Pediatric head and neck trauma in the United States: Trends, risk factors and outcomes using the National Trauma Data Bank.

Introduction: Pediatric head and neck (HN) trauma is an important contributor to pediatric morbidity, resulting in significant downstream consequences. Few studies provide epidemiological predictors of pediatric HN trauma on a national scale. The present study aims to identify risk factors of HN injury and mortality in the pediatric population. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted for patients (age <18 years) using the US National Trauma Data Bank (NTDB 2007-2019). Demographic, injury, and physiologic outcome data were analyzed. HN injury was defined as a head or neck Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) >0. Logistic regression identified independent predictors of mortality following HN trauma. Results: Of the 1.42 million pediatric patients analyzed, 44.05% had HN injury. In patients aged 0-4, the most common mechanism was falls (47.67% in this age group) while in ages 14-17, motor vehicle/transport accidents (MVTs) were the most common mechanism (56.06%). Controlling for demographics, comorbidities, and injury severity, HN injury was associated with increased odds of mortality (OR 2.404, 95% CI 1.530-3.778). HN injury mortality was strongly predicted by firearm exposure (OR 11.28, 95% CI 6.074-20.95), age <4 (OR 1.179, 95% CI 1.071-1.299), and self-insured status (OR 1.977, 95% CI 1.811-2.157). Conclusion: NTDB data demonstrate that the percentage of pediatric patients with HN trauma has decreased over the past 12 years although is associated with increased odds of mortality. Age and insurance status predicted mortality from HN trauma, with falls and MVTs being the most common mechanisms of injury. These data have implications for future public health efforts in this patient population. Level of Evidence: 3.

Does preoperative symptom duration affect outcomes following per oral endoscopic myotomy (POEM)?

BACKGROUND: Per oral endoscopic myotomy (POEM) is a safe therapy for the treatment of achalasia. Long-term effects of untreated achalasia include worsening dysmotility and disruptions in esophageal anatomy, i.e., tortuosity and dilation. We hypothesize that long-standing achalasia prior to intervention will have worse outcomes following POEM than in patients with symptoms for shorter duration. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed achalasia patients who underwent POEM at our institution from 2011 to 2023, categorizing them into symptom duration cohorts (< 1 year, 1-3 years, 4-10 years, > 10 years). Inclusion criteria comprised patients with documented achalasia diagnosis who received POEM treatment at our facility. Exclusion criteria encompassed individuals lacking data pertaining to achalasia diagnosis, the time frame before intervention, or those missing pre and postoperative Eckardt scores. POEM failure was defined as symptom recurrence, necessity for repeat intervention, or high postoperative Eckardt score. We compared demographic, preoperative, and postoperative outcomes across these cohorts, and employed multivariable logistic regression to explore the link between symptom duration and POEM response. RESULTS: During the study period, in our increased cohort 234 patients met inclusion criteria. 75 patients had symptoms for < 1 year, 78 patients had symptoms from 1 to 3 years, 47 patients had symptoms from 4 to 10 years, and 34 patients had symptoms > 10 years. Patient demographics such as age, sex, BMI, Charleson-Deyo-Comorbidity-Index, and diabetes did not differ amongst cohorts. High-resolution manometry data, including achalasia type, Median IRP, LES residual pressure, and Basal LES pressure did not differ between groups. Preoperative Eckardt scores ranged from 4 to 5 across groups (p 0.24). Patients endorsed an average of three total preoperative symptoms across groups (p 0.13). Patients with symptoms greater than 4 years had significantly more endoscopic interventions prior to POEM (37% vs, 68% p .001). There was no significant difference in post-procedure mean Eckardt scores between cohorts. All cohorts experienced the same number of post-POEM symptoms. Post-POEM manometric measurements remained consistent across cohorts. Similarly, there were no significant differences in terms of symptom recurrence, requirement for repeat interventions, or repeat POEM among the cohorts. Multivariable logistic regression analysis determined achalasia symptoms greater than a decade did not result in increased odds of having a higher postoperative Eckardt score, worse dysphagia, regurgitation, or weight loss. CONCLUSIONS: In this increased cohort, this data once again suggests that longer symptom duration is not associated with increased rates of POEM failure.

