Evaluating dynamic patterns in mortality before and after reconfiguration of the Danish emergency healthcare system.

BACKGROUND: This study explored changes in short-term mortality during a national reconfiguration of emergency care starting in 2007. METHODS: Unplanned hospital contacts at emergency departments across Denmark from 2007 to 2016. The reconfiguration was a natural experiment, resulting in individual timelines for each hospital. The outcome was in-hospital and 30-day mortality. RESULTS: Individual patient-level data included 9,745,603 unplanned hospital contacts from 2007 to 2016 at 20 hospitals with emergency departments. We observed a sharp downwards shift in in-hospital mortality and 30-day mortality in three hospitals in relation to the reconfiguration. CONCLUSION: This nationwide study identified three hospitals where the reconfiguration was closely associated with reduced in-hospital and 30-day mortality. In contrast, no major effects were identified for the remaining hospitals.

Ten-year follow-up of fracture risk in a systematic population-based screening program: the risk-stratified osteoporosis strategy evaluation (ROSE) randomised trial.

Background: Osteoporotic fractures pose a growing public health concern. Osteoporosis is underdiagnosed and undertreated, highlighting the necessity of systematic screening programs. We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of a two-step population-based osteoporotic screening program. Methods: This ten-year follow-up of the Risk-stratified Osteoporosis Strategy Evaluation (ROSE) randomized trial tested the effectiveness of a screening program utilizing the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) for major osteoporotic fractures (MOF) to select women for dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scan following standard osteoporosis treatment. Women residing in the Region of Southern Denmark, aged 65-80, were randomised (single masked) into a screening or a control group by a computer program prior to inclusion and subsequently approached with a mailed questionnaire. Based on the questionnaire data, women in the screening group with a FRAX value ≥15% were invited for DXA scanning. The primary outcome was MOF derived from nationwide registers. ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01388244, status: Completed. Findings: All randomised women were included February 4, 2010-January 8, 2011, the same day as approached to participate. During follow-up, 7355 MOFs were observed. No differences in incidences of MOF were identified, comparing the 17,072 women in the screening group with the 17,157 controls in the intention-to-treat analysis (IRR 1.01, 0.95; 1.06). However, per-protocol, women DXA-scanned exhibited a 14% lower incidence of MOF (IRR 0.86, 0.78; 0.94) than controls with a FRAX value ≥15%. Similar trends were observed for hip fractures, all fractures, and mortality. Interpretation: While the ROSE program had no overall effect on osteoporotic fracture incidence or mortality it showed a preventive effect for women at moderate to high risk who underwent DXA scans. Hence the overall effect might have been diluted by those who were not at an intervention level threshold risk or those who did not show up for DXA. Using self-administered questionnaires as screening tools may be inefficient for systematic screening due to the low and differential screening uptake. Funding: INTERREG and the Region of Southern Denmark.

Tackling social inequalities in health: Assessing contexts for implementing integrated health access for people with severe mental illness.

Social inequalities in health are a complex problem that often emerge at the interfaces between different sectors, such as health and social care, and the corresponding transitions between different provider organisations. Vulnerable people are typically in greater need of accessing different sectors of the health system and therefore often experience lack of coherence in their treatment pathway. We aimed to examine the contexts of health systems that influence initiatives concerned with integrated health access. We used the theory of Organizational Fields to study the contexts for implementing Flexible Assertive Community Treatment (FACT) in Central Denmark Region and three municipalities in the region. We collected 33 documents and conducted six qualitative interviews with professionals involved in FACT to understand the contexts of implementing integrated health access. We found that contexts for implementing FACT are highly complex, as they are divided between health and social care (horizontal complexity) and between national and the sub-national levels of the region and the municipalities (vertical complexity). This leads to conflicting demands on implementation. Local contexts of collaboration may offer a lever to handle these demands, but these are likely to vary. Analysis of how complex health system contexts influence implementation is important to understand how changes might become sustainable and help to tackle social inequalities in health.

