ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Many studies have identified factors associated with an unfavourable clinical outcome or an early conversion to total hip arthroplasty (THA) after joint-preserving treatment. We analysed the effect and reliability of different factors on the age at which THA becomes necessary. METHODS: Hip joint radiographs of 2485 cases were evaluated using the lateral centre-edge angle (LCEA) and acetabulum angle (ACA) as well as the alpha angle to describe the femoral head shapes. Regressions were performed using patient's age at the time of THA and body mass index (BMI) as well as LCEA and ACA. Multiple linear regressions were used to create a formula comprising factors that significantly correlated with patient age at the time of joint replacement surgery. RESULTS: The BMI, LCEA, and ACA showed significant correlations with the age of THA implantation (p < 0.001). Multiple linear regressions produced the following formula: age (THA) = 72.40-0.40 × BMI + 0.20 × LCEA-0.18 × ACA. BMI showed a stronger impact on the age of end-stage osteoarthritis than the ACA. The formula explained 12.1% of the distributing data (r2). Surprisingly, the alpha angle did not show an impact on the age of THA surgery. CONCLUSIONS: BMI had the greatest impact on patient's age at the time of THA, followed by the characteristic radiological angles for hip dysplasia. The resulting formula could emphasise and visualise the significant impact of these factors. However, despite the calculation being based on 2485 cases, the calculated validity of 12.1% was limited.