Evaluation of postoperative esophagram following peroral endoscopic myotomy (POEM).

INTRODUCTION: The routine use of post-operative esophogram has come under evaluation for multiple upper GI surgeries such as with bariatric surgery and gastric resections. A major complication following Per Oral Endoscopic Myotomy (POEM) is a leak from the myotomy site. A post-operative contrast esophogram is often utilized to evaluate the presence of a leak, however it is not a standardized care practice for all patients. Presently it is selectively performed depending on physician assessment intra-operatively. This project will evaluate the necessity of post-operative contrast esophogram following POEM. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 277 patients diagnosed with achalasia who underwent POEM by two surgeons from 2011 to 2022. 173 patients met the inclusion criteria. A post-operative esophogram was used for the evaluation of a leak. Post-operative esophagram were selectively performed on day 1 following surgery using a water-soluble material. Data was evaluated using Stata. RESULTS: There were 3 detected leaks in the group that underwent esophagrams compared to the non-esophagram group in the early post-operative period. The overall complication rate was 5.5% in the non-esophagram versus 7.9% in the esophagram group. Length of stay was 1.48 days in the non-UGI vs 1.76 days in the esophagram group. Readmission rate was 10.9% in non-esophagram versus 8.7% in esophagram group. CONCLUSION: There was no statistically significant difference in outcomes in patients undergoing POEM who received post-operative esophagram verses patients who did not receive post-operative esophagram. The routine use of a contrast esophogram to detect a leak following POEM may not be justified. This study suggests that esophagrams should be performed depending on the clinical signs/symptoms post-operatively that would warrant imaging and intervention.

At-risk patient documentation and naloxone dispersal for a rural statewide EMS "Naloxone Leave Behind" program.

Objectives: For successful Naloxone Leave Behind (NLB) programs, Emergency Medical Services (EMS) must identify patients at-risk for opioid overdose. We describe the first year of Vermont's NLB program and report rates of EMS documentation of at-risk patients with subsequent distribution of NLB kits in the subgroup of those refusing transport to an emergency department (ED). Methods: This retrospective cohort review of all EMS encounters over 1 year compared on-scene EMS documented to retrospective chart reviewidentified at-risk patients eligible for NLB kit dispersal. EMS was educated to identify at-risk patients through statewide mandatory training modules. At-risk patients were identified by electronic chart review using the same training criteria. As per protocol, patients identified as at-risk by EMS who refuse ED transport are eligible for NLB. NLB-appropriate patients by retrospective chart review without NLB protocol use documentation by EMS were considered "missed." Results: Of 110,701 EMS encounters, 2507 (2.4%) were at-risk by chart review. Among these, 793 refused transport to an ED. In this chart-review at-risk non-transported group, EMS documented 407 (51.3%) patients as at-risk by documenting use of the NLB protocol. Of these 407, EMS provided 141 (34.6%) with NLB kits. Fifteen (3.7%) patients refused kits. There were 386 (48.7%) potentially "missed" opportunities for NLB dispersal. Conclusion: EMS documented 51.3% of patients eligible for NLB dispersal, with 34.6% receiving kits. There was no documentation for 48.7% of chart-review at-risk patients, suggesting "missed" distribution opportunities. This study highlights the need for improved EMS identification of at-risk patients, EMS documentation adherence, and NLB kit provision.

Disparities in Mammography Screening: Analyzing Barriers to Access Using Individual Patient Perspectives and the Health Belief Model.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of our study is to explore Nepali women's beliefs about access to mammography screening, and motivations to get screened or not. This work was intended to be hypothesis generating for subsequent quantitative analysis and to inform policy and decision-making to improve access. METHODS: We conducted structured qualitative interviews among nine Nepali women in the Northeast of the United States receiving care at a local community health center and among nine white women receiving mammography care at a large academic medical center in the Northeast. We analyzed the transcripts using a mixed deductive (content analysis) and inductive (grounded theory) approach. Deductive codes were generated from the Health Belief Model which states that a person's belief in the real threat of a disease with their belief in the effectiveness of the recommended health service or behavior or action will predict the likelihood the person will adopt the behavior. We compared and contrasted qualitative results from both groups. RESULTS: We found that eligible Nepali women who had not received mammography screening had no knowledge of its availability and its importance. Primary care physicians emerged as a critical link in addressing this disparity: trust was found to be high among Nepali women with their established primary care provider. CONCLUSION: The findings of this study suggest that the role of primary care practitioners in conversations around the importance and eligibility for mammography screening is of critical importance, especially for underserved groups with limited health knowledge of screening opportunities and potential health benefits. Follow-up research should focus on primary care practices.