Utilisation and time to performance of diagnostic imaging in patients admitted to Danish emergency departments: a nationwide register-based study from 2007 to 2017.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the development of diagnostic imaging utilisation in Denmark from 2007 to 2017, coinciding with a major national reform of the emergency healthcare system. DESIGN: Nationwide descriptive register-based study. SETTING: All public hospitals in Denmark. PARTICIPANTS: All unplanned hospital contacts ≥18 years old at somatic hospitals in Denmark from 1 January 2007 to 31 December 2017. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome measure was the probability of having CT, X-ray, MRI or ultrasound performed during hospitalisation in 2017 compared with 2007. The secondary outcome measure was receiving diagnostic imaging within 4 hours of hospitalisation. RESULTS: The probability of having a radiological examination during unplanned hospital admission increased from 2007 to 2017 (CT: 3.5%-10.3%; MRI: 0.2%-0.8%; ultrasound: 2.3%-4.5%; X-ray: 23.8%-26.8%). For CT scan, the adjusted OR was 3.09 (95% CI: 2.73, 3.51); for MRI, the adjusted OR was 3.39 (95% CI: 1.87, 6.12) and for ultrasound, the adjusted OR was 1.93 (95% CI: 1.56, 2.38). The likelihood of having the examination within the first 4 hours in the hospital increased from 2007 to 2017. For X-ray, the adjusted OR was 1.39 (95% CI: 1.07, 1.56); for CT scan, the adjusted OR was 1.35 (95% CI: 1.16, 1.59); for MRI, the adjusted OR was 1.34 (95% CI: 1.09, 1.66) and for ultrasound, the adjusted OR was 1.38 (95% CI: 1.16, 1.64). CONCLUSION: This nationwide study describes the development of diagnostic imaging utilisation in Denmark from 2007 to 2017. The probability of receiving radiological examinations during unplanned hospitalisation increased over this period, and the time from hospital contact to performance decreased. This supports the notion that enhancement in radiological equipment will also lead to more frequent and faster utilisation.

Structured decision support to prevent hospitalisations of community-dwelling older adults in Denmark (PATINA): an open-label, stepped-wedge, cluster-randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Ageing populations and health-care staff shortages encourage efforts in primary care to recognise and prevent health deterioration and acute hospitalisation in community-dwelling older adults. The PATINA algorithm and decision-support tool alerts home-based-care nurses to older adults at risk of hospitalisation. The study aim was to test whether use of the PATINA tool was associated with changes in health-care use. METHODS: An open-label, stepped-wedge, cluster-randomised controlled trial was done in three Danish municipalities, covering 20 area teams providing home-based care to around 7000 recipients. During a period of 12 months, area teams were randomly assigned to an intervention crossover for older adults (aged 65 years or older) who received care at home. The primary outcome was hospitalisation within 30 days of identification by the algorithm as being at risk of hospitalisation. Secondary outcomes were hospital readmission and other hospital contacts, outpatient contacts, contact with primary care physicians (PCPs), temporary care, and death, within 30 days of identification. This study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NTC04398797). FINDINGS: In total, 2464 older adults participated in the study: 1216 (49·4%) in the control phase and 1248 (50·6%) in the intervention phase. In the control phase, 102 individuals were hospitalised within 30 days during 33 943 days of risk (incidence 0·09 per 30 days), compared with 118 individuals within 34 843 days of risk (0·10 per 30 days) during the intervention phase. The intervention was not associated with a reduction in the number of first hospitalisations within 30 days (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1·10 [90% CI 0·90-1·40]; p=0·28). Furthermore it was not associated with reduced rates of other hospital contacts (IRR 1·10 [95% CI 0·90-1·40]; p=0·28), outpatient contacts (1·10 [0·88-1·40]; p=0·42), or mortality (0·82 [0·58-1·20]; p=0·25). The intervention was associated with a 59% reduction in readmissions within 30 days of hospital discharge (IRR 0·41 [95% CI 0·24-0·68]; p=0·0007), a 140% increase in contacts with PCPs (2·40 [1·18-3·20]; p<0·0001), and a 150% increase in use of temporary care (2·50 [1·40-4·70]; p=0·0027). INTERPRETATION: Despite having no effect on the primary outcome, the PATINA tool showed other benefits for older adults receiving home-based care. Such algorithms have the potential to shift health-care use from secondary to primary care but need to be tested in other home-based care settings. Implementation of algorithms in clinical practice should be informed by analysis of cost-effectiveness and potential harms as well as the benefits. FUNDING: Innovation Fund Denmark and Region of Southern Denmark. TRANSLATIONS: For the Danish, French and German translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Centralization of emergency hospital care is not associated with increased in-hospital mortality; a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: We describe changes in the distance travelled, the utilization of emergency services, and the inhospital mortality before and after the centralization of hospital emergency services in Denmark. METHODS: All unplanned non-psychiatric hospital contacts from adults (aged ≥18 years) in 2008 and 2016 are included. Analyses are age-standardized and conducted at a municipality level. The municipalities are divided into groups according to the presence of emergency hospital services. RESULTS: Municipalities where hospitals with emergency services have been closed differed by having the most significant increase in distance travelled from 2008 to 2016. All groups experienced a reduction in overall in-hospital mortality. The reduction in mortality was not present for acute myocardial infarct contacts from municipalities where hospitals with emergency services have been closed. CONCLUSION: Our data do not suggest that hospital closures, and thereby increased travel distance, have contributed significantly as a barrier to emergency-care access and changes to in-hospital mortality.

