The effectiveness of shock indices on prognosis in burn patients admitted to the emergency department.

BACKGROUND: Shock index (SI) is the ratio of heart rate (HR) to systolic blood pressure (SBP); modified SI (MSI) is the ratio of HR to mean arterial pressure; age SI (ASI) is age multiplied by SI; reverse SI (rSI) is the ratio of SBP to HR; and rSIG is rSI multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale Score (rSIG). Studies have proven that shock indices are good tools in predicting mortality. This study aimed to evaluate the sensitivity of the shock indices SI, MSI, ASI, rSI, and rSIG in predicting mortality in burn patients. METHODS: This is a retrospective cross-sectional study. The vital signs of the patients were recorded and their shock indices were calculated at the time of emergency department admission. The effectiveness of the shock indices SI, MSI, ASI, rSI, and rSIG in predict-ing mortality was compared in the burn patients included in the study RESULTS: A total of 913 patients were enrolled. rSIG and MSI were the shock indices with the highest area under the curve (AUC) values in predicting mortality in the burn patients. The AUC values of rSIG and MSI were 0.829 (95% CI: 0.739-0.919, P<0.001) and 0.740 (95% CI: 0.643-0.838, P<0.001), respectively. CONCLUSION: Vital signs are easily recorded and shock indices are easily calculated at the time of admission of burn patients to the emergency department; they also effectively predict mortality. rSIG and MSI are the best mortality predictors among the shock indices examined in this study.

Vital indicators in predicting burn mortality: A comparison of shock indices and burn shock indices.

Background/aim: In many studies, shock indices have proven to be good tools for predicting mortality. In the present study, burn shock index (BSI), percentage of total body surface area burned (TBSA%) multiplied by shock index; burn modified shock index (BMSI), TBSA% multiplied by modified shock index; burn age shock index (BASI), TBSA% multiplied by age shock index; burn rivers shock index (BrSI), TBSA% multiplied by rivers shock index; burn rivers shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale score (BrSIG) were examined in burn patients. We defined these burn shock indices for the first time. This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of shock indices and burn shock indices in predicting mortality in burn patients. Materials and methods: This study examines retrospectively of burn patients admitted to the emergency department of Dicle University Hospital between January 2010 and December 2022. The patients' vital signs were obtained at the time of presentation to the emergency department, and shock indices were calculated. The effectiveness of shock indices in predicting mortality was compared. Results: A total of 2445 patients were included in the study. Of the patients, 1793 were pediatric, and 652 were adults. BSI (AUC: 0.872, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.812-0.931, p < 0.001) had the highest area under the curve (AUC) value in predicting mortality in children. The optimal cut-off value for BSI in children was 21.79 and its was sensitivity 83.05%, specificity 79.64%, positive predictive value (PPV) 12.19%, negative predictive value (NPV) 99.28%. In adults, BASI had the highest value of AUC (AUC: 0.936, 95% CI: 0.887-0.984, p < 0.001). The optimal cut-off value for BASI in adults was 62.5 and its sensitivity was 86.49%, specificity was 91.71%, PPV was 38.55%, and NPV was 99.12%. Conclusion: Shock indices are easy to calculate and effective in predicting mortality in burn patients admitted to the emergency department. Among the shock indices in the study, BSI was the best in predicting mortality in children, and BASI was the best in adults.