In this study, we interviewed Nepali women in a small, rural state in in the Northeast of the United States who are eligible for breast cancer screening yet do not seek it to better understand their motivations f. We also interviewed women who did get mammography screening to understand their motivations. We found that eligible Nepali women who had not received mammography screening had no knowledge of its availability and its importance. Primary care physicians emerged as a critical link in addressing this disparity: trust was found to be high among Nepali women with their established primary care provider. The findings of this study suggest that the role of primary care practitioners in conversations around the importance and eligibility for mammography screening is of critical importance.

Examining alignment of community health teams' preferences for health, equity, and spending with state all-payer waiver priorities: A discrete choice experiment.

OBJECTIVE: The state of Vermont has a statewide waiver from the centers for medicare and medicaid services to allow all-payer Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs). The Vermont all-payer model (VAPM) waiver is layered upon previous reforms establishing regional community health teams (CHTs) and medical homes. The waiver is intended to incentivize healthcare value and quality and create alignment between health system payers, providers, and CHTs. The objective of this study was to examine CHT's trade-offs and preferences for health, equity, and spending and the alignment with VAPM priorities. DATA SOURCES/STUDY SETTING: Data were gathered from a survey and discrete choice experiment among CHT leadership and CHT team members of the 13 CHTs in Vermont. STUDY DESIGN: We used conditional logit models to model the choice as a function of its characteristics (attributes) and mixed logit models to analyze whether preferences for programs varied by persons and roles within CHTs. DATA COLLECTION/EXTRACTION METHODS: There were 60 respondents who completed the survey online with 14 choice tasks, with three program options in each task, for a total sample size of 2520. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We found that CHTs prioritized programs in the community health plan and those with quantitative evidence of effectiveness. They were less likely to choose either programs targeting racial and ethnic minorities or programs having a small effect on a large population. Preferences did not vary across individual or community attributes. Program priorities of the VAPM, especially healthcare spending, were not prioritized. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that the new VAPM does not automatically create system alignment: CHTs tended to prioritize local needs and voices. The statewide priorities are less important to CHTs, which have excellent internal alignment. This creates potential disconnection between state and community health goals. However, CHTs and the VAPM prioritize similar populations, indicating an opportunity to increase alignment by allowing flexible programs tailored to local needs. CHTs also prioritized programs with a strong evidence base, suggesting another potential avenue to create system alignment.

Modeling the Maturation of the Vocal Fold Lamina Propria Using a Bioorthogonally Tunable Hydrogel Platform.

Toward the goal of establishing an engineered model of the vocal fold lamina propria (LP), mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs) are encapsulated in hyaluronic acid (HA)-based hydrogels employing tetrazine ligation with strained alkenes. To mimic matrix stiffening during LP maturation, diffusion-controlled interfacial bioorthogonal crosslinking is carried out on the soft cellular construct using HA modified with a ferocious dienophile, trans-cyclooctene (TCO). Cultures are maintained in MSC growth media for 14 days to afford a model of a newborn LP that is homogeneously soft (nLP), a homogeneously stiffened construct zero (sLP0) or 7 days (sLP7) post cell encapsulation, and a mature LP model (mLP) with a stiff top layer and a soft bottom layer. Installation of additional HA crosslinks restricts cell spreading. Compared to the nLP controls, sLP7 conditions upregulate the expression of fibrous matrix proteins (Col I, DCN, and FN EDA), classic fibroblastic markers (TNC, FAP, and FSP1), and matrix remodeling enzymes (MMP2, TIMP1, and HAS3). Day 7 stiffening also upregulates the catabolic activities, enhances ECM turnover, and promotes YAP expression. Overall, in situ delayed matrix stiffening promotes a fibroblast transition from MSCs and enhances YAP-regulated mechanosensing.

Symptom duration is not associated with per oral endoscopic myotomy (POEM) failure.