Conceptual framework for acute community health care services - Illustrated by assessing the development of services in Denmark.

Acute community health care services can support continuity of care by acting as a bridge between the primary and secondary health care sectors in the early detection of acute disease and provision of treatment and care. Although acute community health care services are a political priority in many countries, the literature on their organization and effect is limited. We present a conceptual framework for describing acute community health care services that can be used to support the policies and guidelines for such services. For illustrative purposes, we apply the framework to the Danish acute community health care services using implementation data from 2020 and identify gaps and opportunities for learning. The framework identifies two key pairs of dimensions: (1) capacity & capability, and (2) coordination & collaboration. These dimensions, together with the governance structure and quality assurance initiatives, are of key importance to the effect of acute community health care services. While all Danish municipalities have implemented acute community health care services, application of the framework indicates considerable variation in their approaches. The conceptual framework provides a systematic approach supporting the development, implementation, evaluation, and monitoring of acute community health care services and can assist policymakers at both national and local levels in this work.

Mortality before and after reconfiguration of the Danish hospital-based emergency healthcare system: a nationwide interrupted time series analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The study aimed to investigate how the 'natural experiment' of reconfiguring the emergency healthcare system in Denmark affected in-hospital and 30-day mortality on a national level. The reconfiguration included the centralisation of hospitals and the establishment of emergency departments with specialists present around the clock. DESIGN: Hospital-based cohort study. SETTING: All public hospitals in Denmark. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with an unplanned contact from 1 January 2007 until 31 December 2016. INTERVENTIONS: Stepped-wedge reconfiguration of the Danish emergency healthcare system. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: We determined the adjusted ORs for in-hospital mortality and HRs for 30-day mortality using logistic and Cox regression analysis adjusted for sex, age, Charlson Comorbidity Index, income, education, mandatory referral and the changes in the out of hours system in the Capital Region. The main outcomes were stratified by the time of arrival. We performed subgroup analyses on selected diagnoses: myocardial infarction, stroke, pneumonia, aortic aneurysm, bowel perforation, hip fracture and major trauma. RESULTS: We included 11 367 655 unplanned hospital contacts. The adjusted OR for overall in-hospital mortality after reconfiguration of the emergency healthcare system was 0.998 (95% CI 0.968 to 1.010; p=0.285), and the adjusted OR for 30-day mortality was 1.004 (95% CI 1.000 to 1.008; p=0.045)). Subgroup analyses showed some possible benefits of the reconfiguration such as a reduction in-hospital and 30-day mortality for myocardial infarction, stroke, aortic aneurysm and major trauma. CONCLUSIONS: The Danish emergency care reconfiguration programme was not associated with an improvement in overall in-hospital mortality trends and was associated with a slight slowing of prior improvements in 30-day mortality trends.

