.0% had AAEDD 0-19.9 mg/d, and 5.7% had AAEDD ≥20 mg/d. The corresponding proportions were 81.0%, 15.0%, 4.0% among ICH cases, and 75.3%, 19.0%, 5.7% among non-ICH cases. Compared to those with AAEDD <10 mg/d (reference), the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for ICH was 0.68 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.58-0.79) in those with AAEDD 10-19.9 mg/d, and 0.62 (0.47-0.81) in those with AAEDD ≥20 mg/d. Compared to the lowest baseline total cholesterol quartile, the adjusted HR for ICH was 0.71 (95% CI 0.62-0.82), 0.55 (0.47-0.64), and 0.57 (0.49-0.67) in those in the second, third, and highest quartiles, respectively. The results were similar and robust among highly persistent statin users and after controlling for the change in cholesterol level. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms that the risk of ICH decreases with increasing cholesterol levels, but suggests that statin use might be associated with decreased risk of ICH.