INTRODUCTION: Per oral endoscopic myotomy (POEM) is a relatively novel technique to address achalasia; however, little is known about the efficacy of POEM for patients with long-standing achalasia. We hypothesize that patients with long-standing achalasia prior to intervention will be more recalcitrant to POEM than patients with symptoms for a short duration. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of patients with achalasia who received a POEM at a single institution from 2012 to 2022. Patients were grouped into cohorts based on the time of symptom duration: < 1 year, 1-3 years, 4-10 years, > 10 years. POEM failure was defined as need for repeat intervention, symptom recurrence, and a high postoperative Eckart score. Demographic and clinical data were compared between cohorts. Measures of failure multivariable logistic regression analyzed the association between symptom duration and response to POEM. RESULTS: During the study period, 132 patients met inclusion criteria. Patient age at surgery, sex, BMI, Charleston-Deyo Comorbidity Index, and patients with diabetes with and without end organ complications, connective tissue diseases, and patients with ulcer diseases did not differ among cohorts. Patients who have had symptoms for greater than 10 years had significantly more endoscopic interventions prior to their POEM (30% vs, 60% p = 0.002). Patients in all cohorts experienced the same number of symptoms post-POEM. Manometric measurements did not vary across cohorts after POEM. Symptom recurrence, need for repeat endoscopic intervention, repeat surgical intervention, or repeat POEM also did not vary across cohorts. Having symptoms of achalasia > 10 years did not increase the odds POEM failure on multivariable logistical regression. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that longer symptom duration is not associated with increased rates of POEM failure. This is promising as clinicians should not exclude patients for POEM eligibility based on duration of symptoms alone.

Preoperative manometric data can predict symptom improvement after per oral endoscopic myotomy for treatment of achalasia.

BACKGROUND: While per oral endoscopic myotomy (POEM) has been shown to be efficacious in the treatment of achalasia, it can be difficult to predict who will have a robust and durable response. Historically, high lower esophageal sphincter pressures have been shown to predict a worse response to endoscopic therapies such as botox therapy. This study was designed to evaluate if modern preoperative manometric data could predict a response to therapy after POEM. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of 144 patients who underwent a POEM at a single institution by a single surgeon over an 8-year period (2014-2022) who had high-resolution manometry performed preoperatively and had an Eckardt symptom score performed both preoperatively and postoperatively. The achalasia type and integrated relaxation pressures (IRP) were then tested for potential correlation with need for any further achalasia interventions postoperatively as well as the degree of Eckardt score reduction using univariate analysis. RESULTS: The achalasia type on preoperatively manometry was not predictive of need for further interventions or degree of Eckardt score reduction (p = 0.74 and 0.44, respectively). A higher IRP was not predictive of need for further interventions however it was predictive of a greater reduction in postoperative Eckardt scores (p = 0.03) as shown by a nonzero regression slope. CONCLUSION: In this study, achalasia type was not a predictive factor in need for further interventions or degree of symptom relief. While IRP was not predictive of need for further interventions, a higher IRP did predict better symptomatic relief postoperatively. This result is opposite that of other endoscopic treatment modalities. Therefore, patients with higher IRP on high-resolution manometry would likely benefit from myotomy which provides significant symptomatic relief postoperatively.

Do preoperative endoscopic interventions predict symptom recurrence or reintervention after peroral endoscopic myotomy?

BACKGROUND: Studies assessing outcomes of patients undergoing peroral endoscopic myotomy (POEM) after botulinum injection or dilation have had various results with respect to failure, although this has not been differentiated between lack of clinical response and recurrence. We hypothesize that patients with previous endoscopic intervention(s) are more likely to recur than treatment-naïve patients. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of patients that underwent POEM for achalasia at a single tertiary care center between 2011 and 2022. Patients were excluded if they had previous myotomy (POEM or Heller). The remaining patients were stratified into treatment-naïve patients (TN), those with previous botulinum injection (BTX), those with previous dilatation (BD), and those with both previous endoscopic interventions (BOTH). Primary outcome was recurrence indicated by clinical symptoms or need for repeat endoscopic intervention or surgery after originally having clinical resolution (Eckardt ≤ 3). Multivariate logistic regression using preoperative and intraoperative factors was completed to assess odds of recurrence. RESULTS: A total of 164 patients were included in the analysis, 90 TN, 34 BD, 28 BTX, and 12 BOTH. There were no other significant differences in demographics or in preoperative Eckardt score (p = 0.53). There was no difference in the proportion of patients that had postoperative manometry (p = 0.74), symptom recurrence (p = 0.59), surgical intervention (p = 0.16). BTX (14.3%) and BOTH (16.7%) patients had a higher rate of repeat endoscopic intervention than BD and TN patients (5.9% and 1.1%). In the logistic regression analysis, there was no association among the BTX, BD, or BOTH groups compared to the TN group. No odds ratios achieved statistical significance. CONCLUSIONS: There were no increased likelihood of recurrence with botulinum injection or dilatation prior to POEM, implying that they are similarly good candidates compared to treatment-naïve patients.