Readmission trends before and after a national reconfiguration of emergency departments in Denmark.

OBJECTIVE: In order to achieve better and more efficient emergency health care, the Danish public hospital system has been reconfigured, with hospital emergency care being centralised into extensive and specialised emergency departments. This article examines how this reconfiguration has affected patient readmission rates. METHODS: We included all unplanned hospital admissions (aged ≥18 years) at public, non-psychiatric hospitals in four geographical regions in Denmark between 1 January 2007 and 24 December 2017. Using an interrupted time-series design, we examined trend changes in the readmission rates. In addition to analysing the overall effect, analyses stratified according to admission time of day and weekdays/weekends were conducted. The analyses were adjusted for patient characteristics and other system changes. RESULTS: The seven-day readmission rate increased from 2.6% in 2007 to 3.8% in 2017, and the 30-day rate increased from 8.1% to 11.5%. However, the rates were less than what they would have been had the reconfiguration not been introduced. The reconfiguration reduced the seven-day readmission rate by 1.4% annually (hazard ratio [CI 95%] 0.986 [0.981-0.991]) and the 30-day rate by 1% annually (hazard ratio [CI 95%] 0.99 [0.987-0.993]). CONCLUSIONS: Reconfiguration reduced the rate of increase in readmissions, but nevertheless readmissions still increased across the study period. It seems hospitals and policymakers will need to identify further ways to reduce patient loads.

Nationwide study on trends in unplanned hospital attendance and deaths during the 7 weeks after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in Denmark.

BACKGROUND: The impact of a pandemic on unplanned hospital attendance has not been extensively examined. The aim of this study is to report the nationwide consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic on unplanned hospital attendances in Denmark for 7 weeks after a 'shelter at home' order was issued. METHODS: We merged data from national registries (Civil Registration System and Patient Registry) to conduct a study of unplanned (excluding outpatient visits and elective surgery) hospital-based healthcare and mortality of all Danes. Using data for 7 weeks after the 'shelter at home' order, the incidence rate of unplanned hospital attendances per week in 2020 was compared with corresponding weeks in 2017-2019. The main outcome was hospital attendances per week as incidence rate ratios. Secondary outcomes were general population mortality and risk of death in-hospital, reported as weekly mortality rate ratios (MRRs). RESULTS: From 2 438 286 attendances in the study period, overall unplanned attendances decreased by up to 21%; attendances excluding COVID-19 were reduced by 31%; non-psychiatric by 31% and psychiatric by 30%. Out of the five most common diagnoses expected to remain stable, only schizophrenia and myocardial infarction remained stable, while chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbation, hip fracture and urinary tract infection fell significantly. The nationwide general population MRR rose in six of the recorded weeks, while MRR excluding patients who were COVID-19 positive only increased in two. CONCLUSION: The COVID-19 pandemic and a governmental national 'shelter at home' order was associated with a marked reduction in unplanned hospital attendances with an increase in MRR for the general population in two of 7 weeks, despite exclusion of patients with COVID-19. The findings should be taken into consideration when planning for public information campaigns.

Conditions for successful interprofessional collaboration in integrated care - Lessons from a primary care setting in Denmark.

