C-reactive protein at ICU admission as a marker of early graft dysfunction after liver transplant. A prospective, single-center cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the behavior of C-reactive protein (CRP) after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) during the first postoperative days, and its usefulness as a marker of severe early allograft dysfunction (EAD). DESIGN: A prospective, single-center cohort study was carried out. SETTING: The Intensive Care Unit (ICU) of a regional hospital with a liver transplant program since 1997. PATIENTS: The study comprised a total of 183 patients admitted to our ICU immediately after liver transplantation between 2009 and 2015. VARIABLES OF INTEREST: C-reactive protein levels upon ICU admission and after 24 and 48h, severe EAD and hospital mortality. RESULTS: The CRP levels after OLT were: upon ICU admission 57.5 (51.6-63.3)mg/L, after 24h 80.1 (72.9-87.3)mg/L and after 48h 69.9 (62.5-77.4)mg/L. Severe EAD patients (14.2%) had higher mortality (23.1 vs 2.5; OR 11.48: 2.98-44.19) and lower CRP upon ICU admission (39.3 [29.8-48.7]mg/L) than the patients without EAD (0.5 [53.9-67.0]; p<0.05] - the best cut-off point being 68mg/L (sensitivity 92.3%; specificity 40.1%; Youden index 0.33). Lower CRP upon ICU admission was correlated to higher mortality (24.5 [9.2-39.7] vs 59.4 [53.4-65.4]; p<0.01, AUC 0.79 [0.65-0.92]). CONCLUSION: Liver transplant is a strong inflammatory stimulus accompanied by high levels of C-reactive protein. A blunted rise in CRP on the first postoperative day after OLT may be a marker of poor allograft function and is related to hospital mortality.

Early graft dysfunction after liver transplant: Comparison of different diagnostic criteria in a single-center prospective cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Comparison of different diagnostic criteria for early liver allograft dysfunction (EAD) and their capability to predict mortality. DESIGN: Single-center, prospective, cohort study. SETTINGS: ICU in a Regional Hospital with a liver transplant program since 1997. PATIENTS: 253 consecutive patients admitted to our ICU immediately after liver transplantation between 2009 and 2015. VARIABLES OF INTEREST: Differences in the incidence of EAD and its relation with ICU, Hospital and 2-year mortality depending on the definition applied using as comparator the UNOS (United Network for Organ Sharing) primary non-function criterion. RESULTS: The incidence of early liver allograft dysfunction according to UNOS was 13.8%, to Makowka 6.3%, to Ardite 10.7%, to Nanashima 20.6%, to Dhillon 30.8% and to MEAF 13.4%. Kappa test did not show a good correlation among these criteria. EAD was related with ICU mortality for all diagnostic criteria except Dhillon but only UNOS, Makowka and MEAF were associated with 2-year mortality. Hospital mortality was poorly predicted by all criteria except for the MEAF score. CONCLUSION: We found a poor agreement between different criteria analyzed for the diagnosis of EAD. In our population, the MEAF score showed the best relationship with short- and long-term mortality.

Relationship between functional status prior to onset of critical illness and mortality: a prospective multicentre cohort study.

This prospective study aimed to assess the association between prior functional status and hospital mortality for patients admitted to four intensive care units in Spain between 2006 and 2012. Prior functional status was classified into three groups, using a modification of the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS), including group 1 with no limitations on activities of daily living; group 2 with some limitations but self-sufficient; and group 3 who were dependent on others for their activities of daily living. Of the 1,757 patients considered (mean Simplified Acute Physiology Score [SAPS] predicted mortality 14.8% and hospital mortality 13.7%), group 1 had the lowest observed hospital mortality (8.3%) compared to the SAPS 3 predicted mortality (11.6%). The observed mortality for group 2 (20.6%) and group 3 (27.4%) were both higher than predicted (19.2% and 21.2% respectively; odds ratio [OR] 1.97, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.38-2.82 for group 2 and OR 2.90, 95% CI 1.78-4.72 for group 3 compared to group 1). Combining prior functional status and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score with SAPS 3 further improved the ability of the SAPS 3 scores in predicting hospital mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.85 [95% CI 0.82-0.88] versus 0.84 [95% CI 0.81-0.87] respectively). In summary, patients with limited functional status prior to ICU admission had a higher risk of observed hospital mortality than predicted. Assessing prior functional status using a relatively simple questionnaire, such as a modified GOS, has the potential to improve the accuracy of existing prognostic models.

External validation of the Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) 3 in Spain.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate SAPS 3 performance in Spain, assessing discrimination and calibration in a multicenter study. DESIGN: A prospective, multicenter study was carried out. PATIENTS AND SETTING: A prospective cohort study was performed in Spanish hospitals between 2006 and 2011. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: A total of 2171 patients were included in the study. The mean age was 61.4±16.09 years, the ICU mortality was 11.6%, and hospital mortality 16.03%. The SAPS 3 score was 46.29±14.34 points, with a probability of death for our geographical area of 18.57%, and 17.97% for the general equation. The differences between observed-to-predicted mortality were analyzed with the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, which yielded H=31.71 (p<0.05) for our geographical area and H=20.05 (p<0.05) for the general equation. SAPS 3 discrimination with regard to hospital mortality, tested using the area under the ROC curve, was 0.845 (0.821-0.869). CONCLUSION: Our study shows good discrimination of the SAPS 3 system in Spain, but also inadequate calibration, with differences between predicted and observed mortality. There are more similarities with regard to the general equation than with respect to our geographical area equation, and in both cases the SAPS 3 system overestimates mortality. According to our results, Spanish ICU mortality is lower than in other hospitals included in the multicenter study that developed the SAPS 3 system, in patients with similar characteristics and severity of illness.