Preoperative patient factors and anatomy do not predict who will develop reflux after per oral endoscopic myotomy.

BACKGROUND: Per oral endoscopic myotomy (POEM) has been shown to be an efficacious and safe therapy for the treatment of achalasia. Compared to laparoscopic Heller myotomy however, no antireflux procedure is routinely combined with POEM and therefore the development of symptomatic or silent reflux is of concern. This study was designed to determine if various patient factors and anatomy would predict the development of gastroesophageal reflux disease post-operatively. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of all patients who underwent a POEM at a single institution by a single surgeon over an eight-year period (2014-2022). It has been our practice to obtain a postoperative ambulatory pH test on all patients 6 months after POEM off all acid reducing medications. Patients without a postoperative ambulatory esophageal pH monitoring test were excluded. Age, sex, obesity (BMI > 30), achalasia type, presence of a hiatal hernia, history of prior endoscopic achalasia treatments or myotomy were analyzed using univariate analysis as predictive factors for the development of postoperative GERD (DeMeester score > 14.7 on ambulatory pH monitoring). RESULTS: There were 179 total patients included in the study with 42 patients (23.5%) having undergone postoperative ambulatory pH testing. The majority of patients (137 or 76.5%) were lost to follow up and did not undergo ambulatory pH testing. Twenty-three out of those 42 patients (55%) had evidence of GERD on ambulatory pH testing. Multiple preoperative patient characteristics including demographics, manometric results, EGD findings, and history of prior achalasia interventions did not correlate with the development of post-operative GERD. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the high rate of reflux after POEM, there does not appear to be any reliable preoperative indicators of which patients have a higher risk of developing post-operative GERD after POEM.

Community Health Teams: a qualitative study about the factors influencing the decision-making process.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to explore the factors influencing how individual Community Health Teams (CHTs) make decisions about what services to offer and how to allocate their resources. METHODS: We conducted thirteen semi-structured interviews with all 13 CHTs program managers between January and March, 2021. We analyzed interviewees descriptions of their service offerings, resources allocation, and decision-making process to identify themes. RESULTS: Four major themes emerged from the interview data as factors influencing community health team program managers' decision-making process: commitment to offering high-quality care coordination, Blueprint's stable and flexible structure, use of data in priority setting, and leveraging community partnerships and local resources. CONCLUSIONS: Community-based CHTs with flexible funding allowed programs to tailor service offerings in response to community needs. It is important for teams to have access to community-level data. Teams are cultivating and leveraging community partners to increase their care coordination capacity, which is focus of their work. CHTs are a model for leveraging community partnerships to increase service capacity and pubic engagement in health services for other states to replicate.

Current patterns of trauma center proliferation have not led to proportionate improvements in access to care or mortality after injury: An ecologic study.