INTRODUCTION: Increasing demand for interprofessional collaboration in health care settings has led to a greater focus on how conditions influence the success of interprofessional collaboration, but little is known about the magnitude of the interactions between different conditions. This paper aims to examine the relationships of intervention conditions and context conditions at the professional and organisational level and examine how they influence the staff's perceived success of the interprofessional collaboration. METHODS: The study was conducted as a multilevel cross-sectional survey in March of 2019 in the second largest municipality in Denmark, Aarhus. The study population was all frontline-staff members and managers in nursing homes, home care units and health care units. The final sample consisted of 498 staff members and 27 managers. Confirmatory path analysis was used to analyse the data. RESULTS: The results indicate that context conditions greatly influence intervention conditions at the professional and organisational level and that the professional and organisational levels moderately co-variate. Professional level context conditions have the biggest influence on staff's perceived success, partly because its influence is confounded by intervention conditions. CONCLUSION: Practice and research in health care settings should re-focus their attention from a broad understanding of context as unchangeable and inconsequential, to understanding context as an important condition type for interprofessional collaboration that needs to be further understood and researched.

Prevention of AcuTe admIssioN algorithm (PATINA): study protocol of a stepped wedge randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: The challenges imposed by ageing populations will confront health care systems in the years to come. Hospital owners are concerned about the increasing number of acute admissions of older citizens and preventive measures such as integrated care models have been introduced in primary care. Yet, acute admission can be appropriate and lifesaving, but may also in itself lead to adverse health outcome, such as patient anxiety, functional loss and hospital-acquired infections. Timely identification of older citizens at increased risk of acute admission is therefore needed. We present the protocol for the PATINA study, which aims at assessing the effect of the 'PATINA algorithm and decision support tool', designed to alert community nurses of older citizens showing subtle signs of declining health and at increased risk of acute admission. This paper describes the methods, design and intervention of the study. METHODS: We use a stepped-wedge cluster randomized controlled trial (SW-RCT). The PATINA algorithm and decision support tool will be implemented in 20 individual area home care teams across three Danish municipalities (Kerteminde, Odense and Svendborg). The study population includes all home care receiving community-dwelling citizens aged 65 years and above (around 6500 citizens). An algorithm based on home care use triggers an alert based on relative increase in home care use. Community nurses will use the decision support tool to systematically assess health related changes for citizens with increased risk of acute hospital admission. The primary outcome is acute admission. Secondary outcomes are readmissions, preventable admissions, death, and costs of health care utilization. Barriers and facilitators for community nurse's acceptance and use of the algorithm will be explored too. DISCUSSION: This 'PATINA algorithm and decision support tool' is expected to positively influence the care for older community-dwelling citizens, by improving nurses' awareness of citizens at increased risk, and by supporting their clinical decision-making. This may increase preventive measures in primary care and reduce use of secondary health care. Further, the study will increase our knowledge of barriers and facilitators to implementing algorithms and decision support in a community care setup. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov , identifier: NCT04398797 . Registered 13 May 2020.

Intended and unintended changes in length of stay following reconfiguration of emergency care departments.

BACKGROUND: The Danish health-care system has witnessed noticeable changes in the acute hospital care organization. The reconfiguration includes closing hospitals, centralizing acute care functions and investing in new buildings and equipment. OBJECTIVE: To examine the impact on the length of stay (LOS) and the proportion of overnight stays for hospitalized acute care patients. METHODS: This nationwide interrupted time series examined trend changes in LOS and overnight stay. Admissions were stratified based on admission time (weekdays/weekends and time of day), age and the level of co-morbidity. RESULTS: In 2007-2016, the global average LOS declined 2.9% per year (adjusted time ratio [CI (confidence interval) 95%] 0.971 [0.970-0.971]). The reconfiguration was overall not associated with change in trend of LOS (time ratio [CI 95%] 1.001 [1.000-1.002]). When admissions were stratified for either weekdays or weekends, the reconfiguration was associated with reduction of the underlying downward trend for weekdays (time ratio [CI 95%] 1.004 [1.003-1.005]) and increased downward trend for weekend admissions (time ratio [CI 95%] 0.996 [0.094-0.098]). Admissions at night were associated with a 0.7% trend change in LOS (time ratio [CI 95%] 0.993 [0.991-0.996]). The reconfiguration was not associated with trend changes for overnight stays. CONCLUSION: The nationwide reconfiguration of acute hospital care was overall not associated with change in trend for the registered LOS and no change in trend for overnight stays. However, the results varied according to hospitalization time, where admissions during weekends and nights after the reconfiguration were associated with shortened LOS.

Increasing emergency hospital activity in Denmark, 2005-2016: a nationwide descriptive study.

OBJECTIVES: To describe changes in unplanned acute activity and to identify and characterise unplanned contacts in hospitals in Denmark from 2005 to 2016, including following healthcare reform. DESIGN: Descriptive study. SETTING: Data from Danish nationwide registers. POPULATION: Adults (≥18 years). PARTICIPANTS: All adults with an unplanned acute hospital contacts (acute inpatient admissions and emergency care visits) in Denmark from 2005 to 2016. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Outcomes were annual number of contacts, length of stay, number of contacts per 1000 citizen per year, age-adjusted contacts per 1000 citizens per year, sex, age groups, country of origin, Charlson Comorbidity Index score, discharge diagnosis and time of arrival. RESULTS: We included a total of 13 524 680 contacts. The annual number of acute hospital contacts increased from 1 067 390 in 2005 to 1 221 601 in 2016. The number also increased with adjustment for age per 1000 citizens. In addition, regional differences were observed. CONCLUSIONS: Unplanned acute activity changed from 2005 to 2016. The national number of contacts increased, primarily because of changes in one of the five regions.

Emergency and urgent care systems in Australia, Denmark, England, France, Germany and the Netherlands - Analyzing organization, payment and reforms.

INTRODUCTION: Increasing numbers of hospital emergency department (ED) visits pose a challenge to health systems in many countries. This paper aims to examine emergency and urgent care systems, in six countries and to identify reform trends in response to current challenges. METHODS: Based on a literature review, six countries - Australia, Denmark, England, France, Germany and the Netherlands - were selected for analysis. Information was collected using a standardized questionnaire that was completed by national experts. These experts reviewed relevant policy documents and provided information on (1) the organization and planning of emergency and urgent care, (2) payment systems for EDs and urgent primary care providers, and (3) reform initiatives. RESULTS: In the six countries four main reform approaches could be identified: (a) extending the availability of urgent primary care, (b) concentrating and centralizing the provision of urgent primary care, (c) improving coordination between urgent primary care and emergency care, and (d) concentrating emergency care provision at fewer institutions. The design of payment systems for urgent primary care and for emergency care is often aligned to support these reforms. CONCLUSION: Better guidance of patients and a reconfiguration of emergency and urgent care are the most important measures taken to address the current challenges. Nationwide planning of all emergency care providers, closely coordinated reforms and informing patients can support future reforms.

Risk aversion and religious behaviour: Analysis using a sample of Danish twins.

Economics offers an analytical framework to consider human behaviour including religious behaviour. Within the realm of Expected Utility Theory, religious belief and activity could be interpreted as an insurance both for current life events and for afterlife rewards. Based on that framework, we would expect that risk averse individuals would demand a more generous protection plan which they may do by devoting more effort and resources into religious activities such as church attendance and prayer, which seems to be in accordance with previous empirical results. However, a general concern regards the problems of spurious correlations due to underlying omitted or unobservable characteristics shaping both religious activities and risk attitudes. This paper examines empirically the demand for religion by analysing the association between risk attitudes on the one hand, and church attandance and prayer frequency on the other controlling for unobservable variables using survey data of Danish same-sex twin pairs. We verify the correlation between risk preferences and religion found previously by carrying out cross-sectional analyses. We also show that the association between risk attitudes and religious behaviour is driven by the subgroup of individuals who believe in an afterlife. In addition, when re-analysing our results using panel data analyses which cancel out shared factors among twin pairs, we find that the correlation found between risk aversion and religious behaviour is no longer significant indicating that other factors might explain differences in religious behaviour. Caution is needed in the interpretation of our results as the insignificant association between risk aversion and religious behaviour in the panel data analyses potentially might be due to measurement error causing attenuation bias or lack of variation within twin pairs rather than the actual absence of an association.