BACKGROUND: Timely access to high-level (I/II) trauma centers (HLTCs) is essential to minimize mortality after injury. Over the last 15 years, there has been a proliferation of HLTC nationally. The current study evaluates the impact of additional HLTC on population access and injury mortality. METHODS: A geocoded list of HLTC, with year designated, was obtained from the American Trauma Society, and 60-minute travel time polygons were created using OpenStreetMap data. Census block group population centroids, county population centroids, and American Communities Survey data from 2005 and 2020 were integrated. Age-adjusted nonoverdose injury mortality was obtained from CDC Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation. Geographically weighted regression models were used to identify independent predictors of HLTC access and injury mortality. RESULTS: Over the 15-year (2005-2020) study period, the number of HLTC increased by 31.0% (445 to 583), while population access to HLTC increased by 6.9% (77.5-84.4%). Despite this increase, access was unchanged in 83.1% of counties, with a median change in access of 0.0% (interquartile range, 0.0-1.1%). Population-level age-adjusted injury mortality rates increased by 5.39 per 100,000 population during this time (60.72 to 66.11 per 100,000). Geographically weighted regression controlling for population demography and health indicators found higher median income and higher population density to be positively associated with majority (≥50%) HLTC population coverage and negatively associated with county-level nonoverdose mortality. CONCLUSION: Over the past 15 years, the number of HLTC increased 31%, while population access to HLTC increased only 6.9%. High-level (I/II) trauma center designation is likely driven by factors other than population need. To optimize efficiency and decrease potential oversupply, the designation process should include population level metrics. Geographic information system methodology can be an effective tool to assess optimal placement. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and Epidemiological; Level IV.

Tradeoffs in Triage of Motor Vehicle Trauma by Rural 911 Emergency Medical Services Practitioners.

PURPOSE: Identification and triage of severely injured patients to trauma centers is paramount to survival. Many patients are undertriaged in rural areas and do not receive proper care. The decision-making processes involved in triage are not well understood and should be assessed to improve the triage process and outcomes. METHODS: Triage decision-making processes were explored through emergency medical services (EMS) practitioner focus groups and a discrete choice experiment (DCE). Attributes of trauma determined from focus groups and the literature included patient demography, injury mechanism, and trauma center distance. DCE data were analyzed using mixed logit models. RESULTS: High-risk mechanism, decreased age, multiple comorbidities, and pregnancy were found to increase the preference for triage. Greater trauma center distance was found to decrease preference for triage, but practitioners were willing to trade off up to 2 h of travel time to transport a third-trimester pregnancy and 48 min of travel time to transport a 25-y-old than they would a 50-y-old with the same comorbidities, injuries, and stability. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that current forms of EMS protocols may not be appropriately tailored to support the mechanisms underlying practitioner decision making. Public health professionals and researchers should consider using DCEs to better understand EMS practitioner decision making and identify structures and incentives that may improve patient outcomes and optimally guide appropriate triage decisions. HIGHLIGHTS: Discrete choice experiments are an effective method to elicit prehospital practitioners' preferences around transport of the traumatized patient.Practitioner biases observed in EMS transport data are recovered in stated preference models incorporating individual preference heterogeneity.There is a discrepancy between the triage priorities recommended by protocol and those measured from prehospital practitioners' decisions-this may have implications in over- and undertriage rates and prehospital protocol design.

Tunable Synthesis of Hydrogel Microfibers via Interfacial Tetrazine Ligation.

Crosslinked, degradable, and cell-adhesive hydrogel microfibers were synthesized via interfacial polymerization employing tetrazine ligation, an exceptionally fast bioorthogonal reaction between strained trans-cyclooctene (TCO) and s-tetrazine (Tz). A hydrophobic trisTCO crosslinker and homo-difunctional poly(ethylene glycol) (PEG)-based macromers with the tetrazine group conjugated to PEG via a stable carbamate (PEG-bisTz1) bond or a labile hydrazone (PEG-bisTz2) linkage were synthesized. After laying an ethyl acetate solution of trisTCO over an aqueous solution of bisTz macromers, mechanically robust microfibers were continuously pulled from the oil-water interface. The resultant microfibers exhibited comparable mechanical and thermal properties but different aqueous stability. Combining PEG-bisTz2 and PEG-bisTz3 with a dangling arginine-glycine-aspartic acid (RGD) peptide in the aqueous phase yielded degradable fibers that supported the attachment and growth of primary vocal fold fibroblasts. The degradable and cell-adhesive hydrogel microfibers are expected to find utility in a wide array of tissue engineering applications.

The path towards herd immunity: Predicting COVID-19 vaccination uptake through results from a stated choice study across six continents.

Despite unprecedented progress in developing COVID-19 vaccines, global vaccination levels needed to reach herd immunity remain a distant target, while new variants keep emerging. Obtaining near universal vaccine uptake relies on understanding and addressing vaccine resistance. Simple questions about vaccine acceptance however ignore that the vaccines being offered vary across countries and even population subgroups, and differ in terms of efficacy and side effects. By using advanced discrete choice models estimated on stated choice data collected in 18 countries/territories across six continents, we show a substantial influence of vaccine characteristics. Uptake increases if more efficacious vaccines (95% vs 60%) are offered (mean across study areas = 3.9%, range of 0.6%-8.1%) or if vaccines offer at least 12 months of protection (mean across study areas = 2.4%, range of 0.2%-5.8%), while an increase in severe side effects (from 0.001% to 0.01%) leads to reduced uptake (mean = -1.3%, range of -0.2% to -3.9%). Additionally, a large share of individuals (mean = 55.2%, range of 28%-75.8%) would delay vaccination by 3 months to obtain a more efficacious (95% vs 60%) vaccine, where this increases further if the low efficacy vaccine has a higher risk (0.01% instead of 0.001%) of severe side effects (mean = 65.9%, range of 41.4%-86.5%). Our work highlights that careful consideration of which vaccines to offer can be beneficial. In support of this, we provide an interactive tool to predict uptake in a country as a function of the vaccines being deployed, and also depending on the levels of infectiousness and severity of circulating variants of COVID-19.

Comparative tribology II-Measurable biphasic tissue properties have predictable impacts on cartilage rehydration and lubricity.

Healthy articular cartilage supports load bearing and frictional properties unmatched among biological tissues and man-made bearing materials. Balancing fluid exudation and recovery under loaded and articulated conditions is essential to the tissue's biological and mechanical longevity. Our prior tribological investigations, which leveraged the convergent stationary contact area (cSCA) configuration, revealed that sliding alone can modulate cartilage interstitial fluid pressurization and the recovery and maintenance of lubrication under load through a mechanism termed 'tribological rehydration.' Our recent comparative assessment of tribological rehydration revealed remarkably consistent sliding speed-dependent fluid recovery and lubrication behaviors across femoral condyle cartilage from five mammalian species (equine/horse, bovine/cow, porcine/pig, ovine/sheep, and caprine/goat). In the present study, we identified and characterized key predictive relationships among tissue properties, sliding-induced tribological rehydration, and the modulation/recovery of lubrication within healthy articular cartilage. Using correlational analysis, we linked observed speed-dependent tribological rehydration behaviors to cartilage's geometry and biphasic properties (tensile and compressive moduli, and permeability). Together, these findings demonstrate that easily measurable biphasic tissue characteristics (e.g., bulk tissue material properties, compressive strain magnitude, and strain rates) can be used to predict cartilage's rehydration and lubricating abilities, and ultimately its function in vivo. STATEMENT OF SIGNIFICANCE: In healthy cartilage, articulation recovers fluid lost to static loading thereby sustaining tissue lubricity. Osteoarthritis causes changes to cartilage composition, stiffness, and permeability associated with faster fluid exudation and presumably poorer frictional outcomes. Yet, the relationship between mechanical properties and fluid recovery during articulation/sliding remains unclear. Through innovative, high-speed benchtop sliding and indentation experiments, we found that cartilage's tissue properties regulate its exudation/hydration under slow sliding speeds but have minimal effect at high sliding speeds. In fact, cartilage rehydration appears insensitive to permeability and stiffness under high fluid load support conditions. This new understanding of the balance of cartilage exudation and rehydration during activity, based upon comparative tribology studies, may improve prevention and rehabilitation strategies for joint injuries and osteoarthritis.

Administration of epinephrine by advanced emergency medical technicians for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in a rural emergency medical services system.