The effectiveness of telephone counselling and internet- and text-message-based support for smoking cessation: results from a randomized controlled trial.

AIM: To compare the effectiveness of proactive telephone counselling, reactive telephone counselling and an internet- and text-message-based intervention with a self-help booklet for smoking cessation. DESIGN: A randomized controlled trial with equal allocation to four conditions: (1) proactive telephone counselling (n = 452), (2) reactive telephone counselling (n = 453), (3) internet- and text-message-based intervention (n = 453) and (4) self-help booklet (control) (n = 452). SETTING: Denmark. PARTICIPANTS: Smokers who had participated previously in two national health surveys were invited. Eligibility criteria were daily cigarette smoking, age ≥ 16 years, having a mobile phone and e-mail address. MEASUREMENTS: Primary outcome was prolonged abstinence to 12 months from the end of the intervention period. FINDINGS: At 12-month follow-up, higher prolonged abstinence was found in the proactive telephone counselling group compared with the booklet group [7.3 versus 3.6%, odds ratio (OR) = 2.2, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.2-4.0]. There was no clear evidence of a difference in prolonged abstinence between the reactive telephone counselling group or the internet-based smoking cessation program and the booklet group: 1.8 versus 3.6%, OR = 0.8, 95% CI = 0.6-1.2 and 5.3 versus 3.6%, OR = 1.6, 95% CI = 0.8-3.0, respectively. In the proactive telephone counselling group, the cost per additional 12-month quitter compared with the booklet group was £644. CONCLUSIONS: Proactive telephone counselling was more effective than a self-help booklet in achieving prolonged abstinence for 12 months. No clear evidence of an effect of reactive telephone counselling or the internet- and text-message-based intervention was found compared with the self-help booklet.

Who to pay for performance? The choice of organisational level for hospital performance incentives.

Financial incentives for quality improvement in hospital care [known as pay for performance (P4P)] can be directed to either the hospital level or redistributed to the department level. Theoretically, performance payments distributed to lower organisational levels are more effective in increasing performance than payments directed to the hospital level, but the empirical evidence for this expectation is scarce. This paper compares the performance of hospital departments at hospitals that do and do not redistribute performance payments to the department level. We study a Danish P4P scheme to provide patients with case managers. Applying difference in differences analysis, we estimate a 5 percentage points higher performance at hospital departments that are subject to a direct financial incentive. Our results suggest that payers can improve the effectiveness of P4P payments by distributing payments to the department level rather than the hospital level.

Point-of-Care Phalangeal Bone Mineral Density Measurement Can Reduce the Need of Dual-Energy X-Ray Absorptiometry Scanning in Danish Women at Risk of Fracture.

Identifying persons with a high risk of osteoporotic fractures remains a challenge. DXA uptake in women with elevated risk of osteoporosis seems to be depending on distance to scanning facilities. This study aimed to investigate the ability of a small portable scanner in identifying women with reduced bone mineral density (BMD), and to define triage thresholds for pre-selection. Total hip and lumbar spine BMD was measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry and phalangeal BMD by radiographic absorptiometry in 121 Danish women with intermediate or high 10-year fracture probability (aged 61-81 years). Correlation between the two methods was estimated using correlation coefficient (r) and Bland-Altman plots. A moderate correlation between phalangeal BMD versus total hip (r = 0.47) and lumbar spine (r = 0.51), and an AUC on 0.80 was found. The mean difference between phalangeal T score and total hip T score/lumbar spine T score was low, and ranged from -0.26 SD to -0.31 SD depending on site and reference database used for calculation of T scores, but, large variation was seen at an individual level. When applying a triage approach approx. one-third of all DXA scan could be avoided and only 6 % of women in the low-risk group would be false negatives.