OBJECTIVE: Epinephrine in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) remains controversial and understudied in rural emergency medical services (EMS) systems. We evaluated the effects of allowing advanced emergency medical technicians (AEMTs) to administer epinephrine during OHCA in a rural EMS system. METHODS: An interrupted time series study was conducted using statewide EMS electronic records. Patients with OHCA before (phase I) and after (phase II) a protocol change expanding the AEMT scope of practice to include epinephrine for OHCA were identified. Number and timing of initial epinephrine administration, return of spontaneous circulation, and 30-day survival rates were compared using descriptive statistics, logistic regression, regression discontinuity, and propensity score matching. RESULTS: A total of 1037 OHCAs met the inclusion criteria. In phase 1 compared with phase 2, 275 (56.12%) patients received epinephrine versus 624 (83.53%; P < 0.001). The mean time to first administration of epinephrine for unwitnessed and bystander-witnessed OHCA were 11.73 minutes versus 8.17 minutes (P < 0.001) and 11.59 minutes versus 8.85 minutes (P < 0.01), respectively. Unadjusted analysis showed a decrease in 30-day survival rates among patients receiving epinephrine from 18.01% to 12.66% (P < 0.05). Adjusted analysis showed an increase in 30-day survival with decreased time to first epinephrine dose(OR 0.960, 1.005; 95% confidence interval, 0.929, 0.992). CONCLUSION: Adding epinephrine for OHCA to the AEMT scope of practice was associated with an increased percentage of patients receiving epinephrine and decreased time to first administration of epinephrine for patients with unwitnessed OHCA. Unadjusted analysis showed a decrease in 30-day survival rates among patients receiving epinephrine. Adjusted analysis found that earlier administrationof epinephrine was associated with increased ROSC and 30-day survival.

The effect of unobserved preferences and race on vaccination hesitancy for COVID-19 vaccines: implications for health disparities.

BACKGROUND: Reducing the extra burden COVID-19 has on people already facing disparities is among the main national priorities for the COVID-19 vaccine rollout. Early reports from states releasing vaccination data by race show that White residents are being vaccinated at significantly higher rates than Black residents. Public health efforts are being targeted to address vaccine hesitancy among Black and other minority populations. However, health care interventions intended to reduce health disparities that do not reflect the underlying values of individuals in underrepresented populations are unlikely to be successful. OBJECTIVE: To identify key factors underlying the disparities in COVID-19 vaccination. METHODS: Primary data were collected from an online survey of a representative sample of the populations of the 4 largest US states (New York, California, Texas, and Florida) between August 10 and September 3, 2020. Using latent class analysis, we built a model identifying key factors underlying the disparities in COVID-19 vaccination. RESULTS: We found that individuals who identify as Black had lower rates of vaccine hesitancy than those who identify as White. This was true overall, by latent class and within latent class. This suggests that, contrary to what is currently being reported, Black individuals are not universally more vaccine hesitant. Combining the respondents who would not consider a vaccine (17%) with those who would consider one but ultimately choose not to vaccinate (11%), our findings indicate that more than 1 in 4 (28%) persons will not be willing to vaccinate. The no-vaccine rate is highest in White individuals and lowest in Black individuals. CONCLUSIONS: Results suggest that other factors, potentially institutional, are driving the vaccination rates for these groups. Our model results help point the way to more effective differentiated policies. DISCLOSURES: No funding was received for this study. The authors have nothing to disclose.

Geographic Coverage and Verification of Trauma Centers in a Rural State: Highlighting the Utility of Location Allocationfor Trauma System Planning.

BACKGROUND: Care at verified trauma centers has improved survival and functional outcomes, yet determining the appropriate location of potential trauma centers is often driven by factors other than optimizing system-level patient care. Given the importance of transport time in trauma, we analyzed trauma transport patterns in a rural state lacking an organized trauma system and implemented a geographic information system to inform potential future trauma center locations. STUDY DESIGN: Data were collected on trauma ground transport during a 3-year period (2014 through 2016) from the Statewide Incident Reporting Network database. Geographic information system mapping and location-allocation modeling of the best-fit facility for trauma center verification was computed using trauma transport patterns, population density, road network layout, and 60-minute emergency medical services transport time based on current transport protocols. RESULTS: Location-allocation modeling identified 2 regional facilities positioned to become the next verified trauma centers. The proportion of the Vermont population without access to trauma center care within 60 minutes would be reduced from the current 29.68% to 5.81% if the identified facilities become verified centers. CONCLUSIONS: Through geospatial mapping and location-allocation modeling, we were able to identify gaps and suggest optimal trauma center locations to maximize population coverage in a rural state lacking a formal, organized trauma system. These findings could inform future decision-making for targeted capacity improvement and system design that emphasizes more equitable access to trauma center care in Vermont.